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医药与健康护理行业月报:23年年报&24年一季报总结与展望
海通国际· 2024-05-07 03:00
[Table_MainInfo] 行业研究/医药与健康护理 证券研究报告 行业月报 23 年年报 & 24 年一季报总结与展望 [Table_Summary] 投资要点: 2023 年医药制造业收入增速-13.42%,利润总额增速-19.02%。据国家统计局, 2023年规模以上医药制造业主营业务收入25205.7亿元,同比下降13.42%,增 速低于全国工业整体收入增速 10.17 个百分点。同期医药制造业利润总额 3473 亿元,同比下降19.02%,增速低于全国工业整体利润增速10.48个百分点。2022 年医药制造业收入29111.4亿元,利润4288.7亿元。我们认为2023年医药制造 业收入、利润增速放缓主要系以下原因:1)疫情防控相关产品销售锐减;2) 医药出口下降明显;3)受集采、竞争加剧、项目减少等因素影响,药品、耗材、 原料药、CRO/CDMO等大量医药产品价格呈下降态势。 2024 年 1 季度医药板块上市公司收入利润向好。医药板块上市公司 2024 年 1 季度营业收入同比增长 0.28%,较 2023 年同期的 1.96%下降了 1.68pcts;2024 年1季度归母净利润 ...
首次覆盖:铀周期再起,中国铀业龙头受益铀价上涨
海通国际· 2024-05-07 01:32
Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with an "Outperform" rating for CGN Mining Company (1164 HK) [9][34]. Core Views - CGN Mining is positioned to benefit from the recovery of the global nuclear power sector and the continuous growth in natural uranium demand, aiming to become a leading international supplier of natural uranium [5][10]. - The company has a strong financial performance, with significant revenue growth driven by its natural uranium business, which accounted for nearly all of its revenue in 2023 [14][28]. - The global natural uranium market is experiencing upward price trends due to supply shortages and increased geopolitical tensions, supporting a bullish outlook for uranium prices in the medium to long term [21][28]. Summary by Sections 1. Company Positioning - CGN Mining is a subsidiary of CGN Group, the largest nuclear power group in China and the third largest globally, focusing on the development and trade of natural uranium resources [10][19]. 2. Financial Performance - In 2023, CGN Mining achieved a revenue of HKD 7,368 million, a year-on-year increase of 101.04%, primarily from natural uranium sales [14][19]. - The company’s net profit decreased by 3.44% to HKD 497.1 million, indicating potential concerns regarding cost control and profitability [14][19]. 3. Global Uranium Price Trends - The report highlights a significant increase in uranium prices, with expectations for continued growth due to supply constraints and rising demand for nuclear energy [21][28]. - The average sales price for natural uranium is projected to rise to USD 79.5, USD 81.4, and USD 82.6 per pound from 2024 to 2026 [6][32]. 4. Internal Synergies with CGN Group - CGN Mining benefits from its close ties with CGN Group, which has a projected demand for approximately 6,120 tons of natural uranium in 2024, indicating a substantial supply gap compared to the company's current sales volume [6][31]. - The company has secured flexible pricing agreements that will allow it to capitalize on rising uranium prices [6][32]. 5. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The forecast for FY24-26 anticipates revenues of HKD 9,203 million, HKD 11,267 million, and HKD 13,162 million, with corresponding net profits of HKD 543 million, HKD 642 million, and HKD 745 million [6][33]. - A DCF valuation model estimates a target price of HKD 2.81 per share [6][33].
传媒行业周报:5月AI板块海外持续高关注,24Q1季报传媒公司业绩表现分化,建议关注个股
海通国际· 2024-05-07 01:00
[Table_MainInfo] 行业研究/传媒 证券研究报告 行业周报 2024年05月06日 5 月 AI 板块海外持续高关注,24Q1 季报 传媒公司业绩表现分化,建议关注个股 [Table_Summary] 投资要点: 周报观点,我们认为:AI应用:全年主线持续重点看好。1)5月仍处于海外重 点相关产业链公司(如英伟达)财报披露期,关注海外 AI 行业发展展望。2) Google I/O2024开发者大会将在5月14日举行,预期将有产品更新和AI研究成 果发表。3)微软Build大会鉴于5月21-23日举行,届时将带来“全新的Windows AI功能”等AI相关信息。3)我们认为,AI板块国内外模型能力逐步增强,应用 持续更新推进。 传媒行业 2023 年报及 2024 一季报发布完毕。2023 年,传媒行业整体总营收 5209.3亿元(同比增长7%);毛利率30.78%(同比增加0.89pct);归母净利424.4 亿元(同比增长422%);扣非归母净利261.8亿元(同比增长846%);整体净利 率8.15%(同比增加6.48pct)。2023年从各板块看,体育、影视、广告板块疫后 收入增 ...
