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广汇能源:24Q3煤炭产量环比大幅增长,仍看好公司四季度业绩
长城证券· 2024-11-03 12:55
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Guanghui Energy, expecting significant growth potential in its main business areas [1][4][15]. Core Views - The report highlights that Guanghui Energy has substantial coal resources with considerable capacity release potential, steady development in its natural gas business, and strong cost advantages in its coal chemical sector [4]. - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 50.443 billion yuan, 65.434 billion yuan, and 76.391 billion yuan for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, with net profits of 4.251 billion yuan, 6.386 billion yuan, and 7.714 billion yuan during the same period [4][8]. Financial Performance Summary - **Revenue**: The company's revenue for 2022 was 59.409 billion yuan, with a slight increase to 61.475 billion yuan in 2023, but a projected decrease to 50.443 billion yuan in 2024 [1][9]. - **Net Profit**: The net profit for 2022 was 11.337 billion yuan, which dropped to 5.173 billion yuan in 2023, with an expected further decline to 4.251 billion yuan in 2024 [1][9]. - **EPS**: The earnings per share (EPS) were 1.73 yuan in 2022, reduced to 0.79 yuan in 2023, and projected to be 0.65 yuan in 2024 [1][10]. Business Segment Performance - **Coal Business**: The report indicates a significant increase in coal production and sales, with third-quarter production reaching 11.89 million tons, a 206.74% increase quarter-on-quarter and a 168.67% increase year-on-year [1][2]. - **Natural Gas Business**: The natural gas production was affected by maintenance in the coal chemical facilities, with a production of 1.19 billion cubic meters in the third quarter, a decrease of 33.51% quarter-on-quarter [1][2]. - **Coal Chemical Business**: The report notes a decline in the production of key products such as methanol and ethylene glycol, with methanol production at 18.64 thousand tons, down 35.79% quarter-on-quarter [2][3]. Future Outlook - The report anticipates a recovery in production and sales in the fourth quarter, particularly in the natural gas segment, as maintenance impacts are expected to ease [1][4]. - The company is also progressing on various projects, including the Marang coal mine and the Zaisang oil and gas field, which are expected to contribute positively to future performance [3][4].
藏格矿业:公司业绩短期承压,看好巨龙铜矿二期建设
长城证券· 2024-11-03 12:55
证券研究报告 | 公司动态点评 2024 年 10 月 31 日 藏格矿业(000408.SZ) 公司业绩短期承压,看好巨龙铜矿二期建设 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |----------------------|-------|-------|-------|-------|-------|-------------------------------------|-----------| | 财务指标 | 2022A | 2023A | 2024E | 2025E | 2026E | 买入(维持评级) | | | 营业收入(百万元) | 8,194 | 5,226 | 3,193 | 3,390 | 4,462 | 股票信息 | | | 增长率 yoy ( % ) | 126.2 | -36.2 | -38.9 | 6.2 | 31.6 | | | | 归母净利润(百万元) | 5,655 | 3,420 | 2,445 | 2,648 | 3,874 | 行业 | 基础化工 | | 增长率 yoy ( % ) | 296.2 | - ...
拓荆科技:新品验收节奏加快,24Q3营收环比+27%,毛利率短期承压
长城证券· 2024-11-03 12:55
Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Buy" for the company [1]. Core Views - The company has accelerated the pace of new product acceptance, leading to a quarter-on-quarter revenue increase of 27% in Q3 2024, although gross margins are under short-term pressure due to new product impacts [1][2]. - For the first three quarters of 2024, the company reported revenue of 2.278 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 33.79%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 271 million yuan, showing a slight year-on-year growth of 0.10% [4][5]. Financial Summary - **Revenue (Million Yuan)**: - 2022A: 1,706 - 2023A: 2,705 - 2024E: 3,855 - 2025E: 5,057 - 2026E: 6,426 - **Year-on-Year Growth Rate (%)**: - 2022A: 125.0 - 2023A: 58.6 - 2024E: 42.5 - 2025E: 31.2 - 2026E: 27.1 [1][10]. - **Net Profit (Million Yuan)**: - 2022A: 368 - 2023A: 663 - 2024E: 664 - 2025E: 963 - 2026E: 1,331 - **Year-on-Year Growth Rate (%)**: - 2022A: 438.0 - 2023A: 79.8 - 2024E: 0.2 - 2025E: 45.0 - 2026E: 38.3 [1][10]. - **Key Financial Ratios**: - ROE (%): - 2022A: 9.8 - 2023A: 14.5 - 2024E: 12.8 - 2025E: 15.9 - 2026E: 18.2 [1][10]. - **Earnings Per Share (Latest Diluted)**: - 2022A: 1.32 - 2023A: 2.38 - 2024E: 2.39 - 2025E: 3.46 - 2026E: 4.78 [1][10]. Quarterly Financial Performance - In Q3 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 1.011 billion yuan, representing a quarter-on-quarter growth of 27.14%, with a net profit of 142 million yuan, reflecting a quarter-on-quarter increase of 19.87% [2][3]. - The gross margin for Q3 2024 was reported at 39.27%, down 7.62 percentage points from the previous quarter, indicating a temporary decline due to new product impacts [2][3].
