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Tyson Foods' Q4 Earnings Top Estimates, Sales Grow on Pricing
ZACKS· 2025-11-10 18:35
Core Insights - Tyson Foods, Inc. reported solid fourth-quarter fiscal 2025 results, with earnings and sales increasing year over year, and earnings exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate, highlighting the company's resilient multi-protein, multi-channel portfolio and operational excellence [1] Quarterly Performance - Adjusted earnings were $1.15 per share, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 85 cents, marking a 25% increase from the previous year's figure of 87 cents [2] - Total sales reached $13,860 million, a 2.2% year-over-year increase, although it fell short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $13,908 million; average price changes positively impacted the top line by 6.4%, while total volumes decreased by 1.6% [2] Financial Metrics - Gross profit for the quarter was $726 million, down from $1,060 million in the year-ago period; adjusted operating income surged 19% to $608 million, with an adjusted operating margin expanding by 50 basis points year over year to 4.3% [3] Segment Performance - **Beef**: Sales increased to $5,489 million from $5,261 million, with volumes down 8.4% and average prices up 17% [4] - **Pork**: Sales declined to $1,414 million from $1,438 million, with volumes dipping 4.2% and average prices increasing by 11.6% [4] - **Chicken**: Sales improved to $4,411 million from $4,251 million, with volumes growing 3.7% and average prices up 0.1% [5] - **Prepared Foods**: Sales rose to $2,546 million from $2,472 million, with volumes down 1.7% and average prices up 4.7% [5] - **International/Other**: Sales were $584 million compared to $609 million, with volumes falling 2.2% and average sales prices declining by 1.9% [6] Financial Position - The company ended the quarter with cash and cash equivalents of $1,229 million, long-term debt of $7,921 million, and total shareholders' equity of $18,227 million; cash provided by operating activities for the 12 months ended September 27, 2025, was $2,155 million [7] - Liquidity stood at $3.7 billion as of September 27, 2025, with expectations to remain above the minimum target of $1 billion in fiscal 2026 [7] Future Projections - Capital expenditures are projected between $700 million and $1 billion for fiscal 2026, focusing on profit-improvement and maintenance projects; adjusted free cash flow for fiscal 2025 was $1,177 million, with expectations for fiscal 2026 in the range of $0.8-$1.3 billion [8] - For fiscal 2026, total revenue growth is anticipated to be between 2-4% compared to fiscal 2025, with adjusted operating income projected in the range of $2.1-$2.3 billion [12]
Chicken sales are booming as people move away from high-priced beef, Tyson Foods says
MarketWatch· 2025-11-10 17:53
Core Insights - Chicken sales have reached a three-year high, indicating a strong demand in the poultry market [1] - Demand for chicken is expected to remain robust through 2026, contrasting with ongoing pressures in the beef market [1] Industry Summary - The poultry industry is experiencing a significant increase in chicken sales, marking the highest level in three years [1] - Projections suggest that the strong demand for chicken will continue into 2026, highlighting a favorable outlook for the industry [1] - In contrast, the beef industry is facing challenges, which may affect its market position relative to poultry [1]
Wall Street Rallies as Shutdown Deal Looms, Tech Leads Midday Gains
Stock Market News· 2025-11-10 17:07
Market Overview - U.S. equity markets are experiencing robust gains, driven by optimism over a potential resolution of the government shutdown and a strong rebound in the technology sector [1][3] - Major indexes are recovering from last week's declines, with the Nasdaq Composite leading the charge, climbing between 1.4% and 1.9% [2][3] Sector Performance - Growth-oriented sectors, particularly technology, are showing strong performance, with AI-related stocks leading the recovery despite previous valuation concerns [4] - Energy and industrial stocks are also contributing positively, while health insurers are declining due to uncertainty over healthcare tax credits [4] Corporate Earnings - Approximately 82% of S&P 500 companies have exceeded earnings estimates this reporting season, marking the highest rate in four years [6] - Notable companies reporting include CoreWeave, Barrick Mining, and Paramount Skydance, with Cisco Systems set to report later this week [6] Major Stock Movements - Nvidia is a standout performer, surging between 3.7% and 4%, recently reaching a $5 trillion valuation [11] - Pfizer is acquiring Metsera for approximately $10 billion, impacting both companies' stock prices [11] - Tesla shares are up around 4% following shareholder approval of CEO Elon Musk's pay package [11] - Palantir Technologies is bouncing back, jumping between 6.7% and 8% after a prior decline [11] - Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. saw its stock rise 3.1% to 3.2% after reporting nearly 17% year-over-year revenue growth [11] - Plug Power Inc. plans to generate over $275 million through asset monetization and operational efficiencies [11]
