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PMI(PM) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-21 14:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a record adjusted diluted EPS of $2.24, reflecting a 17% growth year-over-year [3][8] - Adjusted operating income grew by 7.5% organically and 12.4% in dollar terms to $4.7 billion, with a margin expansion of 120 basis points [7][11] - Organic net revenue growth was 7.5%, or approximately 9% excluding the Indonesia technical impact, driven by strong smoke-free performance [8][10] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The global smoke-free business achieved over $3 billion in quarterly gross profit for the first time, with a 16.6% volume growth in smoke-free products [3][4] - IQOS saw a 9% growth in HTU adjusted in-market sales and a 15.5% growth in ET tobacco unit shipments [4][9] - ZYN can shipments grew by 36% globally, with a 39% off-take growth in the U.S. [16][22] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The smoke-free product portfolio outpaced the industry with over 12% estimated IMS volume growth year-to-date compared to less than 10% for the industry [14][15] - In Europe, markets like Italy, Greece, and Spain showed excellent growth across all smoke-free categories [18][20] - The U.S. nicotine pouch category has been growing at more than 40% over the last 18 months, with ZYN capturing a significant market share [25][27] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on geographic expansion, with smoke-free products now available in 100 markets, and is investing in multi-category strategies [4][14] - Continued investment in marketing and brand equity for ZYN and IQOS is planned, with expectations for sustained growth in the U.S. market [14][63] - The company aims to maintain a premium positioning for ZYN while expanding its market presence [24][27] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in achieving double-digit adjusted operating income and EPS growth for the year, despite anticipated challenges in Q4 [30][32] - The company expects a normalization in promotional activities for ZYN, which may impact short-term performance but is seen as necessary for long-term growth [41][42] - Management highlighted the resilience of the combustible business and the ongoing strong performance of smoke-free products [35][30] Other Important Information - The company raised its dividend for the 18th consecutive year to $5.88 per share, reflecting strong year-to-date performance [36] - A planned $2 billion cost-saving objective over 2024-2026 is on track, with ongoing cost efficiency measures [14][34] Q&A Session Summary Question: Clarification on ZYN's growth and October performance - Management confirmed ZYN's market leadership with over 60% share and noted that promotional activities are returning to normal levels, which may impact short-term growth [39][41] Question: Insights on IQOS shipments versus IMS - Management acknowledged a discrepancy between HTU shipment growth and IMS growth, expecting alignment in Q4 while maintaining strong performance in the long term [45] Question: Investment levels and future expectations for ZYN - Management clarified that the $100 million investment in Q3 was a one-off related to promotional activities, with expectations for ZYN to maintain best-in-class margins moving forward [51][52]
PMI(PM) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-21 14:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a record adjusted diluted EPS of $2.24, reflecting a growth of +17% year-over-year [3][8] - Adjusted operating income grew by +7.5% organically and +12.4% in dollar terms to $4.7 billion, with an adjusted operating income margin of over 43% [7][8] - Organic net revenue growth was +7.5%, or around +9% excluding the Indonesia technical impact, driven by strong smoke-free performance and robust pricing [8][10] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The global smoke-free business achieved over $3 billion in quarterly gross profit for the first time, with smoke-free net revenues growing organically by +13.9% [3][10] - IQOS saw a +9% adjusted in-market sales growth and +15.5% growth in tobacco unit shipments, reflecting strong momentum in Europe, Japan, and global markets [4][9] - ZYN can shipments grew by +36% globally, with a notable +39% off-take growth in the U.S. [16][20] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company’s smoke-free products are now commercialized in 100 markets, with a significant presence in the U.S., Europe, and Japan [4][15] - The overall smoke-free category is estimated to have grown by over +12% year-to-date, compared to less than 10% for the industry [14][15] - In Japan, IQOS continues to grow robustly, with Q3 adjusted IMS growth of +6% [19] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on geographic expansion and deploying a multi-category strategy to