Market Overview - Major U.S. indices experienced declines, with the Dow Jones down 398.7 points (0.84%) to 46,912.3, the Nasdaq down 445.81 points (1.9%) to 23,053.99, and the S&P 500 down 75.97 points (1.12%) to 6,720.32 [1] - European markets also saw declines, with Germany's DAX30 down 346.58 points (1.44%) to 23,702.29, the UK's FTSE 100 down 68.03 points (0.70%) to 9,709.05, and France's CAC40 down 109.46 points (1.36%) to 7,964.77 [2] Commodities - Crude oil prices fell slightly, with NYMEX light crude down $0.17 to $59.43 per barrel (0.29%) and Brent crude down $0.14 to $63.38 per barrel (0.22%) [2] Cryptocurrency - Bitcoin dropped over 2.5% to $101,211.6, while Ethereum fell over 3% to $3,320.34 [3] Precious Metals - Spot gold saw a minor decline of 0.05% to $3,977.22. The World Gold Council reported that global gold ETFs experienced a net inflow of $8.2 billion in October, raising total assets under management to a record high of $503 billion [4] Macroeconomic News - The Federal Reserve's Cleveland President, Harker, expressed opposition to further rate cuts, citing persistent inflation risks and a lack of compelling reasons for additional policy actions [5] - The Bank of England maintained its interest rate at 4%, but indicated that rate cuts may be forthcoming as inflation is expected to peak and stabilize slightly above 2% in the next two years [6] Company News - Google announced the upcoming launch of its most powerful AI chip, Ironwood, which is expected to be four times faster than its predecessor and is aimed at AI companies [7][8] - Former President Trump announced agreements with pharmaceutical companies Eli Lilly and Novo Nordisk to reduce the prices of popular weight loss drugs, with prices for some medications dropping by approximately $50 [9] - UBS adjusted its price targets for Arm from $200 to $195 and Qualcomm from $175 to $185 [10]

Core Viewpoint - The current earnings season has shown a trend where tech companies, despite beating estimates and raising forecasts, are experiencing stock declines, indicating a potential overvaluation concern among investors [1][2][4]. Qualcomm Analysis - Qualcomm reported a strong quarter but did not provide additional details on its new data center chip, leading to a muted stock reaction despite the earnings beat [3][5]. - The overall sentiment suggests that investor positioning prior to earnings plays a significant role in stock performance, rather than the earnings results themselves [2][6]. Market Sentiment and Valuation - The earnings season has seen an 80% beat rate on both top and bottom lines, yet stocks are still falling, reflecting high investor expectations and concerns over valuations [5][6]. - Investors are exhibiting fear of missing out (FOMO) on AI-related stocks, which may lead to buying opportunities during dips [7][8]. Importance of Earnings Details - While quarterly earnings reactions may not be critical for long-term investment in AI, consistent performance is necessary to justify stock valuations [9][10]. - The long-term growth potential of companies like Super Micro is contingent on their ability to address design issues and maintain competitive positioning in AI infrastructure [11][15]. Semiconductor Industry Insights - The semiconductor industry is experiencing a quarter-over-quarter growth of 15.8%, but specific companies like Super Micro are facing challenges, impacting their stock performance [14]. - The focus on AI infrastructure, including energy and networking opportunities, is seen as a significant area for future investment [22][24]. M&A Activity - There are reports of SoftBank considering acquiring Marll Technology, which is viewed as undervalued compared to its peers, indicating potential consolidation in the semiconductor space [16][17]. Future Catalysts - Upcoming earnings reports, particularly from Nvidia, are anticipated to be key indicators for market direction and investor sentiment in the semiconductor sector [19][20].