We Like Tyson Foods Again (NYSE:TSN)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-11-10 16:46
Group 1 - Tyson Foods, Inc. (TSN) stock has been challenging as an investment but has shown potential for trading opportunities [2] - The last buy recommendation for TSN was made in February when the stock was in the mid $50s [2] - BAD BEAT Investing, led by Quad 7 Capital, has a history of providing investment opportunities and has been predominantly long since May 2020 [2] Group 2 - BAD BEAT Investing focuses on short- and medium-term investments, income generation, special situations, and momentum trades [2] - The organization emphasizes teaching investors to become proficient traders through a structured playbook and high-quality research [2] - Benefits of joining BAD BEAT Investing include access to multiple chat rooms, daily analyst summaries, and learning resources for options trading [2]
We Like Tyson Foods Again
Seeking Alpha· 2025-11-10 16:46
Group 1 - Tyson Foods, Inc. (TSN) stock has been challenging as an investment but has shown potential for trading opportunities [2] - The last buy recommendation for TSN was made in February when the stock was in the mid $50s, indicating a focus on short- and medium-term trading strategies [2] - BAD BEAT Investing, a team of analysts, emphasizes teaching investors to become proficient traders while providing in-depth research and clear entry and exit targets [2] Group 2 - BAD BEAT Investing has a proven track record, being 95% long and 5% short on average since May 2020, showcasing their market strategy [2] - The organization offers various benefits, including weekly trade ideas, chat rooms, daily analyst summaries, and options trading education [2] - The team consists of analysts with diverse expertise in business, policy, economics, and other fields, enhancing their research quality [2]
Cramer's Stop Trading: Tyson Foods
Youtube· 2025-11-10 15:29
Core Insights - The cattle herd size has been declining since 1951, impacting profitability for companies like Tyson Foods despite strong sales performance [1][2][4] - The beef industry is facing significant pressure due to rising commodity inflation, affecting restaurants and food service companies [5][6] Industry Overview - The beef supply squeeze is severe, with implications for various stakeholders, including cattle herders and food companies [2][4] - There is a call for government intervention to address the declining cattle herd and potential imports from countries like Argentina [2][3] Company Performance - Tyson Foods is struggling to maintain profitability despite a strong sales quarter, attributed to the reduced cattle herd [1][3] - Texas Roadhouse is experiencing commodity inflation of 8%, but is not passing these costs onto consumers, indicating a focus on customer loyalty [5][6] - McDonald's reported a strong quarter, contrasting with other beef-selling companies that are facing challenges [6]
Tyson Foods(TSN) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-11-10 15:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q4, total company sales grew 4.8% to $13.9 billion compared to the prior year, with full-year sales at $54.4 billion, an increase of 3.3% [22][23] - Adjusted operating income for Q4 was $608 million, up 19% year-over-year, while full-year adjusted operating income reached $2.3 billion, a 26% increase [22][23] - Adjusted earnings per share for Q4 were $1.15, up 25% from last year, and full-year adjusted EPS was $4.12, up 33% [23] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The chicken segment delivered $457 million in adjusted operating income, a 28% increase year-over-year, driven by higher volumes and better operational execution [6][16] - Prepared foods saw a 3% increase in sales, with adjusted operating income affected by higher raw material costs, achieving a margin of 7.4% [14][15] - The beef segment's adjusted operating income declined due to higher cattle costs, while pork adjusted operating income increased by 63% [18][19] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Tyson's retail branded products grew by 2.4% in volume, outperforming the broader food and beverage retail sector, which declined by 1.5% [9][10] - The company’s branded fresh chicken volume grew 7.8%, and frozen value-added chicken rose by 8.7% [10][11] - Tyson branded products now reach nearly 72% of U.S. households, exceeding private label and other branded competitors [10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on innovation and operational efficiencies to capture market share and improve profitability across all segments [7][12] - Tyson aims to enhance its product mix by developing more value-added products and improving operational efficiencies [7][18] - The company is committed to removing certain ingredients from its products to meet consumer demand for healthier options [12] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the