enhance growth, with all smoke-free brands now commercialized together in 25 markets [4][14] - Continued investment in marketing and brand equity for ZYN and IQOS is planned, with expectations for sustained growth in the nicotine pouch category [14][25] - The company aims to maintain a premium positioning for ZYN while expanding its market share in the nicotine pouch category [23][25] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in achieving another year of double-digit adjusted operating income and EPS growth, despite anticipated challenges in Q4 [28][30] - The company expects a slower quarter in Q4 due to inventory adjustments and a higher tax rate, but maintains a positive long-term growth outlook [31][32] - Management highlighted the resilience of the combustible business and the strong performance of the smoke-free portfolio as key drivers for future growth [34] Other Important Information - The company raised its dividend by +8.9% to $5.88 per share, marking the 18th consecutive year of dividend increases [35] - A planned $2 billion cost-saving objective over 2024-2026 is on track, supported by ongoing cost efficiency measures [14][33] Q&A Session Summary Question: Clarification on ZYN's growth and October performance - Management confirmed ZYN's leadership in the nicotine pouch market and noted that promotional activities are returning to normal levels, which may impact growth rates [38][41] Question: Insights on IQOS shipments versus IMS - Management acknowledged a discrepancy between HTU shipments and IMS growth, expecting alignment in Q4 while maintaining a positive outlook for IQOS performance [45] Question: Future investment levels in the U.S. market - Management clarified that the recent $100 million investment was a one-off related to promotional activities, with ongoing investments planned for ZYN and IQOS [51][60] Question: Impact of promotional strategies on new consumer acquisition - Management indicated that the recent free can promotion successfully attracted new consumers, although specific metrics on new customer acquisition were not disclosed [66][68]
PMI(PM) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-21 14:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a record adjusted diluted EPS of $2.24, reflecting a 17% growth year-over-year [3][7] - Adjusted operating income grew by 12.4% in dollar terms to $4.7 billion, with an adjusted operating income margin of over 43%, the highest in almost four years [3][6] - Organic net revenue growth was 7.5%, or approximately 9% excluding the Indonesia technical impact, driven by strong smoke-free performance and robust pricing [7][9] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The global smoke-free business achieved over $3 billion in quarterly gross profit for the first time, with smoke-free volume growth of 16.6% in Q3 [3][8] - IQOS saw a 9% growth in HTU adjusted in-market sales, while ZYN can shipments grew by 36% globally [4][15] - Combustibles delivered a good Q3 with better-than-expected volumes in Turkey and Egypt, despite a 3.2% decline in cigarette volumes [5][10] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company’s smoke-free products are now commercialized in 100 markets, with a significant presence in Europe, Japan, and the U.S. [4][14] - In the U.S., ZYN captured the majority of Q3 category growth in both volume and value terms, with a 39% off-take growth [19][20] - International can volumes increased by 27%, with over 100% growth excluding Nordic countries [5][16] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on geographic expansion and deploying a multi-category strategy to enhance growth, with all smoke-free brands now commercialized together in 25 markets [4][14] - Continued investment in marketing and brand equity for ZYN and IQOS is planned, with a target of $2 billion in cost savings over 2024-2026 [13][24] - The company anticipates maintaining a premium positioning for ZYN while expanding its market share in the nicotine pouch category [22][24] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in achieving double-digit adjusted operating income and EPS growth in currency-neutral terms for the year [6][29] - The company expects a slower quarter in Q4 due to inventory adjustments and a higher tax rate, but maintains a positive outlook for continued growth in smoke-free products [30][54] - The anticipated adjusted effective tax rate for the year is around 22%, with expectations of strong performance from the smoke-free business [30][31] Other Important Information - The company raised its dividend for the 18th consecutive year to $5.88 per share, reflecting strong year-to-date performance and confidence in future growth [34] - The company is on track to exceed its 2024-2026 CAGR targets, indicating a strong growth profile within consumer packaged goods [32][33] Q&A Session Summary Question: Clarification on ZYN's growth