MiniMax:兼备SOTA级大模型研发能力、 全球化超级应用发展潜力的稀缺标的 于钟海 分析员 SAC 执证编号：S0080518070011 SFC CE Ref：BOP246 zhonghai.yu@cicc.com.cn 童思艺 分析员 SAC 执证编号：S0080524060015 SFC CE Ref：BVD355 siyi.tong@cicc.com.cn 中金公司研究部 2026-02-24 中金研究部 投资亮点 王倩蕾 分析员 SAC 执证编号：S0080524100004 qianlei.wang@cicc.com.cn 车姝韵 分析员 SAC 执证编号：S0080523050005 SFC CE Ref：BTM272 shuyun.che@cicc.com.cn ✓ 首次覆盖MINIMAX-WP（00100）。公司是目前国内少数在基础模型能力、全球化AI原生应用商业化两端同时跑通的公司，在AI赛道中具备稀缺性。 我们推荐理由如下： ✓ 国内最早押注原生全模态融合路线的基模厂商之一。随着Agent、世界模型推进，全模态理解与生成正逐步成为重要的基础能力。公司从成立 初期即同步推进文本、语音 ...

智谱 领跑中国大模型，开拓进取AGI 2026.2 中金研究部 中金公司研究部 赵丽萍 分析师 SAC Reg. No.: S0080516060004; SFC CE Ref: BEH709 王之昊 分析师 SAC Reg. No.: S0080522050001; SFC CE Ref: BSS168 袁佳妮 分析师 SAC Reg. No.: S0080523050003; SFC CE Ref: BTM577 投资要点 2 ✓ 源自清华的国产大模型领军，扎实的技术底蕴和模型能力是基石。公司成立于2019年，专注GLM系 列基座模型深耕，打磨Coding、推理、Agentic等模型核心能力。最新一代基座模型GLM-5在HLE、 SWE等多个基准评分中达到SOTA水准，并获得海内外用户广泛好评。 ✓ 模型商业价值兑现，赋能千行百业。公司依托MaaS平台输出模型能力，我们预计2023-2027年收入 CAGR达130%+。API收入将成为主要增长引擎。我们估计公司至2026年初API相关ARR已接近6亿元， 较去年同期已有数十倍的增长。同时，公司覆盖互联网、软件、芯片等千行百业，聚焦释放模型价值 赋能客户提 ...

证券研究报告 2026.02.11 人工智能十年展望（二十七）：越过"遗忘" 的边界，模型记忆的三层架构与产业机遇 SAC 执证编号：S0080518070011 SFC CE Ref：BOP246 于钟海 分析员 韩蕊 分析员 王之昊 分析员 SAC 执证编号：S0080523070010 SFC CE Ref：BXD683 rui.han@cicc.com.cn SAC 执证编号：S0080522050001 SFC CE Ref：BSS168 zhihao3.wang@cicc.com.cn 纵轴：相对值（%） 88 100 112 124 136 148 2025-02 2025-05 2025-08 2025-10 2026-01 沪深300 中金软件及服务 投资建议 大模型的演进史，本质上是一部与"遗忘"抗争的历史。当我们惊 叹于模型的推理能力时，往往忽视了一个重要短板：在缺乏记忆留 存的架构下，模型每一次对历史信息的处理，本质上都是一次昂贵 的"重复计算"。这种以高昂算力对抗遗忘的粗放模式，正面临着显 存墙与上下文窗口的物理极限。我们认为，2026 年及之后的AI Infra主战场将增加"模型记 ...

