证券研究报告 晨会 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 12 月 22 日 投资要点： 资料来源：聚源，华源证券研究所，截至2025年12月22日 华源晨会精粹 20251222 固定收益 短期制约因素突出，当前经济或仍承压——利率周报：11 月经济数据与财 政收支数据相继披露，当前经济或仍持续承压。我们认为经济运行核心矛盾仍聚焦 于"旧动能调整拖累与新动能成长并存"，消费与投资的短期压力与财政收支的低 增长态势相互呼应。从经济运行基本面看，需求端或仍承压。消费与投资双引擎若 持续乏力，可能直接影响四季度经济增速预期，预计同比增速将较三季度有所放缓。 短期制约因素尤为突出：房地产市场仍在筑底阶段，居民消费短期仍可能保持谨慎 态度。2025 年 1-11 月财政收支情况显示，财政运行呈现"收入低增、支出中央地 方分化"的特征。当前经济与财政的运行态势，与 2025 年中央经济工作会议的政策 部署形成精准呼应。会议强化内需主导作用、突出企业创新主体地位，并新增"加 大逆周期和跨周期调节力度"的表述，为后续政策发力指明了方向。明年经济或呈 现弱修复态势，财政收支平衡压力或将持续。2026 年债市行情可能好于预期 ...

Core Insights - The explosive growth in computing power demand driven by artificial intelligence is pushing data centers towards a "power density revolution" [1] - Traditional uninterruptible power supply (UPS) systems face limitations in efficiency, heat dissipation, and space, which are critical constraints for large-scale data center development [1] - High Voltage Direct Current (HVDC) systems, particularly the 800V architecture, are emerging as mainstream solutions due to their significant energy efficiency and cost advantages [1][4] HVDC vs. Traditional UPS - HVDC systems are simpler and more reliable compared to traditional UPS systems, which require multiple conversion stages [4][6] - The transition from AC to DC in HVDC systems reduces energy loss and enhances reliability, as fewer components mean lower failure rates [6] - A 100kW HVDC system can save approximately 28% in space, 49% in construction costs, and 14% in operational costs compared to a traditional 120kVA UPS [7] Market Dynamics and Adoption - The domestic HVDC market is currently concentrated among leading companies like Zhongheng Electric and Weidi Technology, but the rapid growth in AI demand is accelerating innovation across the industry [8] - Major internet companies in China, such as Alibaba and Tencent, are adopting HVDC solutions in their data centers, with 240V HVDC systems becoming the mainstream technology due to compatibility with existing 220V AC equipment [8][9] 800V HVDC Technology - The 800V HVDC technology is gaining attention as AI server power density continues to rise, with NVIDIA and other companies forming a supplier alliance to promote its large-scale application by 2027 [9] - The advantages of 800V HVDC include a 45% reduction in copper usage, lower cooling costs by 30%, and a 70% decrease in maintenance costs due to fewer power supply unit failures [9] Solid-State Transformer (SST) Development - The development of solid-state transformers (SST) is crucial for the implementation of 800V HVDC systems, enabling efficient AC/DC conversion [10] - Companies entering the SST market need expertise in power electronics, high-frequency transformer technology, and experience in data center projects [10] Company Profiles - China West Electric reported a revenue of 16.959 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, with a 19.29% increase in net profit, and is actively involved in the development of SST for data centers [11] - Delta Electronics, with a revenue of approximately 393.2 billion NTD in the first three quarters of 2025, launched a new 800V HVDC system aimed at enhancing efficiency and safety for AI data centers [12] - TBEA, a leading transformer manufacturer, is also developing SST products, although their current application is limited [15] Future Trends - The transition from UPS to 800V HVDC and the integration of SST represents a significant evolution in data center power supply technology, driven by the pursuit of efficiency [16] - The HVAC sector is expected to face new opportunities for electrification, with a growing need for DC-compatible cooling equipment as 800V HVDC systems become more prevalent [16] - The entire energy chain of data centers is undergoing profound changes, with Chinese companies poised to achieve technological breakthroughs in emerging fields like SST and DC HVAC equipment [16]

