北交所策略专题报告 2025 年 12 月 15 日 北交所研究团队 坚持内需主导，关注政策催化北证消费新机遇 ——北交所策略专题报告 诸海滨（分析师） zhuhaibin@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790522080007 坚持内需主导，建设强大国内市场，深入实施提振消费专项行动 2025 年 12 月 10-11 日召开的中央经济工作会议将内需放在首位，2026 年经济增 长将更多依靠内需发力。2021-2024 年内需对经济增长的贡献率达 86%，其中最 终消费平均贡献率 56%，是中国经济的"主动力和稳定锚"。为进一步激活内需， 会议推出系统性举措：消费端实施提振消费专项行动，制定居民增收计划，清理 不合理限制措施；投资端推动止跌回稳，增加中央预算内投资，优化"两重"项 目与专项债管理，激发民间投资活力，推进城市更新等。12 月 9-10 日的全国零 售业创新发展大会明确"十五五"时期行业转向品质与服务驱动，提出推广胖东 来经验、深耕下沉市场、推动线上线下深度融合等举措。2025 年"双 12"多平 台覆盖跨年节点，从价格竞争转向价值竞争与场景化覆盖，"双 11"中家用电器、 手机数码、服装位列 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the real estate industry is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The report indicates that new housing transaction areas for both new and second-hand homes have decreased year-on-year, emphasizing the need to stabilize the real estate market [3] - The overall trend in the real estate market is moving towards stabilization, supported by various policies aimed at halting the decline [8] - The report highlights that while new home prices have shown a slight decrease, the decline in second-hand home prices has remained stable [21] Summary by Sections New Housing Prices - In November 2025, new housing prices in first, second, and third-tier cities decreased by -0.4%, -0.3%, and -0.4% respectively, with the overall decline in 70 cities being -0.4%, a reduction in the rate of decline compared to October [15][17] - Year-on-year, new housing prices in first, second, and third-tier cities fell by -1.2%, -2.2%, and -3.5%, leading to an overall year-on-year decline of 2.8% across 70 cities [15][17] Second-Hand Housing Prices - The second-hand housing prices in November 2025 saw a month-on-month decline of -0.7%, with first, second, and third-tier cities experiencing declines of -1.1%, -0.6%, and -0.6% respectively [21] - Year-on-year, second-hand housing prices across 70 cities decreased by -5.7%, with first, second, and third-tier cities showing declines of -5.8%, -5.6%, and -5.8% respectively [21] Market Performance in Key Cities - In November 2025, new housing prices in key cities showed mixed results, with cities like Shanghai leading with a year-on-year increase of +5.1% [29][30] - The report notes that second-hand housing prices in 35 key cities have uniformly declined, with significant drops in cities like Chengdu and Hohhot [30] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on real estate companies with strong credit ratings and good fundamentals in cities, such as Greentown China, China Overseas Development, and China Merchants Shekou [8] - It also suggests companies that benefit from both residential and commercial real estate sectors, like China Resources Land and Longfor Group, as well as high-quality property management firms under the "Good House, Good Service" policy [8]

——2025 年 11 月金融数据点评 陈曦（分析师） 王帅中（联系人） chenxi2@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790521100002 wangshuaizhong@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790125070016 事件：央行公布 2025 年 11 月金融数据，社融新增 2.49 万亿元，社融存量同比 增长 8.5%，较前值持平；2025 年前 11 个月社会融资规模增量累计为 33.39 万亿 元，同比增长 13.6%；M1 同比增长 4.9%，M2 同比增长 8.0%，M0 同比增长 10.6%， 前十个月净投放现金 9175 亿元。 社融新增超市场预期，贷款数据回落受多方面因素影响 2025 年 12 月 15 日 社融新增超市场预期，信贷数据结构分化 固定收益研究团队 1、11 月社融新增 2.49 万亿元，略超 2021-2024 年同期均值。社融新增量超出市 场预期，Wind 统计的 16 家机构预测中位数为 2.18 万亿元，平均数为 2.02 万亿 元。政策性金融工具落地，企业债券净融资和信托贷款放量，11 月信托贷款量 为 844 亿元，同比增长 8.3 倍；企业债券净 ...

