Core Insights - Seagate Technology Holdings plc (NASDAQ:STX) experienced a significant share price increase, reaching an all-time high of $457.84 before a subsequent decline of 8.71% to $407.69 due to profit-taking [2] - The company reported a remarkable 76% increase in net income, rising to $593 million from $336 million year-on-year, alongside a 21.5% revenue growth to $2.8 billion from $2.3 billion [3] - Seagate's strong performance in the second quarter of fiscal year 2026 was attributed to operational excellence and robust demand in data centers, as highlighted by Chairman and CEO Dave Mosley [4] Financial Performance - For the third quarter ending March, Seagate is projecting revenues to reach $2.9 billion, with a potential variance of $100 million, and diluted EPS of $3.40, with a variance of $0.20 [6] - The company's gross margin, operating margin, and non-GAAP EPS all set new records, indicating strong operational execution [4] Market Position and Future Outlook - The demand for storage solutions is expected to grow significantly due to AI applications, with Seagate's product roadmap focusing on performance and cost-efficiency at exabyte-scale [5] - The company aims to create substantial value for customers and shareholders by meeting evolving storage requirements [5]

Financial Performance - In the December 2025 quarter, the company shipped 190 exabytes of HDD storage capacity and generated revenue of approximately $2.8 billion with a gross margin of 41.6% and net income of $593 million[112]. - Revenue increased by $196 million compared to the September 2025 quarter, primarily due to favorable pricing actions and an increase in exabytes shipped reflecting higher demand for both nearline and non-nearline products[119]. - The gross margin for the December 2025 quarter increased by 3 percentage points compared to the September 2025 quarter, driven by pricing actions and a favorable product mix[122]. - The operating margin for the December 2025 quarter was 30%, compared to 27% in the September 2025 quarter and 21% in the December 2024 quarter[118]. - Revenue for the three and six months ended January 2, 2026, increased by $500 million and $961 million from the three and six months ended December 27, 2024, respectively[120]. Expenses and Costs - The company reported a warranty cost related to new shipments of 0.9% of revenue for the December 2025 quarter, up from 0.7% in the December 2024 quarter[124]. - Product development expenses remained relatively flat at $187 million in the December 2025 quarter compared to $186 million in the September 2025 quarter[125]. - Product development expenses increased by $8 million in the six months ended January 2, 2026, primarily due to a $10 million increase in outside services costs[126]. - Marketing and administrative expenses rose by $19 million in the six months ended January 2, 2026, driven by a $10 million increase in compensation and other employee benefits[127]. - Other expense, net for the December 2025 quarter included $72 million of interest expense and a $66 million net loss from debt transactions[129]. Cash Flow and Investments - Cash and cash equivalents increased by $155 million to $1.046 billion as of January 2, 2026, primarily due to $1.3 billion net cash provided by operating activities[136]. - Cash provided by operating activities for the six months ended January 2, 2026, was $1.3 billion, with significant increases in accounts payable and accrued expenses[137]. - Net cash used in investing activities was $206 million for the six months ended January 2, 2026, mainly for property and equipment purchases[138]. - Net cash used in financing activities totaled $894 million for the six months ended January 2, 2026, including $500 million for the partial retirement of 2028 Notes[139]. Debt and Obligations - As of January 2, 2026, the future principal payment obligation on long-term debt was $4.5 billion, with estimated future interest payments of approximately $1.5 billion[148]. - The company retired $500 million principal amount of long-term debt and paid $154 million in dividends during the December 2025 quarter[112]. - The company declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.74 per share, payable on April 8, 2026[150]. - As of January 2, 2026, the company had unconditional purchase obligations of approximately $1.4 billion, primarily related to inventory components[145]. Financial Instruments and Risk Management - The company has a total of $342 million in floating rate money market funds, with an average interest rate of 3.71%[158]. - Fixed rate debt amounts to $7,058 million, with an average interest rate of 6.12%[158]. - The company has entered into foreign currency forward exchange contracts with a total notional amount of $182 million, hedging against currency exchange rate fluctuations[161]. - The average contractual rates for foreign currency forward exchange contracts include 0.74 for British Pound Sterling and 7.01 for Chinese Renminbi[161]. - The company manages credit risk related to foreign currency forward exchange contracts by performing ongoing credit evaluations and limiting exposure to any one counterparty[162]. - Changes in corporate issuer credit ratings have minimal impact on near-term financial results but may affect future capital raising capabilities[162]. - The company utilizes a Total Return Swap (TRS) to manage equity market risks associated with its non-qualified deferred compensation plan[163]. - The TRS involves paying a floating rate based on SOFR plus an interest rate spread on the notional amount[163]. Market Insights - The data center market accounted for 79% of revenue in the December 2025 quarter, while Edge IoT represented 21%[119]. - The company expects long-term benefits from growing demand for data storage, particularly as AI applications continue to proliferate[115].

