证券研究报告·北交所公司点评报告·塑料 ◼ 盈利预测与投资评级："汽车+家电"需求驱动产能持续释放，维持 2025~2027 年归母净利润为 1.46/1.66/1.89 亿元，对应最新 PE 为 18.69/16.39/14.43 倍，公司业绩有望长期稳健增长，维持"买入"评级。 ◼ 风险提示：技术迭代不及预期；市场拓展不及预期；原材料价格波动。 2025 年 08 月 25 日 禾昌聚合（832089） 2025 中报点评：改性聚丙烯驱动业绩稳步增 长，设立新加坡子公司拓展海外布局 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 1,417 | 1,613 | 1,945 | 2,239 | 2,565 | | 同比 | 26.40 | 13.84 | 20.62 | 15.07 | 14.59 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 115.83 | 120.91 | 145.99 | 166.46 | 189. ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for WanNeng Electric Power [1][5] Core Views - The company's effective cost control has successfully offset revenue declines, with incremental contributions from new power plants driving performance growth [2] - The overall performance remains stable despite a year-on-year revenue decrease of 5.83%, primarily due to lower power generation and on-grid electricity prices in Anhui [2] - Future growth is anticipated from ongoing investments in new power generation projects and the continued operation of existing facilities [3][5] Financial Performance Summary - For H1 2025, WanNeng Electric Power reported total revenue of 13.185 billion yuan, a decrease of 5.83% year-on-year, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.082 billion yuan, an increase of 1.05% [1][2] - The company achieved a net cash flow from operating activities of 3.102 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 20.40% [1] - In Q2 2025, revenue was 6.766 billion yuan, down 3.57% year-on-year but up 5.39% quarter-on-quarter, with net profit of 638 million yuan, up 3.26% year-on-year and 43.86% quarter-on-quarter [1][2] Performance Contribution Breakdown - The profitability of the Xinjiang power plants remains stable, contributing significantly to the company's overall performance [2] - The company’s investment income decreased by 27.31% year-on-year to 498 million yuan, primarily due to reduced earnings from key equity investments [2] - The report highlights improvements in profitability across most domestic power plants, with notable contributions from several facilities [2] Growth Potential - The company is expected to see continued growth from its ongoing and upcoming power generation projects, with several new installations projected to come online in 2025-2026 [3] - The report anticipates that the ongoing construction of various power projects will support sustained performance growth in the coming years [3][5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform the Market" rating for the company [5][19]. Core Insights - The company's product business revenue grew by 26% year-on-year, with a recovery in CDMO services. In the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 178 million yuan (+23.8%) and a net profit of 38 million yuan (+55.6%). The significant revenue growth is primarily attributed to strong performance in cell culture products, especially through deep collaboration with overseas clients [1][7]. - The company’s overseas business continues to show strong growth, with foreign revenue increasing by 34.9% compared to the same period last year [2][7]. - The gross margin stabilized at 56.8% (down 3.1 percentage points year-on-year), while the net margin improved to 21.1% (up 4.3 percentage points year-on-year). The overall expense ratio decreased to 31.1% (down 10.5 percentage points year-on-year) [2][14]. - The number of product pipelines reached a record high, with 282 confirmed drug development pipelines utilizing the company's cell culture products, an increase of 35 from the end of 2024 [2][17]. Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, the company reported product sales of 155 million yuan (up 25.5% year-on-year) and CDMO service revenue of 22.27 million yuan (up 13.2% year-on-year). Product sales accounted for 87% of total revenue, remaining the core growth driver [1][7]. - The company’s profit forecasts for 2025-2027 are 78 million yuan, 112 million yuan, and 153 million yuan respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 82, 57, and 42 times [2][19]. - The financial projections indicate a revenue increase from 243 million yuan in 2023 to 545 million yuan in 2027, with a significant net profit recovery expected in 2025 [4][22].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 10.32 CNY based on a 24x PE ratio for comparable companies in 2025 [4]. Core Views - The company has shown steady revenue growth and ongoing optimization of its asset structure. Despite a slight decline in revenue and profit margins, the company has managed to achieve a small increase in net profit due to effective cost management and stable investment income [9]. - The acquisition of San Aifu, a leading domestic fluorochemical enterprise, is expected to enhance the company's competitiveness in emerging fields and facilitate its transition from a traditional chemical company to a high-end manufacturing and high-tech enterprise [9]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue (CNY million): - 2023A: 40,856 - 2024A: 44,645 - 