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三大股指期货齐跌 特朗普提名沃什掌舵美联储 金银“高台跳水”
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2026-01-30 12:56
Market Movements - US stock index futures are all down, with Dow futures down 0.32%, S&P 500 futures down 0.37%, and Nasdaq futures down 0.49% [1] - European indices show positive movement, with Germany's DAX up 1.04%, UK's FTSE 100 up 0.45%, France's CAC40 up 0.76%, and the Euro Stoxx 50 up 1.04% [2][3] - WTI crude oil is down 0.61% at $65.02 per barrel, while Brent crude oil is down 0.73% at $69.08 per barrel [3][4] Market News - Trump's nomination of Kevin Warsh for the Federal Reserve chair may face hurdles due to ongoing investigations, with some Republican senators indicating they will block nominations until legal issues are resolved [5] - The financial market perceives Warsh as a more hawkish candidate compared to current chair Powell, potentially leading to tighter monetary policies [5] - Gold and silver prices have seen significant declines, with gold dropping over 5% to $5,099 per ounce and silver down over 12% to $101.4 per ounce, raising concerns about the sustainability of recent price increases [6] - The temporary agreement between Trump and Senate Democrats aims to prevent a government shutdown, although further negotiations are ongoing [6] Investment Strategies - Bank of America indicates that global stock markets are flashing sell signals, with 89% of MSCI stock index prices above their 50-day and 200-day moving averages, surpassing the 88% threshold considered a sell signal [7] - Jeff Gundlach, known as the "new bond king," advises avoiding the US market due to high inflation and a weakening dollar, recommending a 30%-40% allocation to non-US stocks, particularly emerging markets [8] Company News - Apple reported record Q1 earnings of $143.8 billion, a 16% year-over-year increase, driven by a 23% increase in iPhone revenue to $85.3 billion, with significant growth in the Greater China region [9] - Apple CEO Tim Cook announced a partnership with Google to develop a more personalized Siri, while also warning of supply constraints due to 3nm chip production limitations [10] - Sandisk's Q2 revenue is projected to grow 61.2% to $3.03 billion, exceeding market expectations, with a strong performance in data center and consumer segments [11] - Western Digital reported a 25% increase in revenue to $3.02 billion, with net profit surging 296%, driven by AI infrastructure demand [12] - KLA Corporation's Q2 revenue grew 7.2% to $3.3 billion, benefiting from AI infrastructure expansion, but concerns about valuation risks have emerged [13] - Visa's Q1 adjusted earnings were $3.17 per share, a 15% increase, with total payment volume reaching $3.87 trillion, exceeding expectations [14] - ExxonMobil's Q4 adjusted net profit was $1.71 per share, driven by increased oil production and refining margins, while Chevron's Q4 adjusted earnings were $1.52 per share, with plans for production growth [15][16] - Coterra Energy and Devon Energy are reportedly in talks for a potential merger, which could be one of the largest oil and gas deals in recent years [17]
西部数据电话会:2026年产能已售罄,长约签署到2028年,AI推理正在重塑HDD估值体系
硬AI· 2026-01-30 12:45
