One thing's for sure: the tech industry is booming, with five major players—Amazon, Microsoft, Alphabet, Meta, and Oracle—investing heavily to make their ambitious plans a reality. The US has seen over $600 billion invested in new AI infrastructure development, earning these companies the nickname "hyperscalers." Super Micro Computer Today SMCI Super Micro Computer $45.86 +0.49 (+1.08%) 52-Week Range $17.25 ▼ $66.44 P/E Ratio 27.63 Price Target $44.75 One area that could be improved is data center efficienc ...

（原标题：小摩邀三巨头共论AI硬件：超大规模企业资本支出料持续 定制ASIC领域持续增长） 智通财经APP获悉，上周五，摩根大通在旧金山举办第四届年度硬件与半导体管理论坛，邀请 Arista(ANET.US)、超微电脑(SMCI.US)、高通(QCOM.US)等企业管理层参与，并与市场情报研究机构 650 Group开展AI专题讨论，核心聚焦AI驱动下硬件与半导体领域的发展动态与战略布局。 Arista在论坛中重点阐述了云与AI基础设施部署及技术优势。云巨头客户正按计划推进10万+GPU集群 部署，且随着资本支出增加，此类大规模部署将持续增长;企业与Neocloud客户则从试点阶段转向全面 生产，2026年客户数量有望进一步扩展，小型集群客户多采用分阶段部署模式。 技术层面，其非聚合调度架构(DSF)通过固定配置设备与模块化机箱结合，突破传统架构物理限制，支 持更高端口数并降低大型交换机物流挑战，具备成本效益优势。产品策略上，尽管1.6T网络产品即将推 出，400G和800G产品线仍保持强劲出货，多代产品共存满足多样化需求。 竞争优势源于顶级硬件与EOS软件中间件的结合，保障复杂部署下的稳定性能，支撑溢价定价 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of fundamental equity research and macroeconomic strategy in investment decision-making, highlighting the analyst's expertise in these areas [1]. Group 1: Analyst Background - The analyst has 7 years of experience at a multi-strategy hedge fund, specializing in fundamental equity research and global macro strategy [1]. - The analyst holds a degree in Business Economics from UCLA and a Master of Accounting from the University of Michigan's Ross School of Business [1]. Group 2: Investment Philosophy - The focus of the articles is primarily on company fundamentals, indicating a deep dive into financial metrics and performance indicators [1].

Group 1 - Super Micro Computer (NASDAQ: SMCI) is launching Data Center Building Block Solutions (DCBBS) to enhance AI infrastructure for enterprises and cloud services [1] - The DCBBS is an integrated technology stack aimed at accelerating the implementation of AI solutions [1] Group 2 - The article highlights the importance of considering the entire investment ecosystem rather than evaluating a company in isolation [1]

特别声明：以上文章内容仅代表作者本人观点，不代表新浪网观点或立场。如有关于作品内容、版权或其它问 题请于作品发表后的30日内与新浪网联系。 【#美芯片后门更多内幕曝光# #戴尔和超微服务器被美政府装追踪器#】8月13日，最新爆料称美国秘密 在人工智能相关芯片中设置追踪器，以发现"芯片被转运至中国的情况"。报道称，据两位知情人士透 露，美国政府已秘密在他们认为有可能被转运至中国的先进芯片目标货物中植入位置追踪装置。知情人 士称，这些措施"仅适用于部分受调查的货件"。追踪器可为美方搜集个人或机构违反出口管制的信息。 另外，五名人工智能服务器供应链相关人士表示，他们知道戴尔和超微 （Super Micro）的服务器货物 中使用了这些追踪器，这些服务器中包含英伟达和AMD公司的芯片。这些人表示，追踪器通常隐藏在 服务器的产品包装中。 美芯片后门更多内幕曝光 戴尔和超微服务器被美政府装追踪器 美芯片后门更多内幕曝光 戴尔和超微 服务器被美政府装追踪器 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the U.S. government's secretive use of tracking devices in shipments of advanced chips believed to be at high risk of illegal transfer to China, indicating a rigorous enforcement of export restrictions on semiconductor technology [1][3]. Group 1: Tracking Devices and Enforcement - U.S. authorities have installed tracking devices in specific batches of advanced chip shipments to monitor potential illegal transfers to China, reflecting a strong commitment to enforcing export controls [1][3]. - These tracking devices, used for decades by U.S. law enforcement, are now being applied to combat illegal semiconductor transfers, particularly in shipments from manufacturers like Dell and Super Micro [3][4]. - The tracking devices can vary in size, with some being as large as smartphones, and are often hidden within the packaging of the products [4]. Group 2: Industry Reactions and Implications - Companies like Super Micro and Dell have refrained from commenting on the tracking actions, while NVIDIA and AMD have also not provided responses regarding the matter [5]. - The U.S. government has been pushing for chip companies to incorporate location verification technologies in their products to prevent illegal transfers to restricted countries [6]. - China has criticized these export restrictions as measures to hinder its rise and has expressed concerns over potential "backdoor" risks in AI chips [6]. Group 3: Historical Context and Legal Framework - The use of tracking devices by U.S. export enforcement can be traced back several decades, with legal frameworks allowing for their installation under certain conditions [7]. - There are indications that some individuals involved in the transfer of controlled chips to China are aware of the existence of these tracking devices and take precautions to check for them [7]. - Recent legal actions by the U.S. Justice Department have highlighted the scrutiny surrounding shipments containing NVIDIA chips, emphasizing the ongoing investigations into potential export violations [7].

