Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Report's Core View - The LME spot of copper is strengthening and the price is firm. The copper trend intensity is 1, indicating a neutral to slightly positive sentiment [1][3] 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs **3.1 Copper Fundamental Data** - **Futures Prices**: The closing price of the Shanghai copper main contract was 101,180 with a daily increase of 0.41%, and the night - session closing price was 101,680 with a night - session increase of 0.49%. The LME copper 3M electronic disk had a closing price of 12,987 with a daily increase of 1.39% [1] - **Trading Volume and Open Interest**: The trading volume of the Shanghai copper index was 463,663, a decrease of 169,391 from the previous day, and the open interest was 627,161, a decrease of 16,429. The trading volume of the LME copper 3M electronic disk was 20,647, a decrease of 12,054, and the open interest was 327,000, an increase of 2,567 [1] - **Futures Inventory**: The Shanghai copper inventory was 152,655, a decrease of 7,762, and the LME copper inventory was 147,425, an increase of 3,850. The LME copper注销仓单比 was 32.93%, a decrease of 1.60% [1] - **Spreads**: There were various changes in spreads such as LME copper ascension and premium, spot - to - futures spreads, and inter - contract spreads [1] **3.2 Macro and Industry News** - **Macro News**: In 2025, China's high - tech manufacturing led the economy, achieving the GDP growth target of 5%. In December, the year - on - year growth rate of social retail sales slowed to 0.9%, the industrial added value above designated size increased by 5.2% year - on - year, and the annual fixed - asset investment decreased by 3.8% year - on - year. Trump allegedly threatened the EU and made statements about Greenland and tariffs [1] - **Industry News**: Chile's Codelco submitted a $1.3 billion plan to extend the life of the Radomiro Tomic copper mine to 2058. During the "15th Five - Year Plan", State Grid's fixed - asset investment is expected to reach 4 trillion yuan, a 40% increase from the "14th Five - Year Plan". Ivanhoe Mines achieved its 2025 copper and zinc production targets. The union of the Mantoverde copper - gold mine in Chile condemned the company for illegally replacing workers during a 15 - day strike [1][3]

Chilean state-run miner Codelco is expected to produce 1.344 million metric tons of copper in 2026, up about 10,000 tons from last year, Chairman Maximo Pacheco said on Monday. ...

Core Viewpoint - American Lithium Minerals Inc. (AMLM) has announced the acquisition of two significant projects in Chile, the La Grande Plata silver project and the Furano copper-gold porphyry project, marking a strategic expansion into the Chilean mining sector [1][2]. Acquisition Details - AMLM has secured exclusive options to acquire 100% ownership of both projects, leveraging Aeramentum Resources Limited's due diligence and exploration planning [2]. - The acquisition involves purchasing 100% of the projects through AMLM securities, with additional contingent payments linked to defined discovery milestones [3]. Project Highlights La Grande Plata - La Grande Plata is a high-grade silver project located in northern Chile, featuring up to 10km of identified mineralized strike and average grades of approximately 400g/t AgEq [4][5]. - The project spans 1,325 hectares and has significant alteration zones, making it a prime target for rapid resource definition [5]. Furano - Furano is a promising copper-gold porphyry project covering 9,000 hectares, with historical drilling showing significant mineralization, including 100m at 0.9% CuEq [6]. - The project is drill-ready with 39 permitted drill pads and a planned 2,000m drilling program [7]. Strategic Importance - The acquisition is seen as transformative for AMLM, adding high-impact silver and copper assets in a premier mining jurisdiction, surrounded by major companies like BHP and Codelco [6][8]. - The transaction is expected to close in Q1 2026, with drilling anticipated to commence in mid-2026, positioning the company for growth in a favorable metals market [9].

Core Viewpoint - The refined copper market is experiencing significant volatility due to potential U.S. tariffs, geopolitical tensions, and supply chain disruptions, leading to increased domestic prices and a surge in imports [1][2][5]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - U.S. copper imports reached their highest level since July, driven by the anticipation of tariffs and a premium on domestic prices [1]. - The Department of Commerce is conducting a market assessment, which may lead to formal decisions on refined metal duties, further distorting global trade flows [2]. - Copper prices have surged to record highs, exceeding $13,000 per ton in London and $6 per pound in New York, influenced by geopolitical risks and strong demand from sectors like renewable energy [6]. Group 2: Supply Chain Challenges - Structural tightness in the global copper market is evident, with declining inventories outside the U.S. and repeated supply disruptions contributing to expectations of persistent shortfalls [2]. - A series of operational setbacks and accidents in major producing regions have curtailed production growth, exacerbating supply constraints [9][10]. - Smelters are facing difficulties in securing sufficient concentrate, leading to record-low treatment and refining charges, indicating upstream supply constraints [11]. Group 3: Long-term Outlook - The International Energy Agency forecasts a potential copper supply shortfall of 30% by 2035, driven by declining ore grades and rising capital costs [12]. - Market concentration is increasing, with the top three refining nations controlling 86% of processing capacity for major energy minerals, raising concerns about the copper market's vulnerability to geopolitical shocks [13]. Group 4: Investment Strategies - Traders can gain exposure to copper prices through futures contracts, which offer high liquidity and responsiveness to market changes [14]. - Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) provide a diversified approach for investors, allowing them to track copper prices without the complexities of futures trading [15]. - Direct investment in copper-producing companies offers leveraged exposure to copper prices, with major players like Glencore and BHP being core holdings in this segment [16].

