香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告之內容概不負責，對其 準確性或完整性亦不發表任何聲明，並明確表示，概不對因本公告全部或任何部分內容 而產生或因依賴該等內容而引致之任何損失承擔任何責任。 LONGFOR GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED 龍湖集團控股有限公司 （於開曼群島註冊成立的有限公司） （股份代號：960） | 將收取之新股股份數目 | | 於記錄日期持有 | | 0.1094港元（每股二零二四年 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | （向下調整至最接近 | = | 且選擇收取新股之 | X | 度末期 股息折算至港元） | | 之整數） | | 現有股份數目 | | 10.3940港元 | –1– 概無任何股東根據以股代息計劃獲發行零碎股份，向每名合資格股東配發及發行之新股 數目將向下調整至最接近之整數。新股之零碎配額將不予配發。根據以股代息計劃可予 發行之新股將在各方面與現有已發行股份享有同等權益，惟該等新股將不會享有二零二 四年度末期股息。 所有居於香港以外地區之股東應諮詢彼等之專業顧問，關於彼等是否必須獲得任何政府 或其他方面之 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that Hong Kong property stocks, particularly Country Garden, saw significant gains following the inclusion in the Hong Kong Stock Connect, with Country Garden rising over 14% [1] - Other property stocks also experienced notable increases, including CIFI Holdings and China Overseas Land & Investment, which rose over 5%, and several others like Vanke and Longfor Group, which rose over 3% [1] - The surge in property stocks is attributed to a new housing policy introduced in Shenzhen on September 5, which relaxed housing purchase restrictions and adjusted housing credit policies [1] Group 2 - The new housing policy in Shenzhen allows for significant relaxation of purchase restrictions in non-core areas, which is more substantial compared to the new policies introduced in Beijing and Shanghai in August [1] - The policy change includes the removal of differentiated mortgage rates for first and second homes, which is expected to stimulate the housing market [1] - The report from CITIC Securities highlights that the new measures are likely to have a positive impact on the property market in Shenzhen [1]

Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 58.75 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 25% [2] - Core net profit for the same period was 1.38 billion yuan, with a significant decline of 45.14% compared to the previous year [2] - The company is focusing on core investment areas while managing to reduce its debt levels [6] Revenue and Profitability - The company's revenue growth was driven by three main business segments: development, operation, and services, all showing year-on-year increases [2] - The gross profit margin decreased to 12.63%, down by 7.94 percentage points from the previous year [2] - Sales area decreased by 28.48% to 2.614 million square meters, and sales amount fell by 31.51% to 35.01 billion yuan [3] Business Operations - Rental income from shopping centers grew by 4.9% to 5.5 billion yuan, with an overall occupancy rate of 96.8% [4] - Long-term rental apartments maintained a high occupancy rate of 95.6%, with revenue of 1.24 billion yuan [4] - Property management services generated revenue of 6.26 billion yuan, showing a slight increase of 0.02% [4] Debt Management - The company reduced its interest-bearing debt to 169.8 billion yuan, a decrease of 6.5 billion yuan from the end of 2024 [5] - The asset-liability ratio, excluding pre-receipts, stood at 56.1%, while the net debt ratio was 51.2% [5] - The average financing cost was 3.58%, with a contract loan term of 10.95 years [5]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5][18]. Core Views - The company experienced a 45% decline in net profit year-on-year, with a total revenue of 58.8 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a 25% increase [1][8]. - The core net profit, excluding minority interests and fair value changes of investment properties and financial derivatives, fell by 71% to 1.3 billion yuan [1][8]. - The real estate development segment saw a revenue increase of 35% to 45.5 billion yuan, while the operational and service segments reported revenues of 7 billion and 6.3 billion yuan, respectively, with growth rates of 3% and 0% [1][8]. Summary by Sections Sales Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company sold 2.61 million square meters, a decrease of 28.5% year-on-year, with sales amounting to 35 billion yuan, down 31.5% [2][10]. - Sales distribution by region showed that the Western, Yangtze River Delta, Bohai Rim, South China, and Central China accounted for 28%, 27%, 24%, 12%, and 10% of total sales, respectively, with first and second-tier cities making up 89% of sales [2][10]. Land Acquisition and Reserves - The company acquired 4 new land parcels with a total construction area of 250,000 square meters and a land cost of 1.5 billion yuan [2][10]. - As of the end of the first half of 2025, the total land reserve was 28.4 million square meters, with an average land cost of 4,207 yuan per square meter [2][10]. Financial Health - The company reported a debt-to-asset ratio of 56% and a net debt ratio of 51% as of the end of the first half of 2025, with a cash-to-short-term debt ratio of 1.74 [2][12]. - The company has no public debt maturing in 2025 and has 5.9 billion yuan of domestic debt maturing in 2026 [2][12]. Operational Performance - The operational and service segments showed revenue growth of 3% and 0%, with gross margins of 77.7% and 30.0%, respectively [3][15]. - The company operates 89 shopping malls with a total area of 9.43 million square meters, generating rental income of 5.5 billion yuan, a 5% increase year-on-year, with an occupancy rate of 97% [3][15]. Profit Forecasts - The company has adjusted its profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026, expecting revenues of 105 billion and 89 billion yuan, with net profits of 5.3 billion and 5.5 billion yuan, respectively [3][4]. - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 and 2026 are 0.76 yuan and 0.79 yuan, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 11.5 and 11.1 [3][4].

