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大行评级丨小摩:订单加速与HBM/先进制程需求共振,给予科磊目标价1485美元
Ge Long Hui· 2025-12-11 08:57
摩根大通维持对科磊(KLAC.US)的"增持"评级,给出的目标价为1485美元。在与科磊的高管团队会面 后,小摩发现自公司发布财报以来,订单簿持续改善,预计2026年上半年营收将实现低至中单位数的增 长,此前预期是持平至小幅增长。这主要是由于公司近期订单加速增长,尤其是在DRAM/HBM领域, 且工具的交货期也在延长。 ...
科磊订单加速与HBM/先进制程需求共振 小摩上看目标价1485美元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-11 08:42
Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley maintains an "Overweight" rating on KLA Corporation (KLAC.US) with a target price of $1485, citing improved order books and expected revenue growth in the first half of 2026 [1] Group 1: Orders and Revenue Growth - The order book for KLA has been continuously improving since the earnings report, with a notable acceleration in orders, particularly in the DRAM and HBM sectors [1] - Revenue is projected to achieve low to mid-single-digit growth in the first half of 2026, an upgrade from previous expectations of flat to slight growth [1] Group 2: Delivery Times - The delivery times for tools have been extended, indicating increased demand and potential supply chain challenges [1]
科磊(KLAC.US)订单加速与HBM/先进制程需求共振,小摩上看目标价1485美元
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-12-11 08:38
摩根大通维持对科磊(KLAC.US)的"增持"评级,给出的目标价为1485美元。在与科磊的高管团队会面 后,小摩发现自公司发布财报以来,订单簿持续改善,预计2026年上半年营收将实现低至中单位数的增 长,此前预期是持平至小幅增长。这主要是由于公司近期订单加速增长,尤其是在DRAM/HBM领域, 且工具的交货期也在延长。不过,团队仍预计2026年下半年的增速会高于上半年,且预计2026年全年整 体晶圆厂设备(WFE)将增长,小摩认为增幅在10%-12%左右。 在估值方面,小摩的目标价1485美元是基于科磊在2026年末实现每股收益45美元,且交易价格处于同行 区间(25-35倍)高端的假设。不过,科磊也面临着一些风险,其身处高度周期性和竞争激烈的半导体行 业,可能会出现严重的供需波动,且行业周期的时点、长度和严重程度难以预测,下行周期可能导致客 户的需求减弱。 除 DRAM/HBM领域表现出色外,科磊在先进制程晶圆代工/逻辑芯片领域也保持着强劲的支出态势, 主要来自台积电(2nm/3nm)以及客户群体的扩大(包括英特尔(INTC.US)、三星晶圆代工、Rapidus等)。科 磊公司对2026年其先进封装与HBM ...
美国半导体:瑞银全球科技与 AI 大会-第三天要点-US Semiconductors_ UBS Global Technology & AI Conference - Highlights From Day 3
瑞银· 2025-12-08 00:41
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an overall investment rating for the semiconductor industry or specific companies within it Core Insights - The semiconductor industry is experiencing a significant AI super cycle, with companies like AMD expecting substantial growth in AI workloads and custom ASICs capturing 20-25% of the total addressable market [2][15] - KLAC anticipates growth in its TSMC business and higher investment from INTC, indicating a positive outlook for memory and advanced packaging sectors [3][16] - CoreWeave reports an "insatiable" demand for compute resources, highlighting the shift in AI workloads from training to more compute-intensive inferencing [17] - ARM is making strides in data center CPU development, with expectations of increased revenue opportunities through its CSS model [5][18] - MCHP has raised guidance due to strong order flow and backlog, indicating robust demand across multiple sectors [6][19] - INTC is cautious about supply constraints peaking in 1Q26, while also seeing increased demand driven by AI applications [9][20] Summary by Company AMD - AMD is in a ten-year AI super cycle, expecting significant capital deployment from large companies [2] - The company anticipates multiple GW-scale customers beyond OpenAI, indicating strong market confidence [15] KLAC - KLAC expects low to mid-single-digit growth in C1H:26 due to memory pull-ins and reassured investors about N2 monetization continuing into C2026 [3][16] CoreWeave - CoreWeave's backlog is approximately 55 billion, indicating a strong demand for AI compute resources [17] ARM - ARM is progressing on a data center CPU chip for a major customer and sees significant revenue potential through its CSS model [5][18] MCHP - MCHP reported phenomenal orders in November and expects CQ1 to be significantly above normal seasonal levels [6][19] INTC - INTC reiterated that supply constraints are expected to peak in 1Q26, with a focus on AI-driven demand for CPUs [9][20] PI - PI sees growth from deeper apparel adoption and logistics