公司年报点评:23年归母净利润同比增长132.07%,公司高强度研发锻造高端产品力
海通国际· 2024-05-07 01:00
[Table_MainInfo] 公司研究/汽车与零配件/汽车零配件 证券研究报告 赛轮轮胎(601058)公司年报点评 [ Table_InvestInfo] 23 年归母净利润同比增长 132.07%, 公司高强度研发锻造高端产品力 [Table_Summary] 投资要点: 赛轮轮胎发布2023年年报。2023年公司实现营业收入259.78亿元,同比增 长 18.61%,归母净利润 30.91 亿元,同比增长 132.07%。公司拟向全体股东 每股派发现金红利0.17元(含税)。 公司2023年营收与利润增长主要系国内轮胎市场需求恢复明显,公司产能释 放及产能利用率不断提升。1)分业务营收来看,公司轮胎产品、轮胎贸易 2023年营业收入分别同比变化22.13%、-30.65%至246.18、9.45亿元。2)分 业务毛利率来看,公司轮胎产品、轮胎贸易2023年毛利率同比分别变化9.43、 4.10个百分点至28.32%、15.35%。3)公司2023年轮胎产量与销售量分别为 5863.54万条与5578.63万条,分别同比增长35.71%与27.07%。4)公司2023 年三项费用率同比上升2. ...
全球能源与ESG周报:光伏主产业链价格持续下跌,美国能源部缩短输电许可审批时间
海通国际· 2024-05-06 08:01
ESG&NEW ENERGY&UTILITY [Table_yejiao1] 本研究报告由海通国际分销,海通国际是由海通国际研究有限公司,海通证券印度私人有限公司,海通国际株式会社和海通国 际证券集团其他各成员单位的证券研究团队所组成的全球品牌,海通国际证券集团各成员分别在其许可的司法管辖区内从事证 券活动。关于海通国际的分析师证明,重要披露声明和免责声明,请参阅附录。(Please see appendix for English translation of the disclaimer) [Table_yemei1] 热点速评 Flash Analysis 中国:1)天然气:本周期中国 LNG 到岸价较上周下滑,市场价较上周持续回升。2)电力:中国电力企业联合会预 计 2024 年全社会用电量 9.8 万亿千瓦时,同比增长 6%左右。3)储能锂电:以旧换新补贴政策落地;宁德时代首次 公布全固态电池发展规划;宁德时代发布全球首款 1000 公里续航+4C 超充磷酸铁锂电池。4)光伏:光伏产业链价格 方面,本周硅片价格持续下探。5)风电&电网:2024 年 1-3 月份风电新增装机 15.5GW,同比增加近 ...
工业气体月度跟踪:4月液氧/氮均价环比上行,林德收购中南钢铁空分装置并签署供气协议
海通国际· 2024-05-06 08:00
[Table_MainInfo] 行业研究/机械工业/其他专用机械 证券研究报告 行业月报 2024年05月01日 工业气体月度跟踪:4 月液氧/氮均价环比 上行,林德收购中南钢铁空分装置并签署 供气协议 [Table_Summary] 投资要点: 4 月液氧/液氮月均价环比上行,液氩同环比略降。根据卓创资讯工业气体官方 微信公众号,截至4月29日,1)液氧:月均价442.75元/吨,环比涨6.09%, 同比降6.12%;2)液氮:月均价468元/吨,环比涨14.68元/吨,同比跌31.54 元/吨;3)液氩:月均价为1125.82元/吨,环比降1.34%,同比降2.54%;4) 氦气:批量 40L 瓶装高纯氦气月 751.44 元/瓶,环比跌 46.83 元/瓶,同比跌 1081.06元/瓶;管束氦气长期协议客户拿货月均价至109元/立方米,环比跌3 元/立方米,同比跌 183 元/立方米;5)氙气:月均价 4.14 万元/立方米,环比 跌 0.1 万元/立方米,同比跌 10.54 万元/立方米;6)氪气:月均价 433.57 元/ 立方米,环比跌16.43元/立方米,同比跌1364.76元/立方米;7 ...