Core Insights - Western Digital's gross margin surged to 46.1%, with incremental gross margin expectations reaching 75% due to price increases and cost reductions [2][4][35] - CEO Irving Tan announced that 2026 production capacity is sold out, with long-term agreements signed with three of the top five customers extending to 2027-2028 [4][10][12] - The demand for HDDs is expected to grow structurally driven by AI inference applications, which generate vast amounts of new data that require low-cost storage [2][18][20] Financial Performance - In Q2 of FY2026, Western Digital reported revenue of $3.02 billion and adjusted EPS of $2.13, both exceeding market expectations [3][4] - Net profit for the quarter reached $1.84 billion, or $4.73 per share, marking a 210% increase from $594 million ($1.27 per share) in the same quarter last year [4][35] - The company delivered 215 exabytes of data, a 22% year-over-year increase, including over 3.5 million units of the latest generation ePMR drives [33][34] Margin and Cost Dynamics - The gross margin improvement reflects a shift towards high-capacity drives and strict cost control across manufacturing and supply chains [35] - CFO Kris Sennesael confirmed that the incremental margin is around 75%, driven by a 2-3% increase in average selling price per terabyte and a 10% year-over-year decrease in manufacturing costs per terabyte [7][8][43] Long-term Agreements and Customer Relationships - Western Digital has secured all firm purchase orders for 2026 from its top seven customers and signed long-term agreements with three of the top five customers, indicating strong customer trust and recognition of value [10][12][46] - The long-term agreements include both pricing and quantity terms, reflecting a strategic approach to managing customer relationships in a tight supply environment [13][63] Technology and Market Trends - The company is accelerating the customer validation timeline for HAMR (Heat-Assisted Magnetic Recording) technology by six months due to supply pressures [17][56] - The transition from AI model training to inference applications is expected to create significant storage demand, benefiting HDDs as data centers return large amounts of inference data to HDDs [18][20][59] Future Outlook - For Q3 FY2026, Western Digital expects revenue of $3.2 billion, reflecting approximately 40% year-over-year growth, with gross margin projected between 47% and 48% [38] - The company continues to focus on supporting customer needs for exabyte-scale storage while completing the certification and release of next-generation ePMR and HAMR drives [30][38]
特朗普宣布下任美联储主席提名人选;美股三大期指齐跌,黄金股大跌;苹果iPhone销售创历史新高,在华收入增近38%【美股盘前】
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2026-01-30 12:09
每经记者|岳楚鹏 每经编辑|段炼 兰素英 ⑥ 【Q2业绩大超预期,闪迪涨超20%】当地时间1月29日, 闪迪2026财年Q2财报显示,得益于AI存储需求的激增,闪迪当季营收30.3亿美元,同比增长 61.2%,高于26.9亿美元的普遍预期;每股收益为5.15美元,而市场普遍预期为3.54美元。调整后毛利率为51.1%,远强于42%的预期。截至发稿,闪迪上 涨20.9%。 ⑦ 【特朗普宣布美联储主席提名人选】1月30日,据新华社报道,美国总统特朗普30日提名美联储前理事凯文·沃什为下任美联储主席,这一提名还需获得 参议院批准。 ⑧ 【游戏驿站正准备收购一家大型上市公司】当地时间1月29日,据媒体报道,游戏驿站首席执行官表示,正瞄准一家大型上市公司进行收购,目标是将 市值提升至1000亿美元。截至发稿,游戏驿站上涨0.13%。 ⑨ 北京时间1月30日21:30,美国12月PPI月率公布。 (免责声明:本文内容与数据仅供参考,不构成投资建议,使用前请核实。据此操作,风险自担。) ① 【三大期指齐跌】道指期货跌0.81%、标普500指数期货跌0.87%、纳指期货跌1.09%。 ② 【黄金股大跌,黄金一度跌破5000美 ...
【美股盘前】黄金股大跌,黄金一度跌破5000美元/盎司;Q2业绩大超预期,闪迪涨超20%;苹果iPhone销售创历史新高,在华收入增近38%;特朗普将于...
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2026-01-30 10:48
④ 【苹果iPhone销售创历史新高,在华收入增近38%】当地时间1月29日,苹果2026财年Q1财报显示, 营收同比增长16%,iPhone销售收入同比增23%,iPhone销量创历史新高。苹果在大中华区录得营收 255.3亿美元,同比增长37.9%,扭转了上一财季同比下降3.6%的势头。截至发稿,苹果下跌0.2%。 ① 【三大期指齐跌】道指期货跌0.81%、标普500指数期货跌0.87%、纳指期货跌1.09%。 ② 【黄金股大跌,黄金一度跌破5000美元/盎司】黄金股盘前大跌,黄金日内一度跌破5000美元/盎司。 截至发稿,现货黄金下跌7.96%,现货白银下跌12.79%。科尔黛伦矿业跌约10%,哈莫尼黄金跌约7%, 泛美白银跌约9%。 ③ 【芯片股普跌】芯片股盘前普跌。截至发稿,英伟达下跌1.83%,英特尔下跌2.53%,AMD下跌 2.86%。 免责声明:本文内容与数据仅供参考,不构成投资建议,使用前核实。据此操作,风险自担。 ⑤ 【2026年产能已售罄,西部数据跌超5%】当地时间1月29日,西部数据2026财年Q2财报显示,当季 营收达到30.2亿美元,调整后每股收益2.13美元,双双超市场预期。净 ...
Are Wall Street Analysts Bullish on Western Digital Stock?
