Unicorns and Cockroaches - Blessed FraudWhen I brought up depreciation accounting and the funny numbersAlso Alex Karp flunks 13F 101 $PLTRhttps://t.co/Pm07vgVaZy https://t.co/qC17h7LCq6 ...

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley's Q4 2025 holdings report indicates a strategy focused on maintaining core technology positions, reducing index exposure, and enhancing active selection capabilities [1]. Group 1: Overall Holdings Summary - Morgan Stanley's total market value for Q4 is $1.67 trillion, up 1.2% from $1.65 trillion in the previous quarter [3][4]. - The fund added 454 new stocks, increased holdings in 4,007 stocks, reduced holdings in 3,028 stocks, and completely sold out of 415 stocks [3][4]. - The top ten holdings account for 22.15% of the total market value [4]. Group 2: Top Holdings and Changes - The top five holdings include Apple (AAPL) at 3.74%, NVIDIA (NVDA) at 3.6%, Microsoft (MSFT) at 3.5%, Alphabet Class A (GOOGL) at 2.28%, and Amazon (AMZN) at 2.23% [5]. - Apple has risen to the first position with an increase of approximately 1.38 million shares, while NVIDIA remains second with an increase of nearly 780,000 shares [4][6]. - Microsoft dropped from first to third but still saw an increase of about 980,000 shares [4]. Group 3: Sector Allocation and Adjustments - Morgan Stanley has not significantly reduced its allocation to the technology sector but has rebalanced internally, favoring companies with strong profit certainty and stable cash flows [7]. - The firm reduced its holdings in healthcare stocks such as Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), AbbVie (ABBV), and Thermo Fisher Scientific (TMO), as well as consumer staples like Walmart (WMT), Procter & Gamble (PG), and Coca-Cola (KO) [7]. - Energy stocks like ExxonMobil (XOM) and Chevron (CVX) were also reduced, reflecting a potential decrease in the attractiveness of defensive and high-dividend sectors as interest rate paths become clearer [8]. Group 4: New Purchases and Sales - Morgan Stanley increased positions in JPMorgan (JPM), Uber (UBER), and gold ETFs (GLD) [9]. - New purchases included Medline (MDLN), Total (TTE), Qnity Electronics (Q), Solstice (SOLS), and Dreamlong (MICC) [9]. - The top five purchases were Alphabet Class C (GOOG), Eli Lilly (LLY), Apple, Micron (MU), and Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets ETF (VEA) [10]. Group 5: ETF Exposure - The decrease in ETF positions indicates a preference for stock selection to achieve excess returns rather than relying on broad index exposure [11].

There are a million of you. The only way to read what I wrote is to subscribe. If you subscribed, you could take it up in the much more civil forum very easily. Instead, you say you read what I wrote and then throw up arguments that have nothing to do with what I said. Same with $GME - you did not read it, or you would not make the same data-free, source-free diarrhea of the mouth rant that you did with $PLTR.amit (@amitisinvesting):@michaeljburry you didn’t respond to anything I said other than calling it ...

