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大A破3900点,是什么信号?
大胡子说房· 2025-10-10 11:05
独到的财经观点,深度的金融分析,助你抓住最新财富机会,实现资产稳步增长! 昨天,大盘终于冲破了3900点,这是大A10年以来第一次上到3900点。 大胡子财研社 . 以下文章来源于大胡子财研社 ,作者湾区区长 而且冲上3900点之后,大盘并没有停下脚步,还在往上继续拉涨,大盘盘中涨到了3930点以上。 大A达到3900点,对于市场来说,我认为是一个很强的信号。 首先 ,对于市场 来说,过去整个9月份都没有突破3900点,10月份第一个交易日就马上突破这个 点位,说明10月份GJ队对指数的打压力度并不强。 这对市场是一个很大的利好。 因为上个月,其实市场就已经足够强势了,很多票的涨幅如果反映到大盘上,其实早就已经是 4000点了。 之所以大盘一直没有动静,迟迟没有上3900点,主要是因为 GJ队在打压指数。 整个9月份,我简单概括总结就是: 大量机构资金在拉升科技股带动整个市场的热度,而GJ队则是用券商银行白酒等指数权重的票压 制指数持续快速上涨。 大家别看指数风平浪静,指数背后的博弈氛围是很浓的。 GJ队这么强力地压盘,也是因为害怕市场热度一下子就被那些机构快速消耗掉。 但到了这个月,从第一个交易日开始,明显 ...
日本公明党决定退出与自民党的执政联盟
证券时报· 2025-10-10 09:22
新华社快讯:据日本广播协会10日报道,日本公明党决定退出与自民党的执政联盟。 转载与合作可联系证券时报小助理,微信ID:SecuritiesTimes END 点击关键字可查看 潜望系列深度报道丨 股事会专栏 丨 投资小红书 丨 e公司调查 丨 时报会客厅 丨 十大明星私募访谈 丨 A股,突变!科技股大调整! 丨 中东突发!黄金跳水! 丨 美联储主席最新发声! 丨 疯狂!两只 股票暗盘涨疯了,最高暴拉880%! 丨 重磅!商务部、海关总署连发4则公告 丨 暴涨超70%! 301563,盘中狂飙! 丨 时隔10年,沪指突破3900点!芯片股,集体暴涨! 丨 盘前突发!商务部: 对境外相关稀土物项实施出口管制! 丨 深夜,全线上涨!黄金股爆发! 丨 "我们是恋人,不是战 士!"黄仁勋发声 证 券 时 报 新 媒 体 矩 阵 海 15 王崇 数据5 ULL l 35 数据宝 人民财讯 券商中国 e公司 全景财经 北证 新財富 CHDC Rustway 杂志 期货回报 资讯 创业资本汇 北证资讯 信托百佬汇 新财富 期货日报 识别二维码关注 点击下载app 证券时报微信公众号 屏幕下方点个赞, 天天抓牛股! 来源:新 ...
现在小盘股也不便宜了
Guo Ji Jin Rong Bao· 2025-09-29 12:01
Group 1 - The small-cap stock bubble is raising alarms as they have outperformed large-cap stocks in Q3 2025, driven by a rally in technology stocks [1][2] - The Russell 2000 index has seen a gain of over 10% as of September 29, 2025, surpassing the S&P 500's approximately 7% increase [2][4] - Small-cap stocks have historically performed best during periods of Federal Reserve easing and economic recovery, but their recent performance contrasts sharply with earlier in the year [4] Group 2 - The technology sector, particularly semiconductors, has led the recent surge in small-cap stocks, with notable performers like Astera and Credo seeing gains of over 100% and 60% respectively in Q3 [5][10] - Despite the strong performance, concerns arise as the rebound is driven by a limited number of growth and tech stocks, leading to questions about overall value [11] - The forward P/E ratio for the iShares Russell 2000 ETF has reached 24.64, indicating that small-cap stocks may no longer offer the value they once did [11][12] Group 3 - The iShares Russell 2000 Growth ETF has an alarming forward P/E ratio of 36.38, suggesting a bubble similar to large-cap tech stocks [12] - Some small-cap stocks, like Oklo, have seen significant price increases without generating any revenue, raising further concerns about valuation sustainability [12] - Defensive sectors such as consumer staples and healthcare are recommended for small-cap investments, as cyclical sectors may struggle without substantial interest rate cuts [14]
看涨!
