以下文章来源于英为财情Investing ，作者Jesse Cohen 英为财情Investing . 全球第五大财经门户网站Investing.com中国官方微信，提供全球各国海量金融资讯和实时行情数据，包 括股票股指、外汇、期货、基金、债券、加密货币等。关注全球金融市场动态的投资者千万不可错过。 来源 | 英为财情Investing 上周，美股因复活节假期仅交投四日，主要指数受关税问题困扰，全周走势反复向下。 道指跌2.7%，标指跌1.5%，科技股为主的纳指则跌2.6%。 第一财报季逐步升温，「美股七巨头」成员特斯拉及Google母企Alphabet将率先公布财报。其 他值得留意的企业包括：英特尔、IBM、波音、通用电气航空、AT&T、Verizon、T-Mobile、康 卡斯特、洛克希德马丁、RTX、诺斯洛普格鲁曼、美国航空、西南航空、宝洁、菲利普莫里斯、 百事可乐、Chipotle及默沙东。 接下来，笔者将着重分析分析师看好的一间公司，与分析师普遍看淡的一间公司。 菲利普莫里斯将于周三美东时间早上6:55（北京时间18:55）公布首季业绩，市场看好其表现。 根据期权市场走势，业绩公布后股价料会有约6% ...

Momentum investing is all about the idea of following a stock's recent trend, which can be in either direction. In the 'long' context, investors will essentially be "buying high, but hoping to sell even higher." And for investors following this methodology, taking advantage of trends in a stock's price is key; once a stock establishes a course, it is more than likely to continue moving in that direction. The goal is that once a stock heads down a fixed path, it will lead to timely and profitable trades.Whil ...

Shares of Philip Morris (PM) have been strong performers lately, with the stock up 7% over the past month. The stock hit a new 52-week high of $165 in the previous session. Philip Morris has gained 35.6% since the start of the year compared to the 6.6% move for the Zacks Consumer Staples sector and the 26.7% return for the Zacks Tobacco industry.What's Driving the Outperformance?The stock has an impressive record of positive earnings surprises, as it hasn't missed our earnings consensus estimate in any of ...

Core Viewpoint - Philip Morris International Inc. is expected to show growth in both revenue and earnings for the first quarter of 2025, with revenue estimates around $9 billion, reflecting a 1.8% increase year-over-year [1]. Revenue and Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for quarterly earnings is $1.61 per share, indicating a 7.3% increase from the previous year [2]. - The company has a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise average of 4% [2]. Smoke-Free Product Performance - Smoke-free products contributed 40% to the company's net revenues in Q4 2024, showcasing the success of its IQOS device and other innovations like IQOS ILUMA, ZYN nicotine pouches, and VEEV ONE e-vapor [3]. - The estimated revenue from smoke-free products for Q1 2025 is $3,576.89 million, up from $3,296 million in the same quarter last year [4]. Cost Management and Strategic Initiatives - Philip Morris has implemented cost-saving measures and strategic initiatives that have positively impacted its margins [4]. Currency Impact and Regulatory Challenges - The company anticipates a 4-cent unfavorable impact on adjusted EPS due to volatile currency movements [5]. - Strict government regulations, including mandatory precautionary labels and self-critical advertisements, are challenges that may affect cigarette consumption [5]. Earnings Prediction Model - The current model does not predict a definitive earnings beat for Philip Morris, with a Zacks Rank of 3 and an Earnings ESP of -1.83% [6].

In its upcoming report, Philip Morris (PM) is predicted by Wall Street analysts to post quarterly earnings of $1.61 per share, reflecting an increase of 7.3% compared to the same period last year. Revenues are forecasted to be $8.95 billion, representing a year-over-year increase of 1.8%.The consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has undergone an upward revision of 2.2% in the past 30 days, bringing it to its present level. This represents how the covering analysts, as a whole, have reassessed their initial ...

