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建筑材料行业投资策略周报:“好房子”利好建材量质齐升,关注一季报方向
广发证券· 2025-03-17 04:15
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Hold" [2] Core Viewpoints - The construction materials sector is expected to benefit from the government's emphasis on building quality housing, leading to increased demand for construction materials and improved quality requirements [15][16] - The retail construction materials, cement, and fiberglass sectors are anticipated to perform well in the first quarter, with retail construction materials showing resilience due to a recovery in second-hand housing transactions [16][18] - The cement industry is experiencing a price increase, with the national average price rising by 1.6% week-on-week, driven by companies' proactive price hikes to improve profitability [16][32] - The fiberglass market is supported by strong demand in wind power and electronic yarn sectors, while the glass market is facing price declines but is expected to stabilize [16][32] Summary by Sections 1. "Good Housing" Policy Impact - The "Good Housing" initiative aims to enhance the quality of housing, which will increase the demand for construction materials and improve their quality standards [15] - The government is focusing on both new housing and the renovation of old housing, which will further drive demand for construction materials [15] 2. Consumer Construction Materials - The retail construction materials sector is expected to recover first, supported by favorable policies and strong performance from leading companies [16][32] - Key companies to watch include Sanke Tree, Rabbit Baby, North New Materials, and others, which are expected to show strong operational resilience [16][32] 3. Cement Sector - The national average cement price has increased to 397 RMB/ton, a year-on-year increase of 37.5%, with companies actively pushing for price hikes to enhance profitability [16][32] - The cement industry is currently at a historical low in terms of valuation, with companies like Conch Cement and Huaxin Cement being favored [16][32] 4. Glass and Fiberglass Markets - The float glass market is experiencing price declines, with the average price at 1315 RMB/ton, down 31.7% year-on-year, while photovoltaic glass is seeing good sales [16][32] - The fiberglass market is stable, with prices for direct yarn showing a year-on-year increase of 24.38%, supported by demand in various sectors [16][32]
银行资负跟踪:月底资金面将缓和,但需重视经济复苏
广发证券· 2025-03-17 04:15
[Table_Page] 跟踪分析|银行 证券研究报告 [Table_Title] 银行行业 月底资金面将缓和,但需重视经济复苏 ——银行资负跟踪 20250316 [Table_Summary] 核心观点: | [Table_Gr ade] 行业评级 | 买入 | | --- | --- | | 前次评级 | 买入 | | 报告日期 | 2025-03-16 | [Table_PicQuote] 相对市场表现 [分析师: Table_Author]倪军 SAC 执证号:S0260518020004 021-38003646 nijun@gf.com.cn 分析师: 许洁 SAC 执证号:S0260518080004 SFC CE No. BNU965 021-38003625 xujie@gf.com.cn -14% -5% 4% 12% 21% 30% 03/24 05/24 08/24 10/24 12/24 03/25 银行 沪深300 请注意,倪军并非香港证券及期货事务监察委员会的注册 持牌人,不可在香港从事受监管活动。 | DocReport] [Table_ 相关研究: | | | --- | ...
银行投资观察:坚定看好顺周期复苏-兵马已动,粮草先行
广发证券· 2025-03-17 04:14
[Table_Page] 跟踪分析|银行 证券研究报告 [Table_Title] 银行投资观察 20250316 兵马已动,粮草先行 ——坚定看好顺周期复苏 [Table_Summary] 核心观点: | [Table_Gr ade] 行业评级 | 买入 | | --- | --- | | 前次评级 | 买入 | | 报告日期 | 2025-03-16 | [Table_PicQuote] 相对市场表现 [分析师: Table_Author]倪军 SAC 执证号:S0260518020004 021-38003646 nijun@gf.com.cn 分析师: 许洁 SAC 执证号:S0260518080004 SFC CE No. BNU965 021-38003625 xujie@gf.com.cn -14% -5% 4% 12% 21% 30% 03/24 05/24 08/24 10/24 12/24 03/25 银行 沪深300 请注意,倪军并非香港证券及期货事务监察委员会的注册 持牌人,不可在香港从事受监管活动。 [Table_ 相关研究: DocReport] | 2 月金融数据点评:关注社融 ...
