Core Insights - The Prada Group has conducted a revenue update for the first nine months of 2025, indicating a focus on financial performance and strategic direction [1]. Group Overview - Andrea Bonini serves as the CFO and Executive Director, while Andrea Guerra is the Group CEO, highlighting the leadership structure during the presentation [1]. Financial Performance - The presentation aims to provide insights into the company's revenue performance, although specific financial figures and growth percentages are not detailed in the provided text [1].

Company Update - Prada Group reported a 3Q25 revenue update with a year-on-year growth of +9% at constant exchange rates (CER), or +4% at reported exchange rates, reaching €1.33 billion, slightly above FactSet consensus estimate of €1.31 billion [1] - Retail revenue for 3Q25 showed a decline in Prada brand revenue (-1%) but improved compared to 2Q25 (-4%), while Miu Miu brand revenue grew by +29% despite a high year-on-year base (3Q24: +105%) [1] - In the Asia-Pacific region excluding Japan, revenue grew by +10%, with improved sales trends in mainland China, while the Americas saw a +20% growth, accelerating from +14% in 2Q25 [1] - For the first nine months of 2025, group revenue increased by +9%, driven by same-store full-price sales, with limited contribution from retail space expansion, impacted by approximately 260 basis points of foreign exchange headwinds [1] Comments - The company has ample room for revenue growth and margin expansion through category expansion, including jewelry and beauty products, which are still in early growth stages for both Prada and Miu Miu [1] - Continuous innovation in leather goods, particularly for Miu Miu, may lead to potential best-selling products [1] - Store network upgrades are focused on creating high-specification, high-efficiency flagship stores while streamlining long-tail stores [1] - Caution is advised regarding changes in the competitive landscape, as new designer products from brands like Dior, Chanel, Gucci, and Celine are set to launch in 1H26 [1] Profit Forecast and Valuation - Due to foreign exchange headwinds, revenue and EBIT forecasts for 2025 have been reduced by 6.1% and 6.9% to €5.731 billion and €1.359 billion, respectively [2] - The net profit forecast for 2025 has been lowered by 7.5% to €880 million, reflecting higher financial costs associated with additional loans from the Versace acquisition [1][2] - For 2026, revenue forecasts have been cut by 9.6% to €6.155 billion, with EBIT and net profit forecasts reduced by 13.2% and 14.1% to €1.492 billion and €976 million, respectively, due to increased competition and rising costs [2] - The valuation has shifted to be based on the 2026 net profit forecast, maintaining an outperform rating and a target price of HKD 75, corresponding to a 21.1x 2026 P/E ratio, with a 62.0% upside potential from the current stock price [2]

Group 1 - Morgan Stanley reported that Prada's sales in Q3 increased by 8.5% at constant exchange rates, slightly above market consensus, with retail sales growth of 7.6% aligning with expectations, driven primarily by the volatile wholesale channel [1] - Prada remains one of the fastest-growing groups, with growth rates nearly comparable to Hermès, significantly outpacing French luxury giants LVMH and Kering [1] - Morgan Stanley has lowered its earnings per share forecast for Prada for FY2025-2026 by 0.6% but maintains a target price of HKD 53, while keeping a "market perform" rating due to observed investment opportunities in the luxury sector [1] Group 2 - Market reaction to Prada's results is expected to be muted, as the company's revenue barely meets market expectations, leading to a forecast of price range fluctuations in the coming days or months [1] - Three main concerns are highlighted: increased competition in the creative field with the influx of new creative directors, potential loss of Miu Miu's competitive edge as a brand that has innovated and provided differentiated products [1] - A shift in fashion trends from minimalism to maximalism may disadvantage both Prada and Miu Miu, as more elaborate brands like Gucci gain popularity [1] Group 3 - The acquisition of Versace is projected to dilute the group's profit margins for at least the next few years, with estimated operating losses of EUR 150 million in FY2026 and EUR 120 million in FY2027, indicating minimal profit growth for the group [2] - Morgan Stanley has revised its revenue growth forecast for the group in 2025 down to 6.6% from an original 8.5%, while maintaining an EBITDA margin of 23.4% [2] - By brand, Prada's revenue is expected to decline by 1.3% year-on-year in Q4, while Miu Miu's revenue growth forecast is slightly adjusted down to 30% [2]

