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新能源行业:容量电价重磅政策落地,储能发令枪响起
海通国际· 2026-02-02 02:40
[Table_Title] 研究报告 Research Report 1 Feb 2026 中国中国香港新能源 China (A-share) China (Overseas) Hong Kong New Energy 新能源行业:容量电价重磅政策落地,储能发令枪响起 New Energy Industry: Landmark Capacity Tariff Policy Implemented, Energy Storage Enters Full-Scale Development 徐柏乔 Baiqiao Xu bq.xu@htisec.com [Table_yemei1] 热点速评 Flash Analysis [Table_summary] (Please see APPENDIX 1 for English summary) 本周推荐逻辑 储能行业 2026 年将出现确定性高增长,是我们当下最看好的板块。近期储能行业表现低迷,一方面是由于 Q1 需 求淡季,另一方面原材料始终在涨价,但经过调整后储能相关公司估值性价比已经很高。容量电价政策周末出 台,以及碳酸锂价格连续调整,是我们认为当前储能板块已经 ...
可选消费W05周度趋势解析:受美联储鹰派影响全球资产价格大跌,可选消费板块回撤较多
海通国际· 2026-02-02 00:25
Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Outperform" rating to multiple companies in the discretionary consumption sector, including Nike, Li Ning, Midea Group, JD Group, Haier Smart Home, Gree Electric, Anta Sports, and many others [1]. Core Insights - The discretionary consumption sector has experienced a significant pullback due to the hawkish stance of the Federal Reserve, leading to a decline in global asset prices [4][13]. - The report highlights that the domestic sportswear sector has shown resilience, with a weekly increase of 0.6%, while other sectors such as luxury goods and cosmetics have faced declines [5][15]. - The report notes that various sub-sectors within discretionary consumption have performed differently, with gold and jewelry being the top performers in the recent weeks [4][13]. Summary by Relevant Sections Weekly Performance Review - The report details the weekly performance of various sectors, indicating that domestic sportswear outperformed others with a 0.6% increase, while luxury goods saw a decline of 5.8% [4][13]. - Monthly performance shows gold and jewelry leading with a 14.8% increase, while luxury goods and overseas sportswear faced significant declines [4][13]. Sector Analysis - The domestic sportswear sector's growth is attributed to increased demand for warm clothing due to colder weather and strategic partnerships, such as Anta Sports' acquisition of a stake in PUMA [6][15]. - The credit card sector experienced mixed results, with Mastercard performing well while Visa and American Express faced declines due to varying financial performance [15]. - The retail sector saw a decline of 1.4%, with some companies like China Resources Vanguard performing well due to favorable policies [15]. Valuation Analysis - The report indicates that the expected PE ratios for various sectors in 2025 are below their historical averages, suggesting potential investment opportunities [11][18]. - For instance, the expected PE for the domestic sportswear sector is 13.4 times, which is 70% of its past five-year average [11][18].
周报:受资金面影响,板块整体回调,医药流通相对稳健
海通国际· 2026-02-02 00:25
研究报告 Research Report 2 Feb 2026 香港医疗 Hong Kong Health Care 周报(26/1/26-26/1/30):受资金面影响,板块整体回调,医药流通相对稳健 Weekly Report: Capital pressures drove a broad-based sector correction, with pharmaceutical distribution proving relatively stable [Table_yemei1] 观点聚焦 Investment Focus | [Table_Info] | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 股票名称 | 评级 | 股票名称 | 评级 | | 百济神州 | Outperform 映恩生物 | | Outperform | | 京东健康 | Outperform 华润医药 | | Outperform | | 药明生物 | Outperform 金斯瑞生物科技 | | Outperform | | 信达生物 | Outperform 国药控股 | | Neutral | ...
石药集团:长效多肽产品组合授权阿斯利康,加速全球创新药布局-20260131
海通国际· 2026-01-31 00:25
孟科含 Kehan Meng 聂照亿 Zhaoyi Nie kh.meng@htisec.com john.zy.nie@htisec.com [Table_yemei1] 热点速评 Flash Analysis [Table_Title] 研究报告 Research Report 30 Jan 2026 石药集团 CSPC Pharmaceutical Group (1093 HK) 长效多肽产品组合授权阿斯利康,加速全球创新药布局 Long-Acting Peptide Product Portfolio Out-licensed to AZ, Accelerating Global Innovative Drug Deployment [Table_summary] (Please see APPENDIX 1 for English summary) 事件 石药创新(新诺威 300765.SZ,石药集团的控股子公司)的控股子公司巨石生物及石药集团、中奇制药(石药集团 的全资控股子公司)共同与阿斯利康签署《战略合作与授权协议》,将与阿斯利康在创新多肽分子发现和长效递 送产品的开发领域开展全面战略合作。 ...