坚定看好顺周期复苏:兵马已动,粮草先行
广发证券· 2025-03-17 03:53
[Table_Page] 跟踪分析|银行 证券研究报告 [Table_Title] 银行投资观察 20250316 兵马已动,粮草先行 ——坚定看好顺周期复苏 [Table_Summary] 核心观点: | [Table_Gr ade] 行业评级 | 买入 | | --- | --- | | 前次评级 | 买入 | | 报告日期 | 2025-03-16 | [Table_PicQuote] 相对市场表现 [分析师: Table_Author]倪军 SAC 执证号:S0260518020004 021-38003646 nijun@gf.com.cn 分析师: 许洁 SAC 执证号:S0260518080004 SFC CE No. BNU965 021-38003625 xujie@gf.com.cn -14% -5% 4% 12% 21% 30% 03/24 05/24 08/24 10/24 12/24 03/25 银行 沪深300 请注意,倪军并非香港证券及期货事务监察委员会的注册 持牌人,不可在香港从事受监管活动。 [Table_ 相关研究: DocReport] 识别风险,发现价值 请务必阅读末页 ...
平安银行(000001):对公补位,其他非息高增
广发证券· 2025-03-17 03:42
[Table_Page] 年报点评|银行 证券研究报告 展望 2025 年,预计随着资产端结构调整到位和负债成本管控持续,净 息差下行幅度有望收窄。(2)零售不良率环比下行,对公不良率环比上 行。24 年末不良贷款率 1.06%,同比环比均持平。零售不良率 1.39%, 较 24Q3 末/23 年末分别变动-4bp、+2bp,按揭、经营贷不良率环比上 升 3bp、19bp,消费贷、信用卡不良率环比下降 11bp、14bp。对公不 良率 0.70%,较 24Q3 末/23 年末分别变动+4bp、+7bp,预计主要是 制造业和房地产业风险暴露,不良率分别较年初上行 47bp、36bp。24 年末关注贷款率 1.93%,较 24Q3 末/23 年末分别变动-4bp、+18bp; 逾期率 1.52%,较 24Q3 末/23 年末分别变动-3bp、+9bp;测算 24A 不 良净生成率 2.37%,同比上升 10bp。24 年末拨备覆盖率 250.71%。 [Table_PicQuote] 相对市场表现 -12% -3% 6% 14% 23% 32% 03/24 05/24 07/24 09/24 11/24 01/2 ...
迈普医学(301033):神经外科修复领域航母,多地集采执行或成为公司业绩释放关键
广发证券· 2025-03-17 03:42
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company [3]. Core Views - The company is positioned as a leader in the field of regenerative medicine, particularly in neurosurgery, with a diverse range of products driving significant revenue growth [19][25]. - The implementation of centralized procurement across multiple regions is expected to be a key factor in the company's performance release [19]. - The company has a stable management and ownership structure, with a stock incentive plan reflecting confidence in future business development [39][46]. Financial Forecast - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 286 million yuan in 2024, 367 million yuan in 2025, and 482 million yuan in 2026, with corresponding EPS of 1.09 yuan, 1.45 yuan, and 1.94 yuan respectively [2][9]. - The expected growth rates for revenue are 23.7% in 2024, 28.6% in 2025, and 31.3% in 2026 [2]. Business Overview - The company has a rich portfolio of neurosurgical products that meet various clinical needs, including artificial dura mater patches and hemostatic products [19][21]. - The company has successfully entered centralized procurement in several provinces, enhancing market penetration and sales volume [24][25]. - The company has established a strong international presence, with sales networks covering nearly 90 countries and regions, contributing to a 25.71% increase in overseas sales [25][26]. Product Development - The company has developed a comprehensive product matrix in neurosurgery, including artificial dura mater patches, craniofacial repair systems, and absorbable hemostatic products [19][21]. - The absorbable regenerated cellulose product is expected to break the long-standing import monopoly in the domestic market [24][25]. - The company has received multiple medical device registrations, enhancing its competitive edge in the market [19][20]. Management and Incentives - The management team possesses extensive experience in the medical device industry, contributing to the company's strategic direction and operational efficiency [39][43]. - The stock incentive plan aims to align employee interests with the company's long-term growth objectives, fostering motivation among key personnel [46][47].