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-30 10:25
Core Insights - Western Digital Corporation (WDC) is valued at $95.6 billion and is a leading data storage technology company, specializing in hard disk drives (HDDs) and supporting data-intensive applications like cloud computing and artificial intelligence [1] Stock Performance - WDC stock has increased by 491.1% over the past 52 weeks, significantly outperforming the S&P 500 Index's 15.4% gains [2] - In the last six months, WDC shares rose by 294.3%, compared to the S&P 500's 9.4% increase [2] - The stock has also surpassed the Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund's (XLK) 26.8% gains over the past year and 11.2% over the past six months [3] Financial Performance - For Q2 fiscal 2026, WDC reported revenue of $3.02 billion, a 25% increase year-over-year, driven by strong demand from cloud and hyperscale customers [4] - Non-GAAP EPS for the quarter was $2.13, reflecting a 78% annual increase, with gross margins expanding to 46.1% [4] - The company generated operating cash flow of $745 million and free cash flow of $653 million, indicating strong profitability [4] Future Outlook - Management provided guidance for Q3 FY2026, expecting revenue of approximately $3.2 billion and further margin improvement [4] - For fiscal 2026, analysts project earnings of $7.17 per share, representing a 58.3% year-over-year increase [5] - Among 25 analysts covering WDC, the consensus rating is a "Strong Buy," with 20 "Strong Buys," one "Moderate Buy," and four "Holds" [5]
西部数据(WDC.US)2026财年第二季度电话会:2026年的产能基本已售罄
智通财经网· 2026-01-30 06:22
智通财经APP获悉,西部数据(WDC.US)召开2026财年第二季度财报电话会。CEO Irving Tan透露2026日 历年的产能基本已售罄,已与前七大客户签订了确定采购订单。公司还与其中两家签订了覆盖2027年的 长期协议(LTA),与另一家签订了覆盖2028年的协议。Irving Tan强调AI推理应用将驱动HDD需求结 构性增长,推理过程生成海量的新数据,这些数据需要被低成本地存储。 Q&A 问答 主持人: 下午好,感谢您的耐心等待。欢迎参加西部数据2026财年第二季度电话会议。目前,所有参会者都处于 仅听模式。稍后,我们将进行问答环节。(操作员说明)提醒一下,本次通话正在录音。现在,我将把 会议交给投资者关系副总裁Ambrish Srivastava先生。您可以开始了。 Ambrish Srivastava,投资者关系副总裁: 谢谢,大家下午好。今天与我一同参会的有西部数据首席执行官Irving Tan和首席财务官Kris Sennesael。 在开始之前,请注意今天的讨论将包含基于管理层当前假设和预期的前瞻性陈述,这些陈述受到各种风 险和不确定性的影响。这些前瞻性陈述包括对我们产品组合、业务计划 ...
Western Digital Corporation 2026 Q2 - Results - Earnings Call Presentation (NASDAQ:WDC) 2026-01-30
Seeking Alpha· 2026-01-30 05:11
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西部数据电话会:2026年产能已售罄,长约签署到2028年,AI推理正在重塑HDD估值体系
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2026-01-30 04:50
1月29日,西部数据发布了2026财年第二季度财报,当季营收达到30.2亿美元,调整后每股收益2.13美元,双双超市场预期。 财报显示,西部数据第二财季净利润达到18.4亿美元,约合每股4.73美元,较去年同期的5.94亿美元(每股1.27美元)实现了210%增长。 尽管财务数据亮眼,但盘后股价下跌近3%。分析认为西部数据股价在1月份已大幅上涨超60%,利好出尽与获利回吐导致部分投资者选择在亮眼 财报公布后"卖出事实"以锁定利润。 在随后的财报电话会上,管理层表态关于"产能天花板"和"定价权"的极限。CEO Irving Tan直接指出:2026年产能已全部售罄,甚至有客户签下了 到2028年的供应长约。 利润狂飙,CFO确认75%增量毛利 财报显示公司Q2毛利率同比暴增770个基点至46.1%,且Q3指引进一步看高至48%。 富国银行资深分析师Aaron Rakers在现场直接"算账": 根据47%-48%的指引,你们的增量毛利率(Incremental Margin)似乎维持在70%甚至75%的高位,这种暴利能持续吗? CFO Kris Sennesael确认了分析师的测算: Aaron,你的数学很好。增 ...
西部数据:初步点评:业绩强劲,指引向好
2026-01-30 03:14
29 January 2026 | 4:26PM EST Equity Research Western Digital Corp. (WDC): First Take: Strong results and guidance Key stock takeaways: We expect the stock to trade up following a strong quarter, with guidance well above the Street. We believe investor expectations were elevated given Seagate's strong report, as well as growing confidence in continued pricing and margin momentum as HDD shortages persist. We expect investors to focus on critical elements of management's commentary on the conference call, incl ...
1月30日国际晨讯丨美联储新主席人选即将宣布 苹果公司财报大超预期
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-30 01:15
1月29日国际金、银价格冲高后急跌;瑞士百达资管:黄金将持续受益于"货币贬值担忧";苹果2026财 年第一财季营收创历史新高;闪迪2026财年第二财季营收增长61%;美联储新主席人选即将宣布;特朗 普称计划同伊朗对话。 【市场回顾】 北京时间1月30日,日韩股市主要股指走势分化。北京时间8时07分,韩国综合指数在开盘小幅走低后转 涨,涨幅为0.5%,日经225指数在高开后转跌,下跌0.17%。 当地时间1月29日,国际金、银价格冲高后急跌。现货黄金一度触及5598.75美元/盎司,随后跳水,日 内跌幅一度超5%;现货白银价格日内跌幅一度超8%。截至收盘,贵金属价格跌幅收窄,现货黄金跌 0.68%,现货白银跌0.63%。 当地时间1月29日,美股三大股指收盘涨跌不一。截至收盘,道琼斯工业指数涨0.11%报49071.56点,标 普500指数跌0.13%报6969.01点,纳斯达克指数跌0.72%报23685.12点。 当地时间1月29日,欧洲主要股指收盘涨跌不一。德国DAX指数跌1.92%报24347.16点;法国CAC40指 数涨0.06%报8071.36点;英国富时100指数涨0.17%报10171.76点 ...