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非银金融:行业监管趋严趋紧,头部券商持续受益
AVIC Securities· 2024-03-20 16:00
300 30% 20% 10% 0% -10% -20% -30% 23-03 23-05 23-08 23-10 24-01 24-03 ◆ ...
2024年前2月经济数据点评:经济动能修复明显,经济数据全面超市场预期
AVIC Securities· 2024-03-19 16:00
Group 1: Economic Performance - In the first two months of 2024, the retail sales of consumer goods increased by 5.5% year-on-year, showing a significant recovery compared to December 2023's -1.9 percentage points[8] - Fixed asset investment rose by 4.2% year-on-year, exceeding market expectations of 3.0%[30] - Infrastructure investment grew by 9.0% year-on-year, significantly higher than the market expectation of 8.1%[38] Group 2: Industrial Production - The industrial added value increased by 7.0% year-on-year, surpassing December 2023's 6.8% and last year's 4.6%[26] - Manufacturing investment recorded a growth of 9.4%, exceeding market expectations of 7.4%[15] - The mining sector's added value grew by 2.3%, while manufacturing and public utilities increased by 7.7% and 7.9%, respectively[26] Group 3: Real Estate Sector - Real estate investment decreased by 9.0% year-on-year, but the decline was less severe than the expected 12.2%[15] - In the first two months, the sales volume and area of commercial housing fell by 29.3% and 20.5% year-on-year, respectively[36] - The decline in domestic loans for real estate development narrowed, indicating some support from new funding mechanisms[37]
军工行业周报:两会之后看军工
AVIC Securities· 2024-03-17 16:00
300 30% 20% 10% 0% -10% -20% -30% -40% 23-03 23-05 23-08 23-10 23-12 24-03 ① ② ③ ...
先进制造行业周报:华为中国合作伙伴大会聚焦“数智化”,“伙伴+华为”共建生态
AVIC Securities· 2024-03-17 16:00
行业报告:先进制造行业周报 2024年3月16日 华为中国合作伙伴大会聚焦“数智化”,“伙伴+华为”共建生态 行业评级:增持 分析师:邹润芳 证券执业证书号:S0640521040001 ...
农业周观点:消费预期改善,关注板块相关细分
AVIC Securities· 2024-03-17 16:00
◆ 众兴菌业 粤海饲料 华绿生物 邦基科技 雪榕生物 涨幅前五 30.0% 11.8% 11.6% 9.9% 9.8% 朗源股份 温氏股份 巨星农牧 万辰集团 神农集团 跌幅前五 -6.6% -6.2% -6.1% -4.6% -4.3% ◆ ◆ ...
周报:宽货币领先于宽信用致开年社融偏弱
AVIC Securities· 2024-03-17 16:00
2024年03月10日 证券研究报告|宏观研究|宏观点评 股市有风险 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 联系地址:北京市朝阳区望京街道望京东园四区2号楼中航产融大 厦中航证券有限公司 公司网址:www.avicsec.com 联系电话:010-59219558 - 传真:010-59562637 中航证券研究所发布 [证券研究报告] 本周资金面较为平稳,以 DR007 为代表的资金利率小幅走高。截止 3 月 15 日, DR007 报收 1.90%,较上周五上行 4BP; SHIBOR1W 报收 1.89%,较上周五上行 4BP。 公开市场操作方面,央行公开市场操作规模量低价平,周内共投放7D 逆回购 390 亿元, 利率维持 1.80%;逆回购到期 500 亿元,通过逆回购净回笼流动性 110 元。 ◆ 最新经济数据为美联储推迟降息增添筹码,美债收益率大幅上行,人民币汇率外 截至3月15日,美国10年期国债收益率录得4.31%,较上周五上行122BP。本 周公布了一系列经济数据,美国2月 CPI 同比上涨3.2%,略高于市场预期的3.1%;2 月 PPI 同比超预期涨 1.6%,创去年 9 月来最高,环比加 ...
业绩高增量利齐升,N型浆料行业领先
AVIC Securities· 2024-03-16 16:00
| --- | --- | --- | |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|-------------| | | | | | 帝科股份(300842) | 投资评级 | 买入 | | 业绩高增量利齐升,N 型浆料行业领先 | | 维持 | | ◆ 2023 业绩高增,银浆产品出货大幅提升 | 2024年03月14日 | | | 公司 2023 年实现营收 96.03亿、同比+154.94%; 归母净利润 3.86 亿、同比+2336.51%; 扣非 | 收盘价(元): | 80.36 | | 净利润 3.43 亿元、同比+2829.96%。业绩增长的主要原因为公司 ...
科技行业2024年投资策略:AI鼎新,与时偕行
AVIC Securities· 2024-03-16 16:00
Investment Rating - The report rates the technology industry as "Overweight" [1] Core Insights - The A-share technology sector is expected to continue reflecting the global technology wave in 2024, with sustained trading enthusiasm in the TMT sector and significant excess returns from artificial intelligence (AI) investments. The current technology investment logic is less correlated with overall economic performance and more focused on breakthroughs in technological innovation and contributions to the tech wave [2][14] - The AI cycle is at its peak, with innovations in silicon photonics, HBM storage, GPU computing power, advanced packaging, and domestic process breakthroughs maintaining a high level of demand for computing power. AI is becoming the foundation for smart hardware, leading to market opportunities for AI-enabled devices [2][27] - Huawei is expected to continue its strong performance in 2024, driving innovation across terminals, cloud services, networks, chips, and software, while also countering U.S. technology sanctions [2][20] - The semiconductor sector is recovering, with domestic wafer capacity expected to expand as inventory clears and demand rebounds, supported by government incentives [2][4] Summary by Sections AI Sector - The AI computing power market is set to grow rapidly, with the demand for high-performance AI servers expected to increase significantly. The global AI hardware market is projected to grow from $19.5 billion in 2022 to $34.7 billion by 2026, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 17.3% [42][46] - The integration of silicon photonics technology is expected to reshape high-speed data transmission, with the 800G optical module market anticipated to grow rapidly, driven by the increasing demand for AI training models [72][81] Huawei - Huawei is positioned as a leader in technology innovation, with expectations of significant advancements in its HarmonyOS, AI ecosystem, and 5.5G commercial deployment in 2024 [3][32] - The company is focusing on high-end smartphones, smart automotive solutions, and digital energy, with a projected revenue of over 700 billion RMB in 2023, reflecting a 9% growth from 2022 [20][23] Semiconductor Sector - The semiconductor industry is experiencing a recovery, with storage demand rebounding and a projected 44.8% year-on-year increase in the storage market size in 2024, driving overall IC market growth by 15.5% [27][32] - The domestic semiconductor industry is expected to benefit from the ongoing trend of localization and self-sufficiency, with significant opportunities arising from the need for domestic alternatives in the face of U.S. sanctions [2][65]