Core Insights - The Chinese redundant power system industry is experiencing strong demand driven by AI computing power and "new infrastructure," with a projected market size of approximately 30.8 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 8.83% [1][8] - The growth is attributed to the rigid demand for high reliability in power supply for key infrastructures such as data centers, communication networks, and industrial internet, as well as the direct pull from high-power density loads like AI servers [1][8] - The focus of competition in the industry has shifted from traditional general-purpose products to customized and intelligent solutions such as high-voltage direct current (HVDC) and liquid-cooled power supplies [1][8] Industry Overview - Redundant power systems (RPS) are designed to achieve load balancing, automatic fault switching, and continuous power supply through parallel or backup designs of multiple power modules, ensuring seamless operation even during main power failures [2] - The systems typically utilize chip-controlled modules for load distribution and health monitoring, supporting hot-swappable functionality to allow for module replacement without service interruption [2] Industry Value Chain - The upstream of the redundant power system industry includes raw materials and components such as MOSFETs, IGBTs, diodes, chips, sensors, and various protective devices [4] - The midstream involves the production and manufacturing of redundant power systems, while the downstream applications span data centers, industrial automation, communication, transportation, medical, and aerospace sectors [4] Market Size - The market size of the Chinese redundant power system industry is expected to reach approximately 30.8 billion yuan in 2024, with an 8.83% year-on-year growth, driven by the demand for high reliability in power supply for critical infrastructures [1][8] - The industry is witnessing a transition towards customized and intelligent solutions that cater to high-efficiency computing clusters [1][8] Key Companies Performance - The industry has a high concentration of market players, with companies like Eurotech deeply integrated with major clients such as Inspur and Alibaba, and their 800V HVDC solution passing tests by Meta [8] - Megmeet has entered the Nvidia supply chain and co-developed an immersion liquid-cooled power supply, supporting a power density of 300kW per cabinet [8] - Zhongheng Electric provides deep service in the HVDC market for internet giants like Tencent and Alibaba [8] Industry Development Trends 1. **Technological Evolution**: The industry is evolving towards AI-driven intelligent redundancy, enhancing energy efficiency and smart development, with power conversion efficiency exceeding 96% and modular designs supporting high power density [11] 2. **Rising Market Demand**: The demand for redundant power modules is increasing significantly, particularly in data centers, driven by projects like "East Data West Computing" and the growth of 5G and industrial automation [12] 3. **Policy and Industry Synergy**: National goals for carbon neutrality and the "14th Five-Year Plan" are pushing the industry towards greener and more autonomous upgrades, with an increasing penetration of domestic power management chips [13]

证券日报网讯 12月15日晚间，中恒电气发布公告称，公司第九届董事会第五次会议审议通过《关于开 展期货套期保值业务的议案》《关于拟处置参股公司股权的议案》。 （文章来源：证券日报） ...

Core Viewpoint - The company has approved two significant resolutions during its board meeting, including the initiation of futures hedging business and the disposal of equity in an associate company, aimed at optimizing its asset structure and managing risks associated with raw material price fluctuations [1][3][18]. Group 1: Futures Hedging Business - The company plans to conduct futures hedging to mitigate the adverse effects of price fluctuations in bulk raw materials, thereby effectively managing costs [7][8]. - The maximum margin balance for the futures hedging business will not exceed RMB 20 million, with a maximum contract value of RMB 200 million on any trading day [7][8]. - The hedging will involve commodities such as copper, aluminum, lead, tin, and steel, traded on approved domestic and international exchanges [7][8]. Group 2: Disposal of Equity in Associate Company - The company intends to dispose of its entire 7.3346% equity stake in Fujian Ningde Zhixiang Unlimited Technology Co., Ltd., through market search, original shareholders, or buyback [3][18]. - The board has authorized management to handle the transaction, ensuring the transaction amount is not less than RMB 200 million [3][18]. - This transaction is not classified as a related party transaction and does not constitute a major asset restructuring under relevant regulations [19][20].

Group 1 - Unicom Guowei has established a Central Research Institute focusing on the development of edge AI chips for applications in autonomous driving, embodied robots, and low-altitude flying vehicles [2] - The research will also include new types of storage devices based on two-dimensional materials and high-performance special sensor chips [2] - Aerospace Electronics plans to increase its investment in Aerospace Long March Rocket Technology Co., Ltd. by 728 million yuan, maintaining the existing shareholding structure [3] Group 2 - Aerospace Rainbow successfully completed the first flight test of its self-developed Rainbow-7 high-altitude, high-speed, long-endurance drone, achieving all preset parameters [4] - The project is still in the research and testing phase, with further rigorous testing and validation required before mass production [4] Group 3 - Changchun High-tech's subsidiary signed an exclusive licensing agreement for the GenSci098 injection project, potentially earning up to 1.365 billion USD in milestone payments [5] - The agreement includes an initial payment of 120 million USD and additional milestone payments related to development and commercialization [5] Group 4 - TCL Technology plans to acquire a 10.7656% stake in Shenzhen Huaxing Semiconductor for 6.045 billion yuan, increasing its ownership from 84.2105% to 94.9761% [26] - This acquisition aims to enhance TCL's competitiveness and profitability in the semiconductor display industry [26] Group 5 - Zhongmin Resources announced the successful ignition of its Tsumeb smelting plant's multi-metal comprehensive recycling project, with an annual processing capacity of 80,000 tons [11] - The project will produce various products, including germanium ingots and zinc ingots, with a design capacity of 33 tons/year for germanium [11] Group 6 - Xinhua Insurance reported a 16% year-on-year increase in original insurance premium income, totaling 188.85 billion yuan from January to November 2025 [43] - This growth reflects the company's strong performance in the insurance market [43]