Group 1: Market Performance of Precious Metals - In 2025, gold, silver, and copper all experienced significant price increases simultaneously, marking the first occurrence in 45 years [3] - Gold prices rose by 69% to $4,331.90 per ounce, while silver surged by 157% to $72.25 per ounce, reaching a record high of $83.62 on December 28 [4] - Copper prices increased by 42% to $5.52 per pound, with a peak of $5.86 earlier in the trading session [6] Group 2: Mining Stocks and ETFs - Precious metals mining stocks, particularly gold miner ETFs GDX and GDXJ, saw extraordinary gains of 163.9% and 177.3% year-to-date as of Christmas Eve [8] - The performance of these mining stocks significantly outpaced the S&P 500's 17.9% increase, reflecting improved market psychology [8] Group 3: Factors Driving Gold Prices - Gold's price surge was attributed to safe haven demand due to geopolitical tensions, a weaker US dollar, central bank buying, and robust gold-backed ETF inflows [12] - Structural supply constraints have hindered the ability to meet demand for gold, silver, and copper without recycling [13] Group 4: BRICS and Gold's Role - The BRICS countries are moving away from the US dollar for international transactions, with gold becoming integral to their new settlement mechanism [14] - A pilot program for a gold-backed settlement "Unit" was launched within the BRICS+ bloc to facilitate trade without relying on the dollar [13][14] Group 5: Silver Market Dynamics - The silver market has faced supply deficits for five consecutive years, with mine production falling to 813 million ounces [22] - Silver futures trading volume has approached that of gold, indicating a shift in market dynamics and increasing importance of silver as an investment asset [23][24] Group 6: Copper Market Insights - Copper is experiencing its largest annual price increase since the 2008 financial crisis, driven by fears of global shortages and supply chain uncertainties [33] - Demand for copper is expected to surge due to electrification and decarbonization efforts, particularly in data centers, which could increase copper demand by 30% next year [41][44] Group 7: M&A Activity in Mining Sector - The mining sector has seen significant M&A activity, with mining and metals accounting for approximately 37% of public deal activity in Canada as of September 30, 2025 [48] - High prices for gold, copper, and silver have driven a "buy vs. build" mentality among major producers, leading to increased M&A transactions [49] Group 8: Future Outlook for Mining - The demand for critical minerals is surging, with projections indicating that copper demand could double by 2035, leading to significant supply shortfalls [45] - The current wave of M&A in the mining sector is expected to continue, as companies seek to secure future resources amid rising prices and depleting reserves [55]

Industry Overview - The global lithium market is entering a new growth cycle after a challenging 2025, with prices having fallen approximately 90% from their 2022 peak due to slowed electric vehicle (EV) demand and increased supply [1] - The market is projected to expand from $13.9 billion in 2024 to $55.5 billion by 2032, indicating a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of nearly 19% [4] Demand Drivers - Electric vehicles will continue to drive lithium demand, complemented by strong growth in solar power installations that enhance the use of battery energy storage systems (BESS) [2] - Artificial intelligence is creating new lithium needs, as massive AI data centers are increasingly incorporating lithium-ion batteries to manage peak energy use [3] Key Players Rio Tinto - Rio Tinto aims to become a major lithium producer, having completed a $6.7 billion acquisition of Arcadium Lithium, which provides access to significant lithium resources [7] - The company plans to increase capacity at its Tier 1 lithium operations to over 200,000 tons of lithium carbonate equivalent per year by 2028 [7] - Rio Tinto is also expanding its lithium operations in South America, with a $2.5 billion investment in the Rincon project in Argentina, expected to produce up to 60,000 tons of battery-grade lithium carbonate annually by 2028 [8] Lithium Americas - Lithium Americas is focusing on the U.S. market with its Thacker Pass project, which is expected to produce up to 40,000 tons of lithium carbonate per year, potentially making the U.S. the second-largest lithium producer [12] - The project has received strong government support, including a 5% stake acquisition by the U.S. Department of Energy and a $435 million loan from a larger $2.23 billion package [13] Albemarle - Albemarle is enhancing its global lithium conversion capacity through strategic projects, with production milestones supporting growth [15] - The company expects to achieve around $450 million in cost and productivity gains in 2025, exceeding initial targets [16] - Albemarle's scale and focus on cost management position it well to capture rising lithium demand globally [17] Sociedad Quimica y Minera (SQM) - SQM is expanding its lithium production capacity, targeting 240,000 metric tons of lithium carbonate by 2026 in Chile and ramping up lithium hydroxide capacity to 100,000 metric tons by the end of 2025 [19] - The company operates a lithium hydroxide refinery in China and is advancing the Mt. Holland project in Australia, further strengthening its global supply chain [20] - SQM anticipates long-term lithium demand to outpace supply, positioning itself to grow market share in the EV battery sector [21]