deployments, with a focus on improving gross margins [10][21] AMBQ - AMBQ's customer base is stable, with expectations for diversified growth in 2027 [11][22] ENTG - ENTG is focused on improving gross margins and may consider consolidating capacity to enhance sentiment [12] SMTC - SMTC is optimistic about its CopperEdge ramp and the adoption of LPO technology among hyperscalers [13][23] Anthropic - Anthropic is constrained by compute capacity, indicating strong demand for AI resources [14] Impinj - Impinj is focused on expanding its RAIN market presence, with significant growth opportunities in logistics and food sectors [21] Semtech - Semtech is preparing for a ramp in its ACC technology to support major hyperscaler deployments [23]
KLA Corporation (KLAC) Presents at UBS Global Technology and AI Conference 2025 Transcript
Seeking Alpha· 2025-12-03 19:43
Group 1 - The article does not provide any specific content related to a company or industry [1]
KLA Corporation (NasdaqGS:KLAC) 2025 Conference Transcript
2025-12-03 18:17
KLA Corporation Conference Call Summary Company Overview - **Company**: KLA Corporation (NasdaqGS: KLAC) - **Date of Conference**: December 03, 2025 - **Speaker**: Brian Higgins, CFO Key Industry Insights Equipment Market Trends - The wafer fabrication equipment (WFE) market is expected to see modest growth in the first half of 2026, with an acceleration in the second half driven by high-performance computing and advanced packaging [6][12] - KLA has experienced mid-teens revenue growth and high 20% EPS growth in 2025, indicating strong market positioning and execution [6][12] - The company anticipates a WFE market size between $105 billion and $110 billion for 2025, with advanced packaging contributing an additional $11 billion [14] Drivers of Growth - Investment in leading-edge technology nodes, particularly the two-nanometer node, is expected to drive growth, with high-bandwidth memory and advanced packaging being significant contributors [9][10] - The design environment has improved since the seven-nanometer node, leading to increased process control intensity and efficiency [7][8] - KLA's share of the WFE market has increased, with expectations of further share gains due to broadening investments in leading-edge technology [15][16] Regional Market Dynamics - The Chinese market is projected to be modestly down, with KLA's share of the market declining from 40% in 2024 to mid-20s in 2026 due to export controls and market access issues [22][24][25] - The impact of the BIS rule change is estimated to have cost KLA approximately $300 million in expected revenue [25] Financial Performance Revenue and Margins - Advanced packaging revenue reached approximately $925 million in 2025, up 70% year-over-year, indicating strong demand in the logic segment [35][36] - Gross margin is guided at 62% for the quarter, with expectations of maintaining this level in the coming year despite tariff headwinds [44][47] Service Business Growth - KLA's service business is growing at a rate of 12%-14%, driven by high customer reliance on process control systems and increased contract pricing [48][52] - The average life of KLA systems has increased, contributing to a growing installed base and service revenue [51][52] Competitive Landscape - KLA faces limited competition in the advanced process control market, particularly in China, where domestic alternatives are not yet formidable [30][31] - The company is optimistic about engaging with new customers and expanding its market presence as the foundry market broadens [32][34] Conclusion - KLA Corporation is well-positioned for growth in the semiconductor equipment market, driven by advancements in technology nodes, strong demand for process control, and a robust service business. The company is navigating challenges in the Chinese market while capitalizing on opportunities in advanced packaging and high-performance computing.