and October performance - Management confirmed ZYN's leadership in the nicotine pouch market with over 60% market share and noted that the category has been growing between 30% and 40% [36][37] - The special promotion in Q3 was aimed at creating awareness and capturing market share, with a normalization of promotional activity expected moving forward [38][39] Question: Investment levels and margin structure for ZYN - The $100 million investment in Q3 was a one-off related to the special promotion, and management expects ZYN to maintain best-in-class margins despite increased promotional activity [48][50] - Future investments will continue to support both ZYN and IQOS, with a focus on building commercial presence and marketing capabilities in the U.S. [56][58] Question: Drivers behind full-year dollar EPS growth guidance raise - Management indicated that the EPS growth is driven by strong operating income growth, improved tax rates, and favorable interest costs [59][60] - The company remains optimistic about achieving strong growth in Q4, despite some technical impacts on inventory and pricing [53][54]
PMI(PM) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-21 14:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a record adjusted diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $2.24, reflecting a growth of 17% year-over-year [6][12][48] - Adjusted operating income (OI) grew by 12.4% in dollar terms to $4.7 billion, with an adjusted OI margin expansion of 120 basis points to 43.1% [11][20][45] - Organic net revenue growth was 7.5%, driven by strong smoke-free performance and robust pricing [12][14][44] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The smoke-free business achieved over $3 billion in quarterly gross profit for the first time, with a gross margin of 70% [6][17][19] - IQOS saw a 9% growth in heated tobacco unit (HTU) adjusted in-market sales, with HTU shipments growing by 15.5% [7][13][24] - ZYN can shipments grew by 36% globally, with a strong presence in 47 markets [25][31] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company’s smoke-free products are now commercialized in 100 markets, with a significant launch in Taiwan [6][7] - In the U.S., ZYN captured the majority of category growth in both volume and value terms, holding over 60% market share [31][38] - The nicotine pouch category in the U.S. has been growing at over 40% over the last 18 months [37][38] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on geographic expansion and multi-category strategy to enhance growth, with all smoke-free brands now commercialized together in 25 markets [6][7][22] - Continued investment in marketing and brand equity for ZYN and IQOS is planned, with expectations for sustained growth in the U.S. market [21][78] - The company aims to maintain best-in-class margins for ZYN while normalizing promotional activities [67][68] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in achieving double-digit growth in adjusted operating income and EPS for the year, despite anticipated slower growth in Q4 [43][45][46] - The company expects a continued strong performance from its smoke-free business, with an acceleration in IQOS sales growth [46][70] - Management acknowledged the impact of increased promotional activities and a higher tax rate on Q4 performance but remains optimistic about long-term growth [72][74] Other Important Information - The company raised its dividend by 8.9% to $5.88 per share, marking the largest increase since 2013 [49] - A one-off investment of $100 million was made in Q3 for promotional activities, which is not expected to recur [60][66] Q&A Session Summary Question: Clarification on ZYN's growth and October performance - Management confirmed ZYN's market leadership with over 60% share and noted that promotional activities were normalized in Q3, impacting growth dynamics [53][54][56] Question: Details on ZYN's margin structure and investment levels - Management clarified that the $100 million investment was a one-off related to promotional activities and that they expect to maintain best-in-class margins moving forward [66][67] Question: Drivers behind full-year dollar EPS growth guidance - Management indicated that strong operating income growth and favorable tax and interest cost dynamics contributed to the raised EPS guidance [81][82]
经济数据缺席不改美企乐观展望 巨头纷纷上调业绩预期提振市场
智通财经网· 2025-10-21 13:36
乐观情绪还蔓延至消费领域:烟草制造商菲利普莫里斯(PM.US)上调利润指引,并承诺将超越2024-2026 年增长目标;可口可乐公司(KO.US)首席执行官詹姆斯·昆西(James Quincey)也表示,"有信心在未来一年 实现目标"。 智通财经APP获悉,在缺乏强劲经济数据或看涨评论的背景下,寻求积极经济信号的投资者于周二得偿 所愿——美国多家大型运输、消费及工业巨头纷纷上调业绩预期,释放出乐观信号。 喷气发动机制造商通用航天航空(GE.US)凭借航空出行复苏及维修服务、新发动机需求上升获利,已连 续第二个季度上调全年预期。该公司今年股价已累计上涨80%,此次还将调整后营收增长率预期 从"14%-16%"上调至"17%-20%"。随后,3M公司、Northrop Grumman Corp.及雷神技术公司(RTX.US)均 纷纷跟进,上调利润指引,并提及对"未来一年的信心"或类似乐观趋势。 如今,企业正从这一策略中获益,部分股票股价创下历史新高。 与此同时,通用汽车公司(GM.US)得益于皮卡车销量激增,且特朗普政府对汽车零部件的关税政策带来 新的缓解,同样上调了全年预期。 "做空这个市场并不容易,因为感觉 ...
