CrowdStrike(CRWD)
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CrowdStrike Stock Is Crushing the S&P 500 in 2025. Is the Artificial Intelligence (AI) Juggernaut Still a Buy?
The Motley Fool· 2025-06-06 09:14
Core Insights - CrowdStrike is a leading cybersecurity provider known for its Falcon platform and AI-driven approach, which automates threat detection and incident response [1][2] Financial Performance - CrowdStrike's stock has increased by 34% in 2025, outperforming the S&P 500, which is up by only 2% [2] - The company reported $1.1 billion in revenue for fiscal Q1 2026, marking a 20% year-over-year increase [9] - Despite solid financial results, revenue growth is gradually slowing due to a larger revenue base and the impact of a major outage last July [11][12] Product Adoption - The Falcon platform is gaining traction, with 48% of customers using at least six modules, up from 44% year-over-year [5] - The introduction of Falcon Flex in 2023 has driven greater adoption, with average Flex customers utilizing nine modules [6] - A phenomenon termed "Reflexes" is emerging, where customers exhaust their budgets early and return to increase spending [7] Long-term Guidance - CrowdStrike aims to achieve $10 billion in annual recurring revenue (ARR) by fiscal year 2031, indicating a potential growth of 127% from the current level of $4.4 billion [13] - Management's commitment to this target suggests confidence in overcoming the impacts of the previous outage [13] Valuation Concerns - CrowdStrike's stock is considered expensive, trading at a price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 28.7, significantly higher than some competitors [15][17] - The company faces challenges in maintaining its premium valuation as competitors like Zscaler and SentinelOne show faster growth [17] - Short-term upside for CrowdStrike stock may be limited, but long-term investors could find value if the company meets its ARR target by 2031 [18][19]
CrowdStrike: Higher Sales, Higher Costs
The Motley Fool· 2025-06-05 21:20
Core Viewpoint - CrowdStrike's financial report shows solid growth despite challenges from a previous outage, with mixed results in key metrics, indicating resilience in its cybersecurity platform [3][10]. Financial Performance - Revenue for Q1 FY25 was $921 million, increasing to $1.1 billion in Q1 FY26, reflecting a 19% growth and meeting expectations [2]. - Earnings per share (EPS) decreased from $0.79 to $0.73, an 8% decline, but beat estimates [2]. - Net new Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) fell from $212 million to $194 million, an 8% decrease [2]. - Free cash flow dropped from $323 million to $279 million, a 14% decline [2]. Cost and Margin Analysis - Subscription gross margin decreased by 100 basis points to 77% [5]. - The company reported a net loss of $110.2 million on a GAAP basis [5]. - Total operating expenses rose by 36% year over year to $939 million, primarily driven by increased sales and marketing expenses [5]. Customer Engagement and Growth Initiatives - The "Falcon Flex" licensing program is gaining traction, with total deal value increasing over 6 times year over year [6]. - A new $1 billion share-repurchase program has been approved by the board to help offset stock-based compensation and manage share growth [6][7]. Market Reaction and Future Outlook - Following the earnings report, CrowdStrike's stock fell 7% in aftermarket trading despite a 40% year-to-date increase prior to the report [8]. - The company forecasts Q2 FY26 EPS between $0.82 and $0.84, slightly above the consensus estimate of $0.81, with expected revenue growth to $1.14 billion to $1.15 billion [9]. - Full-year EPS guidance has been raised by $0.11, now projected between $3.44 and $3.56 [9]. Management's Perspective - Management remains optimistic about future growth, focusing on net new ARR reacceleration and margin expansion in the second half of FY26, supported by the Falcon Flex program and a strong pipeline [10][11].
Stock Of The Day: Where Is The Bottom In CrowdStrike?