欧陆通:24Q3业绩实现稳步增长,高功率产品占比提升助力未来发展
长城证券· 2024-11-03 12:55
欧陆通(300870.SZ) 24Q3 业绩实现稳步增长,高功率产品占比提升助力未来发展 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |----------------------|-------|-------|-------|-------|-------|-------------------------------------------|----------| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 财务指标 | 2022A | 2023A | 2024E | 2025E | 2026E | 买入(维持评级) | | | 营业收入(百万元) | 2,703 | 2,870 | 3,643 | 4,293 | 5,229 | 股票信息 | | | 增长率 yoy ( % ) | 5.1 | 6.2 | 26.9 | 17.9 | 21.8 | | | | 归母净利润(百万元) | 90 | 196 | 205 | 290 | 400 | 行业 | 电子 | | 增长率 yoy ( % ) | -18.6 | 1 ...
川恒股份:3Q24业绩同比大幅增长,磷化工产业链延续高景气,持续完善矿产资源布局
长城证券· 2024-11-03 12:55
Investment Rating - Buy (Maintained Rating) [1] Core Views - The company's 3Q24 performance showed significant year-on-year growth, with revenue increasing by 29.36% YoY to 3.973 billion yuan and net profit attributable to shareholders rising by 36.75% YoY to 672 million yuan [1] - The phosphochemical industry chain continues to experience high prosperity, with the company's main product prices rising, supporting its 3Q24 performance growth [2] - The company is actively expanding its mineral resource layout, including acquiring equity in Qianyuan Geological Exploration and investing in a wholly-owned subsidiary to support its liquid fertilizer business [3][4] - The company has adjusted its fundraising usage to focus on phosphorite capacity expansion, with the technical transformation project expected to increase its phosphorite production capacity from 500,000 tons/year to 800,000 tons/year [5] Financial Performance - The company's 2024E revenue is projected to be 5.323 billion yuan, with a YoY growth rate of 23.2%, and net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to reach 953 million yuan, a 24.3% YoY increase [1] - The company's 2024E ROE is forecasted to be 14.5%, with EPS at 1.76 yuan and P/E ratio at 10.7x [1] - The company's 2024E gross profit margin is expected to be 37.1%, with a net profit margin of 18.4% [9] Industry and Market Analysis - The phosphorite market price remained high in 3Q24, with an average price of 1,017.03 yuan/ton, up 13.85% YoY and 0.75% QoQ [2] - The company's main products, including calcium dihydrogen phosphate, monoammonium phosphate, phosphoric acid, and lithium iron phosphate, saw price increases in 3Q24, supporting its performance growth [2] Strategic Initiatives - The company acquired 58.5% equity in Qianyuan Geological Exploration, which holds the Laozhaizi phosphorite mine with a production capacity of 1.8 million tons/year, expected to be operational by the end of 2027 [3] - The company established a wholly-owned subsidiary, Chengdu Meilin Ecological Technology Co., Ltd., with a capital of 5 million yuan to support its liquid fertilizer business [4] - The company adjusted its fundraising usage to focus on the technical transformation of the Xiaoba phosphorite mine, which is expected to increase production capacity from 500,000 tons/year to 800,000 tons/year [5]
鼎捷数智:2024三季报业绩点评:业绩增长趋势不变,公司市场策略与技术推广取得一定成效
长城证券· 2024-11-03 12:55
Investment Rating - Buy (Maintained Rating) [1] Core Views - The company's performance growth trend remains unchanged, with effective market strategies and technology promotion [2] - The company achieved revenue of 1.573 billion yuan in Q3 2024, a year-on-year increase of 11.21%, and net profit attributable to the parent company of 49.89 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.15% [2] - The company's revenue from mainland China was 735 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11.33%, while revenue from non-mainland regions was 838 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11.11% [3] - The company's diversified market strategies and flexible responses have helped it capture opportunities and avoid risks, with contract amounts growing both domestically and internationally [4] - The company's four major businesses (R&D design, digital management, production control, and AIoT) are growing, with R&D design and AIoT businesses showing particularly strong growth [6] - The company's technology has gained market recognition, with leading market shares in several industries [6] Financial Performance - Revenue for 2024 is expected to reach 2.497 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 12.1%, and net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 174 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 15.9% [2] - The company's ROE is expected to increase from 7.1% in 2023 to 9.2% in 2026 [2] - EPS is expected to grow from 0.55 yuan in 2023 to 0.91 yuan in 2026 [2] - The company's P/E ratio is expected to decrease from 43.1x in 2023 to 26.1x in 2026 [2] Market Strategy - The company has adopted different strategies for mainland and non-mainland markets, focusing on industry operations and improving operational efficiency in mainland China, while leveraging AI advancements and industry recovery in non-mainland regions [4] - In Southeast Asia, the company has strengthened its market presence through partnerships with large domestic enterprises, with revenue from Chinese enterprises going overseas increasing by 58% year-on-year [4] Business