Group 1 - The current trading price of London gold is $3,375.59 per ounce, reflecting a decline of 0.35% [1] - The opening price for gold today was $3,389.65 per ounce, with a high of $3,395.62 and a low of $3,374.79 [1] - The Federal Reserve's interest rate decision and Chairman Powell's speech are expected to be announced today, with traders anticipating two rate cuts by the end of the year [1] Group 2 - Citibank has downgraded its short-term and long-term price forecasts for gold, predicting prices may fall below $3,000 by the end of 2025 or early 2026 due to declining investment demand and improving global economic growth prospects [1] - The technical analysis indicates that the relative strength index (RSI) has risen above the midline, currently close to 57.50, suggesting that bullish sentiment for gold remains intact [1] - For sustained upward movement, gold must hold above the static resistance level of $3,440, with the next target being the two-month high of $3,453, which could lead to a challenge of the historical high of $3,500 [1] Group 3 - If the previous corrective trend resumes, bears may test the former strong resistance level, now turned support at $3,377, which is the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the record rally in April [2] - Should the psychological level of $3,350 be breached, the next support level will be at the 21-day simple moving average (SMA) at $3,341 [2]

黄金欧盘突涨是何原因？后期价格能否突破平台关键位？日内交易者短期"看多"还是"看空"？TTPS团 队交易学长正在分析，立即观看！ 相关链接 黄金趋势讲解中 ...

我们从近期价格运行的通道进行对比，前期高点3366回撤到3246幅度是120美金，那么从目前的高点等距离的通道来看，下方的的位置应 该在3280附近，这也就说明，价格守在3280的上方，短期通道依旧完整，不排除进一步上行的可能性。但从当前大幅回撤的节奏去衡量， 小反抽还是有看回落的机会，低点即使不出现破位，也会出现重复测试。早间出现回落之后，目前的高点就是今天日内极弱还是震荡的分 水岭，所以今天的价格只要处于3320之下，可以当做极弱去对待，突破在去关注震荡周期的阻力位。 今日日内关键的阻力位在周五凌晨反抽的高点3332-3336，以及周五的起跌点3370附近是短期空头的防守位，关键的支撑位在通道线的下沿 3280附近，以及前期顶底转换为3250一线。 以上内容仅代表个人观点，不作为操作依据。 运气就是，机会碰巧撞到了你的努力，而幸福就是只要牵对了手，就算失去了方向感，也不会害怕。找不到对的人，其实很可能是，改不 掉错的自己，勇敢不是不害怕，而是害怕的时候还能坚持去做。望着阴霾下早晨的窗外，看不了太远的街却能望到远方织起的梦，激情来 源于不断的自我说服并且说动自己。 上周五公布的非农就业人口增加了13.9万人 ...

本周，黄金周一跳空低开后延续下跌走势，不过并非单边下跌，日线呈现出阴阳交替的走势，周线最终收出一根带有长下影线的阴线。 （3）贸易局势 5月12日，中美发布联合声明，相互取消部分加征关税并暂停部分关税措施，同时中方还暂停非关税反制措施。这一举措虽然在短期内缓解了贸易摩擦。 （4）美联储政策预期 美联储主席鲍威尔在5月15日的讲话中提到美国经济和美联储面临挑战，未来通胀可能更加波动，美联储正在调整货币政策框架。虽然鲍威尔未提及太多关 于降息的经济前景和通胀问题，但此前公布的4月CPI数据意外降温，强化了特朗普对美联储降息的施压。不过，由于贸易紧张局势缓和，部分经济衰退担 忧缓解，华尔街大行推迟了对美联储降息的预期，这对黄金价格的影响较为复杂。 一、基本面 1、本周市场情况 （1）经济数据 美国4月CPI数据表现温和，通胀预期降温，市场对美联储大幅降息的预期减弱，美元走强对黄金价格形成压制。美国4月PPI环比意外下降0.5%（预期为增 长0.2%），零售销售增长从3月的1.7%大幅降至0.1%，制造业产出下降0.4%，这些数据表明美国经济放缓压力加剧。经济数据走弱直接导致美国国债收益率 大幅下降（10年期收益率下 ...

日内趋势正在分析中 黄金价格持续下破！今夜是否有逆转机会？日内交易者应延续看空还是谨慎观望？TTPS团队卢教练正 在分析中，立即观看！ 相关链接 ...

黄金欧盘反弹受阻，日内能否再创新低？立即观看超V研究员Alex多品种实时分析>>> 相关链接 ...

