[Table_Title] 【广发传媒&海外】唯品会（VIPS） 25Q4 业绩点评：利润好于预期，股东回报稳健 [Table_Summary] 核心观点： （除非特别注明，否则报告货币为人民币） 盈利预测：（1 美元=6.9228 人民币，本表归母净利润为经调整后净利润口径） | [Table_Finance] | 2024A | 2025A | 2026E | 2027E | 2028E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入（百万元） | 108,421 | 105,920 | 108,671 | 111,222 | 113,823 | | （ ） 增长率 % | -3.9% | -2.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | | EBITDA（百万元） | 10,154 | 9,698 | 10,356 | 10,506 | 10,740 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 9,032 | 8,745 | 9,062 | 9,203 | 9,507 | | 增长率 （ % ） | -5.0% | -3.2% | 3.6% | 1.6% | ...

[Table_Page] 公告点评|软件开发 证券研究报告 [Table_Title] 星环科技-U（688031.SH） 25 年营收重回高增长，认知数据库锋芒显露 [Table_Summary] 核心观点： 盈利预测： | [Table_ 单位 Finance] :人民币百万元 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入 | 491 | 371 | 448 | 518 | 595 | | 增长率（ % ） | 31.7% | -24.3% | 20.5% | 15.8% | 14.8% | | EBITDA | -259 | -283 | -213 | -85 | -49 | | 归母净利润 | -288 | -343 | -245 | -109 | -73 | | 增长率（ ） % | - | - | - | - | - | | EPS（元/股） | -2.39 | -2.84 | -2.03 | -0.90 | -0.60 | | 市盈率（P/E） | - | - | - ...

[Table_Page] 公司深度研究|调味发酵品Ⅱ 证券研究报告 | [Table_Title] 安琪酵母（600298.SH） | | --- | 全球化破局，周期性降本 [Table_Summary] 核心观点： | Table_Invest] [公司评级 | 买入 | | --- | --- | | 当前价格 | 42.67 元 | | 合理价值 | 50.82 元 | | 前次评级 | 买入 | | 报告日期 | 2026-02-27 | 基本数据 [Table_BaseInfo] | 总股本/流通股本（亿股） | 8.67/8.57 | | --- | --- | | 总市值/流通市值（百万元） | 3.70/3.66 | | 一年内最高/最低（元） | 45.60/32.67 | | 30 日日均成交量/成交额（亿） | 0.07/3.18 | | 近 3 个月/6 个月涨跌幅（%） | 5.49/6.73 | [Table_PicQuote] 相对市场表现 -10% -2% 7% 15% 24% 32% 02/25 04/25 06/25 08/25 10/25 12/25 02/26 安琪酵 ...

