Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company [2][11]. Core Views - The company has achieved positive growth in revenue and net profit for 2024 and Q1 2025, driven by the clearing of outdated industry capacity and an increase in market share, alongside the development of high-margin products [2][11]. - Projected net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is estimated at 0.53 billion, 0.64 billion, and 0.85 billion RMB, with corresponding EPS of 2.29, 2.78, and 3.68 RMB [2][11]. - The target price for 2025 is set at 34.35 RMB, based on a 15X PE ratio [2][11]. Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company reported revenue of 5.69 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 7.74%, and a net profit of 0.43 billion RMB, up 17.61% [4][12]. - For Q1 2025, revenue reached 1.48 billion RMB, reflecting a 9.36% year-on-year growth, with a recurring net profit of 0.10 billion RMB, up 4.12% [4][12]. - The anti-aging materials segment generated revenue of 4.59 billion RMB, a 5.73% increase year-on-year, while lubricant additives revenue was 1.06 billion RMB, up 15.40% [4][12]. Market Opportunities - There is significant potential for import substitution in the lubricant additives market, which had global sales of 15.99 billion USD in 2023, with a projected CAGR of 1.9% from 2024 to 2030 [3][13]. - The company’s subsidiary, Jinzhou Kangtai, is positioned to leverage cost, logistics, and local service advantages to capture market share from international competitors [3][13]. - The acquisition of Korea IPI in 2024 allows the company to enter the electronic-grade PI materials market, expanding into sectors such as flexible OLED displays, flexible circuit boards, chip packaging, and new energy vehicles [3][13].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company [5][10]. Core Views - The company is expected to achieve net profits attributable to shareholders of 418 million, 480 million, and 607 million RMB for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.47, 0.53, and 0.68 RMB [5][10]. - A target price of 11.75 RMB is set for 2025, reflecting a 25X PE valuation, considering the competitive landscape in solar backsheet and specialty epoxy resin products [5][10]. Financial Summary - In 2024, the company reported revenue of 4.47 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 19.60%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 181 million RMB, down 44.54% year-on-year [5][11]. - For Q1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 1.13 billion RMB, a 23.23% increase year-on-year, with net profit attributable to shareholders of 91.88 million RMB, up 81.16% year-on-year [5][11]. - The revenue breakdown for 2024 includes: electrical insulation materials at 470 million RMB (up 29.86% YoY), new energy materials at 1.38 billion RMB (up 5.61% YoY), optical film materials at 1.13 billion RMB (up 17.37% YoY), electronic materials at 1.07 billion RMB (up 30.02% YoY), and eco-friendly flame retardant materials at 146 million RMB (up 18.10% YoY) [5][11]. Business Development - The company is enhancing its electronic materials sector by focusing on growth opportunities in AI and low-orbit satellite communications, with a subsidiary investing in a project to produce 20,000 tons of high-speed communication substrate electronic materials [5][12].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company [1][8][6] - The target price is set at RMB 32.75, with the current price at RMB 25.41 [1][8] Core Insights - The company is expected to benefit significantly from the refrigerant market cycle, with substantial growth in revenue and net profit projected for 2024 and Q1 2025 [1][8] - Revenue and net profit for 2024 are forecasted at RMB 24.46 billion and RMB 1.96 billion, representing year-on-year increases of 18.43% and 107.69% respectively [8][6] - The company holds a leading position in refrigerant quotas, with a 34% share of the total HFCs quota for 2025 [8][6] Financial Summary - For 2024, the company expects revenue of RMB 24.46 billion, up 18.4% from 2023, and net profit of RMB 1.96 billion, up 107.7% [2][8] - The EPS for 2025 is projected at RMB 1.31, with further increases to RMB 1.57 in 2026 and RMB 1.78 in 2027 [2][8] - The company’s refrigerant prices increased by 32.69% year-on-year in 2024, with production and sales volumes also showing significant growth [8][6] Market Dynamics - The demand for refrigerants is expected to remain strong, driven by the growth in air conditioning, refrigeration, and emerging overseas markets [8][6] - The Ministry of Ecology and Environment has announced a total HFCs quota of 79.19 million tons for 2025, which will benefit the company as a quota leader [8][6] - The report highlights the ongoing optimization of the supply-demand balance in the refrigerant market under quota constraints [8][6] Strategic Initiatives - The company is investing in advanced industries, including high-end fluoropolymers and fourth-generation refrigerants, ensuring long-term growth [8][6] - The Gansu Juhua project, with a total investment of RMB 19.63 billion, aims to establish production facilities for various refrigerants and related products [8][6]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Outperform" rating to the company with a target price of RMB 9.09, representing a potential upside of 15% from the current price of RMB 7.64 [1][9]. Core Insights - The company's net profit attributable to shareholders for 2024 is projected to be RMB 943 million, a year-on-year increase of 39.12%, while the net profit after non-recurring items is expected to grow by 57.07% to RMB 1.14 billion [1][9]. - The revenue for 2024 is forecasted at RMB 17.33 billion, reflecting a slight decline of 0.23% year-on-year, primarily due to lower product prices [1][9]. - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of RMB 0.38 per share, totaling approximately RMB 631.36 million, which accounts for 66.94% of the net profit attributable to shareholders [1][9]. Financial Summary - The company achieved a net profit of RMB 678 million in 2023, with projections of RMB 943 million for 2024, RMB 1.32 billion for 2025, RMB 1.43 billion for 2026, and RMB 1.60 billion for 2027 [3][9]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are expected to increase from RMB 0.41 in 2023 to RMB 0.57 in 2024, RMB 0.79 in 2025, RMB 0.86 in 2026, and RMB 0.96 in 2027 [3][9]. - The company's return on equity (ROE) is projected to rise from 9.0% in 2023 to 12.0% in 2024, reaching 15.0% by 2025 [3][9]. Major Projects - The company is accelerating the construction of a 600,000-ton corn deep processing and cogeneration project, aiming for trial production by the end of 2025, with a total investment of RMB 3.71 billion [10]. - Additionally, the company is making steady progress on the Zhaodong nucleotide project, with a self-funded investment of RMB 167.29 million for a 3,500-ton product upgrade over 16 months [10].

