Super Micro Computer Stock Forecast Today12-Month Stock Price Forecast:$52.5726.68% Upside HoldBased on 18 Analyst RatingsCurrent Price$41.50High Forecast$93.00Average Forecast$52.57Low Forecast$32.50Super Micro Computer Stock Forecast DetailsThe technology sector in the United States has been the center of most of the attention and price action in the stock market. However, one stock in the semiconductor industry fell significantly behind its peers. While other names like NVIDIA Co. NASDAQ: NVDA led the wa ...

AI investing doesn't have to be a roller coaster. Here are three reliable alternatives with world-class management and terrific long-term growth prospects.Server systems builder Super Micro Computer (SMCI 7.91%) was a market darling a year ago. Is it time to turn away from this disgraced industry titan and seek more reliable investment avenues in the artificial intelligence (AI) market?Why I'm not jumping on the Super Micro Computer bandwagon in 2025Supermicro's stock had gained 2,760% in the two years lead ...

Summary of the Conference Call on AI Data Center Equipment Market Industry Overview - The conference call focused on the AI data center equipment market, specifically networking and server segments, with insights from 650 Group data for 4Q24 and projections for 2025-2028 [1][2]. Key Market Insights - **Market Share Changes**: In 4Q24, Arista Networks (ANET) and Cisco Systems (CSCO) gained market share in AI Ethernet, while Nvidia (NVDA) lost share. Dell Technologies (DELL) and Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI) lost share to white box competitors in the AI server market [1]. - **Growth Projections**: The AI data center switching market is expected to grow at a +41% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) from 2024 to 2028, reaching $22 billion. The AI server market is projected to grow at a +31% CAGR, reaching $335 billion by 2028 [2][3][4]. Detailed Market Estimates - **AI Data Center Switching**: - Back end Ethernet is projected to grow by +60% to $12 billion by 2028. - Front end Ethernet is expected to grow by +52% to $8 billion by 2028. - Infiniband is expected to remain stable at $2 billion by 2028 [3]. - **AI Servers**: - Hyperscaler customers are expected to see an +18% CAGR, Tier 2 Cloud at +58%, and enterprise at +48% [4]. - In 4Q24, SMCI's market share in hyperscale AI servers decreased by -3 percentage points to 4%, while white box share increased by +4 percentage points to 26% [4]. Company-Specific Insights - **Arista Networks (ANET)**: Rated as a "Buy" with a target price of $145, benefiting from strong cloud spending and digital transformation trends [16][24]. - **Cisco Systems (CSCO)**: Rated as "Neutral" with a target price of $63, facing market share losses but maintaining a comprehensive product offering [17][27]. - **Dell Technologies (DELL)**: Rated as a "Buy" with a target price of $145, positioned to benefit from AI server demand and strong growth in enterprise solutions [18][30]. - **Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI)**: Rated as "Neutral" with a target price of $40, well-positioned in AI infrastructure but facing competitive pressures in the enterprise segment [20][34]. Risks and Challenges - **General Risks**: Slower cloud capital expenditure, customer concentration risks, competition from lower-cost providers, and potential margin degradation due to supply chain issues [26][28][31][36]. - **Company-Specific Risks**: - ANET faces risks from customer concentration with major clients like META and MSFT [24]. - CSCO is challenged by competition from white box solutions and smaller companies [27]. - DELL may encounter weaker-than-expected demand in consumer and commercial PC markets [31]. - SMCI faces risks from customer concentration and potential cybersecurity concerns [36]. Conclusion - The AI data center equipment market is poised for significant growth, particularly in AI switching and server segments, with key players like ANET, CSCO, DELL, and SMCI navigating competitive landscapes and market dynamics. The outlook remains robust, but companies must address various risks to capitalize on growth opportunities.

Core Insights - The article emphasizes the importance of purchasing shares of Super Micro Computer (NASDAQ: SMCI) before the company's deadline to file its FY24 10-K and Q1 FY25 10Q [1] Group 1 - The author manages a family portfolio primarily through a Self Managed Super Fund, focusing on generating alpha against the S&P 500 [1] - The typical holding period for investments ranges from a few quarters to multiple years, indicating a long-term investment strategy [1] - The author encourages readers to review the ratings history of published articles to gauge the effectiveness of recommendations [1] Group 2 - The author has a beneficial long position in the shares of VOO and SMCI, indicating confidence in these investments [2] - The article expresses the author's personal opinions and is not influenced by compensation from any company mentioned [2]