Group 1 - Geopolitical tensions, particularly the Middle East situation and the Russia-Ukraine conflict, are driving short-term price volatility in gold, with a potential breakout above $3,450 if conflicts escalate or negotiations fail [2] - The U.S. April CPI shows a year-on-year inflation rate of 2.3%, indicating a decline in inflation; however, the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance may limit expectations for interest rate cuts in July [3] - The dollar index is expected to remain high due to Trump's tariff policies, which may suppress gold prices in the short term, while the inflow of funds into Bitcoin ETFs is slowing, reducing the marginal substitution effect of cryptocurrencies on gold [3] Group 2 - Support levels for gold are identified at $3,000 and the $2,920-$2,960 range, while resistance levels are at $3,450 and $3,550 [3] - COMEX gold futures open interest has decreased for two consecutive weeks, indicating short-term speculative profit-taking, while global gold ETF holdings have increased to 3,200 tons, reflecting a 4.7% rise since the beginning of the year [3] Group 3 - Physical demand for gold is showing a mixed trend, with Chinese gold jewelry consumption declining by 8% year-on-year in Q1 2025, while investment demand for gold bars and coins has increased by 22% [3] - Central banks are expected to maintain gold purchases at 800-1,000 tons per year, with emerging market central banks like China and India having significant room to increase their gold reserves, which currently account for less than 10% [5] Group 4 - Three potential scenarios for the next six months are outlined: a bullish breakout with a 35% probability if the Fed cuts rates in July and Middle East tensions escalate, a consolidation phase with a 50% probability, and a bearish scenario with a 15% probability if a U.S.-China trade agreement is reached [5] - Short-term strategy suggests building positions in the $3,000-$3,100 range with a stop-loss below $2,920, while a wave strategy recommends adding positions after a breakout above $3,450 with targets of $3,550-$3,650 [5]

技术面：短期金价可能继续在3260-3360美元区间内宽幅震荡。如果周末重要经济体谈判取得积极进 展，金价可能测试3260美元支撑位，甚至下探3200美元；反之，若谈判陷入僵局或紧张局势升级，金价 有望再次挑战3400美元阻力位，突破后目标指向3500美元。四小时级别上，金价仍处于三角收敛形态的 整理区间，尽管上周五早盘出现短暂下轨刺破，但该支撑位的有效性仍需进一步确认。综合分析开盘建 议：先空后多为主；周一重点关注上方阻力3347一线，破位关注日线图5日均线3356压制；下关短线关 注3302一线，破位下看3283-3360支撑！GOLD分水岭：3300美元/盎司！现停盘报价：3326一线！ 编辑 黄金开盘操作建议： 现货黄金： 高空计划：激进3340/45空，稳健等3355/60空，防守各8个点，目标3283破位持有！ 消息面：本周黄金价格的相对中性走势，是在美联储重申不急于降息之后出现的，因为美国经济仍相对 稳定，通胀风险依然存在。尽管市场仍预计美联储将在夏季降息，黄金的多头动能已经转入"观望"模 式。如果紧张局势缓解或部分关税被取消，这确实可能成为空头重新掌控局面的催化剂，至少在短期内 如此。黄金价格 ...

实时黄金订单流分析 黄金未能站稳3400美元关口！后市涨跌的逻辑如何分析？顺姐正在实时分析中，点击观看 相关链接 ...

今日阻力方面关注早间高点3287一线，向上突破看3400整数关口，更上方参考3422压力点，至于3440- 50范围算是强压区域。支撑方面留意亚盘回撤低点3350和4小时MA5均线3340两个节点，更下方参考周 一高点3329和1小时SAR指标3322形成的支撑范围，至于凌晨回撤低点3305和4小时MA60均线3297范围 算是本周的强弱转换区域。整体来看黄金价格暴力拉升的主要因素是砸盘和动|乱造成的，这种情况不 可预测，操作上刘铭诚建议回撤做多为主，高位遇阻再做空。 整体来看原油价格走势向上反弹，周二日K线平底实体阳柱上向上发散，日内的反弹我没有参与，等晚 间遇阻后计划接空单。今日操作上刘铭诚建议反弹做空为主，低位做多为辅。 原油策略：实时现报价58.3一线。 黄金实时行情分析：周二早盘黄金价格再次拉升，亚盘高点触及3287一线转跌，刚好和前期暴跌过后的 反弹高点3286偏差不大，五一假期过后黄金波动再次加速运行，宽幅震荡整理再次控盘市场，目前的温 和震荡区间暂定3287和3240范围内，欧美盘走势出现破位行情就可以看延续。昨天提示过3340下方看空 思路已经出现破位，现在就需要调整思路，以日线SAR指标压 ...