2025E: 44,438 - 2026E: 47,234 - 2027E: 47,969 - Year-on-Year Growth (%): 6.1%, 9.3%, -0.5%, 6.3%, 1.6% [6] - Operating Profit (CNY million): - 2023A: 1,594 - 2024A: 1,493 - 2025E: 1,442 - 2026E: 2,163 - 2027E: 2,265 - Year-on-Year Growth (%): -21.9%, -6.4%, -3.4%, 50.0%, 4.7% [6] - Net Profit Attributable to Parent Company (CNY million): - 2023A: 861 - 2024A: 911 - 2025E: 922 - 2026E: 1,278 - 2027E: 1,283 - Year-on-Year Growth (%): -32.8%, 5.8%, 1.2%, 38.7%, 0.4% [6] - Earnings Per Share (CNY): - 2023A: 0.41 - 2024A: 0.43 - 2025E: 0.43 - 2026E: 0.60 - 2027E: 0.60 [6] - Gross Margin (%): - 2023A: 8.3% - 2024A: 7.2% - 2025E: 7.8% - 2026E: 8.9% - 2027E: 9.2% [6] - Net Margin (%): - 2023A: 2.1% - 2024A: 2.0% - 2025E: 2.1% - 2026E: 2.7% - 2027E: 2.7% [6] - Return on Equity (%): - 2023A: 3.9% - 2024A: 4.0% - 2025E: 4.0% - 2026E: 5.3% - 2027E: 5.0% [6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for the stock over the next six months [6][4]. Core Views - The company reported a significant increase in Q2 performance, with a revenue growth of over 150% and a high dividend payout, showcasing its investment value [1]. - The engineering contracting business is experiencing rapid growth, with substantial contributions from new projects expected to enhance future performance [2]. - The company's profitability has improved, with better cost control and a net profit margin increase [3]. - Long-term growth prospects remain strong, supported by a robust order backlog and new project contributions [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 1.249 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 21.81%, and a net profit of 120 million yuan, up 42.54% [1]. - Q2 alone saw revenues of 701 million yuan, reflecting a 38.48% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 69 million yuan, which is a remarkable 156.22% increase [1]. - The company maintained a cash dividend payout ratio of around 100%, with a TTM dividend yield of 4.43% as of August 23 [1]. Business Segments - The engineering segment reported revenues of 409 million yuan and 46 million yuan from contracting and design services, respectively, with year-on-year growth of 483.46% and 89.67% [2]. - In the chemical segment, revenues from various products showed mixed results, with a decline in some areas but an increase in profit margins due to rising prices of certain chemicals [2]. - New business initiatives, particularly in cellulose and its derivatives, generated 9.654 million yuan in revenue, indicating a 47.73% increase year-on-year, with potential for future growth [2]. Profitability and Cost Control - The overall gross margin improved to 19.9%, a year-on-year increase of 0.89 percentage points, while the expense ratio decreased to 10.11%, down 1.55 percentage points [3]. - The net profit margin reached 9.51%, reflecting a 1.39 percentage point increase year-on-year [3]. - Cash flow from operations showed a net inflow of 22 million yuan, although it was lower than the previous year due to increased bank acceptance bill settlements [3]. Long-term Growth Potential - The company has a strong order backlog, and new projects are expected to contribute positively to future earnings [4]. - Adjusted profit forecasts for 2025-2027 are 330 million, 430 million, and 550 million yuan, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 17.6, 13.7, and 10.7 [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2] Core Insights - The company reported a record high performance in H1 2025, with revenue of 119.76 billion, a year-on-year increase of 32.99%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 7.25 billion, up 72.48% [5][8] - The railway equipment business showed the fastest growth, with revenue of 59.71 billion, a year-on-year increase of 42.21% [8] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 1.1 yuan per 10 shares, totaling 3.16 billion, which represents 43.57% of the net profit for the first half of 2025 [8] - The profit margin and net profit for the first half of the year reached historical highs, with a net profit margin of 7.45% [8] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - The company expects total revenue for 2025 to be 265.21 billion, with a year-on-year growth rate of 7.6% [7] - The forecasted net profit for 2025 is 13.82 billion, reflecting an 11.6% increase compared to the previous year [7] - The projected earnings per share for 2025 is 0.48 yuan, with a price-to-earnings ratio of 16 [7] Business Segment Performance - The railway equipment repair and modification business generated revenue of 22.36 billion, a year-on-year increase of 11.81% [8] - The new industry segment reported revenue of 40.73 billion, up 35.59% year-on-year [8] - The modern service revenue reached 1.92 billion, with a growth of 16.39% [8] Market Context - National railway fixed asset investment for January to July 2025 was 433 billion, a year-on-year increase of 5.6%, indicating strong demand for railway services [8] - The company has exceeded the previous year's bidding volume for high-speed trains, with 