Investment Rating - The report rates the industry as a "Buy" based on the growth potential and competitive advantages of the company in the precision injection molding sector [4]. Core Insights - The company, Weike Technology, is positioned as a leader in integrated molding solutions, focusing on precision injection molds and components for various industries, including automotive and healthcare [10][19]. - The report highlights the dual growth tracks of robotics and multi-purpose optical (MPO) components, indicating a robust market opportunity [57][68]. - The company has demonstrated strong revenue growth, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 18.9% from 2020 to 2024, and a significant recovery post-pandemic [16][22]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Weike Technology has been in the precision injection molding industry for 20 years and has expanded into new energy components [8]. - The company has established a dual domestic and international manufacturing and delivery system, with overseas revenue accounting for over 42% from 2020 to 2024 [10]. Business Structure - The company has a concentrated ownership structure, with the founder and family holding a significant portion of shares, ensuring stable control [13]. - Weike has enhanced its product portfolio through acquisitions, contributing significantly to its net profit [13]. Main Business Segments - The company’s revenue is diversified across various sectors, with significant contributions from precision molds, injection products, and health products [19][22]. - The precision mold segment has shown a remarkable recovery, with a revenue increase of 62.5% in the first half of 2025 [19]. Financial Analysis - The company has improved its profitability, with a net profit of 2.22 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, reflecting a 25.2% year-on-year increase [25]. - Operating cash flow has significantly improved, providing a solid foundation for future expansion and potential acquisitions [28]. Market Space - The global injection molding market is projected to grow from $330.41 billion in 2023 to $423.75 billion by 2030, driven by demand in high-growth sectors like electric vehicles and healthcare [31]. - The company is well-positioned to capitalize on the increasing demand for lightweight materials in the automotive sector, particularly in electric vehicles [38][41]. Competitive Advantages - Weike Technology's competitive edge lies in its advanced manufacturing capabilities, including high precision in mold production and stable quality control in injection molding [61]. - The company has established strong relationships with key clients, enhancing its market position and creating barriers to entry for competitors [67]. Growth Opportunities - The report identifies significant growth potential in the robotics sector, particularly in lightweight components, as well as in the MPO market driven by data center demands [70].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the AI industry, particularly focusing on advancements in large model technologies and their applications in various productivity scenarios [2][3]. Core Insights - In 2025, global large model capabilities advanced significantly, overcoming challenges in reasoning, programming, and multimodal abilities, although issues like stability and hallucination rates remain [2][3]. - Looking ahead to 2026, breakthroughs in reinforcement learning, model memory, and context engineering are anticipated, moving from short context generation to long reasoning chain tasks and from text interaction to native multimodal capabilities [2][3][4]. - The scaling law for pre-training is expected to continue, with flagship models achieving higher parameter counts and intelligence limits, driven by advancements in NVIDIA's GB series chips and the adoption of more efficient model architectures [3][4]. Summary by Sections Model Architecture and Optimization - The report emphasizes the continuation of the Transformer architecture, with a consensus on the efficiency of the Mixture of Experts (MoE) model, which balances performance and efficiency [40][41]. - Various attention mechanisms are being optimized to enhance computational efficiency, with a focus on hybrid approaches that combine different types of attention for better performance [49][50]. Model Capabilities - The report highlights significant improvements in reasoning, programming, agentic capabilities, and multimodal tasks, indicating that large models have reached a level of real productivity in various fields [13][31]. - The ability of models to perform complex reasoning tasks has improved, with the introduction of interleaved thinking chains allowing for seamless transitions between thought and action [24][28]. Market Dynamics - The competition among leading global model manufacturers remains intense, with companies like OpenAI, Anthropic, and Gemini pushing the boundaries of model intelligence and exploring AGI [31][32]. - Domestic models are catching up, maintaining a static gap of about six months behind their international counterparts, with significant advancements in capabilities [32][33]. Future Outlook - The report anticipates that the introduction of continuous learning and model memory will address the "catastrophic forgetting" problem, enabling models to adapt dynamically based on task importance [4][5]. - The integration of high-quality data and large-scale computing resources is crucial for enhancing the capabilities of reinforcement learning, which is expected to play a key role in unlocking advanced model functionalities [3][4].

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive investment rating for the home cleaning and health supplement sectors, highlighting strong growth potential in proprietary brands and market expansion opportunities [4][9]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the rapid growth of proprietary brands in home cleaning and health supplements, with a focus on expanding brand matrices and capturing market share [4][9]. - The home cleaning market in China exceeds 150 billion yuan, with fabric care being the largest category, driven by rising quality demands and emotional consumption trends [16][21]. - The dietary supplement market is projected to grow significantly, driven by increasing health awareness, an aging population, and the penetration of Generation Z consumers [34][35]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company has transitioned from an operational agency to a leading player in high-end home cleaning and health supplement proprietary brands, with a focus on brand management and operational efficiency [4][5]. Business Structure - The business model consists of three main segments: operational agency, brand management, and proprietary brands, with a notable increase in the share of proprietary brands [7][9]. Financial Performance - Revenue from proprietary brands reached 5.01 billion yuan in 2024, accounting for 28.37% of total revenue, with a gross margin of 66.92% [8][10]. - The company has seen significant revenue growth in its proprietary brands, with notable increases in sales for brands like VitaOcean and NUIBAY [11][12]. Industry Trends - The home cleaning industry is experiencing a shift towards premiumization, with consumers willing to pay a premium for quality and fragrance [21][30]. - The dietary supplement market is rapidly evolving, with a focus on beauty-related supplements and innovative functional ingredients gaining traction [34][38]. Market Dynamics - The report highlights the increasing online penetration of sales channels, particularly through content-driven e-commerce platforms like Douyin [24][26]. - The competitive landscape shows stable market shares among leading brands, with opportunities for new entrants in high-end segments [28][32].

