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Peloton Moves Toward Profitability, But Can the Turnaround Last?
MarketBeat· 2025-05-02 11:31
Core Viewpoint - Peloton Interactive's stock has seen a recent increase following an upgrade from Truist Financial, indicating potential growth and improved financial health despite ongoing challenges in revenue growth and market skepticism [1][4][3]. Financial Performance - Peloton's projected FY25 revenue is between $2.43 billion and $2.48 billion, reflecting an approximate 9% year-over-year decrease at the midpoint, with an Adjusted EBITDA target of $300 million to $350 million and positive free cash flow of at least $200 million [5][6]. - In Q2 FY25, Peloton generated $106 million in free cash flow, a significant recovery from a $37 million loss in the same quarter last year, and raised its full-year free cash flow target to at least $200 million [7][8]. - The company achieved a total gross margin of 47.2%, with the subscription business at 67.9% and Connected Fitness Products' gross margin rising to 12.9%, up from 4.3% the previous year [10]. Cost Management and Operational Efficiency - Peloton has implemented a restructuring plan aimed at achieving over $200 million in annual savings by year-end, resulting in a 25% reduction in operating expenses year-over-year [9]. - The company's net debt decreased by 30% year-over-year to $670.3 million, aided by a successful mid-2024 debt refinancing [11]. Subscriber Trends - Paid Connected Fitness Subscriptions reached 2.88 million, slightly above expectations, but showed a sequential drop of 21,000 and a 4% decline year-over-year, while churn improved to 1.4% [12]. - Paid App subscriptions fell 19% year-over-year to 580,000 due to a strategic pullback in App-specific marketing [13]. Market Sentiment and Future Outlook - Investor sentiment remains mixed, with approximately 69 million shares, or 17.93% of the float, sold short, indicating lingering skepticism but also potential for volatility if momentum continues [14]. - The market is awaiting evidence that Peloton's improved financial stability can lead to renewed revenue growth, with the new executive team focusing on building a sustainable financial foundation [16][17].
Notice of Settlement of Shareholder Derivative Actions
Globenewswire· 2025-04-25 13:00
NEW YORK, April 25, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Peloton Interactive, Inc. (NASDAQ: PTON) today released the following pursuant to an Order of the U.S. District Court for the Eastern District of New York. UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURTEASTERN DISTRICT OF NEW YORK IN RE PELOTON INTERACTIVE, INC., DERIVATIVE LITIGATIONCase No. 1:21-cv-02862-CBA-PKDistrict Judge Carol B. AmonMagistrate Judge Peggy Kuo SUMMARY NOTICE OF PENDENCY AND PROPOSED SETTLEMENT OF STOCKHOLDER DERIVATIVE ACTION TO: ALL OWNERS OF THE COMMON ...
Peloton Interactive, Inc. Announces Date of Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Release and Conference Call
Globenewswire· 2025-04-24 20:05
NEW YORK, April 24, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Peloton Interactive, Inc. (NASDAQ: PTON) will release its third quarter 2025 financial results before the U.S. stock market opens on Thursday, May 8, 2025. The company will host a conference call and live audio webcast to discuss the financial results at 8:30 a.m. (Eastern Time) that day. This quarter, Peloton’s management will answer select questions from retail and institutional investors that are related to the company’s business updates and quarterly financia ...