Core Insights - Stocks fell on Thursday as Wall Street focused on corporate earnings [2] Qualcomm - Qualcomm's stock fell 4.76% after reporting fiscal fourth-quarter adjusted earnings of $3 per share on revenue of $11.27 billion, which exceeded expectations. The company anticipates fiscal first-quarter adjusted profit between $3.30 and $3.50 per share, with revenue projected between $11.8 billion and $12.6 billion, surpassing consensus estimates [3][5] AppLovin - AppLovin's stock rose 2.47% after reporting third-quarter earnings of $2.45 per share, beating estimates by 7 cents. The company's ad revenue reached $1.41 billion, exceeding expectations of $1.34 billion and marking a 68% increase year-over-year. For the fourth quarter, AppLovin expects revenue between $1.57 billion and $1.6 billion, higher than the $1.55 billion estimate [4] Arm Holdings - Arm Holdings' stock fell 2.54% despite reporting fiscal second-quarter earnings that surpassed analyst forecasts. The company expects adjusted profit of 41 cents per share on revenue of $1.23 billion for the current third quarter, exceeding Wall Street's expectations of 35 cents per share and $1.11 billion in revenue [6] Marvell Technology - Marvell Technology's stock rose 0.96% after reports that SoftBank Group explored a potential takeover of the chip company. The acquisition was intended to merge Marvell with Arm, but no agreement was reached [7] Tesla - Tesla's stock declined 4.94% as shareholders prepared for a vote on CEO Elon Musk's pay package during the annual meeting. The vote is expected to pass, although Norway's sovereign-wealth fund has publicly stated it will vote against Musk's compensation [7] Moderna - Moderna's stock gained 4.2% after reporting better-than-expected quarterly results, with a loss of 51 cents per share, which was narrower than the anticipated loss of $2.12. Revenue for the quarter was $1.02 billion, exceeding the $880 million estimate [8] DuPont - DuPont's stock rose 0.2% after the company reduced its full-year net sales forecast to $6.84 billion from $6.865 billion. The board authorized $2 billion in stock repurchases and declared a quarterly dividend of 20 cents per share [9] Airlines - Delta Air Lines, United Airlines, and American Airlines saw declines of 0.7%, 1.6%, and 1.4%, respectively, due to a 10% reduction in flight capacity at major U.S. airports amid a government shutdown affecting air-traffic controllers [10] Robinhood Markets - Robinhood's stock fell 7.7% despite reporting third-quarter earnings and revenue above analysts' expectations. However, transaction-based revenue of $730 million, a 129% increase year-over-year, missed projections [11] Snap - Snap's stock surged 16% after narrowing its third-quarter loss and announcing a $400 million deal with AI company Perplexity to integrate its technology into Snapchat. Revenue rose 10% to $1.51 billion, surpassing estimates [12] Datadog - Datadog's stock surged 19% after reporting third-quarter adjusted earnings of 55 cents per share, exceeding estimates of 45 cents. Revenue climbed 28% to $886 million, beating forecasts of $854 million [13] Celsius Holdings - Celsius Holdings' stock sank 23% due to concerns over the transition of its newly acquired Alani Nu business into PepsiCo's distribution network, which may impact inventory movements [14] CarMax - CarMax's stock tumbled 13% after announcing the departure of its CEO, Bill Nash, effective December 1. The board member David McCreight will serve as interim president and CEO while a search for a permanent replacement is conducted [14] DoorDash - DoorDash's stock declined 16% after missing third-quarter earnings expectations and announcing plans to invest several hundred million dollars more in new initiatives and platform development in 2026 compared to 2025 [15] Duolingo - Duolingo's stock plummeted 27% after forecasting fourth-quarter bookings of $329.5 million to $335.5 million, falling short of Wall Street estimates [15] E.l.f. Beauty - E.l.f. Beauty's stock sank 32% after issuing full-year guidance below Wall Street expectations, projecting adjusted earnings of $2.80 to $2.85 per share on sales of $1.55 billion to $1.57 billion, while analysts forecasted adjusted earnings of $3.53 on revenue of $1.65 billion [16]

Joining me now to discuss is Bernstein researchers. Stacy Razgon. Stacy, thank you so much for joining us.You know, in your notes, you you've noted that Qualcomm's had a history of actually putting up some pretty good quarters, but then not being rewarded for it. What's going on here. >> Yeah, you know, I I referred to it at one point a quarter or two ago as the Rodney Dangerfield of semiconductor stocks.And I I hope the audience knows who that is. >> I get it. >> It really has been.They get no respect. And ...

