2 太空光伏：冉冉升起的 卫星能源市场 主讲人： 胡子慧 中金公司研究部光伏分析师 SAC 执证编号：S0080524020015 SFC CE Ref：BUX615 1 观点聚焦 商业航天蓬勃发展背景下，太空光伏作为其电源系统升级的核心方向，在星座批量组网的牵引下正迈 向技术路线升级与产业化交付的新阶段。随着我国低轨星座进入密集部署期、单星功率持续上行叠加 太空算力等新应用场景推进探索，我们建议把握太空光伏带来的全产业链变革，持续关注制造产业端 落地密集催化。 ◼ 太空经济成为科技竞争核心赛道，光伏是空间环境首选能源。太阳能是太空中高效、长期的能源供 给方式，而太阳能电池是供电能力关键。卫星电源分系统中的太阳能电池阵（太阳翼）决定卫星供 电能力及功率。伴随卫星制造进入"工业化"大规模生产时代，在轨道与频谱资源稀缺、国际规则约 束强化的背景下，全球低轨卫星布局正加快增长。同时，太空算力等应用新场景进一步打开卫星功 耗需求空间。我们认为，卫星数量+单星功耗扩容共同推动空间太阳电池阵（太阳翼）降本增效新 需求。 ◼ 太空光伏技术路线迭代百花齐放，市场空间广阔可期。面对复杂的太空环境和不断迭代的太阳翼面 积及形态， ...

证券研究报告 2026.01.19 核聚变之光 04：聚焦 2026 核聚变能科技与 产业大会 郭威秀 分析员 刘中玉 分析员 SAC 执证编号：S0080521120004 SFC CE Ref：BSI157 weixiu.guo@cicc.com.cn SAC 执证编号：S0080521060003 SFC CE Ref：BSP722 zhongyu.liu@cicc.com.cn 纵轴：相对值（%） 84 100 116 132 148 164 2025-01 2025-04 2025-07 2025-10 2026-01 沪深300 中金机械 中金一级行业：工业 资料来源：Wind，彭博资讯，中金公司研究部 行业动态 行业近况 2026 年 1 月 16-17 日，由安徽聚变产业联合会、中国科学院合 肥物质科学研究院、聚变新能（安徽）有限公司联合举办的 "2026 核聚变能科技与产业大会"在安徽省合肥市庐阳区 CRAFT园区顺利开幕，本次大会重点围绕BEST、CRAFT等项 目的核心材料及关键设备技术突破进行主题汇报。 评论 政策确定性强，战略红利持续释放。聚变能源作为国家"十五 五"规划明确的新经济 ...

李求索 分析员 魏冬 分析员 黄凯松 分析员 SAC 执证编号：S0080523070023 SFC CE Ref：BSV154 证券研究报告 2026.01.23 公募四季报回顾：加仓有色/通信，减仓 电子/医药 SAC 执证编号：S0080513070004 SFC CE Ref：BDO991 qiusuo.li@cicc.com.cn SAC 执证编号：S0080521070010 SFC CE Ref：BRQ876 kaisong.huang@cicc.com.cn 公募基金四季度仓位变动：股票仓位有所下降；A股仓位上升，港股继续下降 2025 年四季度，A股整体窄幅震荡。11 月中上旬，受中美关系阶段性缓和与"十五五"政策预期带 动，上证指数一度刷新年内高点；其后在美联储降息节奏反复、市场对AI估值泡沫担忧升温等因素扰动 下，风险偏好有所回落；至 12 月中旬跨年行情启动，市场再度走强。总体来看，四季度上证指数上涨 2.2%；前期表现强势的成长风格回调，科创 50 下跌 10.1%，跌幅靠前，创业板指收跌 1.1%；偏大盘 的上证 50 上涨 1.4%而沪深 300 微跌 0.2%；偏中小盘的中证 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the leisure snack industry, indicating a transition to the 3.0 phase characterized by "quality and efficiency cultivation" [2][28]. Core Insights - The leisure snack retail model is highly efficient and continues to expand, with an estimated 55,000 to 60,000 stores by the end of 2025, projecting a long-term potential of 80,000 to 100,000 stores [2][19]. - The competitive landscape of the leisure snack industry has become clearer, with leading brands entering a phase of quality and efficiency improvement, which is expected to enhance profitability in the future [2][28]. - The industry has evolved through three phases: 1.0 (rapid growth), 2.0 (market consolidation), and now 3.0 (operational optimization and supply chain efficiency) [27][28]. Summary by Sections Industry Development - The leisure snack retail sector has seen significant growth, with the number of stores increasing from approximately 2,500 in 2021 to an estimated 25,000 by the end of 2023, and further growth to 35,000 to 40,000 by the end of 2024 [3][6]. - The market share of the leisure snack retail channel has risen from 0.23% in 2019 to an expected 3.21% by 2024, with a compound annual growth rate of 77.9% from 2019 to 2024 [11][12]. Competitive Landscape - The report highlights a dual-strong competitive structure emerging in the 3.0 phase, with major players like Mingming Hen Mang and Wancheng Group expected to have over 22,000 and 19,000 stores respectively by the end of 2025 [2][28]. - The industry is witnessing a trend of brands expanding their product categories, including the introduction of discount supermarket models and private label products to enhance competitiveness [31][42]. Supply Chain and Product Development - Leading companies are focusing on supply chain efficiency, with improvements in inventory turnover days and operating cycles, indicating better management of resources [39][42]. - The introduction of private label products is seen as a strategy to enhance profit margins and control over the supply chain, with notable examples including various beverage and snack products launched by Mingming Hen Mang [42][43].

