证券研究报告 | 2025年08月26日 今世缘（603369.SH） 优于大市 2025Q2 报表释放需求压力，主动降速为渠道纾压 中报释放需求压力，2025Q2 收入同比下降 30%。2025H1 公司实现营业总收入 69.5 亿元/同比-4.8%，归母净利润 22.3 亿元/同比-9.5%。其中 25Q2 营业总收入 18.5 亿元/同比-29.7%，归母净利润 5.85 亿元/同比-37.1%。 2025Q2特A类及以上产品收入占比95.7%，同比提升0.22pcts。分产品看，2025Q2 特 A+类收入 11.42 亿元/同比-32.1%，特 A 类收入 5.83 亿元/同比-28.1%，A 类 及以下收入 0.77 亿元/同比-41%，国缘品牌表现好于其他。第二季度受政策影响， 省内市场政商务场景受损较多，预计四开/对开（特 A+类）动销有所承压，公司 以去库挺价为主；大众消费场景跟随减少，淡雅/单开（特 A 类）产品势能支撑 下仍有少量动销，预计下滑幅度相对较少。分渠道看，2025Q2 直销（含团购） 收入 0.11 亿元/去年同期-0.17 亿元，批发代理收入 17.91 亿元/同比-31. ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [4][21]. Core Views - The company reported strong performance in the second quarter, with significant revenue and profit growth driven by breakthroughs in copper mining projects [2][3][4]. - The mining service business showed stable revenue, while the mining resource business experienced rapid growth in both revenue and profit margins [3][4][21]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of the year, the company achieved revenue of 6.316 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 47.82%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.111 billion yuan, up 81.29% [2][8]. - For Q2 2025, revenue was 3.505 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 52.39% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 24.70%. The net profit for Q2 was 689 million yuan, up 103.25% year-on-year and 63.30% quarter-on-quarter [2][8]. Mining Service Business - The mining service segment generated revenue of 3.322 billion yuan in the first half, a slight increase of 0.57%, but the gross profit decreased by 17.26% to 767 million yuan, with a gross margin of 23.10% [2][3][13]. - The decline in gross profit was attributed to the transition of Lubambe copper mine to an internal management unit and the impact of operational disruptions due to seismic activities at the Kamoa-Kakula copper mine [2][3][13]. Mining Resource Business - The mining resource segment saw revenue soar to 2.912 billion yuan, a remarkable year-on-year increase of 238.03%, with gross profit reaching 1.388 billion yuan, up 276.83%, and a gross margin of 47.68% [3][4][19]. - The company produced approximately 39,400 tons of copper equivalent and sold about 43,900 tons, with Q2 production increasing by 25.14% compared to Q1 [3][19]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to maintain strong growth, with projected revenues of 12.856 billion yuan, 13.718 billion yuan, and 16.529 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 29.3%, 6.7%, and 20.5% [4][21]. - The net profit forecasts for the same years are 2.515 billion yuan, 2.598 billion yuan, and 3.260 billion yuan, with growth rates of 58.8%, 3.3%, and 25.5% respectively [4][21].

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Increase" investment rating to the company, indicating a potential relative increase of 5% to 15% compared to the CSI 300 index over the next six months [29]. Core Views - The company has demonstrated a solid recovery in performance during the first half of 2025, with significant improvements in profitability. The revenue reached 11.936 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 24.75%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.020 billion yuan, up 58.94% year-on-year [6][9]. - The company's growth is driven by its strong positions in the photovoltaic, magnetic materials, and lithium battery sectors, with notable increases in product shipments and revenue across these segments [9][12]. - The company is well-positioned to benefit from industry trends, including the differentiation strategy in the photovoltaic sector and the expansion into emerging markets for magnetic materials [10][12]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, the company achieved a net cash flow from operating activities of 1.701 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 26.46%. Basic earnings per share were 0.64 yuan, and a cash dividend of 3.80 yuan per 10 shares was declared [6][9]. - The company’s gross margin improved across its business segments, with the photovoltaic segment achieving a gross margin of 16.70%, an increase of 5.29 percentage points year-on-year [9][12]. Business Segments - **Photovoltaic Segment**: The company shipped 13.4 GW of photovoltaic modules, a year-on-year increase of 65.43%, with revenue from this segment reaching 8.054 billion yuan, up 36.58% year-on-year [9][12]. - **Magnetic Materials Segment**: The company shipped 107,300 tons of magnetic materials, a decrease of 8.05% year-on-year, but revenue increased to 1.939 billion yuan, a growth of 4.51% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 27.71% [9][12]. - **Lithium Battery Segment**: The company shipped over 300 million lithium batteries, generating revenue of 1.286 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.04%, with a gross margin of 12.90% [9][12]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to maintain strong growth, with projected net profits of 1.986 billion yuan, 2.290 billion yuan, and 2.531 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [12]. The corresponding fully diluted EPS is expected to be 1.22 yuan, 1.41 yuan, and 1.56 yuan [12]. - The company’s valuation appears attractive, with a price-to-earnings ratio of 15.29 for 2025, indicating a low valuation level compared to its growth prospects [12].