平安银行:对公补位,其他非息高增-20250317
广发证券· 2025-03-17 03:38
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a current price of 11.97 CNY and a reasonable value of 17.91 CNY [2]. Core Views - The company is undergoing a transformation period, with retail growth slowing and declining yields. However, long-term risk preference adjustments are favorable for sustainable operations. The expected growth rates for the company's net profit attributable to shareholders are 0.67% and 3.00% for 2025 and 2026, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 2.16 CNY and 2.23 CNY per share [9]. Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company's revenue, PPOP, and net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 10.9%, 10.8%, and 4.2% year-on-year, respectively. The growth rates for these metrics improved compared to the first three quarters of 2024 [8][11]. - The loan scale decreased by 1.0% year-on-year by the end of 2024, with retail high-risk loans being reduced significantly. Retail loans fell by 10.6%, primarily due to reductions in consumer loans (70.6 billion CNY), credit cards (83.4 billion CNY), and operational loans (79.1 billion CNY). Conversely, corporate loans increased by 17.0% year-on-year [8][9]. - The net interest margin for 2024 was 1.87%, a decrease of 51 basis points year-on-year, influenced by market changes and proactive asset structure adjustments [8][11]. Asset Quality and Risk Indicators - By the end of 2024, the non-performing loan ratio was 1.06%, remaining stable year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter. The retail non-performing loan ratio was 1.39%, showing slight fluctuations, while the corporate non-performing loan ratio was 0.70%, reflecting increased risk exposure in manufacturing and real estate sectors [4][11]. - The provision coverage ratio at the end of 2024 was 250.71%, indicating a strong buffer against potential loan losses [4][11]. Market Performance - The company's stock performance relative to the market showed a decline of 12% from March 2024 to March 2025, compared to the CSI 300 index [6].
太极实业:半导体制造及工程服务商,有望受益区位优势加持、集团资源倾斜-20250316
广发证券· 2025-03-16 01:40
[Table_Page] 公司深度研究|工程咨询服务Ⅱ 证券研究报告 | [Table_Title] 太极实业(600667.SH) | | --- | | 半导体制造及工程服务商,有望受益区位优 | 势加持、集团资源倾斜 [Table_Summary] 核心观点: | 盈利预测: | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Table_Finance] | 2022A | 2023A | 2024E | 2025E | 2026E | | 营业收入(百万元) | 35195 | 39377 | 39612 | 41303 | 41600 | | 增长率( % ) | 44.9% | 11.9% | 0.6% | 4.3% | 0.7% | | EBITDA(百万元) | 565 | 1785 | 1689 | 1778 | 1900 | | 归母净利润(百万元) | -743 | 730 | 733 | 757 | 792 | | 增长率( % ) | -181.7% | 198.4% | 0.3% | 3.3% | 4.6% | | EPS(元 ...
太极实业(600667):半导体制造及工程服务商,有望受益区位优势加持、集团资源倾斜
广发证券· 2025-03-15 13:43
| [Table_Title] 太极实业(600667.SH) | | --- | | 半导体制造及工程服务商,有望受益区位优 | 势加持、集团资源倾斜 [Table_Summary] 核心观点: | 盈利预测: | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Table_Finance] | 2022A | 2023A | 2024E | 2025E | 2026E | | 营业收入(百万元) | 35195 | 39377 | 39612 | 41303 | 41600 | | 增长率( % ) | 44.9% | 11.9% | 0.6% | 4.3% | 0.7% | | EBITDA(百万元) | 565 | 1785 | 1689 | 1778 | 1900 | | 归母净利润(百万元) | -743 | 730 | 733 | 757 | 792 | | 增长率( % ) | -181.7% | 198.4% | 0.3% | 3.3% | 4.6% | | EPS(元/股) | -0.35 | 0.35 | 0.35 | 0.36 | ...
锐明技术:商用车载监控前装突破,端侧AI前景初现-20250314
广发证券· 2025-03-14 08:43
[Table_Page] 公司深度研究|计算机设备 证券研究报告 | Table_Invest] [公司评级 | 买入 | | --- | --- | | 当前价格 | 54.94 元 | | 合理价值 | 78.77 元 | | 报告日期 | 2025-03-13 | 基本数据 [Table_BaseInfo] | 总股本/流通股本(百万股) | 177.28/116.14 | | --- | --- | | 总市值/流通市值(百万元) | 9739.8/6380.7 | | 一年内最高/最低(元) | 58.70/25.46 | | 30 日日均成交量/成交额(百万) | 7.95/416.89 | | 近 3 个月/6 个月涨跌幅(%) | 18.87/69.16 | [Table_PicQuote] 相对市场表现 [分析师: Table_Author]刘雪峰 SAC 执证号:S0260514030002 SFC CE No. BNX004 021-38003675 -12% 15% 42% 68% 95% 122% 03-24 05-24 07-24 09-24 11-24 01-25 03-25 锐 ...