The upcoming report from Phillips 66 (PSX) is expected to reveal quarterly loss of $0.60 per share, indicating a decline of 131.6% compared to the year-ago period. Analysts forecast revenues of $30.65 billion, representing a decrease of 15.9% year over year. The consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has undergone an upward revision of 1% in the past 30 days, bringing it to its present level. This represents how the covering analysts, as a whole, have reassessed their initial estimates during this timeframe ...

Core Viewpoint - Phillips 66 (PSX) is expected to report first-quarter 2025 earnings on April 25, with factors influencing performance including gasoline demand, refining margins, and crude oil prices [1][4][5]. Group 1: Previous Quarter Performance - In the last reported quarter, PSX had an adjusted loss of 15 cents per share, which was better than the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of 20 cents, attributed to higher renewable fuel margins and reduced costs [2]. - PSX has beaten the Zacks Consensus Estimate in three of the last four quarters, with an average surprise of 12.95% [2]. Group 2: Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for first-quarter earnings per share is 42 cents, reflecting a decline of 77.9% from the same quarter last year [3]. - The estimated revenue for the first quarter is $30.67 billion, indicating a 15.8% decrease from the previous year [3]. Group 3: Market Factors - Demand for gasoline in the U.S. remained resilient, but global challenges such as regional supply imbalances and demand fluctuations may have impacted performance [4]. - A decline in refining margins, as indicated by EIA data showing softer gasoline and distillate crack spreads, could pressure PSX's refining business [5]. - The average spot price for West Texas Intermediate crude was $68.24 per barrel in March 2025, down from $81.28 in March 2024, which may affect revenues in PSX's Midstream and Marketing segments [6]. - Volatility in natural gas prices could squeeze margins if energy costs rise without sufficient pricing power in the downstream market [7]. Group 4: Earnings Whispers - Current analysis does not indicate an earnings beat for PSX, with an Earnings ESP of 0.00% and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [8].

Core Viewpoint - Elliott Investment Management is advocating for the reevaluation of Phillips 66's asset management to unlock their full value, emphasizing the need for strategic clarity regarding the company's operations and structure [1][6]. Group 1: Elliott's Campaign and Podcast - Elliott Investment Management has launched the "Streamline 66" campaign, which includes a podcast series featuring discussions with director nominees and industry experts [1][2]. - The latest podcast episode features Sigmund Cornelius, former CFO of ConocoPhillips, who highlights his experience in enhancing shareholder value through divestiture and simplification [2]. Group 2: Proxy Solicitation and Board Nominees - Elliott has filed a definitive proxy statement with the SEC to solicit votes for its four director nominees for the Phillips 66 Board, aiming to influence the company's strategic direction [4]. - Stockholders are encouraged to review the proxy materials for important information regarding the election and the nominees [4]. Group 3: Company Asset Evaluation - There is a belief that Phillips 66 possesses valuable assets that are currently underappreciated due to the market's confusion over the company's identity as a refining, marketing, or midstream entity [6]. - The historical context of splitting ConocoPhillips is referenced as a precedent for potentially separating Phillips 66's operations to better allocate capital and enhance valuation [6].

Core Insights - Elliott Investment Management is actively engaging with Phillips 66, aiming to unlock significant value for shareholders through a proxy solicitation for board nominations [1][3][4] - The latest podcast episode features discussions on the company's financial performance and strategic direction, emphasizing the need for long-term solutions rather than short-term fixes [2][5] Group 1: Elliott's Engagement Strategy - Elliott has filed a definitive proxy statement with the SEC to solicit votes for its slate of director candidates at the upcoming Annual Meeting of Phillips 66 [3] - The campaign, referred to as "Streamline 66," aims to highlight the qualifications of Elliott's director nominees and their vision for the company [1][2] Group 2: Financial Performance and Strategic Concerns - Elliott's representatives argue that if synergies within Phillips 66's businesses were effective, they would be reflected in the company's financial statements, suggesting current underperformance [5] - The company is perceived to be shifting focus towards midstream operations, which Elliott critiques as a strategy that may not resolve underlying refining issues [5]

Third-Party Findings Are Based on Feedback From Phillips 66 Investors Representing More Than 60% of the Company's Institutional Shares Outstanding Shareholders Do Not Believe the Company's Strategy or Conglomerate Structure Make Sense WEST PALM BEACH, Fla., April 16, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- Elliott Investment Management L.P. ("Elliott"), which manages funds that together are a top-five shareholder in Phillips 66 (NYSE: PSX) (the "Company" or "Phillips"), today released findings from a recent Elliott-commissio ...

Episode with Ms. Nieuwoudt, Former Energy and Industrials Analyst at Citadel, Features Discussion on the Value of Bringing an Investor Mindset and Her Deep Industry Expertise to the Boardroom Visit Streamline66.com to Learn About Elliott's Campaign at Phillips 66 and Subscribe to the Podcast WEST PALM BEACH, Fla., April 15, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- Elliott Investment Management L.P. ("Elliott"), which manages funds that together make it a top five shareholder in Phillips 66 (NYSE: PSX) (the "Company" or "Philli ...