第一财经· 2025-09-29 11:10
2025.09. 29 A股三大股指集体收涨,市场全天呈现"探底回升、强势反弹"的态势,上证指数早盘在3800 点整数关口获得支撑后震荡走高,深证成指和创业板指则创出阶段新高,上升趋势保持良 好。 3574家上涨 涨跌停比 个股市场呈现普涨格局,赚钱效应较好,新能源 赛道全线爆发,能源金属、电池、固态电池、储 能等板块涨幅居前,大金融午后拉升,教育板块 领跌,黑色家电、互联网电商板块表现低迷。 两市成交额 万亿元 ▲ +0.68% 今日两市成交额微幅放量,连续保持在2万亿 元以上的高位,市场基础流动性充裕,交投活 跃度仍较高,成交额呈现显著结构分化,深市 量能份额远超沪市,与科技股为主的成长板块 交投活跃形成呼应。 资金情绪 今天你冲了还是撤了? 加仓 28.14% 减仓 21.20% 09/29 按兵不动 50.66% 0 28.14% 个百分点 仓 版 加 主力资金净流入 散户资金净流入 机构"谨慎中转向乐观,布局节后",持股过节成主流,部分机构选择观望或小幅减仓以规避风险,午后权 重板块发力增强机构对节后行情信心,机构资金明显流向有政策支持和产业趋势的方向;散户"参与热情 回升,积极追涨",部分散户选择 ...
一年前“掐点”成立 多只基金无缘“翻倍基”
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-09-28 18:35
年内,A股行情走牛也带动了主动权益类基金的净值集体上涨。自去年9月24日以来,沪指累计大涨近 四成,因此在这个日期前后成立的基金,普遍斩获不俗。 不过,即便如此,这些基金也鲜有机会加入年内的"翻倍基"阵营。从持仓情况来看,由于它们多数重仓 了其间表现一般的红利板块,加上调仓速度欠缺,因此也错过了较为迅猛的行情。 49只基金"掐点"成立 在去年"9·24"行情启动前两个月,沪指尚在3000点以下挣扎,彼时权益产品新发也陷入了冰点——2024 年7月、8月,股票型基金成立份额均为50多亿份,而今年同期,这一数值则分别达到了355亿份、472亿 份。 以后镜视角来看,上述成立于行情低点的基金也可谓"掐点"而来。证券时报记者统计的数据显示,纳入 统计的49只主动权益类产品,至今业绩全部飘红,平均收益率高达35.94%。 具体来看,截至9月26日,成立于去年8月23日的永赢融安收益率高达89%;安联中国精选、东吴科技创 新等成立以来收益率均逾70%;成立以来,收益率超过了50%的还有嘉实产业精选、上银数字经济、兴 业品质睿选等8只产品。 布局谨慎无缘"翻倍基" 此外,由于上述成立于低迷行情中的基金,成立后在仓位布局方面 ...
廖市无双:如何应对指数“明显分化”?