chicken segment benefiting from changing consumer preferences and expects continued growth in 2026 [8][36] - The beef segment faces challenges due to tight cattle supplies and market headwinds, but management is focused on efficiency and innovation to strengthen fundamentals [8][17] - Overall, management remains optimistic about the company's diverse portfolio and ability to navigate market challenges while delivering shareholder value [29] Other Important Information - The company ended the year with $3.7 billion in liquidity and net leverage at 2.1 times, reflecting disciplined capital allocation [23][24] - Free cash flow for the year was $1.2 billion, well ahead of dividends paid [23][24] - The company anticipates full-year sales growth of 2%-4% for 2026, with adjusted operating income expected between $2.1 billion and $2.3 billion [25][26] Q&A Session Summary Question: Guidance on chicken segment for 2026 - Management indicated that the chicken segment is expected to perform well, with a guidance range of $1.25 billion to $1.5 billion for adjusted operating income, based on stable grain prices and strong execution [32][33] Question: Prepared foods performance and input costs - Management acknowledged that the prepared foods segment faced challenges due to rising commodity costs, but they expect improvements in 2026 driven by operational excellence and innovation [37][39] Question: Beef segment outlook amidst cattle supply issues - Management discussed the challenges in the beef segment due to heifer retention and cattle supply constraints, guiding for a potential loss in adjusted operating income between $600 million and $400 million [46][47] Question: CAPEX guidance for 2026 - Management provided a CAPEX range of $700 million to $1 billion for 2026, reflecting the pacing of current projects and timing of new initiatives [48][50] Question: Consumer behavior and SNAP benefits impact - Management noted that while consumer spending patterns are changing, they feel resilient due to their diverse product portfolio and strong brand loyalty [68][71]
Tyson Foods(TSN) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-11-10 15:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q4 2025, total company sales grew 4.8% to $13.9 billion compared to the prior year, with full-year sales at $54.4 billion, an increase of 3.3% [22][23] - Adjusted operating income for Q4 was $608 million, up 19% year-over-year, while full-year adjusted operating income reached $2.3 billion, a 26% increase [22][23] - Adjusted earnings per share for Q4 were $1.15, up 25% from last year, and full-year adjusted EPS was $4.12, up 33% [23] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The chicken segment delivered $457 million in adjusted operating income, a 28% increase year-over-year, driven by higher volumes and better operational execution [6][16] - Prepared foods saw a 3% increase in sales, with adjusted operating income affected by higher raw material costs, achieving a margin of 7.4% [14][15] - The beef segment's adjusted operating income declined due to higher cattle costs, while pork adjusted operating income increased by 63% [18][19] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Tyson's retail branded products grew by 2.4% in volume, outperforming the broader food and beverage retail sector, which declined by 1.5% [9][10] - The company’s branded fresh chicken volume grew 7.8%, and frozen value-added chicken rose by 8.7% [10][11] - The company maintained net leverage at 2.1 times, reflecting disciplined capital allocation [9][24] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on innovation and operational efficiencies to capture market share and improve profitability across all segments [7][12] - Tyson aims to enhance its product mix by developing more value-added products and expanding its branded portfolio [7][20] - The company is committed to maintaining financial strength while investing in growth opportunities and returning cash to shareholders [24][25] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the chicken segment benefiting from changing consumer preferences and anticipated tight cattle supplies impacting beef [8][26] - The company expects full-year sales in 2026 to increase by 2%-4%, with adjusted operating income projected between $2.1 billion and $2.3 billion [25][26] - Management highlighted the importance of execution and operational excellence in navigating market challenges and driving growth [29] Other Important Information - The company plans to remove certain ingredients from its products by year-end, reflecting a commitment to healthier options [12] - The recent launch of high-protein chicken cuts has achieved nationwide distribution, indicating strong consumer demand [11] Q&A Session Summary Question: Guidance on chicken segment for 2026 - Management indicated that the chicken segment is expected to perform well, with operating conditions similar to FY2025, and USDA projects a 1% increase in chicken production [33][34] Question: Prepared foods performance and input costs - Management