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Seagate(STX) - 2026 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2026-01-27 23:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Seagate reported December quarter revenue of $2.83 billion, representing a 7% sequential increase and a 22% year-over-year increase [14] - Non-GAAP gross margin improved to 42.2%, up 210 basis points sequentially, while non-GAAP operating margin expanded by 290 basis points to 31.9% [14][17] - Non-GAAP EPS was $3.11, reflecting a 19% increase quarter-over-quarter [14] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The data center market accounted for 87% of shipment volume, with 165 exabytes shipped, up 4% sequentially and 31% year-over-year [15] - Average cloud nearline drive capacities increased to nearly 26 terabytes in the December quarter, indicating a shift towards higher capacity drives [16] - The edge IoT market contributed $601 million, supported by seasonal improvements in consumer products [16] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Demand for high-capacity nearline drives in global cloud data centers continued to grow, with sustained demand trends expected to persist [6][7] - Video applications are driving significant demand for hard drives, with platforms like YouTube seeing a surge in uploads [8] - The strategic value of data is increasing, particularly with the rise of AI applications that require large volumes of historic data [9] Company Strategy and Development Direction - Seagate's HAMR technology is positioned as a long-term enabler of mass capacity storage, with expectations to deliver 10 TB per disk early in the next decade [5][12] - The company aims to maintain supply discipline while meeting demand growth through advancements in areal density without increasing unit production volume [7] - Seagate is focused on expanding profitability through a higher capacity product mix, supported by strong demand from AI applications [12][22] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the strong demand environment, particularly among global cloud customers, and expects data center demand to offset typical seasonal declines [20][21] - The company anticipates revenue for the March quarter to be in the range of $2.9 billion ±$100 million, representing a 34% year-over-year improvement [21] - Management highlighted the importance of maintaining pricing discipline and the potential for flat to slightly increasing pricing in the future [26][71] Other Important Information - Seagate generated over $600 million in free cash flow, the highest level in eight years, and retired $500 million in gross debt [14][20] - The company expects capital expenditures for fiscal year 2026 to remain within the target range of 4%-6% of revenue [19][102] - Cash and cash equivalents totaled just over $1 billion, with ample liquidity of $2.3 billion [20] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you provide more detail on gross margins going forward? - Management indicated that pricing will be dictated by demand, with potential for flat to slightly up pricing as capacity increases [26] Question: Can you help bridge the drivers between mix and price? - Management noted that demand remains strong, and discussions with customers are focused on future planning [32] Question: What is the expected exabyte growth for this calendar year? - Management did not provide specific guidance for calendar 2026 but indicated a mid-20% exabyte growth CAGR is expected [58] Question: How is the transition to HAMR technology progressing? - The transition is on track, with six out of eight top cloud service providers qualified for HAMR technology [46] Question: What portion of your LTAs has fixed pricing agreements? - Management confirmed that volume and pricing for 2026 are well defined, with discussions for 2027 beginning soon [95]
Seagate forecasts quarterly results above estimates on strong data storage demand
Reuters· 2026-01-27 22:02
Seagate Technology forecast third-quarter revenue and profit above Wall Street expectations on Tuesday, benefiting from strong demand for its data storage devices as enterprises scale up their use of ... ...
Seagate(STX) - 2026 Q2 - Earnings Call Presentation
2026-01-27 22:00
SUPPLEMENTAL FINANCIAL INFORMATION Q2FY26 JANUARY 27, 2026 Safe Harbor Statement and Use of Non-GAAP Financial Information This document and our other communications regarding our quarterly financial results contain forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements provide current expectations of future events based on certain assumptions and include any statement that does not directly relate to any historical fact. Forward-loo ...
Seagate Q2 Beats Earnings and Revenue Estimates, Strong Guidance
Benzinga· 2026-01-27 21:22
Core Viewpoint - Seagate Technology Holdings Plc. reported strong second-quarter earnings, exceeding analyst expectations in both earnings per share and revenue, indicating robust operational performance and demand in the data center market [2][3]. Financial Performance - Quarterly earnings were reported at $3.11 per share, surpassing the analyst consensus estimate of $2.81 by 10.52% [2]. - Revenue for the quarter reached $2.83 billion, exceeding the Street estimate of $2.73 billion and showing an increase from $2.33 billion in the same period last year [2]. Operational Highlights - The company achieved new records for gross margin, operating margin, and non-GAAP EPS, reflecting strong operational execution and the durability of data center demand [3]. - The ongoing ramp of HAMR-based Mozaic products contributed positively to the performance [3]. Future Outlook - For the third quarter, Seagate expects adjusted EPS to be between $3.20 and $3.60, compared to the analyst estimate of $2.96, and revenue is projected to be between $2.8 billion and $3 billion, exceeding the analyst estimate of $2.77 billion [4].