Investment Rating - The report suggests a positive outlook on the space photovoltaic industry, indicating a transformative opportunity within the entire supply chain driven by advancements in satellite technology and applications [3]. Core Insights - The space economy is becoming a core battleground for technological competition, with photovoltaic energy being the preferred energy source in space environments. Solar energy is efficient and sustainable for long-term power supply in satellites, where solar arrays determine the power capacity [3]. - The demand for space photovoltaics is expected to grow significantly, particularly in the low Earth orbit (LEO) satellite sector, with market size potentially reaching hundreds of billions by 2025-2030. If optimistic deployment scenarios for space computing materialize post-2030, demand could see exponential growth [3]. - The report emphasizes the importance of technological iterations in space photovoltaic systems, highlighting the transition from traditional silicon-based technologies to advanced heterojunction (HJT) and perovskite solutions, which cater to the evolving needs for efficiency, flexibility, and cost-effectiveness [3]. Summary by Sections Section 1: Commercial Space Growth - The commercial space sector is experiencing dual growth in scale and technology, enhancing industry prosperity. The sector encompasses manufacturing, launching, and operational services, focusing on cost efficiency and scalability [5][8]. - The commercial space industry's growth is driven by the deployment of satellite constellations and the increasing demand for applications such as communication, navigation, and remote sensing [9]. Section 2: Satellite Manufacturing and Launch - Global satellite manufacturing and launch activities are entering a high-speed development phase, with the number of satellite launches expected to reach 4,524 by 2025. This growth is fueled by the acceleration of commercial constellation projects [21]. - The competition for orbital and frequency resources is intensifying as the number of satellites increases, leading to strategic planning for scarce orbital positions [28]. Section 3: Space Computing Demand - The rise of AI and advanced computing models is driving a surge in demand for space computing capabilities, which can alleviate energy constraints faced by terrestrial data centers. This shift is expected to enhance the value and commercial potential of satellites [17][18]. - The report outlines the advantages of space computing, including energy efficiency and cost-effectiveness, which are critical for supporting high-energy applications in space [17]. Section 4: Technological Advancements in Photovoltaics - The report highlights the evolution of solar cell technologies in response to the unique challenges of space environments, with a focus on improving energy-to-weight ratios and flexibility [3]. - The photovoltaic systems are crucial for satellite operations, with solar arrays constituting a significant portion of satellite costs and performance [62][63]. Section 5: Domestic Developments in Commercial Space - Domestic commercial space development is undergoing a significant transformation, with policies and infrastructure supporting rapid growth. The establishment of dedicated launch facilities and streamlined approval processes are enhancing operational efficiency [41][43]. - The report notes that China is advancing towards a new cycle of industrialized large-scale launches, with ambitious plans for satellite constellations and increased launch frequency [48].

Investment Rating - The report suggests focusing on core equipment companies within the industry [5]. Core Insights - Strong policy certainty and strategic benefits are continuously being released, with fusion energy identified as a new economic growth point in the national "14th Five-Year Plan" [4][8]. - The approach towards commercialization is heating up, with significant technological milestones expected to be reached by 2027, particularly with the BEST project, which aims to validate steady-state operation of burning plasma and the entire power generation process [4][10]. - Global capital is increasingly flowing into the fusion sector, with investment in the private fusion industry nearing €13 billion as of November 2025, reflecting a 50% increase in just five months [9]. Industry Dynamics - The "2026 Fusion Energy Technology and Industry Conference" held in Hefei, China, gathered over 1,600 industry professionals and 111 exhibiting companies, highlighting the growing importance of fusion energy as a strategic national initiative [3][8]. - The BEST project aims to complete the world's first compact fusion energy experimental device by 2027, focusing on reducing risks associated with commercial reactor construction [10][11]. - The CRAFT project has achieved significant milestones, nearing 95% completion, and is expected to provide critical support for the development of fusion materials and technologies [18][19]. Global and Domestic Development Trends - China has established a significant position in the global fusion commercialization competition, with a focus on enhancing original innovation capabilities in fusion energy [8][9]. - The report indicates that the next decade (2025-2035) will be crucial for the commercialization of fusion energy, with ongoing technological validation and industry cultivation [9]. Project Progress - The BEST project has completed 35% of its overall progress, with all design work finalized and entering the product research and manufacturing phase [11]. - The CRAFT project has successfully passed initial performance tests and is on track to complete its construction and national acceptance by 2026 [18][19].