| | | | 美国虹吸效应下，铜价重心上移 | | 2 | | --- | --- | --- | | 第一部分 | 前言概要 | 2 | | 【行情回顾】 | | 2 | | 【市场展望】 | | 2 | | 【策略推荐】 | | 2 | | 第二部分 | 铜市场综述 | 3 | | 一、 | 行情回顾 | 3 | | 二、 | 行情展望 | 3 | | 第二部分 | 供应扰动增加 | 5 | | 第三部分 | 消费端 | 16 | | 一、 | | 新兴消费高速增长 16 | | 二、 | 传统消费收缩 | 23 | | 三、 | 消费端总结 | 26 | | 第五部分 | 供需平衡表 | 26 | | 免责声明 | | 28 | 有色金属研发报告 铜 12 月报 2025 年 12 月 31 日 美国虹吸效应下，铜价重心上移 第一部分 前言概要 【行情回顾】 2025 年铜价先跌后涨，重心不断上移，全年涨幅近 40%。1-3 月铜价 缓慢上行，4 月初短线快速下跌，最低跌至 8105 美元/吨，6 月收复前期的 全部跌幅。9 月下旬铜价突破年度压力位 10160 美元/吨，10 月 29 日价格 首次 ...

碳酸锂期货日报 行业 日期 2025 年 12 月 31 日 一、 行情回顾与操作建议 研究员：张平 021-60635734 zhangping@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3015713 021-60635729 yufeifei@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3025190 021-60635740 pengjinglin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3075681 有色金属研究团队 研究员：余菲菲 研究员：彭婧霖 请阅读正文后的声明 ＃summary＃ 每日报告 每日报告 数据来源：Wind，建信期货研究发展部 图1：碳酸锂现货价及价差 图2：碳酸锂期货持仓量成交量 数据来源：Wind，建信期货研究发展部 碳酸锂期货探底回升，总持仓增 212，贵金属大跌令期货早盘低开，但现货报价 相对坚挺令期货止跌，钢联早盘优质电碳报价 117000，晚盘报价 117250，下调 2050，现货再度对盘面贴水。澳矿降 15 至 1550，锂云母持平 3400，三元涨 100-150， 铁锂持平，电解液持平。12 月 25 日至 29 日 ...

香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告的內容概不負責，對其準確性 或完整性亦不發表任何聲明，並明確表示，概不對因本公告全部或任何部分內容而產生或因倚 賴該等內容而引致的任何損失承擔任何責任。 Tianqi Lithium Corporation 天齊鋰業股份有限公司 （於中華人民共和國註冊成立的股份有限公司） （股份代號：9696） 公司重要參股公司簽署重大合同之進展情況 茲提述天齊鋰業股份有限公司（「本公司」或「公司」）日期為2024年6月3日、2024 年6月19日、2024年7月29日、2025年11月12日及2025年11月24日之公告（「該等 公告」），內容有關本公司重要參股公司SQM與Codelco簽署合夥協議及本公司全 資子公司提起訴訟的事宜。除非文義另有所指，本公告所用詞彙與該等公告所界 定者具有相同涵義。 對公司的影響 根據SQM的公告，交易仍受一項解除性條件約束，即有待智利最高法院就公司全 資子公司天齊智利提起的上訴作出裁決。 進展情況 智利當地時間2025年12月27日，SQM披露稱已完成其與Codelco之間的戰略合 作，合營公司SQM Salar名稱將變更為Nova ...

Core Insights - Codelco and SQM have established the NovaAndino Litio joint venture to manage lithium activities in Salar de Atacama, Chile, with operations planned until 2060 [1][2] - The joint venture integrates all necessary assets and expertise to enhance the lithium business, following SQM's internal restructuring [2] - The partnership reflects a new model of public-private collaboration, emphasizing transparency and professionalism [3] Group 1 - The NovaAndino Litio joint venture was formed by merging Codelco's Minera Tarar and SQM's SQM Salar [1] - The joint venture will consolidate all assets, subsidiaries, and technical expertise required for lithium production [2] - The agreement ensures continuity in operations under existing and future contracts related to the Atacama Salt Flat [2] Group 2 - Codelco's chairman highlighted the strategic importance of lithium for global energy transitions and expressed pride in the partnership with SQM [3] - The merger is the result of a partnership agreement reviewed by over 20 organizations and institutions [3] - The joint venture's board will consist of three representatives from each company, ensuring balanced governance [4] Group 3 - SQM has transferred all mining concessions in the Maricunga Salt Flat to Codelco, reinforcing the Chilean State's position in lithium development [4][5]