Core Insights - Morgan Stanley reports that Prada's Q3 sales increased by 8.5% at constant exchange rates, slightly above market consensus, with retail sales growth of 7.6% aligning with expectations, driven primarily by the volatile wholesale channel [1] - Prada remains one of the fastest-growing groups, nearly matching Hermès' growth rate and significantly outpacing LVMH and Kering [1] - Morgan Stanley has lowered its earnings per share forecast for Prada for FY 2025-2026 by 0.6% but maintains a target price of HKD 53, while keeping a "market perform" rating due to observed investment opportunities in the luxury sector [1] Financial Performance - The forecast for Prada's revenue growth for 2025 has been revised down to 6.6% from an original estimate of 8.5%, with an expected EBITDA margin of 23.4% [2] - Prada's brand revenue is projected to decline by 1.3% year-on-year in Q4, while Miu Miu's revenue growth is slightly adjusted to 30% [2] Market Concerns - Market reaction to Prada's performance is expected to be muted, as its revenue only "barely" meets market expectations, leading to anticipated price fluctuations in the coming days or months [1] - Three main concerns are highlighted: increased competition in the creative field with the influx of new creative directors, potential disadvantages for Prada and Miu Miu as fashion trends shift from minimalism to maximalism, and the dilution of group profit margins due to the acquisition of Versace, which is projected to incur significant operating losses in the coming years [1][2]

Core Viewpoint - Prada's retail sales for Q3 this year largely met market expectations, showing a year-on-year growth of 7.6% when calculated at constant exchange rates [1] Group 1: Sales Performance - Retail sales for the Prada and Miu Miu brands were in line with market expectations, with Prada experiencing a year-on-year decline of 0.8% and Miu Miu showing a year-on-year increase of 29% [1] - Over a two-year period, both brands demonstrated stable quarterly performance, with Prada's core brand growing by 1% in both Q2 and Q3 of this year, while Miu Miu grew by 136% and 134% respectively [1] Group 2: Market Analysis - The Chinese market for Prada's core brand is still experiencing negative growth, but there was a sequential improvement in Q3 [1] - Positive growth was recorded in the Americas, Europe, and Japan, driven by strong local demand and slightly improved tourism demand [1] Group 3: Future Outlook - Sales have continued to improve since October, but management indicated that the fourth quarter will face tough comparisons, with the last six weeks being crucial [1] - Citi maintains a target price of HKD 50 for Prada and a "outperform" rating, noting that Prada is still expanding its market share, but its valuation appears low at 26 times enterprise value/EBITDA, representing a 53% discount compared to industry averages [1]

Core Insights - The report from Citi indicates that Prada's retail sales for Q3 this year largely met market expectations, showing a year-on-year growth of 7.6% when calculated at constant exchange rates [1] - Retail sales for the Prada and Miu Miu brands also aligned with market expectations, with Prada experiencing a year-on-year decline of 0.8% and Miu Miu seeing a year-on-year increase of 29% [1] - Over a two-year period, both brands demonstrated stable quarterly performance, with Prada's core brand growing by 1% in both Q2 and Q3 of this year, while Miu Miu grew by 136% and 134% respectively [1] Valuation and Market Position - Citi maintains a target price of HKD 50 for Prada and a "Outperform" rating, citing that Prada is still expanding its market share [1] - The valuation of Prada appears low at 26 times enterprise value/EBITDA, representing a 53% discount compared to the industry average [1] Market Performance - In terms of market performance, the Chinese market for Prada's core brand is still experiencing negative growth, but there has been a quarter-on-quarter improvement in Q3 [1] - Positive growth was recorded in the Americas, Europe, and Japan, driven by strong local demand and a slight improvement in tourism demand, leading to quarter-on-quarter enhancements [1] - Looking ahead, sales have continued to improve since October, although management has indicated that the fourth quarter will present challenging comparisons, with the last six weeks being crucial [1]