Core Viewpoint - Longfor Group has maintained growth and profitability amidst a deep adjustment in the real estate industry, achieving a revenue of 58.75 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 25.4% [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Among 135 real estate companies that disclosed semi-annual performance data, only 53 reported revenue growth, with Longfor being one of the three companies with revenue exceeding 50 billion yuan that experienced growth [1] - The operating business, including commercial investment and asset management, achieved a gross profit margin of 77.7%, an increase of 2.3 percentage points year-on-year, demonstrating resilience [1][4] - Longfor's real estate development business generated revenue of 45.48 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 34.7%, with a delivery satisfaction rate of 90% for nearly 40,000 quality housing units [2] Group 2: Sales and Market Position - Longfor achieved a contract sales amount of 35.01 billion yuan, with a sales area of 2.614 million square meters, ranking in the first tier of the CRIC list [2] - The company has shifted focus from sales scale to quality of development, with 90% of sales coming from first- and second-tier cities and a collection rate exceeding 100% [2] - Longfor's land reserve totals 28.4 million square meters, with an average cost of 4,207 yuan per square meter, ensuring future development [2] Group 3: Operational Efficiency - The operating business and service business maintained steady growth, with operating business revenue reaching 13.27 billion yuan, accounting for 22.6% of total revenue [3] - Longfor operates 89 commercial properties, with a high occupancy rate of 97% and a sales growth of approximately 17% [3] - The smart construction business achieved sales of 8.4 billion yuan, with a delivery area of 1.22 million square meters [4] Group 4: Debt Management - Longfor has actively reduced its debt, with interest-bearing debt decreasing by 6.5 billion yuan in the first half of the year, and the average financing cost dropping to a historical low of 3.58% [6] - As of June 30, the net debt ratio was 51.2%, with a cash-to-short-term debt ratio of 1.14 times, maintaining a "green file" status [6] - The company plans to reduce interest-bearing debt by over 30 billion yuan by 2025, stabilizing total interest-bearing debt around 100 billion yuan [6][7] Group 5: Strategic Outlook - The company remains optimistic about the resilience of the Chinese real estate market, particularly in core locations of first- and second-tier cities [3] - Longfor's strategy of "low leverage + strong operations" has demonstrated strong cyclical resilience, positioning the company well for future growth [7]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Buy" for the company [1] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 58.8 billion RMB for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 25%. However, the core and attributable net profits were 1.4 billion and 3.2 billion RMB, showing a decline of 71% and 45% respectively, which aligns with the earnings forecast. The profit drop is attributed to the ongoing adjustment phase in the development business, but operational business has become a crucial support for core profits, demonstrating strong resilience [1][2] - The company’s development business is still in a bottoming phase, focusing on digesting existing assets. The revenue from project handovers increased by 35% year-on-year to 45.5 billion RMB, but the gross margin decreased by 7.2 percentage points to 0.2%, indicating low profitability levels. The sales amount dropped by 30% to 24.5 billion RMB, and the land acquisition amount fell by 71% to 1.5 billion RMB, reflecting a decline in both sales and land acquisition activities [3][4] - The company has successfully reduced its debt scale, with interest-bearing liabilities decreasing by 9% to 169.8 billion RMB. The short-term debt ratio also decreased, and the cash-to-short-debt ratio improved to 1.74 times. The average financing cost dropped by 42 basis points to 3.58%, indicating an optimization in financing structure [4] Summary by Sections Operational Performance - The operational business maintained stable growth with a revenue increase of 2% year-on-year, accounting for 23% of total revenue by the end of 2024. The commercial segment saw a same-store sales growth of 3%, and rental income increased by 5% to 5.5 billion RMB. The company plans to open 10 new shopping malls in the second half of 2025, which is expected to further drive growth [2] Development Business - The development business is primarily focused on liquidating existing assets, with a significant amount of unsold land reserves valued over 200 billion RMB. The company anticipates a saleable value of 120 billion RMB in the second half of 2025, indicating a relatively abundant supply [3] Financial Outlook - The report adjusts the earnings per share (EPS) estimates for 2025-2027 to 0.83, 0.93, and 1.06 RMB respectively, reflecting a downward adjustment of 14%, 5%, and 2%. The target price is set at 13.86 HKD, based on a price-to-book (PB) ratio of 0.53 times [5][8]