扣非后净利润同比下降 14.17%，子公司获得探矿权 远兴能源(000683) ——远兴能源 2024 年年报点评 基础化工 [Table_Industry] /原材料 投资要点： | [Table_Finance] 财务摘要（百万元） | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入 | 12,044 | 13,264 | 11,779 | 14,287 | 16,243 | | (+/-)% | 9.6% | 10.1% | -11.2% | 21.3% | 13.7% | | 净利润（归母） | 1,410 | 1,811 | 1,432 | 1,879 | 2,345 | | (+/-)% | -47.0% | 28.5% | -20.9% | 31.2% | 24.8% | | 每股净收益（元） | 0.38 | 0.48 | 0.38 | 0.50 | 0.63 | | 净资产收益率(%) | 10.5% | 12.5% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 13.4% | | ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company [1][9]. Core Views - The company's profit in 2024 was significantly impacted by exchange rate losses, but channel expansion is progressing well. Revenue is expected to grow significantly in 2025, with an improved gross profit margin (GPM). There is optimism regarding increased profit flexibility from the European and American markets in 2025-2026. The earnings per share (EPS) forecasts for 2025-2027 are RMB 3.65, 4.83, and 5.95, respectively, with a 2025 price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 20.0x, setting a target price of RMB 73.00 [1][9]. Financial Summary - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of RMB 13.30 billion, a year-on-year increase of 15.77%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was RMB 450 million, a decrease of 41.63% year-on-year. The fourth quarter of 2024 saw revenue of RMB 3.51 billion, up 18.38% year-on-year, but down 14.44% quarter-on-quarter, with a net profit of RMB 109 million, up 119.23% year-on-year, but down 32.08% quarter-on-quarter [2][4][9]. - For the first quarter of 2025, the company reported revenue of RMB 2.69 billion, a slight decrease of 0.26% year-on-year and a 23.49% decrease quarter-on-quarter, with a net profit of RMB 257 million, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 67.98% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 136.59% [4][9]. Business Development - The company focused on growing its direct-to-consumer (TO C) business in 2024, with the revenue share rising from 33.82% in 2023 to 37.65% in 2024. The GPM for the TO C business was 28.99%, an increase of 0.09% year-on-year. The share of revenue from the EU and North American markets increased from 5.69% in 2023 to 9.75% in 2024. Additionally, the revenue share from insecticides and fungicides rose from 25.41% in 2023 to 25.71% in 2024 [4][9]. - The company strengthened its biopharmaceutical segment by forming a global team, achieving first-year sales of approximately USD 10 million. In 2024, it obtained over 1000 new registrations, totaling over 7700 pesticide registrations by December 31, 2024, including new registrations in countries such as the USA, Canada, and Italy [4][9].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company [4][8]. Core Views - The company's short-term performance is under pressure due to industry cost pressures and decreased production and sales. The EPS forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been lowered to RMB 2.14 and RMB 2.57, respectively, with a new forecast for 2027 set at RMB 2.82. The target price has been reduced by 25% to RMB 25.68, applying a 12x PE for 2025 [4][8]. Financial Summary - For 2024, the company's revenue and net profit attributable to shareholders are projected to be RMB 8.51 billion and RMB 2.19 billion, representing year-on-year increases of 8.53% and 59.74%, respectively. The Q4 2024 revenue and net profit are expected to be RMB 2.17 billion and RMB 460 million, with year-on-year growth of 3.38% and 22.7% [4][8]. - In Q1 2025, the company is expected to report revenue and net profit attributable to shareholders of RMB 2.06 billion and RMB 361 million, reflecting year-on-year declines of 2.79% and 28.29% [4][8]. Production and Sales Performance - By the end of 2024, the company's tyre sector production and sales are expected to reach 32.23 million and 31.41 million units, respectively, with year-on-year increases of 10.22% and 7.34%. The revenue for this segment is projected at RMB 8.50 billion, up 8.57% year-on-year [4][8]. - In Q1 2025, tyre sector production and sales are expected to decline to 7.92 million and 7.38 million units, with year-on-year decreases of 1.87% and 