Core Viewpoint - Philip Morris is anticipated to report a year-over-year increase in earnings driven by higher revenues, with the actual results being a significant factor influencing its near-term stock price [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is expected to be released on April 23, with a consensus EPS estimate of $1.61, reflecting a +7.3% change year-over-year. Revenues are projected to be $8.95 billion, up 1.8% from the previous year [3][2]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 0.92% higher in the last 30 days, indicating a collective reassessment by analysts [4]. However, the Most Accurate Estimate is lower than the consensus, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -1.83%, suggesting a bearish outlook on the company's earnings prospects [10][11]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that a positive reading is a strong predictor of an earnings beat, particularly when combined with a Zacks Rank of 1, 2, or 3. Stocks with this combination have a nearly 70% success rate for positive surprises [8]. However, a negative Earnings ESP does not necessarily indicate an earnings miss [9]. Historical Performance - Philip Morris has a history of beating consensus EPS estimates, having done so in the last four quarters. In the most recent quarter, the company reported earnings of $1.55 per share against an expectation of $1.51, resulting in a surprise of +2.65% [12][13]. Conclusion - While Philip Morris does not currently appear to be a compelling candidate for an earnings beat, investors should consider other factors when making investment decisions ahead of the earnings release [16].

Key Takeaways Dividend-paying stocks can allow investors to build a cash pile quickly. Dividend-paying stocks provide a passive income stream. Everybody loves dividends, as they provide a passive income stream and more than one way to reap a return from an investment. Dividend-paying stocks are generally less volatile by nature, another positive benefit in the current landscape.And for those seeking payouts, three high-yield stocks – Verizon Communications (VZ) , Philip Morris (PM) , and Walgreens Boots Al ...

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the resilience of Philip Morris International, S&P Global, and Walmart as investment options amidst market volatility and tariff concerns, suggesting that investors should focus on dividend growth stocks that are insulated from economic downturns [1][2]. Philip Morris International - Philip Morris International (PMI) was spun off from Altria in 2008, allowing it to focus on its overseas business while Altria dealt with domestic challenges [3]. - From 2008 to 2024, PMI's adjusted earnings per share (EPS) grew at a compound annual rate of 4.4%, driven by price increases and cost-cutting measures, alongside a shift towards smoke-free products [4]. - PMI has consistently raised its dividend since the split, currently offering a forward yield of 3.6% with a trailing payout ratio of 88%, indicating potential for future increases [5]. - Analysts project adjusted EPS growth of 9% in 2025 and 10% in 2026, with a reasonable valuation at 21 times forward earnings [5]. S&P Global - S&P Global provides essential financial data and analytics services to approximately 80% of Fortune 500 companies, utilizing AI-driven tools to enhance its offerings [6]. - The company is insulated from tariffs as it offers services rather than physical goods, making its services more valuable in turbulent markets [7]. - Despite a temporary slowdown in its credit ratings business due to high interest rates, S&P Global is expected to recover as rates decline [7]. - The company has a forward yield of 0.9% and has raised its dividend for 52 consecutive years, with a low trailing payout ratio of 29% [8]. - Analysts anticipate EPS growth of 9% in 2025 and 12% in 2026, with a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 26, indicating it is not overly expensive [8]. Walmart - Walmart serves 270 million customers weekly across 10,750 stores and online marketplaces in 19 countries, providing it with significant scale to mitigate tariff impacts [9]. - Many of Walmart's suppliers pre-shipped products to the U.S. before tariffs were implemented, and the company can negotiate lower prices or adjust retail prices to manage costs [10]. - Walmart has a forward yield of 1.1% and has raised its dividend for 52 consecutive years, maintaining a low payout ratio of 34% [11]. - Analysts expect adjusted EPS growth of 5% in fiscal 2026 and 12% in fiscal 2027, with a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 31, suggesting that its core strengths may justify the higher valuation [11].

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There's no ignoring it. President Trump's tariffs and trade threats are roiling the markets, sending the S&P 500 into a correction for the first time since 2022. The tariffs announced today were just the latest move fueling investor uncertainty.Meanwhile, consumer sentiment is rapidly falling, and businesses are increasingly fearful as the manufacturing sector just fell into a contraction, according to the March ISM survey. Much of the economy is at risk from tariffs and the impact of a weakening economy. F ...