半导体资本设备-2025 年第四季度晶圆厂设备更新,DRAM 设备新范式-Semiconductor Capital Equipment-4Q'25 WFE update, New DRAM WFE Paradigm
2025-12-02 02:08
Summary of Semiconductor Capital Equipment Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call focuses on the **Semiconductor Capital Equipment** industry, specifically discussing the **Wafer Fabrication Equipment (WFE)** market forecast for 2026 and 2027, driven by **DRAM** and **TSMC** [1][2][5]. Key Points and Arguments Market Forecast - The WFE market forecast for 2026 is maintained at **$129 billion** (up **11%** year-over-year), while the 2027 forecast is revised up from **$137 billion** to **$145 billion** (up **13%**) [2][5]. - The growth is attributed to strong demand in **DRAM** and **foundry logic**, with a notable increase in **NAND** demand being moderated [2][5]. DRAM Insights - **DRAM** is expected to grow by **17%** in 2026 and **12%** in 2027, entering a new paradigm with a projected **25%** bit growth compared to **16%** from 2022 to 2025 [3][32]. - Major suppliers like **Micron**, **Hynix**, and **Samsung** are required to accelerate their greenfield projects significantly to meet this demand [3][32]. NAND Insights - **NAND** demand is projected to grow by **28%** in 2026 and **26%** in 2027, driven by the rise of **eSSDs** [3][52]. - The required NAND WFE is estimated to be approximately **$13-16 billion**, with half of this coming from upgrades and the other half from greenfield projects, including contributions from **YMTC** [3][52]. Foundry Logic - **Foundry Logic** is expected to grow by **6%** in 2026 and **11%** in 2027, with potential upside risks if TSMC's equipment mix increases from **75%** to **80%** [3][4][31]. Bull Case Scenarios - The bull case for 2026 includes a potential **$2.5 billion** upside for TSMC if their equipment mix increases, alongside extended purchase orders from hyperscalers for NAND [4][31]. - Upside risks for 2027 include renewed foundry investments from **Intel**, accelerated logic investments in **China**, and increased memory bit demand [4][31]. Financial Projections - Revenue and EPS estimates for **AMAT**, **LAM**, and **KLA** have been revised up by an average of **3.3%** and **4.7%**, respectively, with price targets increased by an average of **9.6%** [5][19]. - The 2027 revenue and EPS forecasts are above consensus by **5.3%** and **4.7%**, indicating a conservative outlook that may allow for further revisions if market conditions improve [5][19]. Regional Insights - The WFE revenue by region shows significant contributions from **China**, **Korea**, and **Taiwan**, with projections indicating continued resilience in these markets [23][21]. Additional Considerations - The call emphasizes the importance of greenfield projects and the need for major players to adapt to changing market dynamics, particularly in DRAM and NAND sectors [32][52]. - The cyclical nature of the NAND market is highlighted, with expectations for spending to resume, indicating a recovery phase post-2025 [66]. This summary encapsulates the critical insights and projections discussed during the conference call, providing a comprehensive overview of the semiconductor capital equipment landscape for the upcoming years.
How Is KLA Corporation’s Stock Performance Compared to Other Semiconductor Stocks?