Joining me now to discuss is Bernstein researchers. Stacy Razgon. Stacy, thank you so much for joining us.You know, in your notes, you you've noted that Qualcomm's had a history of actually putting up some pretty good quarters, but then not being rewarded for it. What's going on here. >> Yeah, you know, I I referred to it at one point a quarter or two ago as the Rodney Dangerfield of semiconductor stocks.And I I hope the audience knows who that is. >> I get it. >> It really has been.They get no respect. And ...

Company Strategy & Performance - Qualcomm's strategy is executing well, exceeding expectations in various aspects [2] - Qualcomm is expanding beyond handsets into diverse markets, showcasing versatility from 5 watts chips for earbuds to 500 watts chips for data centers [3] - Non-Apple related growth reached approximately 18% in the fiscal year [10] - Qualcomm anticipates $2 billion in revenue by fiscal year 2029 from new ventures, currently ahead of schedule [12] - Qualcomm is a technology competent company, ranking number one in America for patent applications last year [14] Market Trends & Opportunities - The premium tier of the handset market is expanding globally, driving growth for Qualcomm and Android [6][7] - Automotive is experiencing significant year-over-year growth, driven by cars becoming "computers on wheels" and Qualcomm gaining market share [9] - Qualcomm is optimistic about personal AI devices, such as smart glasses, as a new category of mobile devices [11] - The need for compute is increasing across various sectors, including phones, cars, and PCs, creating opportunities for innovation [20] - Morgan Stanley estimates a potential $3 trillion investment in data centers by 2028 [18] AI & Data Center Focus - Qualcomm is focused on the next phase of data centers, particularly inference, emphasizing power efficiency [15][16] - Qualcomm is developing a unique architecture optimized for high compute density and efficient power consumption in data centers [17] - The AI market's long-term traffic potential is likely underestimated [22]

Core Insights - Qualcomm is executing its strategy effectively and is optimistic about future opportunities, particularly in the AI and automotive sectors [2][10][20] - The company has diversified beyond handsets, expanding into various markets, including data centers and automotive, with significant growth in non-Apple related segments [3][10][11] Market Trends - The smartphone market is evolving, with a notable expansion in the premium tier, which is driving growth for Qualcomm and Android devices [7][8] - The demand for more capable smartphones with enhanced AI features is increasing silicon content, contributing to Qualcomm's growth [8][20] Automotive Sector - The automotive segment is currently the fastest-growing area for Qualcomm, with significant year-over-year growth as vehicles become more technologically advanced [9][10] - Qualcomm is developing a digital platform for the automotive industry, known as the Snapdragon digital chassis, to capitalize on this growth [10] Data Center and AI - Qualcomm is focusing on the next phase of data centers, particularly in AI inference, which is essential for scaling AI applications [15][20] - The company is developing architectures optimized for high compute density and energy efficiency, which are critical for data center operations [17][20] Future Projections - The market for data centers is projected to require substantial investment, with estimates suggesting a need for $3 trillion by 2028 [18] - Qualcomm believes that the demand for computing power will continue to grow across various sectors, including phones, cars, and PCs, creating opportunities for innovation [20][22]

Market Overview - Risk-off sentiment returned sharply on Thursday, leading to a broad selloff across Wall Street, particularly in AI-linked stocks and crypto markets [1] - The S&P 500 fell 1%, the Nasdaq 100 dropped 1.8%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 0.9%, with all major sectors trading lower except energy [2] Corporate Earnings - Robinhood Markets Inc. (NASDAQ:HOOD) plunged nearly 10% despite beating Wall Street expectations, marking its worst day since April [3] - QUALCOMM Inc. (NASDAQ:QCOM) topped estimates but slid about 5% due to weaker licensing revenue guidance [4] - Nvidia Corp. (NASDAQ:NVDA) dropped 3% after CEO Jensen Huang warned about the U.S. potentially falling behind China in the AI race [4] Crypto Market Performance - Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) fell 1.7% to around $101,000, while Ethereum (CRYPTO: ETH) dropped 4% [4] ETF Performance - The Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (NYSE:VOO) fell 1.1% to $615.85, and the tech-heavy Invesco QQQ Trust Series (NASDAQ:QQQ) dropped 1.8% to $611.88 [7] Upcoming Earnings Reports - Companies slated to report earnings include Airbnb Inc. (NASDAQ:ABNB), DraftKings Inc. (NASDAQ:DKNG), and Peloton Interactive Inc. (NASDAQ:PTON) among others [8]

