2025 年 12 月 19 日 刘梦麟 SAC 执业证书编号： S0340521070002 电话：0769-22110619 邮箱： liumenglin@dgzq.com.cn 陈伟光 S0340520060001 电话：0769-22119430 邮箱： chenweiguang@dgzq.com.cn 超配（维持） 半导体行业双周报（2025/12/05-2025/12/18） 机构预计 2026 年存储价格有望持续上涨 行 业 周 报 投资要点： 本报告的风险等级为中高风险。 本报告的信息均来自已公开信息，关于信息的准确性与完整性，建议投资者谨慎判断，据此入市，风险自担。 请务必阅读末页声明。 半导体行业 半导体行业指数近两周涨跌幅：截至2025年12月18日，申万半导体行业指 数近两周（2025/12/05-2025/12/18）累计下跌0.33%，跑输沪深300指数0.47 个百分点；2025年以来申万半导体行业指数累计上涨40.55%，跑赢沪深300 指数24.85个百分点。 SAC 执业证书编号： 半导体行业（申万）指数走势 行业新闻与公司动态：（1）智谱开源"会操作手机的AI"AutoG ...

（文章来源：证券日报） 证券日报网讯 12月17日，乐鑫科技发布公告称，自2025年11月11日起，广发证券股份有限公司对科创 板股票乐鑫科技（股票代码：688018）开展做市交易业务。 ...

证券时报记者 陈见南 12月15日，社保基金会党组书记、理事长刘昆主持召开党组会议，传达学习中央经济工作会议精神，研究贯彻落 实工作。会议提出，充分发挥长期资金、耐心资本作用，积极服务国家发展需要，更好支持科技创新和产业创新 深度融合。 从资产配置来看，截至今年三季度末，社保基金重仓的科技股（TMT板块，包括电子、通信、计算机和传媒四大 行业）期末市值超过469亿元，创出历史同期新高，相比去年三季度末大幅增长近61%，相比2011年同期增长18倍 多，彰显出社保基金对科技股的支持。 从行业分布来看，社保基金持有电子行业期末市值接近274亿元，在科技板块中持股市值最高。其次是计算机行 业，社保基金期末持股市值超过77亿元。另外，社保基金持有传媒、通信行业期末市值分别为73.22亿元和44.33亿 元。 从个股来看，传音控股有3只社保基金持仓，期末持股市值超过45亿元，居首。开源证券认为，公司手机产品持续 向中高端转型并拓展更多市场，非洲地区智能机渗透率提升也有望带来长期增量，公司有望凭产品多元化、业务 全球化、品类高端化保持快速增长。此外，鹏鼎控股、分众传媒、紫光国微、深南电路等多只个股社保基金持仓 市值均超过 ...

以下文章来源于数据宝 ，作者陈见南 数据宝 . 数据宝——证券时报智能原创新媒体，中国股市大数据新媒体领先品牌，依托证券时报财经数据库和证监会指定信息披露媒体的权威信息，让您用手机也 能从海量数据中获得有用的决策信息支持，数据是个宝，炒股少烦恼！ 社保基金持仓科技股市值创历史同期新高。 从资产配置来看，截至今年三季度末，社保基金重仓科技股（TMT四大板块：申万电子、通信、计算机和传媒）期末市值超过469亿元，创出历史同期新高，彰显 出社保基金对科技股的日益青睐。 社保基金持仓 科技股市值创新高 从行业分布来看，社保基金持有电子行业期末市值接近274亿元，在科技板块中持股市值最高。其次是计算机板块，社保基金期末持股市值超过77亿元。另外，社 保基金持有传媒、通信行业期末市值分别为73.22亿元和44.33亿元。 往前看，社保基金持有科技股市值已经创出历史同期新高，同比去年三季度末大幅增长近61%，相比2011年同期大幅增长18倍多。 从个股来看，传音控股有3只社保基金持仓，期末持股市值超过45亿元居首。 开源证券认为，公司手机产品持续向中高端转型并拓展更多市场，非洲地区智能机渗透率提升也有望带来长期增量，公司有 ...

Core Insights - The Social Security Fund's investment in technology stocks has reached a historical high, with a market value exceeding 46.9 billion yuan as of the end of Q3, reflecting a significant increase in preference for technology stocks [1][2]. Group 1: Investment Trends - The Social Security Fund's holdings in the electronics sector reached nearly 27.4 billion yuan, making it the highest among technology sectors, followed by the computer sector with over 7.7 billion yuan [2]. - Year-on-year, the market value of technology stocks held by the Social Security Fund has increased by nearly 61% compared to the end of Q3 last year, and it has grown more than 18 times compared to the same period in 2011 [2]. Group 2: Individual Stock Holdings - Transsion Holdings has the largest holding among the Social Security Fund's investments, with a market value exceeding 4.5 billion yuan [3]. - Other notable stocks with holdings exceeding 1 billion yuan include Pengding Holdings, Focus Media, Unisoc, and Shenzhen South Electronics [4]. Group 3: New Investments - The Social Security Fund's 113 combination and the Basic Pension Insurance Fund's 802 combination have newly invested in Unisoc with 20.93 million shares, amounting to nearly 1.9 billion yuan [5]. - Giant Network was also newly added to the portfolio with 27.84 million shares, valued at over 1.258 billion yuan [6]. Group 4: Long-term Holdings - The Social Security Fund has maintained long-term positions in six technology stocks for over 24 quarters, including Zhongnan Media, Zhongyuan Media, Phoenix Media, Yilian Network, Sanhuan Group, and Transsion Holdings, with each having a market value exceeding 1 billion yuan [7]. - Additionally, 11 technology stocks have been held for over three years, with Pengding Holdings having a market value exceeding 3.2 billion yuan [8]. Group 5: Investment Strategy - The long-term holdings of the Social Security Fund primarily consist of industry-leading stocks with generous dividends and high dividend-yielding media stocks [9].