3.02% [4][8]. Strategic Developments - The company's "833plus" strategy is progressing steadily, with the Morocco project expected to achieve large-scale production in 2025. This project aims to produce 12 million high-performance tyres annually, enhancing the company's global competitiveness and profitability [4][8]. - The company has established a strong presence in the replacement market, with over 5% market share in the USA and over 4% in Europe for its tyre products in 2024. It is also recognized as a qualified supplier for several major automotive manufacturers [4][8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company [4][9]. Core Views - The company is facing performance pressure in Q1 2025 due to rising raw material prices, but it is expected to benefit from long-term capacity release and growth in both the supporting and replacement segments [1][9]. - The company has strong growth potential from its Serbia base, with a projected EPS of RMB 1.46 for 2025 and RMB 1.68 for 2026, along with a new forecast of RMB 1.86 for 2027 [4][9]. - The target price is set at RMB 20.44, based on a 14x PE for 2025 [4][9]. Financial Summary - Revenue and net profit for 2024 are projected at RMB 22.06 billion and RMB 1.75 billion, respectively, representing year-on-year growth of 9.39% and 26.01% [4][9]. - For Q4 2024, revenue and net profit are expected to be RMB 6.11 billion and RMB 0.041 billion, showing year-on-year growth of 8.41% and a significant decline in net profit of 90.59% [4][9]. - In Q1 2025, revenue is projected at RMB 5.70 billion, with a year-on-year increase of 12.92%, while net profit is expected to decline by 22.78% to RMB 0.34 billion [4][9]. Production and Sales - The company’s tyre production for 2024 is expected to reach 89.12 million units, a year-on-year increase of 12.65%, with sales volume at 85.45 million units, up 9.57% [4][9]. - In Q1 2025, tyre production and sales are projected at 23.03 million and 21.41 million units, respectively, with sales volume increasing by 12.78% year-on-year [4][9]. Strategic Developments - The company is advancing its "7+5" layout strategy, with the Serbia base now in production and supplying the European market [4][9]. - A new project in Brazil is planned, which will have a production capacity of 12 million semi-steel tyres, 2.4 million full-steel tyres, and other products [4][9].

[Table_Title] 研究报告 Research Report 8 May 2025 米高集团 Migao Group (9879 HK) xh.sun@htisec.com [Table_yemei1] 热点速评 Flash Analysis [Table_summary] (Please see APPENDIX 1 for English summary) [Table_yejiao1] 本研究报告由海通国际分销，海通国际是由海通国际研究有限公司，海通证券印度私人有限公司，海通国际株式会社和海通国 际证券集团其他各成员单位的证券研究团队所组成的全球品牌，海通国际证券集团各成员分别在其许可的司法管辖区内从事证 券活动。关于海通国际的分析师证明，重要披露声明和免责声明，请参阅附录。(Please see appendix for English translation of the disclaimer) 公司是中国钾肥行业领先企业，通过进口途径采购氯化钾。米高集团成立于 2003 年 6 月，于 2024 年 3 月在 港交所主板上市。 公司主要从事钾肥产品的生产、加工和销售，具体产品包括氯化钾、硫 ...

Investment Rating - The report indicates a turnaround in net profit for the company in Q1 2025, with an adjusted net income of $44 million compared to a net loss of $10 million in the same period of 2024 [2][4]. Core Insights - The company's sales in Q1 2025 were $1.0 billion, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of approximately 5% in U.S. dollars, primarily due to flat volumes and a 4% decline in prices [2][4]. - Adjusted gross profit increased by 5% year-over-year to $303 million, resulting in a gross margin of 30.3%, up from 27.2% in the previous year [5]. - The North American business showed growth, driven by improved market demand and a recovery in channel inventories, with a significant contribution from the consumer and professional solutions segment [6]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Q1 2025 net profit turned from a loss to a profit, with reported net income at $21 million compared to a net loss of $32 million in Q1 2024 [2][4]. - Adjusted operating expenses decreased to $207 million from $216 million year-over-year, attributed to disciplined management and favorable currency movements [5]. Regional Performance - The North American business experienced year-on-year growth, supported by an increase in disposable income among consumers, which boosted demand in the consumer and professional solutions segment [6].