Group 1 - Investors have taken a bullish stance on Seagate Technology Holdings, with significant options trading activity indicating potential upcoming developments [1][2] - The overall sentiment among large traders is mixed, with 38% bullish and 37% bearish positions, highlighting a divided outlook [2] - The projected price targets for Seagate Technology Holdings range from $125.0 to $670.0 based on recent options activity [3] Group 2 - The mean open interest for Seagate Technology Holdings options trades is 236.93, with a total volume of 24,588.00, indicating strong liquidity and interest [4] - The largest options trades observed in the last 30 days suggest significant market engagement with the stock [5] - Seagate Technology is a leading supplier of hard disk drives, operating in a practical duopoly with Western Digital, both being vertically integrated [5] Group 3 - The current market price of Seagate Technology Holdings is $404.33, reflecting a decline of 9.46%, with RSI indicators suggesting the stock may be approaching overbought conditions [8] - Recent expert ratings on the stock indicate an average target price of $424.4, suggesting potential upside [9] - The next earnings report for Seagate Technology Holdings is expected in 88 days, which could influence future trading activity [8]

Core Viewpoint - Seagate (STX) is positioned as a strong investment opportunity due to significant revisions in earnings estimates, indicating an improving earnings outlook [1][10]. Estimate Revisions - The trend in estimate revisions reflects growing analyst optimism regarding Seagate's earnings prospects, which is expected to positively influence its stock price [2]. - For the current quarter, Seagate is projected to earn $3.01 per share, representing a 58.4% increase from the previous year [6]. - Over the past 30 days, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for Seagate has risen by 27.97%, with no negative revisions reported [6]. - For the full year, the earnings estimate is $12.01 per share, marking a 48.3% increase from the prior year, with three estimates moving higher and no negative revisions [7]. Zacks Rank - Seagate currently holds a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), indicating strong agreement among analysts in raising earnings estimates, which historically correlates with stock price outperformance [3][9]. - Stocks with a Zacks Rank 1 and 2 have shown significant outperformance compared to the S&P 500 [9]. Stock Performance - Seagate's stock has increased by 62.2% over the past four weeks, driven by strong estimate revisions, suggesting potential for further upside [10].

Core Insights - The article emphasizes the importance of unique insights and knowledge in stock analysis, aiming to provide contrasting views on investment portfolios [1] Group 1 - The analyst expresses a commitment to sharing personal opinions and insights without any financial compensation from the companies mentioned [2] - There is a focus on the necessity for investors to conduct their own research and due diligence before making investment decisions [3] - The article clarifies that past performance does not guarantee future results, highlighting the independent nature of the analyst's views [4]

Core Insights - The demand for data storage stocks is driven by the explosion of data from AI, cloud computing, and digital transformation, with Seagate Technology Holdings plc (STX) and Pure Storage Inc. (PSTG) representing traditional HDDs and modern enterprise flash storage, respectively [1][24] Market Overview - The global data storage market is projected to grow from $298.5 billion in 2026 to $984.6 billion by 2034, at a CAGR of 16% [2] - The HDD market is expected to expand from $51.8 billion in 2026 to $69.7 billion by 2031, at a CAGR of 6%, while the enterprise flash storage market is projected to grow from $29.04 billion in 2025 to $49.87 billion by 2030, at an 11.42% CAGR [2] Seagate Technology Holdings (STX) - Seagate reported record revenue of $2.83 billion in the fiscal second quarter, a 22% increase year over year, driven by strong demand for HAMR drives and data centers [4][7] - The company has a fully booked capacity through 2026 and anticipates continued revenue and profit growth, with average nearline drive capacity increasing 22% year over year to nearly 23 TB per drive [5][8] - Seagate's strong cash flow supports ongoing investment in innovation and shareholder returns, with $154 million returned to shareholders in the fiscal second quarter [9] - The company faces challenges from forex volatility, competition, and high debt levels, with long-term debt at $4.5 billion as of January 2, 2026 [10] Pure Storage Inc. (PSTG) - Pure Storage's revenue grew 16% year over year to $964.5 million in the fiscal third quarter, driven by strong demand for FlashBlade and enterprise offerings [13] - The company raised its fiscal 2026 revenue outlook to $3.63–$3.64 billion, indicating 14.5–14.9% year-over-year growth [14] - However, Pure Storage faces headwinds from competition, rising NAND costs, and macroeconomic uncertainty, which could pressure pricing and margins [11][12] - The company plans to invest in R&D and has authorized an additional $400 million for share repurchase [15] Valuation and Performance - Over the past month, STX and PSTG have gained 62.1% and 8.3%, respectively, with STX trading at 35.8X forward earnings compared to PSTG's 95.9X [16][17] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for STX's earnings for fiscal 2026 has been revised up by 2.7% to $11.61, while PSTG's estimate has been revised down by 1% to $1.95 [19][23] - STX is currently rated as a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), while PSTG holds a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell), indicating a more favorable investment outlook for STX [24]