Benzinga· 2025-06-05 18:12
Group 1 - CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. (CRWD) shares are currently trading sideways, but have shown significant volatility over the past week, leading to its designation as the Stock of the Day by the technical analysis team [1] - The concept of support and resistance levels is crucial for traders; a downtrend occurs when there is insufficient demand to absorb supply, resulting in aggressive selling [2] - At support levels, demand is sufficient to absorb supply, causing sell-offs to pause or end [3] Group 2 - When a stock is rising, it indicates higher demand than supply, compelling buyers to outbid each other, which drives the stock price up; previously established resistance levels can become support [5] - Recently, CrowdStrike's stock dropped to approximately $445, which was identified as a support level after previously acting as resistance; some sellers regretted their decision to sell at this level [6] - Current support for CrowdStrike shares is around $456, which also had been a resistance level, highlighting the importance of certain price levels in market trends [7]
Is Falcon Flex Becoming a Game Changer for CrowdStrike's ARR Growth?
ZACKS· 2025-06-05 18:05
Core Insights - CrowdStrike's Falcon Flex subscription model is significantly driving its annual recurring revenue (ARR) growth, with a total deal value of $3.2 billion achieved within two years of its launch, reflecting a 31% sequential growth and over six times year-over-year growth [1][2][10] Group 1: Financial Performance - In the first quarter of fiscal 2026, CrowdStrike reported $194 million in net new ARR, primarily attributed to the Falcon Flex model, with 39 re-Flex transactions indicating increased customer renewals [3][10] - The company ended the first quarter with an ARR of $4.44 billion, marking a 22% increase year-over-year [2][10] Group 2: Customer Adoption and Growth - More than 820 customer accounts have adopted the Falcon Flex model, contributing to the robust growth in both customer adoption and deal value [2][10] - The increasing traction of Falcon Flex and the rise in re-Flex transactions position CrowdStrike to potentially reach its long-term goal of $10 billion in ARR [4] Group 3: Competitive Landscape - Competitors such as Palo Alto Networks and SentinelOne are also experiencing growth, with Palo Alto Networks achieving $5.09 billion in ARR, a 34% year-over-year increase, and SentinelOne reaching $948 million in ARR, a 24% year-over-year growth [5][6][7] Group 4: Valuation and Estimates - CrowdStrike's shares have increased by 33.9% year-to-date, outperforming the Zacks Security industry's growth of 19.4% [8] - The company trades at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 22.31, which is above the industry average of 14.47 [11] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for CrowdStrike's fiscal 2026 earnings is $3.44 per share, indicating a 12.4% year-over-year decline, while the estimate for fiscal 2027 is $4.55 per share, reflecting a 32.2% increase [12]
CrowdStrike Q1 Earnings: Why I'm Not Impressed
Seeking Alpha· 2025-06-05 11:45
Group 1 - The stock of CrowdStrike Holdings Inc. (CRWD) has been downgraded to a hold rating due to concerns over overvaluation, extended technical conditions, and a general sense of hype surrounding the company [1] - The previous rating for CrowdStrike was a buy, indicating a shift in sentiment towards the stock [1] Group 2 - The Financial Prophet's All-Weather Portfolio achieved a 69% return in 2024, suggesting strong performance compared to the market [3] - The Daily Prophet Report offers crucial information for investors before market opening, highlighting its value for timely decision-making [3] - A Covered Call Dividend Plan is mentioned, which could potentially yield a 50% return on certain investments [3]
CrowdStrike: Why Investors Should Stay Cautious
Benzinga· 2025-06-05 11:36
Core Viewpoint - CrowdStrike is currently in its 8th Phase of the Adhishthana Cycle, and while the stock appears bullish, there are indications that recent gains may not be sustainable, warranting caution among investors [1][9]. Group 1: Current Position and Alignment - CrowdStrike has maintained an 85.71% alignment with the Adhishthana Principles, which forecast stock behavior through cyclical analysis [2]. - The stock is completing a Cakra, a curved bullish channel spanning Phases 4 through 8, which is expected to guide price movement until the end of Phase 8 [8][11]. Group 2: Key Structural Elements - In Phase 6, CrowdStrike established a Level of Nirvana at $286.11, which serves as a critical valuation anchor for future phases [5]. - The Cakra channel is currently respected, and a breakout above this channel during Phase 8 is deemed highly unlikely, with true breakouts expected in Phase 9 [11][12]. Group 3: Future Outlook - A retest of the lower boundary near the Nirvana level of $286.11 is likely before any decisive breakout occurs [13]. - Investors holding long positions should consider hedging their exposure, while new entrants may benefit from waiting for the stock to approach the Nirvana level for a more favorable entry point [13].
