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市场分析:外盘全线下挫 A股震荡整固
Zhongyuan Securities· 2024-08-05 09:30
Market Overview - The A-share market experienced fluctuations and consolidation on August 5, 2024, influenced by a decline in the Asia-Pacific markets. The Shanghai Composite Index faced resistance around 2919 points during the day [1][2][5] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 2860.70 points, down 1.54%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 8395.05 points, down 1.85%. The ChiNext Index fell by 1.89% [5][6] Industry Performance - The education, gaming, aviation, and tourism sectors showed strong performance, while the automotive, semiconductor, communication equipment, and consumer electronics sectors lagged [2][5] - Over 80% of stocks in the two markets declined, with the food and beverage sector leading gains at 1.16%, followed by consumer services at 0.96%. The automotive sector saw the largest decline at 2.68% [8] Valuation and Investment Strategy - The average price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for the Shanghai Composite and ChiNext indices are 12.41 times and 27.09 times, respectively, both below the median levels of the past three years, indicating a favorable environment for medium to long-term investments [2][11] - The total trading volume on August 5 was 793.9 billion yuan, below the median of the past three years, suggesting a cautious market sentiment [2][10] Future Outlook - The report anticipates a stabilization and potential rebound in the market due to enhanced macroeconomic policies and growth strategies. The release of the "New National Nine Articles" is expected to boost long-term market confidence [2][11] - Investors are advised to focus on short-term opportunities in the education, gaming, aviation, and tourism sectors [2][11]
传媒行业点评报告:政策密集出台助力国内文化产业发展
Zhongyuan Securities· 2024-08-05 09:30
传媒 分析师:乔琪 登记编码:S0730520090001 qiaoqi@ccnew.com 021-50586985 政策密集出台助力国内文化产业发展 ——传媒行业点评报告 证券研究报告-行业点评报告 同步大市(维持) 传媒相对沪深 300 指数表现 传媒 沪深300 11785 -36% -31% -26% -21% -16% -10% -5% 0% 2023.08 2023.12 2024.04 2024.08 资料来源:中原证券研究所,聚源 相关报告 《传媒行业月报:世界人工智能大会落幕,关 注 AI 应用落地进展》 2024-07-12 《传媒行业半年度策略:举 AI 为利矛,以红 利作坚盾》 2024-06-28 《传媒行业月报:暑期文化娱乐消费旺季将 至,关注电影、游戏定档进展》 2024-06-12 联系人:马嶔琦 电话: 021-50586973 地址: 上海浦东新区世纪大道1788 号16 楼 邮编: 200122 发布日期:2024 年 08 月 05 日 政策密集出台提振文化消费、助力文化产业发展。 投资要点: ⚫ 文化消费迎来国家级指引政策。8 月 3 日国务院发布《国务院关于 促进 ...
中原证券晨会聚焦
Zhongyuan Securities· 2024-08-05 01:31
资料来源:聚源,中原证券研究所 分析师:张刚 登记编码:S0730511010001 zhanggang@ccnew.com 021-50586990 晨会聚焦 -29% -25% -21% -17% -12% -8% -4% 0% 2023.08 2023.12 2024.04 2024.08 上证指数 深证成指 资料来源:聚源,中原证券研究所 | --- | --- | --- | |--------------------------------|------------|------------| | 国内市场表现 \n指数名称 | 昨日收盘价 | 涨跌幅 (%) | | 上证指数 | 2,905.34 | -0.92 | | 深证成指 | 8,553.55 | -1.38 | | 创业板指 | 2,022.77 | -0.47 | | 沪深 300 | 3,384.39 | -1.02 | | 上证 50 | 2,443.97 | -0.52 | | 科创 50 | 891.46 | 0.14 | | 创业板 50 | 1,924.26 | -0.67 | | 中证 100 | 3,225.81 | ...
周度策略:美联储降息预期大幅增强,市场有望企稳反弹
Zhongyuan Securities· 2024-08-04 11:30
分析师:李泽森 登记编码:S0730523080001 lizs1@ccnew.com 021-50586702 美联储降息预期大幅增强,市 场有望企稳反弹 ——周度策略 | --- | --- | --- | |----------------|-----------------------------------------------------------------------------|---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ...
中原证券行业周观点2024年第二十八期
Zhongyuan Securities· 2024-08-04 10:03
行业周观点 中原证券行业周观点 | --- | --- | |-------------------------|-----------| | 证券研究报告-行业周观点 | | | | | | 分析师:张壺梓 | 摘要: | | | 女林林池. | 跑赢对标指数 3.66 个百分点。从农林栽造编分子行业未看,本周水产办工板块涨幅分析师:陈拓 居前,何针办工板块跌幅居前。建议关注迎未周病反转的生猪养殖板块和宠物舍总板 步。登记编码:S0730522100003 • 分析师: 余典 本周汽车叛块下跌 0.94%,跑輪沪深 300 指数(-0.73%)0.21 个百分点,落跌幅径于 登记编码:S0730524030001 中 位一级 行业 茅 26 位。子旅块表现未希,除来用车、奇用车分别下跌 3. 65%、1. 66%, 汽车实际件、摩托车及其他、汽车领巷及服务分别上涨 1. 37%、1. 33%、6. 14%。老旧 营运货车更新补贴回则发布,明确了报废困三及以下种效标准营运失柴油货车补贴标 准,有望指动重卞户客,促进新能源重卞涉违单提升:新能源城市公交车回到发布办 是李年更新客杀。以旧换新政策坚步落地,朴贴标准 ...