Core Viewpoint - Western Digital Corporation (WDC) reported strong quarterly results and future outlook, driven by unprecedented demand for high-capacity HDDs due to the AI data center boom, exceeding Wall Street expectations [1][2][6]. Financial Performance - For Q2 FY26, Western Digital's total revenue increased by 25% year-over-year to $3.02 billion, surpassing analyst expectations of approximately $2.95 billion [2][3]. - The adjusted gross margin under non-GAAP was 46.1%, exceeding the expected 44.5% [2]. - Free cash flow was approximately $653 million, also above the forecast of $637 million [2]. - The adjusted EPS was $2.13, higher than the anticipated $1.93, with net profit increasing by 92% year-over-year to about $807 million [2][3]. Market Outlook - The company expects Q3 FY26 diluted EPS to range between $2.15 and $2.45, significantly above the consensus estimate of $1.99 [3]. - Total revenue for the upcoming quarter is projected to be between $3.1 billion and $3.3 billion, again exceeding analyst expectations [3]. Industry Context - The demand for enterprise-level high-capacity HDDs and SSDs is being driven by the rapid expansion of AI data centers, with major tech companies investing heavily in AI infrastructure [6][11]. - Western Digital, along with Seagate and SanDisk, has seen stock prices rise significantly, with Western Digital's stock increasing by 285% in 2025 and 60% since 2026 [1][6]. - The storage industry is experiencing a "super cycle," with a strong focus on nearline HDDs and enterprise SSDs to meet the growing storage needs of AI applications [7][11]. Supply Strategy - Western Digital and Seagate are not rushing to increase HDD production capacity, adhering to a "supply discipline" to avoid past cycles of overproduction and price wars [12][13]. - The company aims to enhance output through product structure and technology upgrades rather than expanding capacity aggressively [12].

Core Insights - Seagate Technology's stock surged approximately 20% following the release of strong fiscal second-quarter earnings, continuing its impressive performance from 2025, where it returned 225% [1][2] - Over the past year, Seagate's stock has increased by 343%, indicating robust growth momentum [2] - Seagate and its competitor, Western Digital, dominate the high-capacity hard disk drive market, holding about 80% market share, positioning them well to benefit from the AI boom and increased demand for data storage [3] Financial Performance - In the fiscal second quarter, Seagate reported revenues of $2.8 billion, a 22% year-over-year increase, exceeding analyst expectations [4] - Net income rose 76% to $593 million, translating to $2.60 per share, while adjusted net income increased 62% to $433 million, or $3.11 per share, surpassing estimates of $2.84 per share [4] - Seagate's adjusted earnings set a new record, with a gross margin of 41.6% and an operating margin of 29.8% [4] Future Guidance - For the third quarter, Seagate projects revenue of $2.9 billion, exceeding estimates of $2.79 billion, and anticipates non-GAAP diluted EPS of $3.40, significantly above the estimated $3.01 per share [5] - Demand for Seagate's products is described as "exceptionally strong," with orders fully booked for 2026 and discussions for 2027 orders already underway [7] - Long-term agreements with major cloud customers are expected to enhance demand visibility through 2027, with discussions about demand growth for 2028 ongoing [8] Analyst Reactions - Following the earnings report, Wall Street analysts raised their price targets for Seagate stock, with Morgan Stanley increasing its target by $96 to $468 per share and Cantor Fitzgerald raising it by $100 to $500 per share [6]

不拘中国、 放眼世界 ！ 关注 世界半导体论坛 ↓ ↓ ↓ 国芯网[原:中国半导体论坛] 振兴国产半导体产业！ 他还补充道，基于与主要云客户签订的、有效期至2027年的长期协议，产能前景正在增强，客户们也已 开始讨论2028年的预测。 他还提到，该季度"几乎所有终端市场"的营收均实现了环比增 ***************END*************** 半导体公众号推荐 半导体论坛百万微信群 加群步骤： 1月29日消息，希捷发布了2026财年第二财季（截至2026年1月2日）的财报，第二财季业绩与第三财季 的财测均超出市场预期，并且2026年产能已经售罄。 数据显示，第二财季希捷营收为28.25亿美元，同比增长21.5%，环比增长7.5%，同时毛利率为41.6%， 高于去年同期的34.9%。 展望第三财季，希捷预估该财季营收落在29亿美元（±1亿美元），调整后每股收益预计为3.40美元 （±0.20美元）。 希捷首席执行官Dave Mosley表示，希捷的近线产能"已全部售罄至2026年全年"，公司预计将在未来几 个月开始接受2027年上半年的订单。 爆料｜投稿｜合作｜社群 文章内容整理自网络，如有侵权 ...

Seagate Technology (STX) shares closed nearly 20% higher on Jan. 28 after the American data storage firm posted its Q2 earnings that handily topped estimates on insatiable AI-driven demand. Investors cheered STX today as its gross margin climbed to a record 42.2% in the second quarter and management guided for a much better-than-expected $2.9 billion in sales in Q3. More News from Barchart However, since Seagate stock has witnessed a more than 6x increase in less than a year, it’s well within reason to ...