Core Viewpoint - The new round of fuel price adjustments in China will take effect on August 26, with reductions in gasoline and diesel prices due to fluctuations in international oil prices during the monitoring period [1] Price Adjustment Details - The price adjustments will see a decrease of 180 yuan per ton for gasoline and 175 yuan per ton for diesel starting from August 26 at 24:00 [1] - The average national price changes are as follows: 92-octane gasoline will decrease by 0.14 yuan per liter, 95-octane gasoline will decrease by 0.15 yuan per liter, and 0-octane diesel will decrease by 0.15 yuan per liter [1] - For consumers, filling a 50-liter tank with 92-octane gasoline will result in a savings of 7 yuan [1]

Group 1 - Domestic refined oil prices are set to decrease significantly on August 26, with a reduction of approximately 205 yuan per ton for gasoline and diesel, leading to savings of about 9 yuan for a full tank [2][3] - This marks the third largest single drop in oil prices this year, bringing domestic prices back to the "6 yuan era" [2][3] - The average international crude oil price has dropped by 4% during the current pricing cycle, directly triggering the domestic price reduction [3][7] Group 2 - The decline in oil prices is attributed to multiple factors, including fluctuations in international oil prices, weak U.S. economic data, and changes in global supply and demand dynamics [3][4][7] - Recent U.S. economic data has shown disappointing results, with non-farm payrolls increasing by only 73,000 in July, significantly below market expectations, raising concerns about a potential "stagflation" scenario [4][7] - Major oil-producing countries like Saudi Arabia and Russia have maintained or increased production levels, contributing to a global oversupply of crude oil [7] Group 3 - Financial institutions such as Goldman Sachs, Merrill Lynch, Citibank, and Morgan Stanley have lowered their global oil price targets for 2025, reflecting a bearish outlook on oil prices [7] - The anticipated shift in U.S. Federal Reserve policy, with potential interest rate cuts, has created volatility in the market, but the overall economic outlook remains a key factor influencing oil prices [3][4]

摘要8月26日24时，国内成品油零售限价将迎来新一轮调整时间窗口。机构跟踪的最新国际原油价格变动状况预测数据显示，本轮成品油零 售限价下调幅度远超50元/吨的红线要求，预计本轮成品油零售限价大概率将下调，这也意味着将迎来今年以来第七次下调，从而结束连续 两轮搁浅，部分地区的油价有望重回"6元时代"。 附：2025年油价调整更新时间表 | 月份 | 调整更新时间 | 调整更新结果 | | --- | --- | --- | | 12月 | 2025-12-23 | 未公布 | | | 2025-12-09 | 未公布 | | 11月 | 2025-11-25 | 未公布 | | | 2025-11-11 | 未公布 | | 10月 | 2025-10-28 | 未公布 | | | 2025-10-14 | 未公布 | | 月 | 2025-09-24 | 未公布 | | | 2025-09-10 | 未公布 | | 8月 | 2025-08-27 | 未公布 | | | 2025-08-13 | 不作调整 | | | 2025-07-30 | 不作调整 | | 7月 | 2025-07-16 | 汽油每吨下跌1 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the anticipated seventh reduction in refined oil prices for the year, with a projected decrease of 205 yuan per ton, translating to a drop of approximately 0.16 to 0.19 yuan per liter for gasoline and diesel [1][3][5]. Oil Price Adjustment Overview - The 17th round of oil price adjustments will commence on August 26, with the current oil price change rate at -4.18% [1][3]. - Year-to-date, there have been 25 oil price adjustments, with 16 completed, resulting in a pattern of "6 increases, 6 decreases, and 4 stasis" [5]. Current Market Analysis - Analysts indicate that international crude oil prices are fluctuating between 63 to 66 yuan per barrel, influenced by geopolitical factors and the uncertain outlook of U.S. Federal Reserve interest rate cuts [3][4]. - The overall sentiment in the market is mixed, with some analysts suggesting that geopolitical risks may still support oil prices, while others highlight pressures from OPEC+ production increases and inflation concerns [5][6]. Future Outlook - There is a potential for a technical rebound in oil prices due to strong demand and unexpected declines in IEA oil inventories, despite ongoing supply pressures [5][6]. - The market is closely monitoring OPEC+ decisions regarding future production policies, particularly the exit from current production cuts [6].

终结此前三轮连涨局面，油价迎来一次小幅下调。国家发改委通知，根据近期国际市场油价变化情况， 按照现行成品油价格形成机制，自7月15日24时起，国内汽、柴油价格（标准品）每吨分别降低130元和 125元。 记者从北京市发改委获悉，自7月15日24时起，北京市92号汽油由每升7.36元调整为7.26元，降低0.10 元；95号汽油由每升7.84元调整为7.73元，降低0.11元；0号柴油由每升7.06元调整为6.95元，降低0.11 元。以油箱容量50升的普通私家车计算，这次调价后，车主们加满一箱油将少花5元左右。 对本轮油价下调的原因，隆众资讯成品油分析师李彦表示，计价周期内，国际油价震荡上涨但是均值下 跌。美国仍处于传统消费旺季，以及地缘局势不稳定性支撑油价震荡上涨，但相关产油国增产立场坚 定，叠加市场依然担忧美国关税政策的不确定性，抑制涨幅。整体来看，计价周期内挂靠油种均价下 移，所对应的原油综合变化率负向区间运行，开启本轮零售价下调窗口。 本轮油价调整是今年第十四次调价，也是第六次下调。调价落地后，今年成品油调价将呈现"六涨六跌 两搁浅"的格局。 更多热点速报、权威资讯、深度分析尽在北京日报App 来源： ...