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5][11] Core Views - The company's revenue for H1 2025 was 90.72 billion, a slight decrease of 0.35% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 9.26% to 3.10 billion [1][5] - The proportion of overseas revenue has significantly increased to 30%, with a year-on-year growth of 29% in overseas income [1][3] - The company has signed new contracts worth 224.85 billion from January to July 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 4.38%, with the chemical engineering segment contributing 176.59 billion, up 9.80% [3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company's gross margin increased by 0.19 percentage points to 9.58%, with specific improvements in the chemical engineering and infrastructure segments [2] - The net profit margin rose by 0.30 percentage points to 3.74%, despite a significant increase in operating cash outflow, which reached -10.03 billion, a year-on-year increase of 119.47% [2] Revenue Breakdown - Revenue from chemical engineering, infrastructure, environmental governance, and new materials for H1 2025 was 74.81 billion, 9.11 billion, 0.51 billion, and 4.83 billion respectively, with varying year-on-year changes [1] - Domestic revenue decreased by 8.93% to 63.47 billion, while overseas revenue increased by 28.75% to 26.60 billion [1] Future Projections - The company expects net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 6.31 billion, 6.85 billion, and 7.41 billion respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.03, 1.12, and 1.21 [3][4]

营收及业绩企稳改善，新签订单稳定增长 金螳螂(002081) 证券研究报告 装修装饰Ⅱ / 公司点评 / 2025.08.26 | 投资评级:增持(维持) | | | --- | --- | | 基本数据 | 2025-08-25 | | 收盘价(元) | 3.62 | | 流通股本(亿股) | 26.45 | | 每股净资产(元) | 5.16 | | 总股本(亿股) | 26.55 | 最近 12 月市场表现 数据来源：wind 数据，财通证券研究所（以 2025 年 08 月 25 日收盘价计算） 相关报告 1. 《Q1 盈利同比稳定，持续加强业务优化》 2025-04-30 2. 《主业经营仍承压，经营性现金维持净流 入》 2025-04-30 3. 《经营尚在修复期，持续深耕属地市场》 2024-05-02 请阅读最后一页的重要声明！ -7% 1% 10% 19% 28% 36% 金螳螂 沪深300 分析师 毕春晖 SAC 证书编号：S0160522070001 bich@ctsec.com 联系人 陈悦明 chenym01@ctsec.com 核心观点 | 盈利预测 | | | | | | | | ...

Q2 营收同比下滑，毛利率持续提升 中钢国际(000928) 证券研究报告 专业工程 / 公司点评 / 2025.08.26 | 投资评级:增持(维持) | | | --- | --- | | 基本数据 | 2025-08-25 | | 收盘价(元) | 6.71 | | 流通股本(亿股) | 14.35 | | 每股净资产(元) | 5.80 | 最近 12 月市场表现 -5% 3% 11% 20% 28% 36% 中钢国际 沪深300 分析师 毕春晖 SAC 证书编号：S0160522070001 bich@ctsec.com 联系人 陈悦明 chenym01@ctsec.com | 相关报告 | | --- | | 1. 《毛利率持续提升，经营现金流同比改 | | 善》 2025-04-24 | | 2. 《收入下滑毛利率改善，业绩保持较快增 | | 长》 2024-11-04 | | 3. 《海外占比持续提升，毛利率同比改善》 | | 2024-08-30 | 核心观点 | 盈利预测 | | --- | | [币种Table_FinchinaSimple] (人民币) | 2023A | 2024A ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [5] Core Views - The company reported a main business revenue of 2.784 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 5.2%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 23.7% to 237 million yuan [1][5] - Profitability improved due to effective cost and expense management, with an overall gross margin of 87.8%, up 1.1 percentage points year-on-year [1] - The digital cost business generated revenue of 2.286 billion yuan, down 7.1% year-on-year, but the decline in new cloud contracts has narrowed significantly in Q2 [1] - The digital construction business achieved revenue of 312 million yuan, growing 8.2% year-on-year, with a notable 19.5% growth in Q2 [2] - The company is fully embracing AI, with over 40 million yuan in contracts directly attributed to AI, and has developed over 80 AI products [2] Financial Forecasts - Expected revenues for 2025-2027 are 6.252 billion yuan, 6.447 billion yuan, and 6.671 billion yuan respectively, with net profits projected at 480 million yuan, 577 million yuan, and 660 million yuan [2][3] - The company anticipates a significant recovery in profitability, with net profit growth rates of 91.5% in 2025 and 20.2% in 2026 [3][10]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy-A" rating to Hisense Visual Technology, indicating a positive outlook for the company's stock performance in the next 6-12 months [5]. Core Insights - Hisense Visual Technology reported a total revenue of 27.231 billion yuan for H1 2025, representing a year-over-year increase of 6.95%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.056 billion yuan, up 26.63% year-over-year [2]. - The company has seen significant growth in its market share for Miniled and high-end products, with retail volume and revenue shares reaching 33.95% and 34.98% respectively for Miniled products, and 43.15% and 34.88% for high-end televisions [3]. - The global market for Hisense televisions in the 98-inch and above category has grown by 85.29%, with Miniled product shipments increasing by 108.24% year-over-year [3]. Financial Performance - For H1 2025, the company's gross margin was 16.37%, an increase of 0.56 percentage points year-over-year, while the net profit margin was 3.88%, up 0.6 percentage points [4]. - The projected revenues for 2025-2027 are 63.145 billion yuan, 67.783 billion yuan, and 73.4 billion yuan, with year-over-year growth rates of 7.9%, 7.3%, and 8.3% respectively [5]. - The expected net profits for the same period are 2.592 billion yuan, 2.843 billion yuan, and 3.141 billion yuan, with growth rates of 15.4%, 9.7%, and 10.5% [5]. Valuation Metrics - The report estimates the earnings per share (EPS) for 2025-2027 to be 1.99 yuan, 2.18 yuan, and 2.41 yuan, corresponding to price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 10.9, 10, and 9 respectively [5]. - The company's valuation is considered low, with a projected price-to-book (P/B) ratio decreasing from 1.5 in 2023 to 1.1 in 2027 [9].