Core Viewpoint - The report from Credit Lyonnais indicates that Prada's third-quarter retail sales largely met market expectations, with a year-on-year growth of 7.6% when calculated at constant exchange rates [1] Group 1: Sales Performance - Retail sales for the Prada and Miu Miu brands were in line with market expectations, showing a year-on-year decrease of 0.8% for Prada and a year-on-year increase of 29% for Miu Miu [1] - The Chinese market for the Prada core brand still experienced negative growth, but there was a quarter-on-quarter improvement in the third quarter [1] - Positive growth was achieved in the Americas, Europe, and Japan, driven by strong local demand and a slight improvement in tourism demand, leading to quarter-on-quarter improvements [1] Group 2: Management Outlook - Management believes that the worst period for the Chinese market has passed [1] Group 3: Valuation and Rating - Credit Lyonnais maintains a "Outperform" rating for Prada with a target price of HKD 50, citing the company's ongoing market share expansion [1] - The valuation is considered low at 26 times enterprise value/EBITDA, representing a 53% discount compared to the industry average [1]

Core Viewpoint - Prada's retail sales for Q3 this year largely met market expectations, showing a year-on-year growth of 7.6% when calculated at constant exchange rates [1] Group 1: Sales Performance - Retail sales for the Prada and Miu Miu brands were in line with market expectations, with Prada experiencing a year-on-year decline of 0.8% and Miu Miu showing a year-on-year increase of 29% [1] - Over a two-year period, both brands demonstrated stable quarterly performance, with Prada's core brand growing by 1% in both Q2 and Q3 of this year, while Miu Miu grew by 136% and 134% respectively [1] Group 2: Market Analysis - The Chinese market for Prada's core brand is still experiencing negative growth, but there was a sequential improvement in Q3 [1] - Positive growth was recorded in the Americas, Europe, and Japan, driven by strong local demand and slightly improved tourism demand [1] Group 3: Future Outlook - Sales have continued to improve since October, but management indicated that the fourth quarter will face tough comparisons, with the last six weeks being crucial [1] - Citi maintains a target price of HKD 50 for Prada and a "outperform" rating, noting that Prada is still expanding its market share, but its valuation appears low at 26 times enterprise value/EBITDA, representing a 53% discount compared to industry averages [1]

Core Insights - The report from Citi indicates that Prada's retail sales for Q3 this year largely met market expectations, showing a year-on-year growth of 7.6% when calculated at constant exchange rates [1] - Retail sales for the Prada and Miu Miu brands also aligned with market expectations, with Prada experiencing a year-on-year decline of 0.8% and Miu Miu seeing a year-on-year increase of 29% [1] - Over a two-year period, both brands demonstrated stable quarterly performance, with Prada's core brand growing by 1% in both Q2 and Q3 of this year, while Miu Miu grew by 136% and 134% respectively [1] Valuation and Market Position - Citi maintains a target price of HKD 50 for Prada and a "Outperform" rating, citing that Prada is still expanding its market share [1] - The valuation of Prada appears low at 26 times enterprise value/EBITDA, representing a 53% discount compared to the industry average [1] Market Performance - In terms of market performance, the Chinese market for Prada's core brand is still experiencing negative growth, but there has been a quarter-on-quarter improvement in Q3 [1] - Positive growth was recorded in the Americas, Europe, and Japan, driven by strong local demand and a slight improvement in tourism demand, leading to quarter-on-quarter enhancements [1] - Looking ahead, sales have continued to improve since October, although management has indicated that the fourth quarter will present challenging comparisons, with the last six weeks being crucial [1]

Core Insights - Prada Group reported a net revenue of €4.07 billion for the nine months ending September 30, 2025, representing a 9% year-over-year increase at constant exchange rates [1] - Retail sales net revenue increased by 9% year-over-year at constant exchange rates, while Prada's retail sales net revenue decreased by 2% at constant exchange rates [1] - Miu Miu's retail sales net revenue saw a significant increase of 41% year-over-year at constant exchange rates [1] Regional Performance - All regions experienced growth in retail sales net revenue at constant exchange rates compared to the same period in 2024: - Middle East: +21% - Americas: +15% - Asia-Pacific: +10% - Europe: +6% - Japan: +3% [1]