I am a strong believer that buying a great business at a premium is highly preferable than buying a mediocre company at a cheap price. Of course, everyone wants to buy a great business at a cheap price - which is precisely I either put my money into low cost funds or in single stocks that (I think) are asymmetric bets. My portfolio is roughly 50/50 between the two. I like to write about Macro and Fundamentals, with the (painful) awareness that Momentum and Sentiment are what really matters. That's the reaso ...

Core Viewpoint - The individual investor adopts a contrarian investment style, focusing on deep value opportunities, particularly in stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, while also considering insider buying as a positive signal [1] Investment Strategy - The investment portfolio is split approximately 50%-50% between shares and call options, indicating a balanced approach to risk and potential returns [1] - The investor's timeframe for holding positions typically ranges from 3 to 24 months, suggesting a medium-term investment horizon [1] - Fundamental analysis is employed to assess the health of companies, including their leverage and financial ratios compared to sector and industry averages [1] - Technical analysis is utilized to optimize entry and exit points, with a focus on support and resistance levels on weekly charts [1] Stock Selection Criteria - The investor screens for stocks that have undergone recent sell-offs, particularly when there is insider buying at the new lower price, indicating potential recovery [1] - Professional background checks are conducted on insiders who purchase shares post-sell-off, adding an additional layer of due diligence [1]

Company Overview - Invictus Origin is a high-alpha investment company founded by Oliver Rodzianko in May 2025, aiming to deliver among the highest annual returns globally [1] - The company is developing innovative portfolio strategies, particularly through its flagship High-Alpha Black Swan Portfolio, designed to outperform leading indices like the Nasdaq-100 [1] - The Invictus Hydra Portfolio maintains approximately 20% in dynamic cash reserves, allowing for strategic value investing during market disruptions [1] Leadership and Expertise - Oliver Rodzianko has extensive experience as a macro-focused investment analyst, specializing in public equities with a disciplined approach to fundamental valuation and long-term market cycles [1] - His sector expertise includes technology, semiconductors, artificial intelligence, and energy, integrating U.S. market specialization with international market awareness [1] - Rodzianko has built a strong reputation through contributions to platforms like Seeking Alpha, TipRanks, and GuruFocus, providing actionable insights to sophisticated investors [1] Strategic Goals - Invictus Origin aims to establish a firm characterized by resilience, performance, and disciplined capital stewardship [1] - The company is also developing a complementary family office structure focused on lower-volatility capital preservation [1]

Core Insights - Super Micro Computer (SMCI) and Cisco Systems (CSCO) are prominent players in the server market, focusing on designs, development, and manufacturing for data centers, cloud computing, AI, and edge computing workloads [1][2] Industry Overview - The global server market is projected to grow at a CAGR of 9.8% from 2024 to 2030, driven by increasing demands from AI and high-performance computing (HPC) workloads [2] Company Analysis: SMCI - SMCI's server and storage system revenues grew 10% year-over-year in Q4 FY25, reaching $5.62 billion, which constitutes 97.6% of its total revenue [4] - Over 70% of SMCI's revenues in Q4 FY25 were derived from AI-focused systems, indicating its strong position in AI infrastructure [5] - Recent product launches, including Data Center Building Block Solutions and petascale storage systems, are expected to enhance SMCI's market position [6] - SMCI faces near-term challenges such as delayed purchasing decisions and margin contraction due to price competition [7] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for SMCI's Q1 FY26 earnings is 47 cents per share, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 37.3% [8] Company Analysis: CSCO - CSCO's server offerings include a range of products under the Cisco Unified Computing System (UCS), which integrates networking and server technology [11] - The company has received over $1 billion in AI infrastructure orders year-to-date, with $600 million in Q3 FY25 alone, indicating strong demand [14] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for CSCO's fiscal 2025 revenues is $56.59 billion, representing a year-over-year increase of 5.2% [15] Financial Performance - Year-to-date, SMCI shares have increased by 48.3%, while CSCO shares have risen by 19.4% [17] - SMCI has a forward Price to Sales ratio of 4.72X, compared to CSCO's 0.86X, making CSCO's valuation more attractive [18] Conclusion - Both SMCI and CSCO are benefiting from the growth in AI and HPC, but SMCI is currently facing challenges that may impact its near-term performance. CSCO's lower valuation and stronger order growth position it as a more compelling investment opportunity [19]