Barchart.com· 2025-12-01 06:59
Company Overview - KLA Corporation (KLAC) is a leading U.S.-based semiconductor equipment company with a market cap of $154.4 billion, specializing in advanced process-control and yield-management systems for chip manufacturing [1] - The company is headquartered in Milpitas, California, and provides tools for inspection, metrology, and defect detection to enhance efficiency and production yields in semiconductor manufacturing [1][2] Financial Performance - KLA reported $3.21 billion in revenue for Q1, reflecting a year-over-year increase of approximately 13% [5] - The company has an annual revenue exceeding $12 billion and employs around 15,000 people [2] Stock Performance - KLAC shares have experienced an 8.5% decline from their 52-week high of $1,284.47, reached on October 30 [3] - Over the past three months, KLAC shares have gained 31.5%, outperforming the SPDR S&P Semiconductor ETF (XSD), which increased by about 9.6% during the same period [3] - In the past 52 weeks, KLAC has gained 86%, significantly outpacing XSD's 29.3% increase [3] - Year-to-date, KLAC shares are up 87.6%, compared to XSD's 32.1% rise [3] Market Sentiment - Analysts have recently turned more bullish on KLAC, with Citigroup raising its price target from $1,060 to $1,450 following strong Q1 results [5] - The stock's consensus rating has shifted to "Moderate Buy," reflecting improved confidence in KLA's performance and outlook [5][6] Competitive Position - KLA has significantly outperformed its rival, Applied Materials, Inc. (AMAT), which has seen a decline of 47.2% over the past 52 weeks and 55.1% year-to-date [6] - The consensus rating for KLAC from 26 analysts is "Moderate Buy," with a mean price target of $1,269.75, indicating an 8% premium to its current price levels [6]
Here's Why KLA (KLAC) is a Strong Growth Stock
ZACKS· 2025-11-27 15:46
Core Insights - Zacks Premium offers various tools to help investors make informed decisions and enhance their confidence in the stock market [1] - The Zacks Style Scores provide a unique rating system for stocks based on value, growth, and momentum characteristics, aiding investors in selecting securities with high potential for market outperformance [2][3] Zacks Style Scores Overview - Stocks are rated from A to F based on their value, growth, and momentum, with higher scores indicating a better chance of outperforming the market [3] - The Style Scores are categorized into four types: Value Score, Growth Score, Momentum Score, and VGM Score, each focusing on different investment strategies [3][4][5][6] Value Score - The Value Score identifies attractive and discounted stocks using various financial ratios such as P/E, PEG, and Price/Sales, appealing to value investors [3] Growth Score - The Growth Score assesses stocks based on projected and historical earnings, sales, and cash flow, targeting growth investors interested in sustainable long-term growth [4] Momentum Score - The Momentum Score helps investors capitalize on price trends by analyzing short-term price changes and earnings estimate revisions [5] VGM Score - The VGM Score combines the three Style Scores to identify stocks with the best value, growth potential, and momentum, serving as a strong indicator alongside the Zacks Rank [6] Zacks Rank Integration - The Zacks Rank utilizes earnings estimate revisions to guide investors in building successful portfolios, with 1 (Strong Buy) stocks historically yielding an average annual return of +23.93% since 1988 [7][8] - To maximize returns, investors should focus on stocks with a Zacks Rank of 1 or 2 and Style Scores of A or B [9] Company Spotlight: KLA Corporation - KLA Corporation, based in San Jose, CA, specializes in process diagnostics and control equipment for semiconductor manufacturing, with a diverse product portfolio [11] - Currently rated 3 (Hold) on the Zacks Rank, KLA has a VGM Score of B and a Growth Style Score of B, indicating a projected year-over-year earnings growth of 6.4% for the current fiscal year [12] - With positive earnings estimate revisions and a history of earnings surprises, KLA is positioned as a potential growth investment [12][13]
Why KLA Stock Could Be A Buy
Forbes· 2025-11-21 14:50
Core Viewpoint - KLA (KLAC) stock is considered a promising investment opportunity due to strong margins, a low-debt capital structure, and significant growth potential, as it is currently 11% below its 52-week high [1][3]. Performance and Growth Potential - KLAC has experienced a 76% increase in stock price year-to-date, with further growth potential due to solid fundamentals [3]. - The stock recently declined by nearly 6% amid a broader tech sell-off, indicating volatility in the market [3]. - Revenue is forecasted to exceed $925 million in 2025, representing a 70% annual increase [4]. - The September 2025 quarter achieved a 43% operating margin, supported by a favorable product mix and manufacturing efficiencies [5]. - The service sector grew by 16% year-over-year, reaching $745 million [5]. - KLA's free cash flow of $3.9 billion over the past year supports its low-debt capital structure, emphasizing strong momentum with a year-to-date return exceeding 80% [6]. Fundamentals Comparison - KLA's operating cash flow margin averages approximately 34.0%, with an operating margin of 38.9% over the last three years [12]. - The company has shown revenue growth of 22.1% over the last twelve months and 8.7% over the last three-year average [12]. - Despite its momentum, KLAC trades 11% below its 52-week high, indicating room for further growth [12]. Investment Criteria - KLA meets several investment criteria, including a market cap greater than $2 billion, high operating or cash flow margins, no significant revenue decline in the past five years, a low-debt capital structure, and strong momentum [13].