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贵金属日评:特朗普可以任命更多美联储官员支撑贵金属价格-20251114
Hong Yuan Qi Huo· 2025-11-14 02:55
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided. 2. Core View of the Report - Trump's government can appoint more Fed officials, which may raise expectations of future interest rate cuts by the Fed. The possible end of the US federal government shutdown and the Fed's provision of liquidity, along with the expansion of fiscal policies globally and central banks' continuous gold - buying, as well as geopolitical risks, may support precious metal prices [1]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Market Data 3.1.1 Gold - **Shanghai Gold**: The closing price was 944.31 yuan/gram, with a change of - 2.19 compared to the previous day and 26.80 compared to last week. The trading volume was 51666.00, down 11382.00 from the previous day. The inventory (in ten - gram units) was 89616.00, with no change from the previous day but an increase of 1800.00 compared to last week [1]. - **COMEX Gold Futures**: The closing price was 4133.20 dollars/ounce, with a change of 68.20 compared to the previous day and 260.10 compared to last week. The trading volume was 278020.00, up 33400.00 from the previous day. The inventory (in troy ounces) was 37575139.58, down 338082.64 from the previous day [1]. - **London Gold Spot**: The price was 4136.75 dollars/ounce, with a change of 13.45 compared to the previous day and 185.65 compared to last week. SPDR Gold ETF holdings were 1046.36 tons, with a change of 0.28 compared to the previous day [1]. 3.1.2 Silver - **Shanghai Silver**: The closing price was 12092.00 yuan/ten - gram, with a change of 227.00 compared to the previous day and 671.00 compared to last week. The trading volume was 870430.00, up 145316.00 from the previous day. The inventory (in ten - gram units) was 583060.00, down 56880.00 from the previous day [1]. - **COMEX Silver Futures**: The closing price was 53.23 dollars/ounce, with a change of 2.15 compared to the previous day and 6.33 compared to last week. The trading volume was 69857.00, up 41384.00 from the previous day. The inventory (in troy ounces) was 478191872.10, down 366186.53 from the previous day [1]. - **London Silver Spot**: The price was 51.54 dollars/ounce, with a change of 3.78 compared to the previous day and 0.29 compared to last week. iShare Silver ETF holdings were 482.31 tons, with a change of 1.29 compared to the previous day [1]. 3.1.3 Price Ratios - The ratio of Shanghai gold futures to Shanghai silver futures was 78.34, with a change of - 1.54 compared to the previous day and - 1.98 compared to last week. The ratio of New York gold futures to New York silver futures was 80.92, with a change of - 5.12 compared to the previous day and - 1.99 compared to last week [1]. 3.2 Important Information - The Atlanta Fed President who advocates "no rate cut in December" will retire in February next year. The "third - in - command of the Fed" said the Fed may soon restart bond purchases to manage liquidity. US Treasury Secretary mentioned Trump's plan to issue $2000 tax refunds to families with annual incomes below $100,000 and "gradual" adjustment of US debt issuance [1]. 3.3 Trading Strategy - For silver, it is advisable to lay out long positions when prices fall. For London gold, pay attention to the support level around 3850 - 3950 and the resistance level around 4180 - 4384. For Shanghai gold, the support level is around 870 - 890 and the resistance level is around 960 - 1000. For London silver, the support level is around 38 - 45 and the resistance level is around 55 - 60. For Shanghai silver, the support level is around 9500 - 10500 and the resistance level is around 12400 - 13000 [1].
特朗普签署临时预算案 结束美国史上最长联邦政府“停摆”
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-11-13 07:49
Core Points - The U.S. federal government shutdown lasted for 43 days, marking the longest shutdown in U.S. history, ending on November 12 when President Trump signed a temporary budget bill [1] - The temporary budget will keep most federal agencies operational until January 30, 2026, and provides full funding for the Department of Agriculture, Department of Veterans Affairs, and Congress for the entire fiscal year [1] - The budget does not include the extended healthcare subsidy provisions that Democrats had previously insisted on [1] Group 1 - The House of Representatives passed the temporary budget with a vote of 222 in favor and 209 against, with 6 Democrats joining Republicans in support and 2 Republicans voting against [1] - The Senate approved the budget with a vote of 60 in favor and 40 against, with 8 Democrats voting alongside Republicans to reach the necessary 60 votes [1] Group 2 - As part of the agreement to end the shutdown, Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell assured Democrats that a vote on healthcare subsidies would take place in mid-December [2] - The shutdown caused significant disruptions in air travel, with the FAA reporting a 6% reduction in flights at 40 busy airports across the U.S. [2] - On the day of the shutdown's end, FlightAware reported that 2,454 domestic and international flights were delayed and 906 flights were canceled [2]
关于临时拨款法案 美众议院通过关键程序性投票
Yang Shi Xin Wen· 2025-11-13 00:49
Core Points - The U.S. House of Representatives passed a key procedural vote with a margin of 213 to 209, clearing the way for a final vote on the Senate-approved temporary funding bill [1] - The House will engage in an additional hour of debate before the final vote on the temporary funding bill, which could end the federal government shutdown that has lasted for over 40 days [1] - The government shutdown began on October 1 due to the Senate's failure to pass a new temporary funding bill before government funds were exhausted [1] - On November 10, the Senate voted to approve a temporary funding bill, marking a significant step towards ending the government shutdown [1]
美众议院通过关键程序性投票 将对临时拨款法案进行最终表决
Yang Shi Xin Wen· 2025-11-13 00:20
Core Points - The U.S. House of Representatives passed a key procedural vote with a margin of 213 to 209, clearing the way for a final vote on the Senate-approved temporary funding bill [2] - This procedural vote follows the conclusion of the first round of debate in the House, which will lead to an additional hour of debate before the final vote on the temporary funding bill [2] - The passage of this bill is expected to end the federal government shutdown that has lasted for over 40 days, which began on October 1 due to the Senate's failure to pass a new temporary funding bill before government funds were exhausted [2] - The Senate had previously voted on November 10 to approve a temporary funding bill, marking a critical step towards ending the government shutdown [2]
