Summary of Texas Instruments Inc. (TXN) Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Texas Instruments Inc. (TXN) - **Industry**: Semiconductor, specifically focusing on analog and embedded processing Key Financial Highlights - **Quarterly Revenue**: Reported revenue of $4.42 billion, in line with Goldman Sachs (GS) estimate of $4.41 billion but slightly below the Street estimate of $4.46 billion [3] - **Gross Margin**: 55.9%, exceeding GS estimate of 55.0% and Street estimate of 54.9% [3] - **Operating Margin**: 33.3%, above GS estimate of 32.0% and Street estimate of 33.0% [3] - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: $1.27, close to GS estimate of $1.25 and Street estimate of $1.30, but included a $0.06 reduction not factored into guidance [3] Guidance and Future Outlook - **1Q Revenue Guidance**: Expected to be $4.50 billion at midpoint, above GS estimate of $4.32 billion and Street estimate of $4.42 billion, indicating a QoQ increase of approximately 2% [6] - **1Q EPS Guidance**: Expected to be $1.35 at midpoint, above GS estimate of $1.22 and Street estimate of $1.25 [6] - **Long-term EPS Estimates**: Increased by an average of 8% for 2025-2027, reflecting higher revenue and modestly improved gross margins [7] Market and Inventory Insights - **End Market Trends**: Industrial revenue declined mid-single digits QoQ, automotive down low-single digits, personal electronics down mid-teens, and communications equipment down mid-teens [5] - **Data Center Revenue**: New breakout showing mid-single digits QoQ growth, contributing $1.5 billion in revenue for 2025 [5] - **Inventory Levels**: Flat inventory at $4.8 billion, down $25 million sequentially, indicating a positive trend after 17 consecutive quarters of increases [5] Competitive Positioning - **Peer Comparison**: While TXN is seeing a recovery, peers like Microchip, NXP, and Analog Devices are managing inventory levels more proactively, leading to faster gross margin recovery and upward earnings revisions [1] - **Rating**: Goldman Sachs maintains a Sell rating on TXN due to expected ongoing gross margin headwinds [1][9] Price Target and Risks - **Price Target**: Raised to $175 from $156, based on a 25x P/E multiple applied to normalized EPS estimate of $7.00 [8] - **Key Upside Risks**: Include potential upside in end-demand across key verticals, reversal in market share dynamics, and better-than-expected gross margin performance [8] Conclusion - Texas Instruments is gradually regaining momentum in core markets, but faces challenges with gross margin estimates that may be too high. The company is positioned for modest growth, but competitive pressures and inventory management strategies of peers could impact its recovery trajectory [9]

Market Overview - US stock market showed mixed results as investors digested the latest Federal Reserve interest rate decision, with the Dow Jones increasing by 12.19 points (0.02%) to 49,015.60, and the Nasdaq rising by 0.17% to 23,857.45, while the S&P 500 slightly declined by 0.01% to 6,978.03, marking an intraday historical high above 7,000 points [3] Technology Sector Performance - Star tech stocks exhibited divergence, with Nvidia rising by 1.59%, Google by 0.38%, and Microsoft by 0.22%. In contrast, Tesla fell by 0.10%, while Meta, Amazon, and Apple dropped over 0.6%, with Apple down by 0.7% and Oracle down by 1.20% [4][5] - The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index increased by 0.32%, with Alibaba up by 1.70%, NetEase by 1.46%, and Baidu by 0.02%. However, JD.com fell by 0.92% and Pinduoduo dropped by 3.84% [4] Semiconductor Sector Insights - The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index rose by 2.3%, with Intel increasing by 11.04% and Texas Instruments by 9.9%. However, ASML saw a decline of 2.1% despite reporting record net sales of €9.7 billion for Q4 2025, exceeding market expectations [6] - ASML's order volume reached €13.2 billion, double the analysts' average forecast, and the company raised its sales outlook for 2026 to between €34 billion and €39 billion, compared to the analysts' expectation of €35 billion [6] Federal Reserve and Economic Indicators - The Federal Reserve decided to maintain interest rates, citing robust economic expansion and signs of stabilization in the unemployment rate. Fed Chair Jerome Powell indicated that current monetary policy is not significantly tight [6][7] - The current inflation level is slightly above the Fed's target, while unemployment has risen, creating a contradiction that keeps the Fed's policy stance neutral until data changes necessitate a clear choice [7] Commodity Market Movements - Precious metals saw strong gains, with COMEX gold futures for January delivery rising by 4.36% to $5,301.60 per ounce, and silver futures increasing by 7.19% to $113.11 per ounce [8]

Chip Makers Point to Accelerating Demand. It's a Big Deal. - Barron'sSkip to Main ContentThis copy is for your personal, non-commercial use only. Distribution and use of this material are governed by our Subscriber Agreement and by copyright law. For non-personal use or to order multiple copies, please contact Dow Jones Reprints at 1-800-843-0008 or visit www.djreprints.com.# Chip Makers Point to Accelerating Demand. It's a Big Deal.By [Tae Kim]ShareResize---ReprintsIn this article[TXN][ASML][2330][NVDA]Thi ...