Group 1: Economic Overview - Domestic demand remains under pressure, with a focus on the introduction of proactive incremental policies following the November economic data release, which showed a year-on-year increase in retail sales of only 1.3% and a cumulative decline in fixed asset investment of 2.6% [5][6][9] - Industrial production in November was relatively stable, with a month-on-month increase of 0.44%, slightly above the five-year average of 0.38%, while the year-on-year growth rate for industrial value added was 4.8% [6][7] - The central economic work conference emphasized the importance of domestic demand, aiming to stabilize investment and the real estate market while increasing residents' income and expanding quality consumption supply [6][9] Group 2: Banking Sector Insights - The banking sector showed good performance in short-term loans and bond financing, with social financing scale stock growing by 8.5% year-on-year, and RMB loans increasing by 6.3% [12][13] - Short-term loans for enterprises increased by 1,000 billion yuan, reflecting strong liquidity support for small and medium-sized enterprises, while long-term loans showed a decline due to weak investment demand [13][15] - The monetary policy is expected to remain stable, with potential for further easing if economic conditions do not improve, although short-term interest rate cuts are considered unlikely [15][16] Group 3: Electronics Industry Developments - The U.S. approved the sale of Nvidia's H200 chips to China, which may accelerate AI model training in China but could also pressure domestic AI chip manufacturers [17][18] - Broadcom reported a significant increase in AI semiconductor sales, with a 74% year-on-year growth, indicating strong demand in the electronics sector [20][21] - The electronics industry is experiencing a recovery in demand, with price increases in storage chips and a focus on structural opportunities in AI computing and semiconductor equipment [22][21]

12月15日，亚太主要股指收盘多数下跌，日经225指数、韩国KOSPI指数均跌超1%，A股三大指数集体飘绿，港股恒 生指数下挫。黄金白银强势上涨，铂金表现亮眼，年内涨幅已超过100%。 | 日经225 | 韩国综合 | 新加坡海峡 | | --- | --- | --- | | 50168.11 | 4090.59 | 4580.98 | | -668.44 -1.31% -76.57 -1.84% | | -5.47 -0.12% | | 澳洲标普200 | 印度 | MSCI台湾 | | 8635.00 | 85205.29 | 1097.09 | | -8.90 -0.10% -62.37 -0.07% | | -20.92 -1.87% | | 上证指数 | 深证成指 | 恒生指数 | | 3867.92 | 13112.09 | 25635.80 | | -21.42 -0.55% -146.24 -1.10% | | -340.99 -1.31% | 具体来看，A股全天震荡调整，沪指盘中翻红后回落，创业板指低开低走。沪深两市成交额1.79万亿元，较上一个交 易日缩量3246亿元。 盘面上，市场热点 ...

Market Performance - The A-share semiconductor sector experienced a significant decline, with notable stocks such as Chipone Technology falling over 10% and Fuxin Technology and Zhongli Group dropping by 9% [1][2] - The semiconductor index (886063) decreased by 1.76%, closing at 7326.63, down 131.03 points [2] - In the Hong Kong market, the Hang Seng Technology Index fell by 2%, with Huahong Semiconductor down over 7% and SMIC down 4% [3][4] Stock Specifics - Chipone Technology (688521.SH) saw a decline of 10.49%, closing at 133.40 [2] - Fuxin Technology (688662.SH) dropped by 9.25%, closing at 53.54 [2] - Zhongli Group (002309.SZ) fell by 9%, closing at 3.64 [2] - Other notable declines included Shengke Communication (-8.22%), Guosheng Technology (-7.12%), and Canxin Technology (-6.24%) [2][3] Broader Industry Trends - The overall trend in the semiconductor industry indicates a bearish sentiment, with multiple companies experiencing significant stock price drops [1][3] - The decline in the semiconductor sector is reflected in both A-share and Hong Kong markets, suggesting a broader industry challenge [3][4]

转自：智通财经 【芯片股震荡下挫 芯原股份跌超10%】智通财经12月15日电，午后芯片股震荡下挫，算力芯片、存储 芯片方向领跌，芯原股份跌超10%，华虹公司、江波龙、翱捷科技、成都华微、乐鑫科技等多股跌超 5%。 ...

在2025FORCE春季原动力大会上，火山引擎正式发布豆包大模型1.6、豆包·视频生成模型 Seedance1.0pro、豆包·语音播客模型，豆包·实时语音模型在火山引擎全量上线。豆包大模型家族已成为 拥有全模态、全尺寸、高性价比的领先模型，本次大会将重磅发布豆包大模型全新成员，有望在模型能 力提升的同时，实现成本的降低。特别是有望推出新一代视频生成模型，在Seedance1.0pro基础上实现 性价比的进一步提升，为内容创作者提供更好用的工具。此外，豆包大模型日均tokens使用量较2025年 5月底的16.4+万亿，有望实现高速增长。 大会展望之二：Agent开发工具升级、Agent生态扩容 智通财经APP获悉，开源证券发布研报称，火山引擎即将举办冬季FORCE大会，将发布豆包大模型全 新成员，有望实现性能提升与成本降低，特别是视频生成模型有望进一步升级。同时，大会将重点关注 Agent开发工具（如TRAE、MCP服务等）的升级与Agent生态的扩容，推动AI在企业生产场景中的落地 应用。关注字节产业链及AI应用投资机会。 开源证券主要观点如下： 火山引擎冬季FORCE大会召开在即，重点关注模型及生态进展 ...