Nasdaq Sell-Off: 2 Stocks With 49% to 128% Upside, According to Select Wall Street Analysts
The Motley Fool· 2025-03-22 07:45
Group 1: Chewy - Chewy is the leading online brand for pet supplies, experiencing a rebound in stock price due to improving sales trends, with a recent upgrade to an outperform rating and a price target of $47, indicating a 49% upside from $31.50 [2] - Sales growth stabilized at 5% year-over-year in the fiscal third quarter, with potential for margin improvement through higher-margin offerings like pet pharmacy and private-label products [2] - Analysts predict free cash flow could double in the next three years, serving as a strong catalyst for the stock [2] - Risks include reliance on suppliers in China, which could be affected by tariffs, and Chewy's growth and valuation metrics compared unfavorably to competitors like Coupang [3][4] - For Chewy to reach the analyst's price target, it needs to demonstrate accelerating top-line momentum, which may be challenging in the current economic environment [5] Group 2: Peloton Interactive - Peloton has seen fluctuating demand, with a significant rebound from its 52-week low, and an analyst upgrade to a buy rating with a price target of $15, suggesting a 128% upside from $6.58 [6] - Financial results are improving, with a 15% quarter-over-quarter revenue growth despite a 9% year-over-year decline, and a notable 385% year-over-year increase in free cash flow [7] - The new CEO is implementing better cost discipline, focusing on premium products and reducing discounting, which is positively impacting financial performance [8] - Despite improvements, Peloton faces challenges as membership numbers are declining, with a 4% year-over-year drop, indicating a need for top-line growth to sustain shareholder returns [9] - The stock trades at a price-to-free cash flow multiple of 16, with potential upside if free cash flow continues to grow, but uncertainty remains regarding the sustainability of this growth [10] - Peloton's subscription business, which has higher gross margins than hardware sales, is crucial for profitable growth, but the recent decline in memberships suggests a limited market for its products [11]
Peloton Stock Surges on Much-Needed Bull Note
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-03-14 14:22
Fitness stock Peloton Interactive Inc (NASDAQ:PTON) is surging today, up 10.2% at $6.69 at last glance, following an upgrade from Canaccord Genuity to "buy" from "hold" with a $10 price target. The firm cited the company's return to profitability as it "regains its footing." Today's pop has Peloton stock headed for its best daily percentage gain since mid-February. The shares lost 27% over the last month, hitting five-month lows at the start of this week. However, the 320-day moving average moved in to catc ...
PELOTON, SPELMAN COLLEGE, AND THE STEVE FUND JOIN FORCES TO HOST "RESTORATIVE REFLECTIONS": A DAY OF HEALING, EMPOWERMENT, AND MINDFULNESS FOR THE SPELMAN COMMUNITY
Prnewswire· 2025-03-05 19:39
Core Insights - The event "Restorative Reflections" aims to inspire, heal, and empower the Spelman community, focusing on emotional wellness and resilience for women of color [1][2][5] - It is a collaborative effort between Spelman College, Peloton, and the Steve Fund, emphasizing the importance of mental health support for women of color [3][4][8] Event Details - Scheduled for March 5, 2025, from 9:30 AM to 4:30 PM, the event will include mindfulness activities, workshops, and discussions [1][2] - Activities will feature renowned speakers and experts, including Peloton instructor Dr. Chelsea Jackson Roberts, who will lead mindfulness sessions [6][7] Objectives and Importance - The event seeks to create a safe space for women of color to prioritize their emotional well-being and address systemic barriers to mental health support [5][7] - It aligns with Spelman College's mission to promote health equity and empower students to thrive in various aspects of their lives [7][9] Organizational Background - Spelman College is recognized as a leader in the education of women of African descent, with a strong focus on producing Black women in STEM fields [9][10] - The Steve Fund is dedicated to supporting the mental health and emotional well-being of young people of color, providing resources to educational institutions [8][12] Collaboration Highlights - The partnership with Peloton enhances the event's focus on wellness and community engagement, showcasing a commitment to emotional health [3][4][12] - The event is part of a broader movement to change the narrative around the expectations placed on women of color in various roles [5][6]
Can Peloton Stock Double by 2030?
The Motley Fool· 2025-02-26 13:00
Core Viewpoint - Peloton Interactive is showing signs of financial improvement, which is reducing risk and moving the company closer to a sustainable business model, previously questioned in recent years [1] Financial Performance - For the fiscal 2025 second quarter ending December 31, 2024, Peloton reduced its net loss to $92 million from $195 million year-over-year, despite a 9% decline in overall revenue [3] - The company cut operating expenses by 25% in the second quarter, particularly in sales and marketing, contributing to lower net losses [4] - As of December 31, 2024, Peloton's net debt was $670 million, a 30% decrease from the end of 2023, although interest expenses were $35 million, over 10% of gross profit [5] Growth Challenges - Peloton's second-quarter sales of $674 million were 47% below the peak in Q3 of fiscal 2021, indicating significant challenges in returning to growth [7] - The company is facing declining connected fitness subscribers, highlighting difficulties in encouraging consumer spending on exercise equipment [9] - Wall Street analysts project an 8% revenue decline between fiscal 2024 and fiscal 2027, reflecting a lack of optimism regarding growth [10] Valuation and Future Potential - Peloton's stock trades at a price-to-sales ratio of 1.4, which is 67% below its historical average, suggesting potential upside if financial improvements continue [11] - For the stock to double by 2030, revenue would need to grow by 50%, assuming a P/S multiple expansion to 2.1, which is contingent on achieving profitability [12] - Current struggles in hardware sales and subscriber growth raise doubts about the feasibility of this favorable outcome [13]
Peloton Interactive, Inc. Announces Participation in the Morgan Stanley Technology, Media & Telecom Conference
Globenewswire· 2025-02-25 21:15
Core Insights - Peloton Interactive, Inc. announced that CFO Liz Coddington will participate in a fireside chat at the Morgan Stanley Technology, Media & Telecom Conference on March 4, 2025, at 11:30 AM PST [1] Company Overview - Peloton provides expert instruction and world-class content to create impactful and entertaining workout experiences for users at any stage of their fitness journey [2] - The company combines innovative hardware, distinctive software, and exclusive content to enhance workout experiences [2] - Founded in 2012 and headquartered in New York City, Peloton has millions of members across the US, UK, Canada, Germany, Australia, and Austria [2]
Is This Soaring Stock -- Up 207% in 6 Months -- a Once-in-a-Decade Investment Opportunity Right Now?