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected stock price increase of over 15% relative to the industry index in the next six months [4][16]. Core Insights - The company reported strong performance in H1 2025, with revenue reaching 3.234 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 31.79%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 118 million yuan, up 63.27% year-on-year [2][3]. - The growth is driven by the dual engines of "cross-border e-commerce and packaging," with the cross-border e-commerce segment achieving revenue of 2.116 billion yuan, a 52.91% increase, and net profit of 55 million yuan, up 97.67% [2][3]. - The company has a strong market position in the Chinese paper-based fast-moving consumer goods packaging sector, benefiting from the rapid growth of instant retail, which has led to a surge in demand for food-grade packaging [2][3]. Financial Performance Summary - For the fiscal year 2023, the company expects revenue of 6.695 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 24.5%. However, a decline of 17.4% is projected for 2024 [1][9]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be 345 million yuan in 2023, with a significant increase of 87.6% year-on-year, followed by a decline of 47.3% in 2024 [1][9]. - The company's return on equity (ROE) is projected to be 14.4% in 2023, decreasing to 8.4% in 2024, and gradually recovering to 12.9% by 2027 [1][9]. Dividend and Globalization Strategy - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 1.80 yuan per 10 shares, totaling approximately 80 million yuan, emphasizing its commitment to shareholder returns [3]. - The recent listing of H-shares in Hong Kong is expected to enhance the company's global strategy, facilitating the expansion of its cross-border e-commerce and packaging businesses [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for both A-shares and H-shares of the company [14]. Core Views - The company has shown robust performance with a significant increase in net profit and revenue, driven by stable growth in its rail transit equipment and emerging equipment businesses [6][7][8]. - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the large-scale bidding for train sets, which opens up market opportunities, and the new capacity in the power semiconductor business continues to contribute incremental growth [6][14]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 12.21 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 17.9% (adjusted); net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.67 billion yuan, up 12.9% (adjusted); and net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was 1.59 billion yuan, a growth of 37.0% (adjusted) [6]. - The gross margin was 32.0%, an increase of 4.4 percentage points year-on-year (adjusted), while the net profit margin was 14.6%, a decrease of 0.6 percentage points year-on-year (adjusted) [6]. Rail Transit Equipment Business - The rail transit equipment segment generated operating revenue of 6.91 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 12.6%. The revenue from various products within this segment showed positive growth, with notable increases in communication signals and other rail transit equipment [7]. - The company maintained a stable market share in the ongoing bidding for train sets and locomotives, with successful progress in the performance verification of CR450 train sets and ongoing development of series of new energy locomotives [7]. Emerging Equipment Business - The emerging equipment segment reported operating revenue of 5.24 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 25.9%. Key areas such as basic components and new energy vehicle drive systems saw substantial growth [8]. - The company is aligned with the national "dual carbon" strategy, leading to rapid development in businesses related to green energy and low carbon [8]. Semiconductor Business - The basic components segment achieved operating revenue of 2.42 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 29.1%. The company is advancing its power semiconductor projects and has made significant technological progress in IGBT reverse conduction chips [9]. - The company is positioned as a leader in the domestic new energy vehicle and power generation markets, with continuous improvements in production capacity [9]. New Energy Drive Systems - The new energy vehicle drive systems segment generated revenue of 1 billion yuan, reflecting a modest year-on-year growth of 1.3%. The company has made breakthroughs in high-voltage assembly and multi-in-one products [10]. New Energy Generation and Industrial Conversion - The new energy generation segment achieved revenue of 1.05 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 42.9%, with significant achievements in offshore photovoltaic projects and overseas market penetration [11]. - The industrial conversion segment reported revenue of 360 million yuan, a remarkable year-on-year growth of 110.1%, driven by successful orders in various sectors [12]. Marine Engineering Equipment - The marine engineering equipment segment generated revenue of 420 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.4%. The company has secured multiple new orders and is positioned to benefit from government policies promoting deep-sea technology [13].