2 Potential Stock-Split Stocks Up 185% and 255% in 3 Years to Buy Now, According to Certain Wall Street Analysts
The Motley Fool· 2025-06-05 08:51
Group 1: Stock Splits and Market Performance - Smart investors are attracted to stock splits as they often lead to market-beating returns, with stocks that split historically outperforming the S&P 500 by 13 percentage points in the year following the announcement [1] - Over the last three years, Meta Platforms and CrowdStrike have returned 255% and 185%, respectively, making them candidates for stock splits [2] Group 2: Meta Platforms - Meta Platforms owns four of the seven most popular social media platforms, providing a competitive advantage in sourcing consumer data and targeting advertising campaigns [5] - The company reported a 16% increase in revenue to $42.3 billion, with a 3 percentage point expansion in operating margin and a 37% increase in GAAP net income to $6.43 per diluted share [6] - Meta aims to automate the entire ad creation process using AI by 2026, with Wall Street expecting earnings to grow at 18% annually over the next three years [8] Group 3: CrowdStrike - CrowdStrike is a cybersecurity leader in endpoint protection, with a platform that includes 30 modules addressing various markets, including cloud security and identity threat detection [9] - The company reported a 20% increase in revenue to $1.1 billion, although non-GAAP net income fell 8% to $0.73 per diluted share due to increased spending on go-to-market capabilities [10] - CrowdStrike's addressable market is valued at $250 billion by 2029, and Wall Street estimates adjusted earnings will grow at 13% annually through fiscal 2027 [12][13]
CrowdStrike Stock Dips on Guidance Miss: It May Rebound Fast
MarketBeat· 2025-06-04 18:30
Core Insights - CrowdStrike Holdings Inc. reported its first quarter earnings, beating earnings per share estimates but falling short on revenue guidance, leading to a stock decline of over 6% [1][3][5] - The company's revenue guidance for the current quarter was between $1.145 billion and $1.152 billion, below analyst expectations of $1.23 billion [4] - Despite the short-term dip, analysts suggest this may present a buying opportunity, as the stock is not expected to decline significantly further [2][10] Financial Performance - Topline revenue for the quarter was $1.10 billion, in line with expectations of $1.11 billion, representing a 20% year-over-year increase [5] - Annual recurring revenue increased by 22% year-over-year [5] - Earnings per share (EPS) of 73 cents exceeded forecasts of 66 cents and was 265% higher year-over-year [5] Analyst Sentiment - DZ Bank downgraded CRWD stock from Strong Buy to Strong Sell with a price target of $370, reflecting concerns about the stock being priced for perfection [6] - The average 12-month price target for CrowdStrike is $445.02, with a moderate buy rating based on 46 analyst ratings [7] - Analysts are optimistic about the company's long-term outlook, with expectations of business acceleration in the second half of the year [9] Market Reaction - Following the earnings report, at least a dozen analysts have increased their price targets for the stock, with some predicting a potential price increase of 15% or more from current levels [9][11] - Early trading indicated that investors were already responding positively, with CRWD stock recovering about half of its post-earnings dip by midday [11]
CrowdStrike: Time To Take Profits
Seeking Alpha· 2025-06-04 17:24
Group 1 - CrowdStrike is a cybersecurity firm that faced negative headlines about a year ago due to a faulty security update impacting the airline industry among others [1] - Since the incident, the company has managed to recover and improve its standing in the market [1]
CrowdStrike's Falcon: A 7% Discounted Flex Post-Earnings
Seeking Alpha· 2025-06-04 15:58
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. has shown significant stock performance, increasing over 35% and over 92% since early December and September respectively [1] - The author emphasizes a focus on momentum in investment strategy, drawing from extensive experience in navigating various market conditions, including the technology landscape and recent AI boom [1] Group 2 - The article does not provide any specific financial metrics or detailed analysis of CrowdStrike's performance beyond the stock price changes mentioned [1]