Core Viewpoint - Longfor Group has successfully navigated the challenges of the real estate industry by implementing proactive debt optimization strategies, reducing interest-bearing liabilities by over 40 billion yuan in three years, and establishing a benchmark for high-quality transformation in the sector [1][2]. Financial Performance - In the first half of the year, Longfor Group achieved a revenue of 58.75 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 25.4%, with a profit attributable to shareholders of 3.22 billion yuan [1]. - The company reduced its interest-bearing debt by 6.53 billion yuan compared to the end of 2024, bringing the net debt ratio down to 51.2%, maintaining a green status on the three red lines indicators [1][2]. Debt Management Strategy - Longfor Group initiated a debt reduction strategy in mid-2022, anticipating market changes and focusing on operational cash flow to reduce liabilities [2]. - The company has successfully reduced its interest-bearing debt from 212.4 billion yuan to 169.8 billion yuan, with a cumulative reduction of over 40 billion yuan in three years [3][2]. Cash Flow and Financial Health - As of the reporting period, Longfor Group had cash on hand amounting to 44.67 billion yuan, with a net inflow of over 2 billion yuan in operational cash flow [3]. - The company emphasizes a debt repayment strategy based on positive operational cash flow, moving away from reliance on increased debt and financing for growth [4][3]. Financing Cost and Structure - Longfor Group's average financing cost has decreased to 3.58%, a reduction of 42 basis points from the previous year, marking a historical low [6]. - The average loan term has been extended to 10.95 years, effectively reducing short-term repayment pressure [6]. Debt Repayment Capability - In 2025, Longfor Group has already repaid approximately 14.5 billion yuan in bond principal and interest, demonstrating strong financial strength and commitment to timely repayment [8]. - The company has a clear repayment schedule, having prepaid various bonds and loans throughout the year, maintaining a policy of no extensions or defaults [8]. Future Debt Management Plans - Longfor Group plans to reduce its interest-bearing debt to approximately 145 billion yuan by the end of 2025, with a focus on maintaining a stable debt scale [9]. - The company aims to further optimize its financing structure by increasing long-term debt and gradually reducing short-term debt, while also minimizing foreign currency debt [9]. Industry Context - Longfor Group's approach serves as a sustainable debt management model amidst widespread financial pressures in the real estate sector, showcasing that prudent financial management and cautious operational strategies can lead to stable growth even in downturns [10].

花旗研究报告指出，龙湖集团通过构建可持续模式，今年新增10个购物中心，带动租金增长10%。上半 年，公司同店销售和客流量分别增长3%和8%。此外，各业务产生正现金流，负债及成本持续降低，信 贷贷款多被资产支持营运贷款取代。报告预测，龙湖利润规模将于今年因去库存而触底，将其目标价由 11.7港元上调至15.8港元，并维持"买入"评级。 ...

下调盈利预测，维持买入评级。由于开发业务结算利润率承压，我们下调对公司2025-2027 年EPS 的预 测至0.60/0.60/0.62 元（原预测为0.94/1.00/1.08 元）。公司财务安全稳固，我们看好运营及服务业务未 来的增长空间和对公司估值的支撑作用，维持买入评级和14.15 港元的目标价不变。 2025 年上半年公司实现营收587.5 亿元，同比增长25.4%，营收增长主要由于开发业务结算收入的增 加。上半年核心净利润为13.8 亿元，同比下降70.9%，增收不增利主因上半年综合毛利率较上年同期下 降8.0 个百分点至12.6%，这主要由于结算毛利率的下降。运营及服务业务发展稳健，分别实现营收 70、63 亿元，分别同比增长2.5%、0.02%。商业运营保持良好发展势头，上半年商场营业额402 亿元， 同比增长17%，同店同比增长3%；商场租金收入55.0 亿元，同比增长4.9%。上半年末公司有息负债余 额为1698 亿元，较去年年末下降65 亿元；平均融资成本为3.58%，较去年年底下降0.42 个百分点，财 务安全性进一步提升。 风险提示：1）业绩方面，房地产市场目前仍处于底部区间，公司 ...

花旗发表研究报告指，龙湖集团构建可持续模式，今年新增10个购物中心，为公司带来10%的租金增 长，上半年同店销售及客流量分别按年增长3%和8%，加上各业务产生正现金流，并持续降低负债及成 本，而大部分信贷贷款亦被资产支持的营运贷款取代。该行预计，今年龙湖的利润规模将因去库存而触 底，并在明年回升。该行认为龙湖的利润具可持续性，料值得更高的估值倍数，目标价由11.7港元上调 至15.8港元，维持"买入"评级。 ...