Investment Rating - The report provides a "Buy" rating for the banking sector, indicating an expectation that stock prices will outperform the market by more than 10% over the next 12 months [54]. Core Insights - Recent high growth in bank deposits has led to market interpretations of banks being "asset deficient." However, this interpretation is challenged by the contractual nature of banking operations, where deposits and loans are derived simultaneously [4][12]. - The widening of the loan-to-deposit spread (LDR) is influenced by six key factors: cash withdrawal demand, reserve requirements, interbank lending, bond investment scale, bond issuance, and bank capital [4][14]. - The increase in net bond financing is a significant factor contributing to the widening of the loan-to-deposit spread. Two scenarios are identified: when bond financing costs are lower than loan rates, and when non-bank entities reduce their borrowing, leading to a return of funds to banks [4][35]. - From January 2025 to January 2026, the loan-to-deposit spread widened by 11.4 trillion CNY, with new bond investments contributing 16.6 trillion CNY and market bond net financing at 20.6 trillion CNY [4][45]. - In January 2026, net bond investment increased by 1.9 trillion CNY, while total market bond net financing was only 1.4 trillion CNY, indicating a negative contribution of -9.68% from bond financing to the loan-to-deposit spread [4][45]. Summary by Sections Section 1: Implications of Widening Loan-to-Deposit Spread - The loan-to-deposit spread for large banks increased from 15.8 trillion CNY in January 2025 to 21.8 trillion CNY in January 2026, while for medium-sized banks, it rose from 16.5 trillion CNY to 23.5 trillion CNY [12]. - The decline in loan-to-deposit ratios for large banks from 89.1% to 86.5% and for medium-sized banks from 88.3% to 84.7% reflects a shift in asset allocation demands [12]. Section 2: Factors Influencing Loan-to-Deposit Spread - The six factors affecting the loan-to-deposit spread include: 1. Cash withdrawal demand 2. Reserve situation 3. Interbank lending to non-banking entities 4. Scale of bond investments 5. Bond issuance 6. Bank capital [4][14]. - The report emphasizes that the relationship between bond financing and loans must differentiate between government and non-government bonds, as the issuance of government bonds does not affect the loan-to-deposit spread [4][35]. Section 3: Analysis of Recent Changes in Bank Assets and Liabilities - The report details the contributions of various factors to the loan-to-deposit spread, including a -47% contribution from bank funds exiting the balance sheet and a 173% contribution from the substitution effect of bonds for loans [4][45]. - The analysis of January 2026 data shows that non-bank funds returning to banks contributed 25.9% to the loan-to-deposit spread, while interbank net assets contributed 43.3% [4][45].

[Table_Page] 投资策略月报|房地产 证券研究报告 [Table_Title] 房地产行业 26 年 1 月市场总结 市场信心逐步回升，主流标的表现优异 [Table_Summary] 核心观点： [Table_Grade] 行业评级 买入 前次评级 买入 报告日期 2026-02-26 [相对市场表现 Table_PicQuote] [分析师： Table_Author]郭镇 SAC 执证号：S0260514080003 SFC CE No. BNN906 021-38003639 guoz@gf.com.cn 分析师： 邢莘 SAC 执证号：S0260520070009 021-38003638 xingshen@gf.com.cn 分析师： 谢淼 SAC 执证号：S0260522070007 SFC CE No. BVB342 021-38003637 xiemiao@gf.com.cn 分析师： 李怡慧 SAC 执证号：S0260524040001 SFC CE No. BVI219 021-38003636 liyihui@gf.com.cn 分析师： 辛恬 SAC 执证号：S026052 ...

[Table_Page] 行业专题研究|电子 2026 年 2 月 26 日 证券研究报告 [Table_Title] AI 的 Memory 时刻 8 | | | | HBF | 在读为主应用优势显著 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 分析师： [Tabl | 王亮 | 分析师： | 耿正 | 分析师： 焦鼎 | | e_Author] | SAC 执证号：S0260519060001 | SAC 执证号：S0260520090002 | | SAC 执证号：S0260522120003 | | | SFC CE.no: BFS478 | | | | | | 021-38003658 | | 021-38003660 | 021-38003658 | | | gfwangliang@gf.com.cn | | gengzheng@gf.com.cn | jiaoding@gf.com.cn | | 分析师： | 张大伟 | | | | | | SAC 执证号：S0260523050001 | | | | | | 021-38003657 | | | | | | zhan ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Buy" [2] Core Viewpoints - The banking industry has shown a recovery in profit growth, with net profit for commercial banks increasing by 2.33% year-on-year in 2025, reflecting a quarter-on-quarter improvement of 2.35 percentage points [13][14] - The overall asset growth of commercial banks continued, with total assets increasing by 9.01% year-on-year as of Q4 2025, while loan growth slightly decreased to 7.26% year-on-year [29][30] - Net interest margin stabilized for two consecutive quarters at 1.42%, with expectations for a gradual recovery in 2026 [54] Summary by Sections Performance - The net profit of commercial banks increased by 2.33% year-on-year in 2025, with state-owned banks, joint-stock banks, city commercial banks, and rural commercial banks showing growth rates of 2.25%, -2.84%, 12.87%, and 4.57% respectively [13][14] - The return on equity (ROE) and return on assets (ROA) for commercial banks were 7.78% and 0.60%, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 0.33 percentage points and 0.03 percentage points respectively [13] Scale - Total assets of commercial banks grew by 9.01% year-on-year as of Q4 2025, with state-owned banks showing a growth rate of 10.78% [29][30] - Loan growth for commercial banks was 7.26% year-on-year, with city commercial banks experiencing a counter-cyclical increase in loan growth [29][30] Interest Margin - The net interest margin for commercial banks was stable at 1.42%, with a year-on-year decline of 10.50 basis points [54] - Expectations for 2026 indicate potential downward pressure on net interest margins in Q1, but a gradual recovery is anticipated thereafter [54] Asset Quality - The non-performing loan ratio for commercial banks was 1.50%, showing a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 2.00 basis points, while the provision coverage ratio was 205.21% [54] Capital - The core Tier 1 capital adequacy ratio for commercial banks was 10.92%, reflecting a quarter-on-quarter increase of 0.05 percentage points [54]