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for sectors such as non-ferrous metals, communication, and non-bank financials, while suggesting a reduction in exposure to electronics and pharmaceuticals [4][6][9]. Core Insights - The overall asset scale of public funds continues to expand, with total assets rising from 38.1 trillion to 39.5 trillion yuan in the fourth quarter of 2025. However, the proportion of equity assets has decreased by 0.7 percentage points to 22.9%, while bond assets have increased by 0.6 percentage points to 53.4% [2][3]. - Active equity funds have seen a slight decrease in total assets from 3.1 trillion to 3 trillion yuan, with stock assets dropping to 2.6 trillion yuan and a decrease in equity position by 1.4 percentage points to 87%. A-share positions have increased from 71.7% to 72.3% [3][4]. - The report highlights a shift in fund holdings, with a decrease in concentration among leading stocks, as the top 100 stocks' market value share fell from 60.3% to 58.8% [6][9]. Summary by Sections Public Fund Position Changes - In Q4 2025, the A-share index rose by 2.2%, while the ChiNext index fell by 10.1%. The median return for actively managed equity funds was -1.5%, marking the lowest quarterly return of the year [1][3]. - The report notes that the proportion of equity assets in public funds has decreased, with stock assets slightly increasing to over 9 trillion yuan, but the overall equity proportion has declined [2][3]. Sector Allocation Changes - There has been an increase in allocations to non-ferrous metals (up 2.3 percentage points), communication (up 2 percentage points), and non-bank financials (up 1 percentage point). Conversely, reductions were noted in electronics (down 1.8 percentage points), pharmaceuticals (down 1.7 percentage points), and media [6][7][9]. - The report indicates that the communication equipment sector has seen significant increases in allocations, while sectors like consumer electronics, innovative pharmaceuticals, and semiconductors have experienced notable reductions [15][19]. Market Outlook - The report suggests that the A-share market is expected to show a "long-term" and "steady" trend, supported by multiple factors including industry hotspots, improving profit expectations, and a favorable liquidity environment [9][10]. - Recommendations for future investments include focusing on sectors with growth potential such as AI technology, overseas demand-driven industries, and high-dividend yielding companies [10].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the leisure snack industry, indicating a transition to the 3.0 phase characterized by "quality and efficiency cultivation" [2][28]. Core Insights - The leisure snack retail model is highly efficient and continues to expand, with an estimated 55,000 to 60,000 stores by the end of 2025, projecting a long-term potential of 80,000 to 100,000 stores [2][19]. - The competitive landscape of the leisure snack industry has become clearer, with leading brands entering a phase of quality and efficiency improvement, which is expected to enhance profitability in the future [2][28]. - The industry has evolved through three phases: 1.0 (rapid growth), 2.0 (market consolidation), and now 3.0 (operational optimization and supply chain efficiency) [27][28]. Summary by Sections Industry Development - The leisure snack retail sector has seen significant growth, with the number of stores increasing from approximately 2,500 in 2021 to an estimated 25,000 by the end of 2023, and further growth to 35,000 to 40,000 by the end of 2024 [3][6]. - The market share of the leisure snack retail channel has risen from 0.23% in 2019 to an expected 3.21% by 2024, with a compound annual growth rate of 77.9% from 2019 to 2024 [11][12]. Competitive Landscape - The report highlights a dual-strong competitive structure emerging in the 3.0 phase, with major players like Mingming Hen Mang and Wancheng Group expected to have over 22,000 and 19,000 stores respectively by the end of 2025 [2][28]. - The industry is witnessing a trend of brands expanding their product categories, including the introduction of discount supermarket models and private label products to enhance competitiveness [31][42]. Supply Chain and Product Development - Leading companies are focusing on supply chain efficiency, with improvements in inventory turnover days and operating cycles, indicating better management of resources [39][42]. - The introduction of private label products is seen as a strategy to enhance profit margins and control over the supply chain, with notable examples including various beverage and snack products launched by Mingming Hen Mang [42][43].