Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expectation that the stock will outperform the market by more than 15% over the next 12 months [7]. Core Insights - The company reported a stable performance in 2025, with revenue increasing by 0.5% year-on-year to RMB 14.72 billion, and net profit attributable to shareholders increasing by 10.4% to RMB 1.23 billion, aligning with market expectations [7]. - The company demonstrated resilience in operations, maintaining stable sales volume and pricing despite a challenging market environment characterized by weak demand and low restaurant consumption [7]. - The introduction of new products and a potential recovery in the restaurant sector in 2026 are seen as opportunities for growth [7]. Financial Summary - **Revenue Forecast**: - 2023A: RMB 14,815 million - 2024A: RMB 14,645 million - 2025E: RMB 14,722 million - 2026E: RMB 15,098 million - 2027E: RMB 15,521 million - Growth Rate: 5.5% (2023A), -1.1% (2024A), 0.5% (2025E), 2.6% (2026E), 2.8% (2027E) [3][11] - **Net Profit Forecast**: - 2023A: RMB 1,337 million - 2024A: RMB 1,115 million - 2025E: RMB 1,231 million - 2026E: RMB 1,295 million - 2027E: RMB 1,366 million - Growth Rate: 5.8% (2023A), -16.6% (2024A), 10.4% (2025E), 5.2% (2026E), 5.4% (2027E) [3][11] - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: - 2023A: RMB 2.76 - 2024A: RMB 2.30 - 2025E: RMB 2.54 - 2026E: RMB 2.68 - 2027E: RMB 2.82 [3][11] - **Valuation Ratios**: - Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio: 24.1 (2023A), 27.4 (2024A), 21.4 (2025E), 20.3 (2026E), 19.3 (2027E) [3][11] - Return on Equity (ROE): 62.5% (2023A), 94.0% (2024A), 103.9% (2025E), 109.3% (2026E), 115.2% (2027E) [3][11] - EV/EBITDA: 7.7 (2023A), 7.9 (2024A), 6.4 (2025E), 5.8 (2026E), 5.2 (2027E) [3][11]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company with a current price of HKD 22.90 and a fair value of HKD 37.45 [4]. Core Insights - Lingbao Gold has undergone over 20 years of transformation focusing on gold resource development, establishing a structure of five major gold mines and one smelting processing enterprise [10][16]. - The company is expected to enter a cycle of increased reserves and production over the next five years, with strategic plans to enhance its scale and establish itself as a leading gold mining enterprise [10][60]. - The ongoing interest rate reduction cycle is anticipated to support a steady rise in gold prices, which will positively impact the company's performance starting in 2026 [10]. - Earnings forecasts indicate significant growth, with expected EPS of RMB 1.18, 2.57, and 3.03 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, leading to a projected PE valuation of 13 times for 2026 [10]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Lingbao Gold has developed a resource structure comprising five major gold mines and one smelting enterprise, with a total gold reserve of approximately 131.8 tons as of the end of 2024 [10][21]. - The company aims to solidify its foundation and expand its scale, targeting both domestic and international markets for resource integration [10][60]. Industry Analysis - The report highlights that the gold pricing system is expected to remain favorable, with gold prices projected to rise due to a weakening US dollar and lower real interest rates [10][60]. - The gold sector is anticipated to experience a valuation recovery as companies' performances improve with rising gold prices [10]. Financial Projections and Investment Recommendations - Revenue forecasts for the company show a growth trajectory, with expected revenues of RMB 10.53 billion in 2023, increasing to RMB 21.89 billion by 2027 [3]. - The report suggests that the company's strategic acquisitions and resource expansions will support its growth, leading to a fair value estimate of HKD 37.45 per share [10].

Group 1: Transportation Industry - The core variable for the aviation and airport industry is the recovery of ticket prices and profit improvement driven by demand. Domestic passenger volume is expected to grow moderately due to normalized consumer travel and increased leisure tourism, supported by refined airline revenue management [2] - The international routes may experience short-term fluctuations due to external uncertainties, but the long-term trend remains positive with the expansion of visa-free policies and improved outbound travel convenience [2] - Supply constraints and cost pressures are expected to amplify profit elasticity, as slow aircraft deliveries will keep capacity expansion restrained, and policies aimed at reducing competition will stabilize revenue quality [2] Group 2: Construction Materials Industry - The valuation of the construction materials sector is at a low point, with a focus on urban renewal initiatives. The allocation ratio for construction materials is projected to increase to 0.72% by Q4 2025, up by 0.11 percentage points from Q3 2025, indicating a positive trend in industry supply-demand dynamics and price expectations [2] - The Ministry of Natural Resources and the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development have issued guidelines to support urban renewal actions, emphasizing the construction of "two renewals and two new projects" and the ongoing upgrade of aging municipal facilities [2] - The combination of industry supply-demand optimization, price increase expectations, and overseas expansion is expected to drive ROE and valuation recovery [2]