Seagate(STX) - 2026 Q2 - Quarterly Results
2026-01-27 21:08
Financial Performance - Revenue for fiscal Q2 2026 was $2.83 billion, a 21.5% increase from $2.33 billion in fiscal Q2 2025[4] - GAAP gross margin improved to 41.6% from 34.9% year-over-year, while non-GAAP gross margin increased to 42.2% from 35.5%[4] - GAAP diluted earnings per share (EPS) rose to $2.60, up from $1.55 in the same quarter last year, with non-GAAP diluted EPS at $3.11 compared to $2.03[4] - Net income for the six months ended January 2, 2026, was $1,142 million, an increase from $641 million for the same period in the previous year, representing a growth of 78.2%[23] - Non-GAAP gross profit for the six months ended January 2, 2026, was $2,245 million, compared to $1,548 million for the same period in the previous year, reflecting a 45.1% increase[27] - GAAP gross margin improved to 40.6% for the six months ended January 2, 2026, up from 34.0% in the prior year[27] - GAAP diluted net income per share for the six months ended January 2, 2026, was $5.03, up from $2.95 in the prior year, marking a 70.5% increase[29] - Non-GAAP diluted net income per share for the six months ended January 2, 2026, was $5.71, compared to $3.62 for the same period last year, representing a 57.7% increase[29] Cash Flow and Liquidity - Cash flow from operations was $723 million, and free cash flow was $607 million during the quarter[5] - Net cash provided by operating activities for the six months ended January 2, 2026, was $1,255 million, significantly higher than $316 million for the same period last year[29] - Free cash flow for the six months ended January 2, 2026, was $1,034 million, compared to $177 million for the same period in the previous year, indicating a substantial increase[29] - Cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash at the end of the period were $1,048 million, compared to $1,240 million at the end of the previous year[23] - Seagate's balance sheet remains strong, with cash and cash equivalents totaling $1.0 billion at the end of the quarter[5] Future Outlook - For fiscal Q3 2026, the company expects revenue of approximately $2.90 billion, plus or minus $100 million, and non-GAAP diluted EPS of $3.40, plus or minus $0.20[15] - The company anticipates continued strong demand for data center storage solutions driven by AI applications and evolving market needs[2] Strategic Actions - The company declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.74 per share, payable on April 8, 2026[8] - The company retired $500 million in Exchangeable Senior Notes due 2028 during the fiscal second quarter[5] - The company redeemed and repurchased $500 million of debt during the financing activities for the six months ended January 2, 2026[23] Operating Metrics - Non-GAAP operating margin for the six months ended January 2, 2026, was 30.5%, up from 21.8% in the prior year[27] - Adjusted EBITDA excludes certain expenses and gains that are not indicative of core operating results, including impairment and other charges related to cost-saving efforts[44] - LTM adjusted EBITDA is defined as the total of last twelve months adjusted EBITDA, used to evaluate the Company's debt portfolio[44] Tax and Accounting Adjustments - The projected non-GAAP income tax rate for fiscal year 2026 is set at 15.5%[41] - Non-GAAP income tax adjustments aim to provide consistency across interim reporting periods[41] - The Company may periodically re-evaluate its non-GAAP tax rate based on changes in tax laws[41] - Non-GAAP diluted share count adjustments are made using the if-converted method for the 2028 exchangeable notes[42] - Strategic investment gains, losses, and impairment charges are excluded to provide a clearer view of the Company's operating performance[39] - Other charges, primarily IT transformation costs, are also excluded for a supplemental view of operating performance[40] - The Company assesses its sources of liquidity and capital structure using free cash flow as a non-GAAP measure[43] - Free cash flow is defined as net cash provided by operating activities less acquisition of property, equipment, and leasehold improvements[43]
Seagate (STX) is Facing a Shortage That Can’t Be Met, Says Jim Cramer
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-27 17:47
Core Insights - Seagate Technology Holdings plc (NASDAQ:STX) has seen a significant increase in its stock price, rising by 256% over the past year and 28% year-to-date [2] - Analysts from BofA and Rosenblatt have raised their price targets for Seagate, indicating strong confidence in the company's future performance [2] Group 1: Stock Performance - Seagate's shares are among the top performers in the market, with a 256% increase over the past year and a 28% increase year-to-date [2] - BofA has increased its price target for Seagate from $320 to $400 while maintaining a Buy rating, citing potential to exceed analyst estimates in upcoming earnings [2] - Rosenblatt has also raised its price target from $270 to $370, maintaining a Buy rating, and noted strong demand for high-density memory devices as a growth driver [2] Group 2: Market Dynamics - Seagate is facing a shortage of products that cannot be met, which may impact its ability to fulfill demand [3] - The company is expected to benefit from the growing customer base for its heat-assisted recording memory technology, which is seen as a key catalyst for growth [2]
美股异动丨存储概念股齐涨,美光科技、闪迪涨超5%
Ge Long Hui· 2026-01-27 14:41
存储概念股齐涨,美光科技、闪迪涨超5%,西部数据涨超2%,希捷科技涨1.6%。 消息面上,美光科技宣布将在未来十年向新加坡追加投资240亿美元,用于建设新的NAND闪存晶圆 厂,以应对人工智能驱动的存储芯片供应紧张。此举凸显全球存储芯片市场的供需失衡正在加剧。 此外,业内消息源透露,三星电子、SK海力士已经与苹果进行谈判,决定大幅上调iPhone手机所用 LPDDR内存的价格。三星电子调整的涨幅超过80%,而SK海力士则接近100%。(格隆汇) ...