美参议院正式通过临时拨款法案
Ren Min Ri Bao· 2025-11-11 22:40
Core Points - The U.S. Senate has officially passed a temporary funding bill to resolve the federal government shutdown that began on October 1, lasting a record 41 days as of November 10 [1] - The bill will fund most federal agencies at current levels until January 30, 2026, and provides full-year funding for the Department of Agriculture, Department of Veterans Affairs, military construction projects, and congressional operations [1] - The passed bill only includes three of the twelve annual appropriations, indicating that nine annual budgets remain unresolved, which could lead to another government shutdown in two months [1] Summary by Categories - **Legislative Action** - The Senate's passage of the temporary funding bill is a critical step to end the government shutdown [1] - The bill is based on a version previously approved by the House of Representatives and requires House approval and presidential signature to take effect [1] - **Funding Provisions** - Most federal agencies will receive funding at existing levels until January 30, 2026 [1] - Specific departments such as Agriculture and Veterans Affairs will receive full-year funding [1] - **Future Implications** - Ongoing negotiations between the two parties will continue regarding the remaining nine annual budgets [1] - There is a potential risk of another government shutdown in the near future if negotiations do not conclude successfully [1]
刚刚,美国会参议院就结束政府“停摆”达成一致
Jin Rong Shi Bao· 2025-11-10 04:30
Group 1 - The U.S. Senate has reached an agreement to end the federal government shutdown that has lasted for 40 days, with President Trump indicating that a resolution is near [1] - The Senate previously rejected two bipartisan funding bills, leading to the shutdown that affected hundreds of thousands of federal employees and various government services [1] - A new funding bill, which includes short-term funding measures until January 2026 and three annual appropriations bills, is expected to pass with sufficient Democratic support [1] Group 2 - The ongoing government shutdown has severely impacted multiple industries, with officials warning of economic downturns and disruptions to citizens' daily lives [1] - The Senate's inability to pass funding bills has resulted in a historic low in legislative efficiency, with 14 rejections of the same bill during the shutdown [2] - The aviation industry has been particularly affected, with over 2,000 flight cancellations and more than 7,000 delays reported, attributed to air traffic control staffing shortages [2]
突发!全线拉升!特朗普称政府停摆接近结束
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-11-10 02:28
Group 1 - The U.S. federal government has been in a shutdown for 40 days, with President Trump indicating that a resolution may be near [1] - The Senate is expected to vote on a bill passed by the House, which includes short-term funding measures to sustain the government until January 2026, bundled with three annual appropriations bills [1] - The revised funding proposal still requires approval from the House and President Trump, which may take several days [1] Group 2 - Senate Democrats are resisting the passage of the funding bill to pressure Republicans into agreeing to reforms in the healthcare system, including extending subsidies under the Affordable Care Act [1] - An agreement is being discussed where the Senate will later agree to vote separately on the subsidy issue [1] Group 3 - Financial markets reacted positively, with Nasdaq futures rising by 0.8% and S&P 500 futures increasing by over 0.5% [1] - Bitcoin reached approximately $106,400, while Ethereum rose above $3,600 [1] - Spot gold increased by 0.64% to $4,027, and spot silver rose by 1% [1]
美国联邦政府“停摆”时间创纪录 破坏性与日俱增
Yang Shi Wang· 2025-11-06 16:05
Core Points - The longest federal government shutdown in U.S. history has reached its 37th day, significantly impacting daily life and social operations across the country [1] Group 1 - The shutdown has led to long lines at food assistance points, indicating a growing strain on social services [1] - There has been a reduction in airport capacity, affecting travel and transportation sectors [1]
记者手记丨美联邦政府“停摆”破纪录 食品救济点人更多了
Xin Hua She· 2025-11-06 06:11
Core Points - The U.S. federal government shutdown has reached its 36th day, marking the longest shutdown in U.S. history, leading to increased demand for food assistance among federal employees [1] - The charity organization "World Central Kitchen" has set up multiple food relief points in Washington D.C., distributing over 36,000 meals since October 27, with a noticeable increase in demand on November 5 [2] - The shutdown has severely impacted food assistance programs, with the "Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program" halting benefits since November 1, affecting approximately 42 million people, or one-eighth of the U.S. population [3] Group 1 - The shutdown has resulted in long lines at food relief points, with federal employees increasingly relying on free meals due to missed paychecks [1] - The charity's collaboration with local restaurants aims to support struggling businesses while providing meals to federal employees [2] - The economic impact of the shutdown is evident, with local restaurants reporting a sales decline of 15% to 20% during this period [2] Group 2 - The inability to access food assistance has raised concerns among low-income families, with estimates suggesting that around 1.2 million households and nearly 5 million individuals may not receive benefits in November [3] - Political leaders have expressed differing views on the shutdown's implications, with Democrats accusing the Trump administration of neglecting the needs of the hungry, while Republicans blame Democrats for initiating the shutdown [4]
进入第36天 美联邦政府“停摆”时长破历史纪录
Yang Shi Xin Wen· 2025-11-05 04:16
Core Points - The U.S. federal government shutdown has reached its 36th day, breaking the previous record of 35 days set from late 2018 to early 2019 [1] - This marks the longest government shutdown in U.S. history [1] Summary by Category - **Duration of Shutdown** - The current shutdown has surpassed the previous record, indicating a significant political impasse [1] - **Historical Context** - The previous longest shutdown lasted 35 days, highlighting the increasing frequency and duration of such events in recent years [1]