[Table_Summary] 核心观点： | Table_Invest] [公司评级 | 买入 | | --- | --- | | 当前价格 | 5.76 元 | | 合理价值 | 7.04 元 | | 前次评级 | 买入 | | 报告日期 | 2026-02-04 | [Table_Page] 公告点评|城商行Ⅱ 证券研究报告 [Table_Title] 齐鲁银行（601665.SH） 净息差同比回升，资产质量延续改善 [Table_PicQuote] 相对市场表现 [分析师： Table_Author]倪军 SAC 执证号：S0260518020004 021-38003646 nijun@gf.com.cn 分析师： 林虎 SAC 执证号：S0260525040004 SFC CE No. BWK411 021-38003643 gflinhu@gf.com.cn 请注意，倪军并非香港证券及期货事务监察委员会的注册 持牌人，不可在香港从事受监管活动。 -10% -2% 6% 14% 22% 30% 02/25 04/25 06/25 08/25 10/25 12/25 01/26 齐鲁银行 沪深300 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a current price of 92.15 HKD and a target value of 133.47 HKD [3]. Core Insights - The report anticipates that the company's revenue for 2025 will reach 365.3 billion RMB, with an adjusted net profit loss of 22.5 billion RMB. The company is expected to maintain a strong operational barrier in the takeaway business, despite short-term profit pressures due to competition [6][13]. - The report highlights that the competition in the instant retail business is easing, with a projected order volume growth of 30% for flash purchases in Q4 2025. However, the takeaway business is expected to face continued competition, particularly in high-value orders [6][7][8]. Financial Forecast - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2023: 276.74 billion RMB - 2024: 337.59 billion RMB (growth rate: 25.82%) - 2025: 365.32 billion RMB (growth rate: 8.21%) - 2026: 414.90 billion RMB (growth rate: 13.57%) - 2027: 467.34 billion RMB (growth rate: 12.64%) [6]. - The adjusted net profit forecast indicates losses for 2025 and 2026, with expected losses of 22.5 billion RMB and 7.2 billion RMB, respectively [6][13]. Business Segment Performance - Core local business revenue is projected to be 643.92 billion RMB in Q4 2025, with a year-over-year decline of 1.79% and an operational loss of 111.16 billion RMB [7][9]. - New business revenue is expected to reach 270.46 billion RMB in Q4 2025, reflecting an 18% year-over-year growth, although operational losses are projected at 42.78 billion RMB [8][9]. Valuation Methodology - The report employs a sum-of-the-parts (SOTP) valuation method, estimating the company's fair value at 133.47 HKD per share, based on contributions from various business segments including takeaway, in-store travel, flash purchases, and new businesses [13][14].

[Table_Title] 微软（msft） Azure 营收增速放缓，市场关注 AI 回报率 [Table_Summary] 核心观点： | 盈利预测： | | --- | | [Table_Finance] | | | 2024A | 2025A | 2026E | 2027E | 2028E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入（百万美元） | | | 245,122 | 281,724 | 329,731 | 392,980 | 464,365 | | 增长率 （ | % | ） | 16% | 15% | 17% | 19% | 18% | | EBITDA（百万美元） | | | 115,957 | 140,859 | 183,829 | 207,842 | 239,263 | | 归母净利润（百万美元） | | | 88,136 | 101,832 | 123,635 | 141,665 | 165,290 | | 增长率 （ | % | ） | 22% | 16% | 21% | 15% | 17% | | EPS ...

[Table_Page] 跟踪分析|银行 证券研究报告 [Table_Title] 2026 年 1 月社融前瞻 预计社融增速 8.3％ [Table_Summary] 核心观点： [Table_PicQuote] 相对市场表现 [分析师： Table_Author]倪军 SAC 执证号：S0260518020004 021-38003646 nijun@gf.com.cn 分析师： 林虎 SAC 执证号：S0260525040004 SFC CE No. BWK411 021-38003643 gflinhu@gf.com.cn -10% -2% 6% 14% 22% 30% 02/25 04/25 06/25 09/25 11/25 01/26 银行 沪深300 请注意，倪军并非香港证券及期货事务监察委员会的注册 持牌人，不可在香港从事受监管活动。 [Table_ 相关研究： DocReport] | 银行行业:浙江 163 家区域性 | 2026-02-03 | | --- | --- | | 银行全梳理——丈量地方性 | | | 银行（2） | | | 银行行业:政府债及春节取现 | 2026-02- ...