Seagate Stock Just Hit a New All-Time High Ahead of Earnings. Should You Chase the AI Frenzy Higher?
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-27 14:10
Seagate Technology (STX) is trading at new all-time highs on Tuesday. Shares are up more than 230% over the past 52 weeks. STX maintains a 100% “Buy” technical opinion from Barchart. Seagate has benefitted massively from AI-driven demand for memory and storage products. Today’s Featured Stock Valued at $76.5 billion, Seagate Technology (STX) is one of the largest manufacturers of hard disk drives in the U.S. These drives are responsible for storing information, including at data centers. Seagate ...
4 Memory Chip Stocks to Buy as Prices Skyrocket
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-27 12:30
Company Overview - Seagate Technology (STX) recently shipped 32TB SkyHawk AI, Exos, and IronWolf Pro hard drives globally, with prices ranging from approximately $699.99 to $849.99 per unit, supporting hyperscale workloads [1] - STX's stock was priced at $343.64 on January 23, reflecting a 24% increase year-to-date and a 214% increase over the past 52 weeks [2] - The company has a forward annual dividend of $2.96 per share, yielding roughly 0.91% [2] Financial Performance - STX reported earnings per share (EPS) of around $2.51 for the quarter ending September 2025, surpassing the consensus estimate of $2.11 by 18.96% [7] - The company disclosed typical sales of about $2.63 billion, a 7.6% year-on-year increase, and net income of around $549 million, reflecting a growth of about 12.5% [8] - The upcoming earnings report on January 27 is expected to show current-quarter EPS of $2.59, a 42.3% increase from $1.82 a year ago, with fiscal 2026 EPS projected at $10.46, up 44.1% from $7.26 last year [8] Market Trends - NAND contract prices are expected to rise again in early 2026 due to the growth of AI data and long-term purchasing by hyperscalers, marking a "historic" memory cycle that may last until 2026 [4] - The NAND flash market is projected to reach approximately $72.60 billion by 2030, driven by the rapid adoption of SSDs in various sectors [5] - Demand for memory chips is forecasted to grow by about 41.4% year-on-year, contributing to over $500 billion as AI data centers expand their capacity [6] Analyst Sentiment - Current analyst consensus rates STX shares as a "Strong Buy," with an average price target of approximately $347.36, which is about 0.2% above the current price [9] - The consensus from 21 analysts for SanDisk (SNDK) is a "Moderate Buy," with an average target of $359.06, indicating roughly 28.7% downside from the current price [14] - For Western Digital (WDC), the consensus from 25 analysts is a "Strong Buy," despite the average price target of $216.95 implying about 10.8% downside [18] - Micron Technology (MU) has a "Strong Buy" consensus from 41 analysts, with an average target of $330.46, which is about 16.9% below the current quote [24] Conclusion - The memory chip sector is experiencing significant price increases, with companies like STX, SNDK, WDC, and MU benefiting from strong earnings momentum and tight supply conditions [25]
美股存储板块盘前上涨
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2026-01-27 11:35
美股存储板块盘前上涨,美光科技涨5%,闪迪、西部数据涨超3%,希捷科技涨2.7%。 美股存储板块盘前上涨,美光科技涨5%,闪迪、西部数据涨超3%,希捷科技涨2.7%。 (本文来自第一财经) (本文来自第一财经) ...