金沙中国25Q4经调整EBITDA低于预期,市场份额提升
海通国际· 2026-01-30 00:25
研究报告 Research Report 29 Jan 2026 金沙中国 SANDS CHINA (1928 HK) 25Q4 经调整 EBITDA 低于预期,市场份额提升 25Q4 Miss on Adjusted EBITDA with GGR Market Share Improving 观点聚焦 Investment Focus [Table_Info] 维持优于大市 Maintain OUTPERFORM 评级 优于大市 OUTPERFORM 现价 HK$17.34 目标价 HK$22.30 HTI ESG 4.3-5.0-4.0 E-S-G: 0-5, (Please refer to the Appendix for ESG comments) 市值 HK$140.34bn / US$17.99bn 日交易额 (3 个月均值) US$34.45mn 发行股票数目 8,093mn 自由流通股 (%) 25% 1 年股价最高最低值 HK$22.20-HK$12.82 注:现价 HK$17.34 为 2026 年 01 月 29 日收盘价 资料来源: Factset 1mth 3mth 12mth ...
再鼎医药2025年业绩前瞻:短期商业化增速放缓;双引擎助力实现长期全球价值
海通国际· 2026-01-29 10:25
研究报告 Research Report 29 Jan 2026 再鼎医药 Zai Lab (9688 HK) 2025 年业绩前瞻:短期商业化增速放缓;双引擎助力实现长期全球价值 FY25 results preview: ST Commercial Growth Slows; Dual Engines Drive LT Global Value [Table_yemei 观点聚焦 1] Investment Focus [Table_Info] 维持优于大市 Maintain OUTPERFORM 评级 优于大市 OUTPERFORM 现价 HK$13.82 目标价 HK$35.25 HTI ESG 2.9-1.5-3.5 E-S-G: 0-5, (Please refer to the Appendix for ESG comments) 市值 HK$15.47bn / US$1.98bn 日交易额 (3 个月均值) US$24.53mn 发行股票数目 1,120mn 自由流通股 (%) 89% 1 年股价最高最低值 HK$34.55-HK$13.47 注:现价 HK$13.88 为 2026 年 01 ...
西锐 Cirrus Aircraft (2507 HK) 调研反馈:产品叠加服务铸就的护城河
海通国际· 2026-01-28 13:25
研究报告 Research Report 28 Jan 2026 西锐 Cirrus Aircraft (2507 HK) 调研反馈:产品叠加服务铸就的护城河 US site tour feedback: great product paired with excellent service build a durable moat 观点聚焦 Investment Focus [Table_Info] 维持优于大市 Maintain OUTPERFORM 评级 优于大市 OUTPERFORM 现价 HK$61.00 目标价 HK$70.20 HTI ESG 2.6-3.3-3.5 E-S-G: 0-5, (Please refer to the Appendix for ESG comments) 市值 HK$22.33bn / US$2.86bn 日交易额 (3 个月均值) US$4.35mn 发行股票数目 365.99mn 自由流通股 (%) 20% 1 年股价最高最低值 HK$73.40-HK$20.55 注:现价 HK$61.00 为 2026 年 01 月 28 日收盘价 资料来源: Factset ...
安踏体育:战略性收购Puma29.06%股权,继续推进单聚焦+多品牌+全球化战略-20260128
海通国际· 2026-01-28 00:45
研究报告 Research Report 28 Jan 2026 安踏体育 ANTA SPORTS (2020 HK) 战略性收购 Puma 29.06%股权,继续推进单聚焦+多品牌+全球化战略 Strategic Acquisition of a 29.06% Stake in Puma to Further Advance the Strategy of Single Focus, Multi-Brand and Globalization [Table_yemei 观点聚焦 1] Investment Focus [Table_Info] 维持优于大市 Maintain OUTPERFORM 评级 优于大市 OUTPERFORM 现价 HK$77.90 目标价 HK$91.40 HTI ESG 0.7-1.6-3.5 E-S-G: 0-5, (Please refer to the Appendix for ESG comments) 市值 HK$217.86bn / US$27.94bn 日交易额 (3 个月均值) US$93.59mn 发行股票数目 2,797mn 自由流通股 (%) 47% 1 年 ...