Core Insights - Prada Group reported a net revenue of €4.07 billion for the nine months ending September 30, 2025, representing a 9% year-over-year increase at constant exchange rates [1] - Retail sales net revenue increased by 9% year-over-year at constant exchange rates, while Prada's retail sales net revenue decreased by 2% year-over-year at constant exchange rates [1] - Miu Miu's retail sales net revenue saw a significant increase of 41% year-over-year [1] Regional Performance - All regions experienced growth in retail sales net revenue at constant exchange rates compared to the same period in 2024: - Middle East: +21% - Americas: +15% - Asia-Pacific: +10% - Europe: +6% - Japan: +3% [1]

Investment Rating - The report provides a mixed investment rating for the luxury goods sector, with specific companies like LVMH and Hermès showing resilience, while others like Kering and Canada Goose are facing significant challenges [22][30]. Core Insights - The luxury goods market is experiencing a slowdown, with overall retail sales in North America showing fluctuations, particularly in the luxury segment, which saw a decline of up to 14% in certain months [6][22]. - The report highlights a significant disparity in performance among luxury brands, with LVMH and Hermès maintaining positive growth, while Kering and Canada Goose reported substantial declines in revenue [22][30]. - The global economic outlook remains cautious, with the IMF projecting a world GDP growth of 3.2% for 2025, which may impact consumer spending in the luxury sector [4]. Summary by Sections Economic Outlook - The IMF forecasts a global GDP growth of 3.2% for 2025, with developed countries expected to grow at 1.8% and emerging markets at 4.2% [4]. - China is projected to grow at 4.5%, while India is expected to lead with a growth rate of 6.5% [4]. Retail Performance - North American retail sales showed a mixed performance, with overall sales declining by 0.4% in June 2024, while luxury retail sales experienced a more severe drop of 14% [6]. - The luxury segment's performance is expected to remain volatile, with some months showing recovery while others continue to decline [6]. Company Performance - LVMH reported a revenue decline of 7.1% in Q2 2025, while Hermès showed a more stable performance with a decline of only 0.5% [22][30]. - Kering faced a significant revenue drop of 17.9%, indicating challenges in its luxury brand portfolio [30]. - Canada Goose reported a staggering decline of 61.8% in its latest quarter, highlighting severe operational challenges [30]. Market Trends - The report notes a shift in consumer behavior, with a growing preference for brands that offer unique and aspirational products, impacting traditional luxury brands negatively [22]. - The luxury watch segment, particularly Swiss watch exports, saw a decline of 5.6% in June, indicating broader market challenges [10]. Regional Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of the Chinese market for luxury brands, with a notable increase in Chinese tourists traveling to Japan and the U.S., which could influence luxury spending patterns [17]. - The performance of luxury brands varies significantly by region, with some brands performing better in Asia compared to North America and Europe [22].

Core Insights - LuxExperience B.V. shares experienced a 6.1% increase, closing at $8.04, following a period of 3.1% loss over the past four weeks, indicating a significant rebound in trading volume [1] - The stock rally is attributed to the strong performance of its Mytheresa business, characterized by robust GMV growth, increased spending from top customers, expanding product margins, and strong profitability despite macroeconomic challenges [2] - The company is set to benefit from an expanded partnership with Prada, which now includes global distribution rights, enhancing its market position [2] Financial Performance - LuxExperience is expected to report a quarterly loss of $0.27 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 550%, while revenues are projected to reach $571.17 million, marking a 137.8% increase from the previous year [4] - The consensus EPS estimate has remained unchanged over the last 30 days, suggesting that the stock's price movement may not sustain without trends in earnings estimate revisions [5] Strategic Outlook - Following the acquisition of YOOX NET-A-PORTER, LuxExperience maintains confidence in the long-term potential of the combined entity, targeting approximately €4 billion in annual net sales and an adjusted EBITDA margin of 7–9% [3] - The company currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold), indicating a neutral outlook within the Zacks Textile - Apparel industry [6]