[Table_Page] 跟踪研究|运输 证券研究报告 | [Table_Title] 【广发交运&海外】美兰空港 | | --- | | (00357.HK) | 1 月季节性修复，看好自贸港机场长期潜力 [Table_Summary] 核心观点： ⚫ 风险提示。自然灾害，经济下行，自贸港政策不及预期等。 盈利预测： | [Table_ 单位:Finance] 人民币百万元 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 主营收入 | 2,086 | 2,171 | 2,165 | 2,510 | 2,810 | | 增长率（ % ） | 82.7% | 4.1% | -0.3% | 15.9% | 12.0% | | EBITDA | -128 | 7 | 368 | 671 | 984 | | 归母净利润 | -136 | -381 | -50 | 282 | 538 | | 增长率（ % ） | -12.4% | 180.5% | -86.8% | -659.7% | 90.8% | | ...

[Table_Page] 行业专题研究|纺织服饰 2026 年 2 月 26 日 证券研究报告 | 分析师： [Tabl | 糜韩杰 | 分析师： | 钟泽宇 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | e_Author] | SAC 执证号：S0260516020001 | | SAC 执证号：S0260526020002 | | | SFC CE.no: BPH764 | | | | | 021-38003650 | | 020-66336949 | | | mihanjie@gf.com.cn | | zhongzeyu@gf.com.cn | | | 请注意，钟泽宇并非香港证券及期货事务监察委员会的注册持牌人，不可在香港从事受监管活动。 | | | [本报告联系人： Table_C ontacter] [Table_Summary] 核心观点： 相关研究 [Table_Report ： ] 纺织服装行业全球观察之亚瑟士:FY2025：业绩持续高增长，FY2026 展望乐观 2026-02-25 纺织服装行业全球观察之德克斯户外:FY2026Q3：HOKA 营收持续高增，公司上调业绩指引 ...

[Table_Title] 保险Ⅱ行业 26年险资配置调查结果出炉，增配权益而久期策略不变 [Table_Summary] 核心观点： [Table_Grade] 行业评级 买入 前次评级 买入 报告日期 2026-02-26 [Table_PicQuote] 相对市场表现 [分析师： Table_Author]刘淇 SAC 执证号：S0260520060001 0755-82564292 liuqi@gf.com.cn 分析师： 陈福 SAC 执证号：S0260517050001 SFC CE No. BOB667 0755-82535901 chenfu@gf.com.cn 分析师： 唐关勇 SAC 执证号：S0260525070004 021-38003812 tangguanyong@gf.com.cn 请注意，刘淇,唐关勇并非香港证券及期货事务监察委员会 -20% -11% -2% 6% 15% 24% 10/24 01/25 03/25 06/25 08/25 10/25 保险Ⅱ 沪深300 的注册持牌人，不可在香港从事受监管活动。 [Table_ 相关研究： DocReport] | 保险Ⅱ行业 ...