Core Viewpoint - The company plans to engage in futures hedging to manage the risks associated with fluctuations in raw material prices, aiming to stabilize production costs and enhance operational certainty [1][2]. Business Background and Core Purpose - The primary objective of the futures hedging business is to mitigate the adverse effects of price volatility in key raw materials such as copper, aluminum, lead, tin, and steel on production operations, thereby stabilizing costs [2]. - The company has faced challenges in cost control due to increased volatility in commodity prices influenced by macroeconomic factors and supply chain issues [2]. Specific Business Arrangements - The hedging business will focus on commodities closely related to production, with a maximum contract value of 200 million yuan and a trading margin limit of 20 million yuan [3]. - The funding for this business will come from the company's own resources, and it will not involve raised funds [3]. - The authorization period for this hedging activity is set for twelve months following the board's approval [3]. Approval Process and Compliance - The board of directors approved this initiative on December 15, 2025, and it falls within the board's authority, thus not requiring shareholder approval [3]. - The management is authorized to implement the hedging activities within the specified limits [3]. Risk Analysis and Control Measures - The company acknowledges potential risks associated with the hedging business, including market risk, policy risk, liquidity risk, internal control risk, and technical risk [4]. - To mitigate these risks, the company has established a management system for the hedging business, including clear approval processes, operational procedures, and stop-loss mechanisms [4]. - A dedicated futures management team will be set up to ensure compliance with the board's authorization and to match the scale of operations with production needs [4]. Accounting Treatment and Follow-up Arrangements - The company will account for the hedging activities in accordance with relevant accounting standards, ensuring proper financial reporting [5]. - Analysts suggest that this proactive approach to managing cost risks could smooth out the impact of raw material price fluctuations on the company's performance, thereby enhancing operational stability [5].

Group 1 - Muxi Co., Ltd. will list its common stock on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board on December 17, 2025 [1] - Xinghua New Materials signed a strategic cooperation agreement with Guoteng Company to collaborate in the quantum technology field [2] - TCL Technology's subsidiary plans to acquire a 10.7656% stake in Shenzhen Huaxing Semiconductor for 60.45 billion RMB [3] Group 2 - Jingjia Micro's subsidiary has completed key stages of its edge AI SoC chip, marking a significant project breakthrough [4] - Cambricon plans to use 2.778 billion RMB of its capital reserve to offset losses [5] - Bojun Technology's subsidiary intends to invest 600 million RMB in an automotive lightweight component production base in Chongqing [6] Group 3 - Longqi Technology plans to invest approximately 1.5 billion RMB to build an AI + smart terminal digital benchmark factory in Nanchang [7] - Taili Technology signed a strategic cooperation framework agreement with Jinan University to establish an advanced functional materials research institute with an investment of 100 million RMB [8][9] - Pengding Holdings plans to invest a total of 4.297 billion RMB in a production facility in Thailand by 2026 [10] Group 4 - China Metallurgical Group reported a new contract amount of 958.13 billion RMB from January to November 2025, a decrease of 8.6% year-on-year [16] - 吉祥航空 reported an 8.92% year-on-year increase in passenger turnover in November 2025 [17] - Hainan Airport's passenger throughput reached 2.0909 million in November 2025, a year-on-year increase of 8.16% [20] Group 5 - Xinhua Insurance reported a cumulative original insurance premium income of 188.85 billion RMB from January to November 2025, a year-on-year increase of 16% [21] - Huafeng Aluminum's controlling shareholder plans to reduce its stake by up to 2.17% [22] - Digital Vision plans to repurchase shares worth 80 million to 120 million RMB [23]

Core Viewpoint - The company Zhongheng Electric (002364.SZ) plans to divest its entire stake of 7.3346% in the associate company Ningde Zhixiang to focus on its main business and optimize its asset structure [1] Group 1 - The company aims to enhance decision-making efficiency and seize trading opportunities by authorizing its management to handle the transaction, provided the transaction amount is no less than 200 million RMB [1] - The authorized scope includes but is not limited to formulating and adjusting the transaction plan, signing relevant agreements, and handling asset transfer matters [1]

公告称，公司拟通过本次股权处置，优化资产结构及整合资源配置，进一步聚焦公司主业，促进公司长 远发展。 智通财经APP讯，中恒电气(002364.SZ)公告，公司拟通过市场寻找、原股东或标的公司股份回购等方 式，处置持有的参股公司福建宁德智享无限科技有限公司(简称"宁德智享")的全部股权(7.3346%)，并由 公司董事会授权管理层在交易金额不低于2亿元人民币的情况下全权处理本次交易相关事宜。 ...