Core Viewpoint - Prada's performance in the first half of the year was slightly below expectations, with revenue of €2.74 billion, which is 2% lower than both the bank's and market's forecasts [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Prada's retail net sales for the Prada and Miu Miu brands were slightly below expectations, with a decline of 3.6% for Prada and an increase of 40% for Miu Miu [1] - The company's sales increased by 9% year-on-year when calculated at constant exchange rates, aligning closely with Macquarie's predictions [1] - Net profit increased by 0.6% year-on-year, which was 7% lower than Macquarie's forecast due to non-recurring costs associated with the acquisition of Versace [1] Group 2: Market Conditions - The demand for travel consumption has been under pressure in the third quarter, with Miu Miu facing the most significant year-on-year comparative base pressure [1] - Management expects overall tourist traffic in Japan and Europe to stabilize year-on-year by the end of August [1] Group 3: Strategic Outlook - The company aims to prioritize enhancing brand value and believes there is still room for improvement in profitability through operational leverage [1] - Management believes that Miu Miu's penetration rate remains low in many countries, indicating potential for further improvement in product categories and combinations [1]

Core Viewpoint - Prada's performance in the first half of the year was slightly below expectations, with net retail sales for both the Prada and Miu Miu brands not meeting forecasts, leading to a decline in stock price [1] Financial Performance - Prada reported revenue of €2.74 billion, which was 2% lower than both the bank's and market expectations [1] - The retail net sales for Prada decreased by 3.6%, while Miu Miu's sales increased by 40% [1] - Sales growth for Prada, when adjusted for fixed exchange rates, was 9% year-on-year, aligning closely with the bank's predictions [1] Profitability and Costs - The gross margin exceeded expectations due to channel structure optimization, but net profit was below expectations due to costs associated with the acquisition of Versace and weak sales [1] - Net profit increased by 0.6% year-on-year, which was 7% lower than the bank's forecast [1] Market Trends and Future Outlook - The management anticipates that tourism consumption demand will remain under pressure in the third quarter, with Miu Miu facing significant year-on-year comparison challenges [1] - Management expects overall tourist traffic in Japan and Europe to stabilize by the end of August [1] - There is a belief that Miu Miu has low penetration rates in many countries and potential for further improvement in product categories and combinations [1]

Core Insights - LVMH and Kering reported declines in their performance for the first half of the year, while Prada Group experienced growth, highlighting a divergence in the luxury market [2][6][7]. Financial Performance - Prada Group's net revenue for the first half of 2025 reached €2.74 billion, reflecting a 9% increase year-over-year at constant exchange rates [2][3]. - Retail sales net revenue grew by 10.1% year-over-year, while net profit slightly increased to €386 million, up 0.62% [2][4]. - The Prada brand saw a decline in retail sales net revenue by 1.9%, while Miu Miu's retail sales surged by 49.2%, contributing significantly to the group's overall performance [2][4][10]. Brand Performance - Miu Miu has entered a high-growth phase, with a retail sales net revenue increase of 92.7% in 2024, and it now accounts for nearly 32% of Prada Group's total retail sales net revenue [4][15]. - Despite Miu Miu's strong performance, the growth rate has slowed compared to previous years, indicating potential challenges ahead [16][18]. Regional Performance - Prada Group achieved growth across all regional markets, with the Middle East showing the fastest retail sales growth at 26% year-over-year [10][12]. - In the Asia Pacific region, retail sales net revenue increased by 10.4% to €838 million, while Europe, the Americas, and Japan also reported positive growth rates [12][10]. Market Dynamics - The luxury market is experiencing a slowdown, with major brands like LV and Gucci facing challenges, while Prada Group's strategic focus on brand positioning and younger consumer engagement has allowed it to thrive [14][15]. - The shift in consumer preferences towards brands like Miu Miu reflects a broader trend in the luxury sector, where younger generations are driving demand [16][18].