278 sets of 350 km/h trains bid in the first eight months of 2025 [8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2] Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 2.52 billion in H1 2025, representing a year-over-year growth of 28.5%, and a net profit of 640 million, with a year-over-year increase of 24.5% [7] - The second quarter saw a revenue of 1.38 billion, up 33.9% year-over-year, and a net profit of 360 million, which exceeded market expectations [7] - The strong performance in Q2 was primarily driven by the new hit game "Zhang Jian" which generated 420 million in revenue, surpassing market forecasts [7] - The company has optimized its workforce, reducing the number of R&D personnel by 30, while maintaining a high dividend payout ratio of 73.5% [7] - The company has adjusted its profit forecasts upwards, expecting revenues of 5.99 billion, 6.89 billion, and 7.16 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [7] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue for 2025 is projected at 5,993 million, with a year-over-year growth rate of 62.2% [6] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to reach 1,549 million in 2025, reflecting a growth rate of 63.9% [6] - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to be 21.50 yuan in 2025, with a projected PE ratio of 21 [6]

华福证券 证 券 研 盈利预测与投资建议：结合公司当期业绩，我们调整盈利预测，预计 公司 25-27 年归母净利润为 0.78/0.93/1.08 亿元（25-26 年前值为 0.88/1.05 亿元），分别同增 22%/18%/17%，对应当前股价 PE 分别为 37/31/27 倍，对 应维持"买入"评级。 究 报 风险提示：国内需求恢复不及预期、原材料价格波动、海外业务拓展不及 预期、产能投放不及预期、汇率波动风险、食品安全风险 公 司 研 究 日辰股份（603755.SH） 冷冻烘焙并表贡献增量，控费得当盈利能力提升 公 司 事件：公司披露 2024 年半年度业绩：25 年 H1 公司实现营收 2.04 亿元， 同比+8.63%；归母净利润 0.35 亿元，同比+22.64%；扣非归母净利润 0.35 亿元，同比+27.73%。其中，25Q2 公司实现营收 1.02 亿元，同比+6.85%； 归母净利润 0.18 亿元，同比+11.04%；扣非归母净利润 0.17 亿元，同比 +14.15%。 财 报 点 评 新品与渠道双轮驱动，市场开拓成果显著。分品类看，25Q2 公司酱汁 类调味料/粉体类调味料/ ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company's performance in the first half of 2025 met market expectations, with revenue of 391 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.75%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 99 million yuan, up 4.95% year-on-year [8] - The company is actively expanding its robot components and automation production lines, with the first production line already operational and plans for a second line investment in 2025 [8] - The company has a strong global presence, with stable orders from leading global clients and ongoing capacity upgrades [8] - Profit margins have improved due to changes in customer structure, with a gross margin of 34.82% in the first half of 2025, up 1.94 percentage points year-on-year [8] Financial Summary - Total revenue is projected to reach 950.19 million yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 22.71% [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 221.36 million yuan in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 16.48% [1] - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to be 1.39 yuan in 2025, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 78.16 based on the current price [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [4][6]. Core Viewpoints - The company achieved a revenue of 321 million yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 43.15%, and a net profit of 45.97 million yuan, up 32.48% year-on-year [1]. - The company's core business, particularly in distributed photovoltaic power forecasting, is expected to grow significantly, with a growth rate exceeding 50% [1]. - The company has benefited from a surge in new service stations, adding 1,116 new stations in the first half of 2025, bringing the total to 5,461 stations by the end of June 2025, which is a 55.14% increase in revenue [2]. - The innovative business segments, including electricity trading products and virtual power plants, are anticipated to become new growth drivers for the company [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company reported a revenue of 321 million yuan and a net profit of 45.97 million yuan, with respective growth rates of 43.15% and 32.48% [1]. - The forecast for 2025-2027 indicates net profits of 123 million yuan, 170 million yuan, and 231 million yuan, with corresponding PE ratios of 58X, 42X, and 31X [4][5]. Business Development - The company has deployed a comprehensive solution for distributed power forecasting across multiple provinces, aligning with new national standards [1]. - The "Kuangming" new energy model 2.0 iteration has improved forecasting accuracy by 1-1.5% in certain regions [2]. - The company is expanding its innovative business areas, including electricity trading and virtual power plants, leveraging AI to enhance trading strategies [3]. Market Outlook - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the ongoing transition towards renewable energy and the gradual implementation of market-oriented electricity trading systems in China [4]. - The traditional business of power forecasting is expected to yield long-term benefits as the country progresses towards its dual carbon goals [4].