2025-09-28 14:57
Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Industry or Company Involved - The discussion primarily revolves around the performance of the stock market, particularly focusing on the dual innovation indices (创业板 and 科创 50) and their impact on the overall market dynamics [1][3][4]. Core Insights and Arguments 1. **Market Performance and Divergence** - The dual innovation indices have shown strong performance, particularly the 科创 50, which indicates a strong upward momentum despite the pressure on weight indices like 上证 50 and 沪深 300 [1][3][4]. 2. **Challenges and Uncertainties** - The market faces significant challenges, including the divergence of indices, unclear direction of the 上证 index, and the upcoming long holiday which adds to market uncertainty [4][5]. 3. **Investment Strategy in Complex Market** - Investors are advised to focus on systemic market characteristics, avoiding concentrated strategies and instead monitoring overall market rotation. Attention should be given to the sustainability of the dual innovation indices to prevent larger adjustment pressures [6][7]. 4. **Future Market Predictions** - The market is expected to continue in a range-bound consolidation phase, with the 上证 index lacking momentum. The performance of the financial sector, particularly brokerages, is crucial for any potential upward movement in the broader market [11][14]. 5. **Sector Performance** - Notable sectors this week include electronics, non-ferrous metals, and battery industries, which have seen significant gains. Conversely, consumer-related sectors have underperformed, likely due to profit-taking ahead of the National Day holiday [10][11]. 6. **Asset Relationships and Impact** - There is a notable interrelationship among various asset classes, with systemic market characteristics leading to simultaneous rises and falls. A balanced allocation between cyclical and technology sectors is recommended to mitigate risks [7][24]. 7. **Investment Recommendations** - Investors should consider a diversified approach, focusing on sectors with strong fundamentals such as non-bank financials and real estate, which may have significant upside potential if profit expectations improve [29][30]. 8. **Market Sentiment and Wealth Effect** - The improvement in industrial profits and consumer spending in Shanghai is attributed to the wealth effect, which has begun to manifest after two years of market growth [2][28]. Other Important but Possibly Overlooked Content 1. **Technical Analysis of Indices** - The 上证 index's daily and weekly analysis indicates it is currently in an adjustment phase, with the need for careful monitoring of key moving averages to assess potential risks [8][12]. 2. **Brokerage Sector's Role** - The brokerage sector's performance is critical for the overall market's ability to reach higher levels, emphasizing the need for a healthy rotation within this sector [14][31]. 3. **Real Estate Sector Dynamics** - The real estate sector, while currently lacking in momentum, shows potential for significant upside if profit recovery occurs, making it a sector to watch closely [30]. 4. **Future Focus on Research and Service** - The team acknowledges the need to enhance service quality and better align research outputs with investor needs, indicating a shift towards more investor-centric approaches in the future [32].
精准成立,却跑输大盘!两大因素无缘“翻倍基”
证券时报· 2025-09-28 07:26
去年9月24日以来,A股大幅上涨。"9·24"前夕精准成立的基金亦收获不俗。 不过,前述低位成立的基金中,并未诞生年内频现的"翻倍基",甚至平均涨幅落后于同期沪深股指。从布局情况来看,这些产品多数重仓了表现一般的红利板块, 且因成立于清淡市场,未能及时满仓从而错过随即而来的迅猛行情。 近50只主动权益基金"精准成立" 近一年来,A股投资逻辑正悄然生变,以创新药和人工智能为主力的数个板块轮番上演异动行情,多只基金借行情东风净值表现优异。 若将时间推至去年"9·24"前两个月,彼时沪指尚在3000点以下徘徊,权益产品新基金发行也陷入冰点——2024年7月和8月股票型基金成立份额均为50多亿份,而 这一数值在今年同期分别为355亿份和472亿份,行情的清淡无疑对新基发行影响深远。 | 证券代码 | 证券简称 | 基金成立日 | 5779 家回报 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | (%) | | 020755.OF | 永赢融安A | 2024/8/23 | 89.09 | | 021981.OF | 安联中国精选A | 2024/9/3 | 74.96 | | 020966.O ...
半夏投资李蓓、林园:谈市场看法与科技股操作
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-28 01:13
【9月26日晚,半夏投资李蓓、林园就市场热点发表看法】9月26日晚,半夏投资李蓓针对"老登 股"和"小登股"讨论发声。她觉得市场并非完全理性,不理性成分正是其魅力所在。她称调整心态理解 市场,就不会怨恨嫉妒,因为泡沫是市场必然部分。 李蓓应对方法是买入中证500股指期货,间接参与 科技热潮。她还表示,虽今年市场结构和风格非自己擅长领域,但仍跑赢沪深300。 近期,林园在财经 论坛回应买科技股问题。他称持有科创板股票是被动操作,非主动布局,原因是上交所科创板新股申购 有市值要求。 林园还称投资科创板让他备受煎熬,买后后悔,因自己买了不卖,折腾得多个晚上睡不 着觉。 本文由 Al 算法生成,仅作参考,不涉投资建议,使用风险自担 和讯财经 hexun.cor 和而不同 迅达天下 扫码查看原文 本文由 AI算法生成,仅作参考,不涉投资建议,使用风险自担 ...
就市论市 | 指数窄幅波动 节前市场或将维持震荡分化走势?
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-09-26 06:59
国金证券投顾邱于认为,科技股活跃而大盘震荡,两市个股涨少跌多。当下市场震荡且成交额缩量,在 看好趋势的背景下仍是注意保有机动仓位,以防止出现超预期的调整。上升趋势未变,逢低关注机会。 ...