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Core Viewpoint - Prada's stock opened over 3% higher following the release of its financial results, indicating positive market sentiment towards the company's performance [1] Financial Performance - For the nine months ending September 30, 2025, Prada Group reported a net revenue of €4.07 billion, representing a 9% year-over-year increase at constant exchange rates [1] - Retail sales net revenue also increased by 9% year-over-year at constant exchange rates [1] - Prada's retail sales net revenue decreased by 2% year-over-year at constant exchange rates, while Miu Miu's retail sales net revenue surged by 41% [1] Regional Performance - All regions reported growth in retail sales net revenue at constant exchange rates compared to the same period in 2024: - Middle East: +21% - Americas: +15% - Asia-Pacific: +10% - Europe: +6% - Japan: +3% [1]

Core Insights - Prada Group reported an unaudited revenue of €4.07 billion for the nine months ending September 30, 2025, reflecting a 9% year-over-year growth at constant exchange rates [1] Revenue Performance - Retail sales net revenue increased by 9% year-over-year at constant exchange rates [1] - Prada brand retail sales net revenue decreased by 2% year-over-year [1] - Miu Miu brand retail sales net revenue increased significantly by 41% year-over-year [1] Regional Sales Growth - All regions experienced growth in retail sales net revenue, with the following increases: - Middle East: +21% [1] - Americas: +15% [1] - Asia-Pacific: +10% [1] - Europe: +6% [1] - Japan: +3% [1]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Prada Group recorded net revenues of EUR 4.1 billion in the first nine months of 2025, representing a 9% increase compared to the same period last year at constant FX [9] - Retail sales increased by 8% in Q3 compared to the prior year, while wholesale sales rose by 4% in the first nine months and 19% in Q3 [9][10] - Royalties grew by 11% over the periods, supported by eyewear and beauty segments [10] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Prada's performance was resilient, with a -2% change in the first nine months, while Miu Miu reported a significant growth of 41% overall and 29% in Q3 [10] - Church's also returned to double-digit growth in the quarter [11] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Asia Pacific saw a 10% growth in the first nine months, with Q3 showing similar trends [11] - The Americas experienced a 15% increase in retail sales over the nine months, with Q3 at +20% [11] - Europe grew by 6% in the nine months, with Q3 trends remaining positive [11] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is committed to creative leadership and plans to continue investing in creativity and desirability [13] - There is a focus on maintaining a selective approach to store openings, with plans to close underperforming locations while expanding in key areas [29] - The company aims to balance its product offerings across different price levels and segments [44] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted a plateau in growth in China, with expectations of gradual improvement [20][70] - The company is optimistic about the upcoming holiday period and expects to see continued improvement in Q4 [13][14] - Management emphasized the importance of the last six weeks of the year for overall performance [21] Other Important Information - The company is awaiting authorizations for the Versace acquisition, which is not yet closed [18] - Management highlighted the importance of maintaining a strong brand identity while exploring new product segments [44] Q&A Session Summary Question: Initial priorities for Versace integration - The transaction is not closed yet, and authorizations are still pending [18] Question: Current trading and improvement in Q3 - The company observed a plateau in China, with better-than-expected holiday performance [20] Question: Wholesale trends in Q3 - No exceptional timing of shipments was noted [22] Question: Cluster trends for key Prada brands - All clusters showed positive growth, with local transactions driving improvements [28] Question: Store expansion plans for Prada and Miu Miu - Miu Miu has seen store growth, while Prada is taking a more cautious approach [29] Question: Margin expectations for the upcoming year - The company is on track to deliver on margin expectations, with Q4 being crucial [37] Question: FX headwinds for H2 - Hedging strategies are expected to mitigate FX issues for 2025, but 2026 may face challenges [42] Question: Aspirational customers returning - There are weak signals of improvement, but the market remains on a plateau [52] Question: Growth by category in Q3 - Leather goods showed significant growth for both Prada and Miu Miu [109]