acknowledged that rapid rises in commodity costs impacted prepared foods, but fundamentals remain strong, with expectations for growth in FY2026 [37][39] Question: Beef segment outlook amidst cattle supply challenges - Management discussed heifer retention and its impact on cattle supply, indicating that supply will be constrained in the near term [46][47] Question: CAPEX guidance for 2026 - Management explained that the CAPEX range reflects the pacing of current projects and timing of new projects, with a focus on maintenance and profit improvement [48][50] Question: Seasonal expectations for beef in Q1 2026 - Management noted good retail demand and operational performance, but acknowledged potential volatility in cattle prices [75][76] Question: Key uncertainties for fiscal 2026 - Management highlighted consumer spending patterns and the importance of a diverse product portfolio in navigating challenges [66][70]
Tyson Foods(TSN) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-11-10 15:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q4 2025, total company sales grew 4.8% to $13.9 billion compared to the prior year, with full-year sales at $54.4 billion, an increase of 3.3% [21][22] - Q4 adjusted operating income was $608 million, up 19% year-over-year, while full-year adjusted operating income reached $2.3 billion, a 26% increase [22][23] - Adjusted earnings per share for the quarter were $1.15, up 25% from last year, and full-year adjusted EPS was $4.12, up 33% [23] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The chicken segment delivered $457 million in adjusted operating income, a 28% increase year-over-year, driven by higher volumes and better operational execution [4][16] - Prepared foods saw a 3% increase in sales, with adjusted operating income affected by higher raw material costs, achieving a margin of 7.4% [14][22] - The beef segment's sales increased due to higher average prices, but adjusted operating income declined as higher cattle costs outpaced sales growth [17][18] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Tyson's retail branded products grew by 2.4% in volume, outperforming the broader food and beverage retail sector, which declined by 1.5% [8] - The company’s branded fresh chicken volume grew 7.8%, and frozen value-added chicken rose by 8.7% [9][10] - The company reached nearly 72% of U.S. households with its retail branded products, exceeding private label and other branded competitors [9] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on operational excellence, innovation, and capturing market share through value-added products [5][6] - Tyson aims to strengthen its fundamentals by prioritizing efficiency, reducing costs, and introducing innovative products [6][7] - The company is committed to meeting growing global demand for protein while delivering value to customers and shareholders [28] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the chicken segment benefiting from changing consumer preferences and high beef prices in 2026 [7][26] - The company anticipates full-year sales growth of 2%-4% for 2026, with adjusted operating income expected between $2.1 billion and $2.3 billion [25][26] - Management acknowledged challenges in the beef segment due to tight cattle supplies and potential heifer retention impacting future supply [26][47] Other Important Information - The company has made significant progress in capital allocation, maintaining net leverage at 2.1 times and returning $893 million to shareholders through dividends and repurchases [24] - The recent launch of high-protein chicken cuts has achieved nationwide distribution, indicating strong consumer demand for convenient, protein-rich options [10][11] - The company plans to remove certain additives from its products by year-end, aligning with consumer preferences for healthier options [11] Q&A Session Summary Question: Guidance on chicken segment for 2026 - Management indicated that the chicken segment is expected to perform well, with a guidance range of $1.25 billion to $1.5 billion in adjusted operating income, based on stable grain prices and improved execution [32][33] Question: Prepared foods performance and outlook - Management acknowledged that the prepared foods segment faced challenges due to rising commodity costs but remains optimistic about growth driven by operational excellence and innovation [39][40] Question: Beef segment challenges and cattle supply - Management discussed the impact of heifer retention and cattle supply on the beef segment, indicating a challenging environment for 2026 with expected adjusted operating income losses [46][47] Question: CAPEX guidance for 2026 - Management explained that the CAPEX range of $700 million to $1 billion reflects the pacing of current projects and timing of new initiatives, emphasizing a disciplined capital allocation approach [48][49] Question: Seasonal expectations for beef in Q1 2026 - Management noted that while there is good retail demand, volatility in cattle prices is expected, and operational performance remains strong [72][73]