Core Viewpoint - Texas Instruments Inc's stock rose after analysts raised price targets following a positive quarterly outlook despite slightly missing revenue and earnings expectations Financial Performance - The company reported Q4 revenue of $4.42 billion and earnings per share of $1.27, slightly below analyst forecasts of $4.44 billion and $1.30 per share, but revenue increased by 10% year-over-year [2] - For Q1, Texas Instruments projected revenue between $4.32 billion and $4.68 billion and earnings per share between $1.22 and $1.48, compared to consensus estimates of $4.42 billion in revenue and $1.26 per share in earnings [3] Analyst Ratings and Price Targets - Cantor Fitzgerald analyst Matthew Prisco maintained a Neutral rating and raised the price target from $190 to $225 [3] - Benchmark analyst Cody Acree reiterated a Buy rating and increased the price target from $220 to $250 [4] - Rosenblatt analyst Kevin Cassidy also maintained a Buy rating, raising the price target from $200 to $240 [4] Market Demand and Growth Outlook - Analysts noted improved momentum in the Industrial and Data Center segments, with Texas Instruments forecasting positive sequential growth for the first time since 2010 [5] - The company is experiencing a recovery supported by better order patterns, a growing backlog, and increased "turns" business, particularly in data centers and industrial markets [6][8] - Data center revenue surged 70% year-over-year in Q4, contributing significantly to overall growth [11] Segment Performance - Each segment contributed approximately 33% to 2025 revenue, with Industrial sales up 12% year-over-year and Automotive sales up 6%, despite sequential declines due to normal seasonality [9] - The data center segment is expected to exceed 12% of total revenue in 2026, up from about 9% in 2025 [12] Stock Performance - Texas Instruments stock increased by 9.25% to $214.87 following the positive outlook and guidance [13]

Core Insights - Texas Instruments (TXN) stock has shown moderate returns over the past year compared to peers benefiting from the AI and data center boom [2] - The company is expected to see a significant recovery in free cash flow by 2026 due to lower capital expenditures, despite slower revenue growth [2] - TXN's strategic focus on industrial, automotive, and data center markets is projected to account for 75% of its revenue by 2025 [2] Revenue and Profitability - TXN's operating margin stands at 34.8%, which is lower than Broadcom's (AVGO) 40.8%, indicating a focus on industrial and automotive sectors [2] - The company's last twelve months (LTM) revenue growth is 9.9%, which is less than that of competitors like Analog Devices (ADI) and AVGO, attributed to their strong AI chip offerings [2] Valuation Metrics - TXN's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 35.44, reflecting a cautious outlook on its industrial and automotive sectors [3] - The stock has increased by 8.5%, but this is overshadowed by competitors who are excelling due to advancements in AI and data center growth [3]

Core Viewpoint - Texas Instruments Incorporated (TI) will conduct a webcast on February 24, 2026, to discuss its capital management strategy and performance metrics for 2025 [1][2]. Group 1: Webcast Details - The webcast will feature key executives including Haviv Ilan (CEO), Rafael Lizardi (CFO), and Mike Beckman (Head of Investor Relations) [2]. - The focus will be on maximizing long-term growth of free cash flow per share and reviewing 2025 performance against capital management metrics [2]. Group 2: Company Overview - Texas Instruments is a global semiconductor company that designs, manufactures, and sells analog and embedded processing chips for various markets including industrial, automotive, data center, personal electronics, and communications equipment [4]. - The company aims to make electronics more affordable through its semiconductor innovations, emphasizing reliability, affordability, and lower power consumption [4].

Texas Instruments Incorporated ( TXN ) just reported its Q4 and full-year results , which weren’t particularly great; however, the guidance completely overshadowed the lackluster results, sending its shares up over 8% so far on theMSc in Finance. Long-term horizon investor mostly with 5-10 year horizon. I like to keep investing simple. I believe a portfolio should consist of a mix of growth, value, and dividend-paying stocks but usually end up looking for value more than anything. I also sell options from t ...