Investment Rating - The report suggests that the general Agent will continue to be a competitive focus for major model manufacturers in 2026, indicating a positive investment outlook for Agent-related applications and ecosystem opportunities [5]. Core Insights - The competition in the general Agent field is intensifying among leading model manufacturers, with new iterations of Agent applications being released by companies like Anthropic, ByteDance, and Alibaba [3][4]. - The transition from ChatBot to Agent as the primary entry point for general model applications is underway, driven by advancements in core capabilities such as coding and Agentic functions [23]. - The report highlights that the next generation of Agent products will likely follow the aggressive path set by Anthropic's Claude Cowork, which integrates user file permissions for more direct interaction [12][13]. Summary by Sections Industry Dynamics - In early 2026, major players like Anthropic, ByteDance, and Alibaba have launched new iterations of general Agent applications, focusing on desktop environments as the new product definition [3]. - Anthropic's Claude Cowork, released on January 12, 2026, is designed as a desktop work Agent for non-programmers, allowing for direct file operations on users' computers [4][8]. Product Developments - Claude Cowork enhances user interaction by allowing direct access to local files, enabling tasks such as reading, writing, and organizing files without manual uploads [9]. - Domestic companies are also iterating their Agent products, with Alibaba's Qianwen and ByteDance's Coze 2.0 updates enhancing their respective ecosystems and productivity platforms [13]. Valuation and Recommendations - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring the evolution of Agent products and the related application ecosystem, as well as the increasing computational demands associated with these advancements [5][25]. - The anticipated growth in the Agent sector is expected to create significant investment opportunities, particularly in vertical industries with accumulated data and customer bases [25].

证券研究报告 2026.01.19 核聚变之光 04：聚焦 2026 核聚变能科技与 产业大会 郭威秀 分析员 刘中玉 分析员 SAC 执证编号：S0080521120004 SFC CE Ref：BSI157 weixiu.guo@cicc.com.cn SAC 执证编号：S0080521060003 SFC CE Ref：BSP722 zhongyu.liu@cicc.com.cn 纵轴：相对值（%） 84 100 116 132 148 164 2025-01 2025-04 2025-07 2025-10 2026-01 沪深300 中金机械 中金一级行业：工业 资料来源：Wind，彭博资讯，中金公司研究部 行业动态 行业近况 2026 年 1 月 16-17 日，由安徽聚变产业联合会、中国科学院合 肥物质科学研究院、聚变新能（安徽）有限公司联合举办的 "2026 核聚变能科技与产业大会"在安徽省合肥市庐阳区 CRAFT园区顺利开幕，本次大会重点围绕BEST、CRAFT等项 目的核心材料及关键设备技术突破进行主题汇报。 评论 政策确定性强，战略红利持续释放。聚变能源作为国家"十五 五"规划明确的新经济 ...