Core Viewpoint - The technology sector, particularly semiconductor stocks, is currently viewed as a "risk-on" area in the stock market, with Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI) emerging as a key indicator of market sentiment [1][3]. Company Performance - Super Micro Computer's stock price is currently $41.68, reflecting a 6.66% increase [2]. - The stock has a 52-week range of $17.25 to $114.78 and a P/E ratio of 20.99 [2]. - The price target for Super Micro Computer is set at $52.57, indicating a potential upside of 25.47% from the current price [11]. Market Sentiment - Over the past month, while the S&P 500 has entered "Correction" territory with a 10% decline, Super Micro Computer has managed to maintain a return level within 1%, outperforming the market by 11% [4][5]. - The market's preference for Super Micro Computer, despite its 67% decline over the past year, raises questions about the underlying reasons for this positive sentiment [6]. Financial Health - Super Micro Computer reported a top-line revenue of $5.6 billion for the quarter, showcasing a significant 54% annual growth rate [11]. - The company has transitioned from a net operating outflow to a net operating cash flow of $169.1 million over the past 12 months, indicating improved financial stability [12]. Analyst Ratings - Analysts from Northland Securities have initiated coverage on Super Micro Computer with a valuation target of $70 per share, suggesting an upside potential of up to 80% from the current price [13]. - Despite a current "Hold" rating among analysts, the stock's risk-to-reward setup is considered favorable [14].

Super Micro Computer was a big winner in the first half of 2024. However, an August report from now-defunct short-selling activist group Hindenburg Research caused a significant crash in the price of Super Micro stock (NASDAQ: SMCI).The report in question alleged widespread accounting abuses. Super Micro had to delay the filing of its annual report. However, the situation was resolved on February 25, and the server-maker regained full compliance.Two weeks earlier, on February 11, the business also held its ...

Group 1: The Trade Desk - The Trade Desk operates the largest independent demand-side platform (DSP) for digital ads, allowing advertisers to purchase ad space across various platforms [3] - Recent growth has been driven by connected TV (CTV) ads on ad-supported streaming platforms, utilizing first-party data and AI-driven tools [4] - Analysts expect revenue to grow at a CAGR of 19% and adjusted EBITDA to rise at a CAGR of 20% from 2024 to 2027, with an enterprise value of $29.9 billion [5] Group 2: Super Micro Computer - Super Micro Computer specializes in servers for enterprise and data center customers, focusing on high-growth AI servers through a partnership with Nvidia [6] - Revenue surged at a CAGR of 61% from fiscal 2021 to fiscal 2024, but faced setbacks including delayed reports and regulatory scrutiny [7][8] - Analysts project revenue and EPS growth at a CAGR of 36% and 18%, respectively, from fiscal 2024 to fiscal 2027, with the stock trading at 11 times next year's earnings [9] Group 3: Palo Alto Networks - Palo Alto Networks is a leading cybersecurity company with three main ecosystems: Strata, Prisma, and Cortex, focusing on next-gen security services [10] - The company's scale and diversification provide a competitive advantage, with revenue expected to grow at a CAGR of 15% from fiscal 2024 to fiscal 2027 [12] - Despite a high valuation at 91 times next year's GAAP EPS, the company is expected to remain a key player in the cybersecurity sector [13]

New Servers Drive Smarter, Faster, and More Efficient AI from the Data Center to the Edge with Entire Range of Intel® Xeon® 6 Processors Supporting Over 40% More Memory Bandwidth and up to 144 CPU CoresSAN JOSE, Calif. and NUREMBERG, Germany, March 11, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- Supermicro, Inc. (NASDAQ: SMCI) a Total IT Solution Provider for AI/ML, HPC, Cloud, Storage, and 5G/Edge, is introducing a wide range of new systems which are fully optimized for edge and embedded workloads. Several of these new compact s ...

My previous bullish thesis about Super Micro Computer (NASDAQ: SMCI ) did not age well, as the stock is currently around 13% cheaper compared to the September 11 price. I do not panic at all because SMCI is an inherently volatileI am a highly experienced Chief Financial Officer (CFO) with a strong background in the oilfield and real estate industries. With over a decade of experience in finance, I have led numerous complex due diligence efforts and M&A transactions, both domestically and internationally.In ...

Super Micro Computer (NASDAQ: SMCI ), also known as Supermicro, is still out of favor with investors after its alleged accounting issues, loss of its auditor, and delay in filing its 2024 10-K. Since I last wrote aboutI have been a Merchant Seaman that has traveled the world for over 30 years. Within the last 15 years, I developed a very intense interest in investing. I learned a lot of what I know about investing from The MF. Also because I have a engineering background, I often tend to gravitate to Tech s ...