Core Viewpoint - The surge in demand for artificial intelligence data center hardware has led to a rebound in chip manufacturers' stock prices, with Texas Instruments and other manufacturers showing optimistic performance, indicating that this momentum is expanding beyond Nvidia's high-end processors [1][3]. Group 1: Company Performance - Texas Instruments reported a positive quarterly forecast, highlighting that the booming demand for AI data centers is driving chip demand beyond Nvidia's advanced processors [2][4]. - Texas Instruments' stock price increased by approximately 8.5%, while Seagate's stock surged by 17.7%. In contrast, ASML's stock fell by 2.3% after earlier gains of 7.5% [1][3]. - Other AI-related chip manufacturers, including Nvidia, Micron, AMD, and Intel, also saw their stock prices rise, continuing the upward trend across the industry [1][3]. Group 2: Industry Trends - The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index rose by 1.7%, reflecting the overall positive sentiment in the semiconductor sector [2][4]. - LSEG data indicates that the technology sector's earnings are driven by the AI boom and overall growth in U.S. companies, with an expected growth of about 27%, compared to 9.2% for S&P 500 companies [5]. - The revenue growth rate for the technology sector is approximately 18%, while the overall growth rate for the S&P 500 is 7.3% [5]. Group 3: Market Challenges - A global shortage of memory chips casts a shadow over the demand for personal electronic products, with expectations that sales of smartphones and personal computers (Texas Instruments' primary market) will be affected [5]. - Morgan Stanley believes that Texas Instruments is unlikely to face supply shortages due to low global factory utilization, although geopolitical risks remain unpredictable, and U.S.-centered production may expose Texas Instruments to overseas tariffs [5].

Core Viewpoint - Texas Instruments Inc (NASDAQ:TXN) shares have increased by 8.2% to $212.80 despite disappointing fourth-quarter results, driven by strong demand in AI data centers and a positive first-quarter forecast [1]. Group 1: Financial Performance - The fourth-quarter earnings reported were $1.27 per share with revenue of $4.42 billion [1]. - The stock has risen 22.8% since the beginning of 2026, indicating a strong upward trend [2]. Group 2: Analyst Reactions - Several analysts have raised their price targets for TXN, with Bank of America upgrading the stock from "underperform" to "neutral" and setting a new price objective of $235 [2]. - The upgrade is attributed to rebounds in the industrial sector and strength in the data center market [2]. Group 3: Options Trading Activity - Options traders are actively engaging with TXN, with 34,000 calls and 19,000 puts traded, which is 2.6 times the stock's average daily options volume [3]. - The most popular options contract is the February 220 call, indicating strong interest in the stock's upward movement [3]. - Texas Instruments' Schaeffer's Volatility Scorecard (SVS) is at a high 98 out of 100, suggesting that the stock has historically exceeded volatility expectations [3].

Core Insights - Texas Instruments (TXN) reported Q4 2025 earnings per share (EPS) of $1.27, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 2.3% but exceeding the midpoint of management's guidance of $1.13 to $1.39. The EPS decreased by 2% year over year [1][8] - The company generated revenues of $4.42 billion, which was 0.3% below the Zacks Consensus Estimate but above the midpoint of management's guidance of $4.22-$4.58 billion, reflecting a 10% year-over-year increase [2][8] Revenue Breakdown - Texas Instruments operates in three segments: Analog, Embedded Processing, and Other - Analog segment revenues were $3.62 billion, accounting for 81.7% of total revenues, up 14% year over year and above the model estimate of $3.53 billion [3] - Embedded Processing revenues reached $662 million, representing 15% of total revenues, an 8% increase year over year, surpassing the model estimate of $618.7 million [3] - Other segment revenues totaled $146 million, making up 3.3% of total revenues, down 34% year over year and missing the model estimate of $276.1 million [4] Operating Performance - Gross profit increased by 7% year over year to $2.47 billion, with a gross margin of 55.9%, which contracted by 190 basis points year over year [5] - Selling, general and administrative (SG&A) expenses remained flat at $446 million year over year, with SG&A as a percentage of revenues contracting by 100 basis points to 10.1% [5] - Research and development expenses grew by 6.1% to $521 million, decreasing as a percentage of revenues by 160 basis points to 11.8% [5] - Operating profit rose by 7% year over year to $1.47 billion, with an operating margin of 33.3%, which contracted by 110 basis points from the prior year [6] Balance Sheet and Cash Flow - As of December 31, 2025, cash and short-term investments were $4.88 billion, down from $5.19 billion as of September 30, 2025 [7] - Long-term debt was $13.548 billion, a slight increase from $13.546 billion in the previous quarter [7] - Operating cash flow for Q4 was approximately $2.25 billion, with $403 million spent on stock repurchases and $1.29 billion paid in dividends [7][9] Guidance for Q1 2026 - Texas Instruments expects Q1 2026 revenues to be between $4.32 billion and $4.68 billion, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate currently at $4.39 billion, indicating a 7.9% increase year over year [10] - The company anticipates EPS in the range of $1.22 to $1.48, with the consensus mark at $1.30 per share, suggesting a 1.6% year-over-year increase [10]