医药生物/中药Ⅱ 佐力药业（300181.SZ） 拟收购未来医药资产组丰富产品结构，营销协同发展 2025 年 12 月 15 日 股价走势图 数据来源：聚源 -24% -12% 0% 12% 24% 36% 2024-12 2025-04 2025-08 佐力药业 沪深300 相关研究报告 《2025H1 利润快速增长，战略性拓展 布局大健康 —公司信息更新报告》 -2025.8.20 《2024 营收利润增长亮眼，营销发力 强化品牌护城河 —公司信息更新报 告》-2025.4.26 余汝意（分析师） 巢舒然（分析师） yuruyi@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790523070002 chaoshuran@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790525110001 投资评级：买入（维持） | 日期 | 2025/12/12 | | --- | --- | | 当前股价(元) | 18.32 | | 一年最高最低(元) | 21.07/13.88 | | 总市值(亿元) | 128.49 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 110.45 | | 总股本(亿股) | 7.01 | | 流通股本(亿股) | 6.0 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the media industry [1] Core Insights - The gaming sector is expected to see a significant increase in revenue due to the upcoming holiday season and the launch of new games, with notable titles like "Nine Muses of the Wild" and "Goose Duck Kill" generating high anticipation [3] - The film industry is highlighted by the upcoming release of "Avatar 3," which has already garnered significant pre-sale interest, indicating strong potential for box office performance [3] - The emotional economy in China is projected to grow substantially, with the market expected to reach 8.1 trillion yuan by 2030, driven by online platforms and AI technology [11][12] Summary by Sections 1. Soul: Leading Immersive Social Platform - Soul is positioned as a leading platform in the immersive social space, leveraging AI to enhance user engagement and emotional value [11][17] - The emotional economy in China is projected to grow from 2.4 trillion yuan in 2024 to 8.1 trillion yuan by 2030, with a CAGR of 22.2% [12] - The platform reported a revenue of 16.83 billion yuan in the first eight months of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 17.82% [21][26] 2. Industry Data Overview - "Delta Action" topped the iOS free game chart, while "Honor of Kings" led the iOS revenue chart as of December 13, 2025 [27][31] - The film "Zootopia 2" achieved the highest weekly box office, indicating strong audience interest [41] 3. Industry News Summary - The release of GPT-5.2 is expected to enhance AI capabilities in the industry, while Disney's investment in OpenAI emphasizes the growing value of content IP [3] - The gaming sector is experiencing a surge, with "Delta Action" achieving record daily revenue following a new season launch [3] 4. Announcement Summary - Recent changes in leadership at various media companies and the successful "hat removal" of Caesar Culture highlight ongoing developments in the industry [3] 5. Sector Performance Overview - The A-share media sector performed moderately in the market, with the gaming sector showing strong performance [3]

北交所策略专题报告 北 交 所 研 究 北 交 所 策 略 专 题 报 开 源 相关研究报告 《北交所医药投资地图：布局小而美 的创新药、高端器械与稳健仿制三大 方 向 — 北 交 所 行 业 主 题 报 告 》 -2025.12.10 《布局减速机赋能机器人产业，3D 打 印+新能源高成长性赛道放量可期— 北交所首次覆盖报告》-2025.12.10 《筑牢新三板"塔基"，多角度发掘专 精特新中小企业—新三板掘金双周报 第一期》-2025.12.9 发行股份及支付现金+配套募集资金，创远信科微宇天导重组方案出炉 ——北交所并购专题报告第十三期 北交所研究团队 诸海滨（分析师） zhuhaibin@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790522080007 北交所是中小企业并购重组首选地，前期并购事宜推进中 从新"国九条"到"并购六条"，2024 年起，并购重组市场迎来了诸多积极信号。 产业整合、跨界并购，为产业发展注入了新的动力。2025 年 10 月 29 日，中共 北京市委金融委员会办公室制定《北京市关于助力并购重组促进上市公司高质量 发展的意见》，意见涵盖六条核心内容，其中特别提到发挥证券交易场所并购重 ...