This is so funny. “I read the report, really I did, now let me show you that I did not read the report with my meaningless rant.” $GME $PLTRamit (@amitisinvesting):$PLTRHad a few days to read through everything Burry has put out on Palantir.First, I agree with everything Arny laid out below and it is a must-read around the worst takes of his 10,000 word article. I'd like to add the following thoughts:1. This feels like a complete and ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent market turmoil is driven by fears surrounding AI's potential to replace jobs, leading to significant declines in stock prices across various sectors, particularly in software, financial services, logistics, and commercial real estate [1][3][4][5][6]. Group 1: Market Reactions - The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped over 660 points, and the Nasdaq fell by 2%, with Apple losing nearly 1.4 trillion RMB in market value [1]. - CBRE experienced a 26% decline in stock price, reminiscent of the 2008 financial crisis [1]. - The S&P 500 consumer staples sector reached a historical closing high, indicating a shift in investor sentiment towards stable companies like Coca-Cola and Walmart [9]. Group 2: Sector-Specific Impacts - **Software Sector**: The S&P 500 software and services index fell by 15% as companies that previously benefited from AI hype faced valuation corrections [4]. - **Financial Services and Logistics**: The introduction of AI tools led to significant stock drops for companies like Willis Towers Watson and C.H. Robinson, with declines of 7.4% and 14.5% respectively [5]. - **Commercial Real Estate**: Concerns about reduced office space demand due to AI's efficiency led to fears about the viability of high-rent office spaces in Manhattan [6]. Group 3: Investor Sentiment and Future Outlook - There is a notable shift in investment strategy from "buying the future" to "buying stability," as evidenced by the performance of consumer staples [9]. - Major tech companies are investing heavily in AI infrastructure, with combined capital expenditures reaching $650 billion, raising concerns about the return on these investments [10][11]. - The current market environment reflects a mix of anxiety and excitement about AI, with some companies experiencing significant funding and valuation increases despite broader market declines [12]. Group 4: Historical Context and Comparisons - The current situation is compared to the late 1990s tech bubble, where initial excitement about the internet led to market volatility when profitability questions arose [13]. - The narrative surrounding AI is shifting from grand promises to practical applications, causing investor panic as the technology matures [13][16]. - The survival of companies post-crisis will depend on their ability to adapt and effectively leverage AI, similar to how internet companies evolved after the 1999 downturn [19][20].

Core Viewpoint - The outlook for software stocks has shifted as concerns grow that artificial intelligence tools may disrupt traditional software services, leading to a decline in the sector's growth [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - The software sector tracked by the iShares Tech-Expanded Software Sector ETF (IGV) has fallen 22% year-to-date as of February 13 [1]. - Notable declines include Intuit (INTU) and ServiceNow (NOW) dropping more than 30%, while Salesforce (CRM), Palantir (PLTR), and Adobe (ADBE) have each decreased over 20%. Microsoft (MSFT) and Oracle (ORCL) are down more than 15% [3]. Group 2: Industry Insights - AWS CEO Matt Garman believes that the fear surrounding AI's impact on software companies is "overblown," although he acknowledges that AI will reshape the software industry [4][8]. - Garman emphasizes that AI is a disruptive force that will change how software is consumed and built, urging current software providers to innovate to avoid being disrupted [5]. Group 3: AWS Financial Performance - AWS generated $35.6 billion in revenue for the quarter, marking a 24% year-over-year increase and its fastest growth in 13 quarters. Operating income rose to $12.5 billion from $10.6 billion a year earlier [6]. - AWS accounts for about 17% of Amazon's total revenue but contributes roughly half of its total profit, supported by a 35% operating margin [7].

Quick Read Palantir (PLTR) shares fell 3% this week amidst concerns over valuation, continued insider selling, and the company continuing to secure new contracts. Every Palantir insider transaction since mid-November was a sale. CEO Karp sold shares at $147-$151 in February. FTAI Aviation (FTAI) and Innodata (INOD) signed AI platform partnerships. Morningstar (MORN) raised fair value to $150. A recent study identified one single habit that doubled Americans’ retirement savings and moved retirement ...

Group 1 - Palantir Technologies Inc. has been upgraded to a Buy rating with a price target of $170 due to strong demand for its AI solutions and sustained hypergrowth driven by its Artificial Intelligence Platform (AIP) [1][4] - The company significantly exceeded management's guidance and analyst estimates in Q4 2025, particularly in the U.S. commercial and government segments, with AIP being a key driver of sales momentum [2] - Palantir has shown improved operating execution with expanded gross and operating profitability, and its positive outlook for Q1 2026 and full-year 2026 reflects confidence in the ongoing demand for AI infrastructure [3] Group 2 - The firm has increased its revenue forecasts for 2026-27, indicating that new AI agents are not seen as a threat to Palantir's long-term business model [4] - The recent decline in Palantir's share price is viewed as unjustified given the company's continued hypergrowth and the strength of the AIP platform [4]