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the industry. Core Insights - The dexterous hand is a critical subsystem in humanoid robots, determining their functional limits and commercialization speed. It integrates perception, control, and intelligent decision-making, and its engineering complexity may account for half of the overall development effort of the robot [3][18]. - The technology path for dexterous hands is still in a phase of parallel exploration, with various transmission methods being tested, including tendon structures, gears, and linkages, each with its own advantages and challenges [3][40]. - The market demand for dexterous hands is expected to grow as the humanoid robot industry accelerates, with projections indicating a market capacity of 760,100 units and a value of approximately 1.706 billion yuan in 2024, potentially reaching 1.4121 million units and over 3 billion USD by 2030 [21][22]. Summary by Sections Section 1: Dexterous Hand - Multi-Technology Pathways - The dexterous hand plays a strategic role in humanoid robots, transitioning from "walking" to "working" capabilities, and is a key differentiator in competition [3][15]. - The development of dexterous hands is characterized by increasing degrees of freedom and integration of soft materials and biomimetic structures [28]. Section 2: Drive System - Focus on Cost Reduction of Brushless DC Motors - The drive system is considered the "muscle" of humanoid robots, primarily utilizing electric motor drives, including brushless DC motors, hollow cup motors, and frameless torque motors [60][67]. - Brushless DC motors are highlighted for their efficiency, longevity, and low maintenance, making them suitable for high-power and high-load applications [70]. Section 3: Transmission System - Ongoing Technical Iteration - Various transmission methods are being explored, including tendon, linkage, gear, and chain systems, each presenting unique advantages and challenges [43][44]. - The tendon transmission method is noted for its lightweight and flexibility, while gear transmission is recognized for its compactness and mechanical efficiency [44]. Section 4: Perception System - Accelerating Multi-Modal Fusion - The perception system is crucial for real-time monitoring of the dexterous hand's position, force, and tactile feedback, with an increasing number of tactile sensors being integrated [37][46]. - The current trend is towards flexible, cost-effective electronic skin technologies that enhance the dexterous hand's operational precision and stability [46]. Section 5: Market Dynamics - Diverse Stakeholder Engagement - The market for dexterous hands is characterized by a variety of manufacturers, with third-party suppliers and robot manufacturers coexisting, each bringing unique strengths to the market [55]. - The report indicates that the Linker Hand series by Lingxin has captured over 80% of the high-degree-of-freedom dexterous hand market, with monthly orders exceeding 1,000 units [55].

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage on Xinke Mobile (688387) with an "Outperform" rating and a target price of 22.61 CNY, based on a Sum-of-the-Parts (SOTP) valuation, indicating a potential upside of 18.9% [4]. Core Insights - Xinke Mobile is a leading player in the autonomous communication standard and system construction, with a strong technical foundation, having accumulated 17,170 patents by the end of 2024 and ranking tenth globally in effective 5G standard patents [4]. - The company is a core participant in satellite internet communication systems, leading the development of 21 5G NTN (Non-Terrestrial Network) standards, which account for about one-third of global initiatives [4]. - Xinke Mobile's satellite internet strategy includes a full-stack layout across the entire industry chain, enhancing its growth logic through advancements in phased array technology and payload value expansion [4]. - The company has established key patent licensing agreements with major overseas terminal manufacturers, including a $95 million patent licensing fee from Apple, showcasing its strong patent operation capabilities [4]. - The report highlights a significant difference in market perception, asserting that Xinke Mobile is a key payload supplier for satellite internet, poised to benefit from industry trends [4]. Revenue and Profit Forecast - The report forecasts revenues of 6.136 billion CNY, 6.227 billion CNY, and 8.012 billion CNY for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with net profits of -192 million CNY, 58 million CNY, and 330 million CNY for the same years [4]. - The expected EPS for 2025, 2026, and 2027 is -0.06 CNY, 0.02 CNY, and 0.10 CNY, respectively, with a CAGR of 289% from 2026 to 2027 [4]. Industry Overview - The global mobile communication industry is currently in the 5G phase, with significant advancements in standards and technology, including the establishment of the IMT-2020 (5G) promotion group in China [32]. - The integration of satellite and terrestrial networks is a key feature of the upcoming 6G era, with the report emphasizing the importance of satellite technology in enhancing communication coverage [37]. - The demand for low Earth orbit (LEO) satellite constellations is increasing, with significant improvements in download speeds and latency compared to traditional geostationary satellites [41]. - The report notes that the global satellite internet construction is entering a peak phase, driven by companies like SpaceX, which has significantly increased its satellite launch numbers [45]. - The Chinese government is actively supporting the commercial space sector, with policies aimed at fostering the development of satellite internet and related technologies [54].