海外消费 行 业 研 究 2025 年 12 月 14 日 投资评级：看好（维持） ——行业周报 行业走势图 数据来源：聚源 -29% -19% -10% 0% 10% 19% 29% 2024-12 2025-04 2025-08 社会服务 沪深300 相关研究报告 《柬埔寨公布对中免签政策，蜜雪、 古茗进军早餐—行业周报》-2025.12.7 《论时尚消费如何穿越周期，美图推 出电商设计 Agent — 行业周报》 -2025.11.30 AI+社交：Soul 和伊对母公司递交招股书，关注全球 AI+情绪经济变现赛道 国内当红社交 APP Soul 的母公司 Soulgate 和伊对母公司米连科技拟赴港 IPO。Soul 专注 Z 世代群体，2025 年前 8 个月 Soul 实现收入 16.83 亿元，同比增长 17.8%； 实现经调整净利润 2.86 亿元，同比增长 73.1%，经调整净利率 17%。米连科技旗 下伊对 App 聚焦 30 岁左右的成熟群体，2025 年前 6 个月米连科技实现收入 19.2 亿元，同比增长 85.9%；实现经调整净利润 2.97 亿元，同比增长 285%，经调整净 《 ...

Group 1 - The report highlights the recent performance of various industries, with notable gains in sectors such as non-ferrous metals, electronics, and power equipment, while retail and real estate sectors faced declines [1][1][1] - The central economic work conference emphasized the importance of technological breakthroughs and supply-demand optimization, indicating a shift towards quality improvement in economic growth [11][12][19] - The commercial aerospace sector is experiencing significant growth, with the establishment of a dedicated regulatory body and a notable increase in the commercial aerospace index, which has risen by 46.52% since April 7 [47][48] Group 2 - The report indicates a seasonal recovery in social financing, with November seeing an increase of 24,885 billion yuan, driven primarily by government bond issuance [4][7] - The credit environment is showing signs of marginal improvement, particularly in corporate loans, which increased by 6,100 billion yuan in November, reflecting a recovery in demand [5][6] - The report notes that the retail sector is undergoing a transformation, with a focus on quality, as highlighted by the Ministry of Commerce's emphasis on retail quality upgrades [1][1][1] Group 3 - The report discusses the rising interest in inquiry transfers, which have seen a significant increase in both project numbers and transfer scale, indicating a growing trend in the market [51][52] - The technology sector is expected to remain a key focus, with upcoming events such as the Volcano Engine FORCE conference anticipated to showcase advancements in AI and cloud services [56]

2025 年 12 月 14 日 北交所研究团队 北交所打新配置策略：精选高质新股机会，布局低估值高分红资产 ——北交所策略专题报告 诸海滨（分析师） zhuhaibin@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790522080007 2025 年北交所新股收益率较好，审核加快关注北交所具备大市值低估值企业 从 2025 年新股情况看北交所表现较好，北交所、上交所、深交所上市企业首日 涨跌幅均值分别为 354.69%、222.90%、206.84%，网上发行中签率均值为 0.0371%、0.0488%、0.0211%，首次发行市盈率均值 12.70X、40.22X、19.77X， 首次发行市净率均值 1.57X、2.39X、2.04X。从北交所发审会节奏上来看，截至 2025 年 12 月 12 日，2025 年 1-12 月北交所合计过会 43 家企业，合计上市 24 家 企业，其中 2025 年 11-12 月北交所合计过会 16 家企业。2025 年 7-12 月北交所 网上发行有效申购户数+冻结资金中枢整体稳定在均值59.95万户和7039.73亿元 左右。从 2025 年北交所新股申购中签率来看，2025 ...

伐谋-中小盘周报 2025 年 12 月 14 日 2025 年询价转让热度显著提升，与定增深度互补 中小盘研究团队 ——中小盘周报 | 周佳（分析师） | 张越（分析师） | 赵晨旭（联系人） | | --- | --- | --- | | zhoujia@kysec.cn | zhangyue1@kysec.cn | zhaochenxu@kysec.cn | | 证书编号：S0790523070004 | 证书编号：S0790524090003 | 证书编号：S0790124120019 | |  本周专题：2025 | 年询价转让热度全面抬升，与定增深度互补 | | 锁定更短折扣更深，询价转让与定增深度互补。一方面，询价转让与定增在资产 供给端形成互补。询价转让主要功能是将已上市的、由创始股东或早期投资人持 有的股份，以较低门槛高效地转让给新的机构投资者；定增则是上市公司的股权 再融资，实质上是为市场"创造"未来的增长资产。因此，询价转让解决了"哪 里有现成好资产"的问题，而定增则回答了"未来增长从哪里来"的问题。另一 方面，二者在风险收益与投资逻辑上可形成互补。询价转让股份登记时间约一周 左右，普 ...