Core Viewpoint - Elliott Investment Management is seeking strategic, operational, and governance improvements at Phillips 66, supported by former Andeavor CEO Gregory Goff, to enhance shareholder value [1][3]. Group 1: Elliott's Campaign and Support - Elliott Investment Management is a top-five shareholder in Phillips 66 and has launched the "Streamline 66" campaign to boost shareholder value [1]. - Gregory Goff, with over 40 years of experience in the energy sector, including significant roles at ConocoPhillips and Andeavor, is supporting Elliott's efforts [2]. - Goff's leadership at Andeavor resulted in a remarkable 1,200% increase in shareholder returns, showcasing his capability in financial and operational transformations [2]. Group 2: Strategic Vision for Phillips 66 - Both Elliott and Goff believe that with necessary improvements, Phillips 66 can become a stronger and more valuable company for employees and investors [3]. - Elliott has filed a definitive proxy statement with the SEC to solicit proxies for the election of its director candidates at the upcoming 2025 annual meeting [4]. Group 3: Background on Elliott - Elliott Investment Management manages approximately $72.7 billion in assets as of December 31, 2024, and has a diverse investor base including pension plans and sovereign wealth funds [5].

Core Viewpoint - The breakdown in board governance at Phillips 66 has hindered the company's ability to deliver value to shareholders, necessitating a change in leadership and strategic focus to maximize long-term value [1][3][4]. Company Strategy and Governance - Phillips 66 has pursued a strategy that emphasizes midstream assets alongside its refining business, which has not yielded value for shareholders compared to more streamlined peers [4]. - A stronger board is needed to question the current business structure and initiate a review of alternatives to unlock shareholder value [4]. Leadership and Board Composition - Elliott Investment Management's nominees are expected to bring independence and expertise to the Phillips 66 board, fostering a culture that prioritizes long-term value creation [1][5]. - The current board lacks the necessary independence and expertise to effectively challenge management's assumptions and decisions [3]. Shareholder Considerations - A significant number of retail shareholders, including retirees and employees, rely on Phillips 66 for their financial goals, highlighting the need for a board committed to maximizing shareholder value [5]. - The engagement with Elliott Investment Management aims to ensure that management is held accountable and that the interests of all shareholders are prioritized [1][5]. Leadership Background - Gregory J. Goff, a 40-year veteran in the energy industry, emphasizes the potential for Phillips 66 to regain its stature through operational and strategic changes [2][7]. - Goff has a history of successful management and transformation in energy-related businesses, including leadership roles at Andeavor and ConocoPhillips [8].

Core Insights - Elliott Investment Management has launched the Streamline 66 Podcast to discuss its campaign for change at Phillips 66, featuring conversations with director nominees and industry experts [1][2] - The first episode features Brian Coffman, a seasoned operator with extensive experience in refining, including leadership roles at ConocoPhillips and Motiva [3] Company Overview - Phillips 66 is a major player in the refining industry, and Elliott Investment Management is a top five shareholder in the company [1][8] - Elliott is seeking to elect four highly qualified nominees to the Board of Directors during the upcoming Annual Meeting [2][5] Industry Context - Brian Coffman emphasizes the potential of Phillips 66's refining assets, countering the notion that they are outdated, and aims to restore the company's historical operating excellence [7] - The podcast aims to provide shareholders with insights into the nominees and Elliott's vision for Phillips 66 [2][3]

Core Viewpoint - Elliott Investment Management argues that Phillips 66 has consistently underperformed compared to its industry peers, with shares lagging behind Valero Energy and Marathon Petroleum by -138% and -188% over the past decade, respectively [1][10]. Group 1: Streamline 66 Plan - Elliott proposes a three-part "Streamline 66" plan aimed at increasing Phillips' stock price to over $200 per share, which includes simplifying the portfolio, reviewing refinery operations, and enhancing Board oversight [2][12]. - The plan emphasizes the need to divest non-core assets, such as the midstream business, which could be valued at over $40 billion, to focus on improving refining operations [21]. Group 2: Board Accountability and Governance - Elliott advocates for all directors to commit to a one-year term and stand for election at each Annual Meeting, enhancing accountability and governance [3][31]. - The current staggered Board structure limits accountability, and past proposals to address this have failed due to the high voting threshold required [32][34]. Group 3: Director Nominees - Elliott has nominated four highly qualified director candidates to bring necessary experience and perspectives to the Board, including individuals with significant backgrounds in refining and energy sectors [6][29]. - The nominees are expected to enhance Board independence and oversight, which is crucial for restoring investor trust and improving company performance [30]. Group 4: Historical Context and Comparisons - Elliott draws parallels with Marathon Petroleum, which successfully implemented changes after Elliott's engagement, resulting in a ~150% relative outperformance in share price [11]. - The letter highlights that Phillips 66's management has resisted necessary changes and has not prioritized shareholder value, leading to ongoing underperformance [9][25].