可选消费W04周度趋势解析:黄金持续创新高叠加新消费板块回暖,黄金珠宝板块本周表现最优
海通国际· 2026-01-26 10:20
Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Outperform" rating to multiple companies including Nike, Midea Group, JD Group, Haier Smart Home, Gree Electric, Anta Sports, and many others, indicating a positive outlook for these stocks [1]. Core Insights - The gold and jewelry sector has emerged as the top performer this week, driven by new consumer sentiment and the upcoming Spring Festival, which is expected to boost sales [4][14]. - The overall performance of various sectors shows significant fluctuations, with gold and jewelry leading the gains, while sectors like luxury goods and U.S. hotels are experiencing declines [12][15]. - The report highlights that the valuation of various sectors remains below their historical averages, suggesting potential investment opportunities [10][17]. Sector Performance Summary - **Gold and Jewelry**: This sector saw a weekly increase of 12.9%, with notable stock performances from Lao Pu Gold (+20.5%) and Chao Hong Ji (+12.3%) due to positive sales forecasts [6][14]. - **Gambling**: The gambling sector increased by 2.9%, with companies like MGM China and Galaxy Entertainment showing strong market share growth [14]. - **Overseas Cosmetics**: This sector rose by 2.1%, driven by E.L.F. Beauty's stock increase of 4.6% following positive earnings forecasts [14]. - **Retail**: The retail sector increased by 2.0%, with Wanchen Group's stock rising by 14.3% due to optimistic revenue expectations [14]. - **Domestic Cosmetics**: This sector saw a modest increase of 0.9%, with companies like Proya and Runben showing positive stock movements [8][14]. - **Snacks**: The snack sector increased by 0.6%, with Youyou Foods and Qiaqia Foods showing gains [14]. - **Pet Sector**: This sector experienced a slight decline of 0.4%, with Zhongchong Co. facing stock price pressures [14]. - **Domestic Sportswear**: This sector decreased by 1.4%, with Anta Sports experiencing a notable decline of 6.1% [14]. - **U.S. Hotels**: This sector fell by 1.4%, with major hotel chains like Marriott and Hilton reporting declines [15]. - **Credit Cards**: The credit card sector also saw a decline of 1.4%, influenced by uncertainties regarding proposed interest rate caps [15]. - **Luxury Goods**: This sector decreased by 1.6%, with Burberry facing significant stock price drops due to market concerns [15]. - **Overseas Sportswear**: This sector fell by 1.8%, with Adidas experiencing a notable drop of 8.7% due to downgrades from investment banks [16]. Valuation Analysis - The report indicates that the expected PE ratios for various sectors in 2025 are below their historical averages, suggesting potential undervaluation. For example, the expected PE for the gold and jewelry sector is 25.9, which is 49% of its historical average [10][17].
老铺黄金:业绩前瞻:2025国内海外线下深化布局,差异化原创贡献营收-20260126
海通国际· 2026-01-26 05:45
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for Laopu Gold [2][12] Core Insights - Laopu Gold's revenue is expected to grow by 217% year-on-year in 2025, reaching RMB 26.96 billion, with a projected net profit of RMB 4.63 billion, reflecting a 214% increase [3][12] - The company is focusing on deepening its domestic and overseas offline expansion, with a strategy of "fewer but better, larger and more beautiful" in site selection, enhancing per-store sales efficiency [4][10] - Differentiated original designs are driving product iterations, with new product contributions expected to rise, including exclusive launches targeting diverse consumer groups [5][11] Revenue and Profit Forecast - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are RMB 26.96 billion, RMB 36.03 billion, and RMB 43.78 billion, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 217%, 33.6%, and 21.5% [6][12] - Attributable net profit forecasts for the same years are RMB 4.63 billion, RMB 6.51 billion, and RMB 8.19 billion, with growth rates of 214.3%, 40.6%, and 25.8% [6][12] Market Position and Strategy - Laopu Gold plans to open approximately 5 new stores in high-end districts and upgrade existing ones, focusing on high-density and strong presence in core cities [4][10] - The company has expanded its international presence with the opening of its first overseas store in Singapore, enhancing brand internationalization [4][10] Product Development - The company has a clear cadence for new product launches, with several unique designs introduced throughout 2025, aimed at appealing to contemporary consumer aesthetics [5][11]