The Motley Fool· 2025-02-23 23:07
Group 1: Market Overview - The market is experiencing a positive trend, with a notable consumer discretionary stock increasing by 207% in the last six months, significantly outperforming the Nasdaq Composite Index, which rose by only 14% during the same period [1][2]. Group 2: Company Performance - Peloton Interactive - Peloton Interactive faced significant losses post-COVID-19, with a net loss of $2.8 billion in fiscal 2022, following a net loss of $189 million in fiscal 2021 [3][4]. - Recent improvements are evident, as Peloton reported a net loss of $92 million for Q2 2025, a substantial reduction from the $195 million loss in the same quarter the previous year, aided by a 25% cut in operating expenses [4][5]. - Executives have raised the guidance for free cash flow to "at least $200 million" for fiscal 2025, an increase from the previous estimate of $125 million [5]. Group 3: Demand Challenges - Despite reducing net losses, Peloton is struggling with weak demand, with connected-fitness subscribers dropping to under 2.9 million, a 4% decrease year-over-year, and no growth observed in the past three years [6][7]. - Hardware revenue fell by 21% in Q2, indicating challenges in expanding the user base despite retail partnerships with major retailers [8]. - Subscription revenue only decreased by 1% and accounted for 62% of total revenue, but the digital app member base is shrinking, and monthly churn rates remain high [9]. Group 4: Valuation and Investment Outlook - Peloton's stock, despite its recent rise, trades at a price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 1.4, which is 94% lower than its peak in January 2021 [10]. - Historically, the average P/S multiple since its IPO in September 2019 has been 4.2, indicating that the stock is currently undervalued [10]. - However, the company is considered risky, and unless it can demonstrate consistent growth in connected-fitness subscribers and revenue, as well as improved profitability, investment in Peloton is cautioned against [11].
Peloton Stock Has Soared 256% From Its 52-Week Low. Is It Too Late to Buy?
The Motley Fool· 2025-02-23 09:24
Core Viewpoint - Peloton Interactive has experienced significant fluctuations in stock performance and sales, transitioning from a pandemic success to facing substantial losses and strategic changes [1][2][3]. Sales Performance - Sales have drastically declined since the return to normal social conditions, leading to concerns about the company's survival and prompting a management shakeup [2][3]. - Subscription revenue has become more significant than equipment sales, but it has stalled, with a 1% year-over-year decrease in subscription revenue during Q2 of fiscal 2025 [5]. - The number of connected fitness subscribers decreased by 4% to 2.88 million, while paid app subscribers fell by 19% to 579,000 [5]. - Equipment revenue is declining at a faster rate, down 20% in Q2, with total revenue for fiscal 2025 projected at $2.4 billion, a 9% drop from fiscal 2024 [6]. Cost Management and Profitability - Cost-cutting measures have led to an improvement in the bottom line, with operating expenses down 18.2% despite a 3.5% revenue decline in fiscal 2024 [7]. - In the first half of fiscal 2025, Peloton reported a loss of $92.8 million, significantly reduced from $354.1 million in the previous year, driven by a 27.5% decrease in operating expenses [8]. - Adjusted EBITDA for the first half of fiscal 2025 was $174.2 million, indicating a positive trend despite not being true profitability [9]. Future Outlook - Continuous cost-cutting may hinder the company's ability to attract new customers and innovate, risking a downward revenue spiral [10]. - Peloton's current price-to-sales (P/S) ratio is 1.3, suggesting increased investor confidence, but it remains low compared to historical levels, indicating potential for recovery [11]. - The company has $829 million in cash but also carries $948 million in debt, which will need to be addressed [12]. - The new CEO, Peter Stern, is expected to leverage his experience to build on previous strategies and guide the company back to growth [14].