Core Viewpoint - The domestic refined oil price adjustment window will open tonight at 24:00, with expectations of a price decrease due to fluctuations in international oil prices, marking the sixth reduction this year [1] Group 1: Price Adjustment Details - According to Zhaochuang Information, during the current pricing cycle (from July 1, 24:00 to July 15, 24:00), despite strong support for international oil prices due to summer demand in the U.S., concerns about oversupply have resurfaced following the easing of Middle Eastern geopolitical conflicts and an unexpected production increase agreement by OPEC+ [3] - It is predicted that on July 15 at 24:00, the retail price limits for gasoline and diesel will be reduced by 130 and 125 yuan per ton, respectively, translating to a decrease of 0.10, 0.11, and 0.11 yuan per liter for 92 gasoline, 95 gasoline, and 0 diesel [3] - The cost savings for consumers will be noticeable; for instance, filling a 50L tank of 92 gasoline will save approximately 5 yuan, and for a small private car with a monthly mileage of 2000 km and fuel consumption of 8L per 100 km, the fuel cost will decrease by about 7 yuan before the next price adjustment window on July 29 [3] Group 2: Future Market Outlook - Looking ahead, the international crude oil market remains supported by sustained demand in the U.S., with a significant support level at around 65 USD for WTI [4] - The recalculated crude oil change rate is currently at a low positive level, indicating that the potential price increase for the next adjustment is limited to only 10 yuan per ton, leading to considerable uncertainty regarding the next price adjustment window on July 29 [4]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that domestic refined oil prices are experiencing a temporary adjustment after a series of increases, with gasoline and diesel prices expected to decrease by approximately 0.10 to 0.12 yuan per liter [1][3] - The recent international oil price fluctuations, influenced by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, Federal Reserve monetary policy, and OPEC production cuts, have led to a rare "three consecutive increases" in oil prices, with some regions seeing 95-octane gasoline prices exceed 8 yuan per liter [1][3] - The current round of price adjustments is supported by a -3.31% change rate in crude oil prices, allowing for a reduction of 130 yuan per ton, despite a slight increase in early July that reduced the expected drop by about 15 yuan per ton [3] Group 2 - The limited decrease in oil prices should be viewed with caution, as future price movements remain uncertain due to ongoing volatility in international oil prices, U.S. crude inventory data, and geopolitical factors [3][6] - Some regions, such as Guangdong and Guangxi, may see 95-octane gasoline prices return to the "7 yuan range," but consumers are advised to be rational about refueling, as the savings from the price drop are minimal [3][6] - The adjustment in refined oil prices reflects the normal response of the domestic pricing mechanism to international market dynamics, highlighting the complexity of global energy geopolitics and its impact on long-term oil price trends [6]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the anticipated sixth reduction in domestic fuel prices in 2023, driven by a combination of factors including OPEC+ production increases and ongoing geopolitical tensions affecting oil prices [1]. Group 1: Price Adjustment Details - The expected price reduction for gasoline and diesel is approximately 125 yuan per ton, effective from July 15 at 24:00 [1]. - For a standard private car with a fuel tank capacity of 70 liters, the new pricing will result in a savings of about 6.7 yuan when filling up [1]. - For a private car with a 50-liter fuel tank, the savings will be nearly 5 yuan for a full tank [1].

Core Viewpoint - The article indicates that domestic fuel prices in China are expected to decrease for the sixth time this year, primarily due to a drop in international oil prices influenced by OPEC+ production increases and ongoing geopolitical tensions [1] Group 1: Price Adjustment - The anticipated price reduction for gasoline and diesel is approximately 125 yuan per ton, effective from July 15 at 24:00 [1] - For a standard private car with a fuel tank capacity of 70 liters, the new pricing will result in a savings of about 6.7 yuan when filling up [1] - For a private car with a 50-liter fuel tank, the savings will be nearly 5 yuan per full tank [1]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the upcoming adjustment in fuel prices, marking the tenth price change of the year, driven by recent fluctuations in international oil prices [1] Price Adjustment Summary - According to Longzhong Information, the price of gasoline and diesel is expected to decrease by 230 yuan and 220 yuan per ton, respectively [1] - This translates to a reduction of approximately 0.18 yuan per liter for 92-octane gasoline, 0.19 yuan for 95-octane gasoline, and 0.19 yuan for 0-octane diesel [1] - Following this adjustment, the retail price of 92-octane gasoline in most regions is projected to fall to between 7 and 7.1 yuan per liter, while diesel prices will drop to between 6.6 and 6.8 yuan per liter [1] - For an average private car with a fuel tank capacity of 50 liters, the cost savings for filling up a tank will be around 9 yuan [1]