阿里云：AI驱动下的全栈布 局与全球扩张机遇 白洋 分析员 SAC 执证编号：S0080520110002 SFC CE Ref：BGN055 yang3.bai@cicc.com.cn 徐卓楠 分析员 SAC 执证编号：S0080520080008 SFC CE Ref：BPR695 zhuonan.xu@cicc.com.cn 吴维佳, CFA 分析员 SAC 执证编号：S0080521010011 SFC CE Ref：BHR850 weijia.wu@cicc.com.cn 王秋婷 分析员 SAC 执证编号：S0080523030001 SFC CE Ref：BTK905 qiuting.wang@cicc.com.cn 刘泓蔚 分析员 SAC 执证编号：S0080524020012 hongwei.liu@cicc.com.cn 中金公司研究部 2026-01-14 0 概览 AI渗透与国际化扩张双轮驱动增长 我们估算未来3年阿里云收入CAGR有望超过30%。 利润率提升空间大，盈利韧性有望超预期 随着AI收入占比持续提高、海外高毛利业务占比提升，以及成本端规模效应的进一步显现，我们估算其利润率有 ...

Investment Rating - The report suggests a positive outlook for the wind power industry, indicating a comprehensive improvement in profitability across the supply chain by 2026 [5]. Core Insights - The report identifies three major trends that are expected to drive a more comprehensive improvement in profitability within the Chinese wind power supply chain in 2026: 1. Domestic onshore wind turbines are anticipated to show significant profitability rebound elasticity, benefiting from improved industry demand. 2. Export profitability and order elasticity are expected to expand across the industry. 3. Domestic offshore wind power is poised for significant potential during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period [24][22]. Summary by Sections Section 1: Outlook for Domestic and Overseas Wind Power Demand in 2026 - The domestic wind power installation is projected to reach 130-140 GW in 2026, with offshore wind contributing 10-12 GW. This growth is expected despite a high base in 2025, primarily driven by onshore wind demand [11][10]. Section 2: Three Major Trends Driving Profitability Improvement - The report outlines three trends that will enhance profitability in the wind power supply chain: 1. Onshore wind turbines are expected to experience a notable rebound in profitability, with component manufacturers also benefiting from favorable industry demand [24]. 2. The acceleration of exports is anticipated to broaden profitability and order elasticity across the industry [40]. 3. The domestic offshore wind sector is expected to have significant potential, particularly during the "14th Five-Year Plan" [24]. Section 3: Profitability Trends in Onshore Wind Turbines - The average price of domestic onshore wind turbines has shown a positive recovery trend, with an increase of approximately 8-10% in the average bidding price from 2024 to 2025 [27][31]. - The report indicates that the recovery in turbine prices is expected to continue, driven by a more stable competitive landscape and a focus on overseas markets by leading manufacturers [31]. Section 4: Export Growth and Market Expansion - Chinese wind turbine exports are accelerating, with new orders exceeding 20 GW in 2024, significantly higher than historical levels. The report forecasts continued growth in export orders through 2025 [42][41]. - The report highlights that the European market presents a substantial opportunity for Chinese manufacturers, with expectations of significant breakthroughs in the coming years [46]. Section 5: Offshore Wind Power Development - The report notes that while the offshore wind sector in Europe is experiencing challenges, government responses are being implemented to address these issues, indicating potential for future growth [49].