HTI中国消费品4月需求报告:多数行业依然处于低速增长
海通国际· 2024-05-06 08:00
研究报告ResearchReport 5 May 2024 中国必需消费 China Staples HTI 中国消费品 4 月需求报告:多数行业依然处于低速增长 Most Industries are still Experiencing Slow Growth [InTvaebsletm_yeenmt eFio1c]u s [Table_Info] (Please see APPENDIX 1 for English summary) 据海通国际预测,24年4月重点跟踪的8个行业中6个保持正增长,2个 股票名称 评级 股票名称 评级 负增长。实现双位数增长的行业有次高端及以上白酒(主要受贵州茅台带 动)、速冻食品和餐饮;个位数增长的行业包括软饮料、调味品和啤酒; 贵州茅台 Outperform 安琪酵母 Outperform 乳制品和大众及以下白酒负增长。与上月相比,3 个行业增速加快或降幅 五粮液 Outperform 口子窖 Outperform 收窄,4 个行业增速下滑,1 个持平。进入传统消费淡季和去年高基数原 山西汾酒 Outperform 舍得酒业 Outperform 因,导致4月消费行业依 ...
消费品价格跟踪报告:整箱、散飞走势分化,方便食品折扣力度减小
海通国际· 2024-05-06 07:32
研究报告Research Report 30 Apr 2024 中国食品饮料 China Food & Beverage 消费品价格跟踪报告: 整箱、散飞走势分化,方便食品折扣力度减小 Consumer price tracking:Moutai price performance differentiation, convenience food discount weakened [观Ta点bl聚e_焦yem Inevie1s] tment Focus [Table_Info] (Please see APPENDIX 1 for English summary) 据多家酒业媒体报道,近日白酒批发价格如下: 股票名称 评级 股票名称 评级 贵州茅台:本周(4月22日至4月29日),飞天整箱/散瓶/茅台1935 贵州茅台 Outperform 中炬高新 Outperform 批价为 2780/2560/880 元,较上周-30/+10 元/持平,较上月-110/-75/ 五粮液 Outperform 水井坊 Outperform -15 元。2024 年初以来飞天整箱、散瓶和茅台 1935 批价-180/- ...
日本策略:香江观日
海通国际· 2024-05-06 07:31
| --- | --- | --- | --- | |----------------------------------------------------------------------------------|--------------------------------------------------------|---------|--------------| | | | | | | Haitong International Equity Research Ratings Distribution, as of March 31, 2024 | | | | | | Outperform | Neutral | Underperform | | | | (hold) | | | HTI Equity Research Coverage 90.4% 8.8% 0.8% | | | | | IB clients* 3.3% 4.9% 0.0% | | | | | *Percentage | of investment banking clients in each rating catego ...
公司年报点评:产能问题已于2023年下半年得到解决,品牌影响力有望逐步走强
海通国际· 2024-05-06 07:30
Investment Rating - The report assigns an "OUTPERFORM" rating to the company with a target price of RMB 29.46 [6][27][36] Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of RMB 6.07 billion for 2023, representing a year-on-year growth of 11.34%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of RMB 413 million, up 65.08% year-on-year [15][27] - In Q4 2023, the company achieved a revenue of RMB 1.94 billion, a 44.98% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of RMB 126 million, up 60.59% year-on-year [15][27] - For Q1 2024, revenue reached RMB 1.84 billion, growing 45.30% year-on-year, with a net profit of RMB 101 million, up 15.06% year-on-year [15][27] Summary by Sections Revenue Breakdown - The furniture series generated RMB 2.71 billion in revenue, up 4.79% year-on-year; the home furnishing series saw revenue of RMB 2.29 billion, up 22.31% year-on-year; the pet series grew rapidly to RMB 519 million, up 37.30% year-on-year; while the outdoor series revenue was RMB 466 million, down 12.26% year-on-year [26][35] - The company has a strong product matrix and new product development capabilities, which are expected to drive future performance growth [26][35] Financial Forecast - The forecast for net profit for 2024-2026 is RMB 493 million, RMB 574 million, and RMB 670 million, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 19.4%, 16.6%, and 16.6% respectively [27][36] - The current closing price corresponds to a PE ratio of 19 and 16 times for 2024-2025, with a valuation of 24 times PE for 2024 [27][36] Market Position - The company is positioned as a leading cross-border e-commerce enterprise in home furnishing and furniture, with a target price based on a 24 times PE valuation for 2024 [27][36]