Segments - The company's R&D design business achieved revenue of 84.39 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 23.17%, while the AIoT business achieved revenue of 404 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 41.83% [6] - The company has launched innovative solutions such as "AI+ process-oriented PLM" and Chat CAD, which have been well-received in the market [6] Future Outlook - The company is expected to achieve revenue of 2.497 billion yuan, 2.836 billion yuan, and 3.269 billion yuan in 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, with net profit attributable to the parent company expected to reach 1.74 billion yuan, 2.06 billion yuan, and 2.48 billion yuan in the same period [7] - The company's EPS is expected to grow to 0.64 yuan, 0.76 yuan, and 0.91 yuan in 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively [7]
广和通:前三季度营收稳健增长,加速拓展机器人等新业务领域
长城证券· 2024-11-03 12:54
广和通(300638.SZ) 前三季度营收稳健增长,加速拓展机器人等新业务领域 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |--------------------------------------------|-------|-------|-------|-------|--------|-------------------------------------------|-----------| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 财务指标 | 2022A | 2023A | 2024E | 2025E | 2026E | 买入(维持评级) | | | 营业收入(百万元) | 5,646 | 7,716 | 8,176 | 8,672 | 10,222 | | | | 增长率 yoy ( % ) | 37.4 | 36.7 | 6.0 | 6.1 | 17.9 | 股票信息 | | | 归母净利润(百万元) | 365 | 564 | 717 | 649 | 779 | 行业 | 通信 | | 增长率 ...
东方电缆:Q3业绩同比增长,海缆订单起量在即
长城证券· 2024-11-01 08:41
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for Dongfang Cable (603606.SH) [1][6] Core Views - The company has shown significant revenue growth in Q3 2024, driven by an increase in offshore wind power project construction and order deliveries [2][3] - The overall industry outlook for wind power is positive, with expectations for accelerated growth due to increased project initiations in various provinces [3][6] - The company is expanding its production capacity and has secured new orders, which are expected to positively impact its performance [3][6] Financial Performance Summary - For Q1-Q3 2024, the company achieved revenue of 6.699 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 25.22%, and a net profit of 932 million yuan, up 13.41% year-on-year [1][2] - The Q3 2024 single-quarter revenue reached 2.631 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 58.34% [1][2] - The gross profit margin for Q1-Q3 2024 was 22.16%, a decrease of 4.06 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 13.91%, down 1.45 percentage points year-on-year [2] Revenue and Profit Forecast - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 9.092 billion yuan, 11.101 billion yuan, and 12.589 billion yuan for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively [6] - Corresponding net profits are expected to be 1.218 billion yuan, 1.812 billion yuan, and 2.283 billion yuan for the same years [6] Order and Capacity Expansion - As of October 18, 2024, the company had an order backlog of approximately 9.236 billion yuan, with significant contributions from both offshore and onshore cable systems [3] - The company is enhancing its production capabilities with new subsidiaries aimed at expanding its market presence in the northern offshore wind power sector [3]
索辰科技:2024三季度业绩点评:营收保持上升,业务版图逐步明确
长城证券· 2024-11-01 07:45
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, predicting a price increase of 5% to 15% relative to the industry index over the next six months [11]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 82.85 million yuan in Q3 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 58.23%. However, it reported a net loss attributable to shareholders of 70.64 million yuan [2][4]. - The growth in revenue is primarily driven by the expansion of simulation product development, while expenses in sales, management, and R&D have increased significantly [2][3]. - The company has established multiple strategic partnerships in various fields, including transportation drones and commercial aerospace, indicating a clear direction for future business development [3][4]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue for 2022 was 268 million yuan, increasing to 320 million yuan in 2023, with projections of 451 million yuan in 2024, 626 million yuan in 2025, and 835 million yuan in 2026, reflecting a compound annual growth rate [4][6]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to grow from 63 million yuan in 2024 to 156 million yuan in 2026, with EPS projected to rise from 0.70 yuan to 1.75 yuan over the same period [4][6]. - The company’s P/E ratio is projected to decrease from 83.1x in 2024 to 33.4x in 2026, indicating improving valuation metrics as earnings grow [4][6].
中闽能源:盈利能力持续改善,看好区域优质海风+确定性增量
长城证券· 2024-11-01 07:45
证券研究报告|公司动态点评 2024 年 10 月 30 日 中闽能源(600163.SH) 盈利能力持续改善,看好区域优质海风+确定性增量 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|--------------------------------------------------------------------------|-------------------------|-------------------------------------|-----------------------------------|-----------------|------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|---- ...