Core Insights - Retail investors are focusing on five stocks driven by hype, earnings, AI trends, and corporate news flow [1] Group 1: GameStop (GME) - Retail investors are optimistic about GME's prospects compared to Rivian Automotive Inc. (RIVN) [7] - GME's stock had a 52-week range of $19.93 to $35.81, trading around $23 to $25 per share, with a decline of 10.71% over the year and an increase of 2.17% over the last six months [7] - GME shows a weaker long-term price trend but a strong short and medium-term trend, with a strong growth ranking according to Benzinga's Edge Stock Rankings [7] Group 2: Amazon.com (AMZN) - Some retail investors believe AMZN has the strongest supply chain network and should not be sold [7] - AMZN's stock had a 52-week range of $161.43 to $258.60, trading around $199 to $201 per share, with a decline of 13.36% over the year and an increase of 11.12% over the last six months [7] - AMZN exhibits a weaker price trend across short, medium, and long terms, but has a solid quality ranking according to Benzinga's Edge Stock Rankings [7] Group 3: Palantir Technologies (PLTR) - Retail investors noted that Burry's analysis led to a significant sell-off in PLTR's stock [7] - PLTR's stock had a 52-week range of $66.12 to $207.52, trading around $128 to $131 per share, with a return of 9.55% over the year and a decline of 29.94% over the last six months [7] - PLTR shows a weaker price trend in short, medium, and long terms, with a solid growth score according to Benzinga's Edge Stock Rankings [7] Group 4: Tesla (TSLA) - Some retail investors criticized Elon Musk for diversifying into various businesses [7] - TSLA's stock had a 52-week range of $214.25 to $498.82, trading around $415 to $420 per share, with an increase of 17.17% over the year and 22.89% over the last six months [7] - TSLA maintains a stronger long-term price trend but a weaker short and medium-term trend, with a solid quality score according to Benzinga's Edge Stock Rankings [7] Group 5: Nvidia (NVDA) - NVDA is preparing for its fiscal fourth-quarter earnings report amid strong AI demand and minor headwinds [8] - Wall Street analysts are overwhelmingly positive on NVDA, with 94% rating it Buy/Strong Buy, and target prices ranging from $250 to $352 [7] - NVDA's stock had a 52-week range of $86.63 to $212.19, trading around $186 to $190 per share, with a gain of 38.18% over the year and 2.95% over the last six months [7] - NVDA maintains a strong price trend across short, medium, and long terms, with a solid growth ranking according to Benzinga's Edge Stock Rankings [8]

Core Insights - Retail investors are focusing on five stocks driven by hype, earnings, AI trends, and corporate news flow during the week of February 9 to February 13 [1] Group 1: GameStop (GME) - Retail investors are optimistic about GME's short and medium-term prospects despite a weaker long-term price trend [7] - GME's stock had a 52-week range of $19.93 to $35.81, trading around $23 to $25 per share, with a decline of 10.71% over the year and an increase of 2.17% over the last six months [7] Group 2: Amazon.com (AMZN) - Some retail investors believe AMZN has the strongest supply chain network and should not be sold [7] - AMZN's stock had a 52-week range of $161.43 to $258.60, trading around $199 to $201 per share, with a decline of 13.36% over the year and an increase of 11.12% over the last six months [7] Group 3: Palantir Technologies (PLTR) - Retail investors noted that Burry's analysis led to a significant sell-off in PLTR [7] - PLTR's stock had a 52-week range of $66.12 to $207.52, trading around $128 to $131 per share, with a return of 9.55% over the year and a decline of 29.94% over the last six months [7] Group 4: Tesla (TSLA) - Some retail investors criticized Elon Musk for diversifying into various businesses [7] - TSLA's stock had a 52-week range of $214.25 to $498.82, trading around $415 to $420 per share, with an increase of 17.17% over the year and 22.89% over the last six months [7] Group 5: Nvidia (NVDA) - NVDA is preparing for its fiscal fourth-quarter earnings report amid strong AI demand, with 94% of analysts rating it Buy/Strong Buy [8] - NVDA's stock had a 52-week range of $86.63 to $212.19, trading around $186 to $190 per share, with a gain of 38.18% over the year and 2.95% over the last six months [7] - NVDA maintains a strong price trend across short, medium, and long terms, with a solid growth ranking [8]