Philip Morris (PM) Surpasses Q3 Earnings and Revenue Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-10-21 13:15
Core Insights - Philip Morris reported quarterly earnings of $2.24 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.1 per share, and up from $1.91 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of +6.67% [1] - The company achieved revenues of $10.85 billion for the quarter ended September 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.32% and increasing from $9.91 billion year-over-year [2] - Philip Morris shares have increased approximately 31.3% year-to-date, outperforming the S&P 500's gain of 14.5% [3] Earnings Outlook - The future performance of Philip Morris stock will largely depend on management's commentary during the earnings call and the company's earnings outlook [4] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $1.81 on revenues of $10.7 billion, and for the current fiscal year, it is $7.51 on revenues of $40.84 billion [7] Industry Context - The Tobacco industry, to which Philip Morris belongs, is currently ranked in the bottom 37% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating potential challenges ahead [8] - The performance of Philip Morris stock may be influenced by the overall industry outlook, as research indicates that the top 50% of Zacks-ranked industries outperform the bottom 50% by more than 2 to 1 [8]
PMI(PM) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Presentation
2025-10-21 13:00
Financial Performance - Q3 2025 adjusted diluted EPS reached $2.24[12], while YTD adjusted diluted EPS reached $5.83[14] - Q3 2025 net revenues totaled $10.8 billion[12], and YTD net revenues reached $30.3 billion[14] - The company is raising its adjusted diluted EPS forecast to $7.46-$7.56, including a $0.10 favorable currency impact[75] - The company is raising its operating cash flow forecast to over $11.5 billion[75] Smoke-Free Products (SFP) Growth - SFP expansion continues, now in 100 markets[5] - Q3 2025 total shipment volume was 204.9 billion units, with smoke-free products accounting for 46.9 billion units, a 16.6% increase vs PY[20] - YTD September 2025 total shipment volume was 592.7 billion units, with smoke-free products accounting for 134.8 billion units, a 14.3% increase vs PY[20] - VEEV volumes increased by 91% vs PY in Q3 2025[45] Regional Performance - Europe Q3 2025 IQOS, ZYN & VEEV shipment growth was +13%[48] - In Japan, PMI HTU adjusted share of market in Q3 2025 was 31.7%, a +1.8 percentage point increase vs PY[50] - In the U S, ZYN Nielsen retail value share reached 66.8% in Q3 2025[54] ZYN Performance - Global ZYN markets increased by 36% vs PY[43] - U S ZYN volumes increased by 37% vs PY[43] - International Nicotine Pouch Volumes increased by 27% vs PY[43]
Philip Morris International raises profit guidance on strength in smoke-free segment (PM:NYSE)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-10-21 12:46
Core Insights - Philip Morris International reported stronger-than-expected results for the third quarter, driven by growth in its smoke-free segment [4] - The company raised its profit outlook for the year, indicating positive momentum in its business operations [4] - Despite the positive earnings report, shares turned negative after an initial spike, attributed to the midpoint of the new profit guidance being lower than market expectations [4] Financial Performance - The third-quarter results exceeded analysts' expectations, showcasing the effectiveness of the company's transition towards smoke-free products [4] - The new profit guidance reflects a strategic adjustment in response to market conditions and operational performance [4] Market Reaction - Following the earnings announcement, there was a brief increase in share price, but it subsequently turned negative, highlighting market volatility and investor sentiment [4] - The reaction suggests that while the company is performing well, investor expectations may have been set higher than the revised guidance [4]
Philip Morris Lifts Outlook as Quarterly Profit, Revenue Rise
WSJ· 2025-10-21 11:44
Core Insights - Philip Morris International has raised its full-year outlook following an increase in profit and revenue for the third quarter [1] Financial Performance - The company reported higher profit and revenue in the third quarter, contributing to the positive revision of its full-year outlook [1]
菲利普莫里斯Q3调整后EPS为2.24美元 超预期
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2025-10-21 11:10
格隆汇10月21日|烟草公司菲利普莫里斯第三季度调整后每股收益2.24美元,预估2.11美元;第三季度 净营收108.5亿美元,预估106.6亿美元。菲利普莫里斯盘前涨超2%。 ...