Core Insights - Qualcomm Inc delivered a strong quarter with a 10% year-over-year revenue increase, surpassing Wall Street's forecast of 5.1% [3] - The growth was primarily driven by the Qualcomm CDMA Technology segment, which rose 13.2%, exceeding the Street's estimate of 7.7% [3] - The company is experiencing strong demand in premium Android devices and emerging AI technologies, while also expanding its footprint in automotive, IoT, and edge AI [2][3] Financial Performance - Revenue for the quarter reached $9.82 billion, with QCT revenue up 13% year-over-year [10] - Adjusted EPS climbed 18% to $12.03 for fiscal 2025, both metrics exceeding forecasts [10] - Operating margins were reported at 33.8%, slightly below expectations, but strong top-line performance led to a 12-cent earnings beat [4] Market Dynamics - Qualcomm's stock has increased approximately 17% year-to-date, although it lags behind the Nasdaq's 22% gain [5] - The company benefits from solid handset sales in China, driven by local holidays and high-end Android device launches [5] - However, the smartphone semiconductor segment remains a mature industry, accounting for about 71% of QCT's total revenue [5] Customer Concentration and Risks - Chinese vendors represent nearly 68% of handset-related QCT revenue, with potential risks from self-developed chips by competitors like Xiaomi [6] - Samsung's contribution is expected to decline from 100% to 75% by fiscal Q2 2026, and the Apple contract is set to expire within a year [6] Growth Opportunities - The automotive and IoT sectors are projected to maintain steady growth, supported by rising demand for digital chassis and smart glasses [7] - Qualcomm's data center AI inference products are seen as a key step toward capturing future AI opportunities, positioning the company to lead in AI at the network edge [9] - The automotive business is scaling rapidly, with a 36% annual increase driven by the Snapdragon Digital Chassis platform [11] Future Outlook - Analysts project first-quarter revenue of $12.2 billion and adjusted EPS of $3.45, indicating continued strength despite seasonal IoT softness [12][13] - Qualcomm's diversification into automotive, IoT, and edge AI is expected to support long-term growth as the company transitions beyond smartphones [12]

Market Performance - US stock markets experienced a significant drop on November 6, with the Dow Jones falling approximately 300 points, the Nasdaq declining by 1.6%, and the S&P 500 decreasing by about 1% [2] - Concerns over high valuations in AI-related stocks intensified, leading to a continued decline in this sector [2] Employment Data - The number of layoffs in October surged to 153,074, driven primarily by the technology and warehousing sectors, marking an increase of 183% from September and nearly three times the figure from the same month last year, representing the highest October layoffs since 2022 [3] - Revelio Labs reported a decrease of 9,100 in non-farm employment for October, following an increase of 33,000 in the previous month [3] Stock Movements - AI-related stocks saw significant declines, with Qualcomm down 4%, AMD down 7%, and Oracle down approximately 4% [3] - Notable declines included Nvidia at -2.56% and Meta at -2.15% [4] Legislative Developments - Investors are closely monitoring developments in Washington regarding the legality of tariffs imposed by the Trump administration, with expectations rising that the Supreme Court may overturn these tariffs, potentially boosting the stock market [5] - Chinese stocks initially surged over 2% but later experienced fluctuations, with Xpeng Motors notably rising by 8.77% [5] Federal Reserve Insights - Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee expressed concerns about the lack of inflation data during the government shutdown, indicating a cautious approach to interest rate cuts [8] - Goolsbee highlighted worries about core service inflation, suggesting persistent price pressures even outside the direct impact of tariffs [8]