行业周观点2024年第二十八期:7月29日-8月2日
Zhongyuan Securities· 2024-08-04 09:00
—2024 年第二十八期:7 月 29 日-8 月 2 日 行业周观点 中原证券行业周观点 | --- | --- | --- | |----------------|---------------------------|---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------| | | 证券研究报告 - 行业周观点 | 发布日期: 2024 年 8 月 4 日 | | 分析师:张蔓梓 | | 摘要: | | 登记编码: | S0730522110001 | ⚫ 农林牧渔 本期,农林牧渔(中信)指数上涨 2.93% ...
百润股份:2024年中报点评:预调酒短期承压,销售费率升高
Zhongyuan Securities· 2024-08-02 13:00
Investment Rating - The report assigns a rating of "Accumulate" for the company, indicating a potential increase in stock price relative to the market index [2][9]. Core Insights - The company reported a total revenue of 1.628 billion yuan for the first half of 2024, a decrease of 1.38% year-on-year, with a net profit of 402 million yuan, down 8.36% year-on-year [2][3]. - The pre-mixed liquor segment faced pressure with a revenue of 1.431 billion yuan, reflecting an 8.69% decline in sales volume [2][3]. - The company experienced a rise in sales expense ratio, leading to a decrease in net profit margin by 1.99 percentage points to 24.55% [2][3]. Financial Performance Summary - For the first half of 2024, the company achieved total revenue of 1.628 billion yuan, with a year-on-year decrease of 1.38% [2]. - The second quarter revenue was 826 million yuan, down 7.25% year-on-year, while the first quarter saw an increase of 5.51% year-on-year [2][3]. - The gross profit margin for pre-mixed liquor improved by 3.95 percentage points to 70.56% due to price increases [2][3]. - The edible flavor segment reported a revenue of 176 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 7.5% [2][3]. Future Earnings Projections - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are 0.83 yuan, 0.95 yuan, and 1.09 yuan respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 21.43x, 18.69x, and 16.34x [2][3][4].
市场分析:医药医疗行业领涨 A股震荡整理
Zhongyuan Securities· 2024-08-02 09:30
分析师:张刚 登记编码:S0730511010001 zhanggang@ccnew.com 021-50586990 医药医疗行业领涨 A 股震荡整理 ——市场分析 证券研究报告-市场分析 发布日期:2024 年 08 月 02 日 相关报告 投资要点: 《市场分析:军工半导体行业领涨 A 股蓄势 震荡》 2024-08-01 《市场分析:两市迎来普涨 沪指收复 2900 点》 2024-07-31 《市场分析:地产半导体行业领涨 A 股震荡 整理》 2024-07-30 ◼ A 股市场综述 周五(08 月 02 日)A 股市场冲高遇阻、小幅震荡整理,早盘股指低开后震 荡上行,沪指盘中在 2931 点附近遭遇阻力,午后股指震荡回落,盘中医药、 医疗服务、工程咨询服务以及农牧饲渔等行业表现较好;证券、半导体、 通信设备以及消费电子等行业表现较弱,沪指全天基本呈现小幅震荡整理 的运行特征。创业板市场周五震荡回落,成指全天表现弱于主板市场。 ◼ 后市研判及投资建议 周五 A 股市场冲高遇阻、小幅震荡整理,早盘股指低开后震荡上行,沪指 盘中在 2931 点附近遭遇阻力,午后股指震荡回落,盘中医药、医疗服务、 工程咨 ...
中原证券晨会聚焦
Zhongyuan Securities· 2024-08-02 02:00
分析师:张刚 登记编码:S0730511010001 zhanggang@ccnew.com 021-50586990 晨会聚焦 -29% -24% -20% -16% -12% -8% -3% 1% 2023.08 2023.12 2024.04 2024.08 上证指数 深证成指 资料来源:Wind,中原证券 | --- | --- | --- | |-------------------------|------------|------------| | 国内市场表现 \n指数名称 | 昨日收盘价 | 涨跌幅 (%) | | 上证指数 | 2,932.39 | -0.22 | | 深证成指 | 8,673.58 | -0.92 | | 创业板指 | 2,022.77 | -0.47 | | 沪深 300 | 3,419.27 | -0.66 | | 上证 50 | 2,443.97 | -0.52 | | 科创 50 | 891.46 | 0.14 | | 创业板 50 | 1,924.26 | -0.67 | | 中证 100 | 3,260.85 | -0.78 | | 中证 500 | 4,85 ...
市场分析:军工半导体行业领涨 A股蓄势震荡
Zhongyuan Securities· 2024-08-01 11:30
分析师:张刚 登记编码:S0730511010001 zhanggang@ccnew.com 021-50586990 军工半导体行业领涨 A 股蓄势震荡 ——市场分析 相关报告 《市场分析:两市迎来普涨 沪指收复 2900 点》 2024-07-31 《市场分析:地产半导体行业领涨 A 股震荡 整理》 2024-07-30 《市场分析:成长行业领涨 A 股窄幅波动》 2024-07-29 联系人: 马嵚琦 电话: 021-50586973 地址: 上海浦东新区世纪大道1788 号16 楼 邮编: 200122 证券研究报告-市场分析 发布日期:2024 年 08 月 01 日 投资要点: ◼ A 股市场综述 周四(08 月 01 日)A 股市场冲高遇阻、小幅震荡整理,早盘股指高开后震 荡上行,沪指盘中在 2947 点附近遭遇阻力,午后股指维持震荡,盘中军工、 半导体、交运设备以及工程建设等行业表现较好;证券、酿酒、软件开发 以及互联网服务等行业表现较弱,沪指全天基本呈现小幅震荡整理的运行 特征。创业板市场周四震荡回落,成指全天表现弱于主板市场。 ◼ 后市研判及投资建议 周四 A 股市场冲高遇阻、小幅震荡整理 ...