Xml [Table_Page] 宏观经济研究报告 2026 年 2 月 4 日 证券研究报告 高波动遇上真空期：大类资产配置月度展望 | [Table_Title] [Tabl e_Author 分析师：] | 郭磊 | 分析师： | 陈礼清 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | SAC 执证号：S0260516070002 | | SAC 执证号：S0260523080003 | | | SFC CE.no: BNY419 | | | | | 021-38003572 | | 021-38003809 | | | guolei@gf.com.cn | | chenliqing@gf.com.cn | | | 请注意，陈礼清并非香港证券及期货事务监察委员会的注册持牌人，不可在香港从事受监管活动。 | | | 报告摘要： ⚫ 12026 年 1 月大类资产表现为韩国综指＞原油＞黄金＞科创 50＞南华综合＞恒指＞日经 225＞做多 VIX＞上证 综指 ≈ 恒科＞标普 500＞纳指＞中债＞美元。1 月底 2 月初，贵金属巨震联动大类资产普调。（1）股商优于债 券，新兴市场优于发达国家，春 ...

Group 1 - The ChiNext 50 Index (399673.SZ) was launched on June 18, 2014, to reflect the overall performance of large-cap, liquid leading companies in the ChiNext market [3] - The index focuses on four key sectors: information technology, new energy, financial technology, and pharmaceuticals, with the top three industries being batteries (26.14%), communication equipment (23.46%), and photovoltaic equipment (7.26%), collectively accounting for 56.85% [14][24] - The index's constituent stocks are industry leaders with high representation, covering sectors such as new energy, optical modules, financial technology, PCB, and medical devices [14] Group 2 - The ChiNext 50 Index emphasizes international competitiveness and deep integration into the global industrial chain, promoting sectors with existing international competitiveness to grow stronger [18] - The index's constituent stocks have significant international operations, with overseas business income accounting for 35.17% of total revenue, higher than other major indices [25][28] - Leading companies in the index, such as CATL and Lens Technology, are key suppliers to international giants like Tesla and Apple, showcasing their strong global presence [24][26] Group 3 - The ChiNext 50 Index exhibits high elasticity and is particularly advantageous during phases of rising risk appetite, outperforming broader indices like the ChiNext Index and CSI 300 [32] - Over the past five years, the annualized return of the ChiNext 50 Index has been among the highest in its category, demonstrating its high-risk, high-reward characteristics [35] - The index is suitable for aggressive investment strategies during bull markets, aiming for higher excess returns [35] Group 4 - The valuation of the ChiNext 50 Index has returned to a reasonable range, with a current PE ratio of approximately 42, indicating a higher relative investment value [39] - The index has experienced a prolonged adjustment period, with its valuation significantly lagging behind fundamental declines, suggesting potential for future valuation and profit-driven resonance [41] - The index's constituent stocks have shown strong earnings growth, with a projected EPS compound growth rate significantly higher than other major indices [46] Group 5 - The lithium battery sector is experiencing a supply-demand resonance, driving both volume and price increases, with significant growth in demand from energy storage and new energy vehicles [55] - The communication equipment sector is benefiting from the AI data center construction, with a strong demand forecast for optical modules driven by major cloud providers [60] - The photovoltaic industry is transitioning towards high-quality development, with rising prices for raw materials like polysilicon, supported by government policies aimed at preventing "involution" in competition [67][68]

证券研究报告 | Table_Invest] [公司评级 | 买入 | | --- | --- | | 当前价格 | 13.26 元 | | 合理价值 | 16.88 元 | | 报告日期 | 2026-02-04 | 基本数据 [Table_BaseInfo] | 总股本/流通股本（百万股） | 729.38/729.38 | | --- | --- | | 总市值/流通市值（百万元） | 9671.57/9671.57 | | 一年内最高/最低（元） | 13.26/11.10 | | 30 日日均成交量/成交额（百万） | 12.71/155.00 | | 近 3 个月/6 个月涨跌幅（%） | 17.40/14.78 | [Table_Page] 公司深度研究|旅游及景区 [分析师： Table_Author]嵇文欣 SAC 执证号：S0260520050001 SFC CE No. BUA982 021-38003653 jiwenxin@gf.com.cn 分析师： 包晗 SAC 执证号：S0260522070001 021-38003651 baohan@gf.com.cn 请注意，包晗并非香港 ...