Core Insights - The article discusses the current state of the equity market, highlighting concerns about potential peaks in the SP500 index and the implications for investors [1]. Group 1: Company Overview - Sensor Unlimited is an economist with a PhD, specializing in financial economics and quantitative modeling, with a decade of experience in the mortgage market, commercial market, and banking industry [2]. Group 2: Investment Strategies - Sensor Unlimited contributes to the investing group Envision Early Retirement, offering solutions for high income and growth through dynamic asset allocation, including two model portfolios for different investment strategies [1].

ETF Market - The altcoin slump is impacting the ETF market [1] - Over 100 applications for altcoin-based funds are awaiting approval [1]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core View of the Report On October 17, 2025, the A - share market generally declined, with significant drops in major indices and certain industries. Different types of ETFs showed varying performance, with stock ETFs mostly falling, bond ETFs generally rising, gold ETFs rising, commodity - futures ETFs falling, and cross - border ETFs also mostly declining. [2][3][4] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index fell 1.95% to 3839.76 points, the Shenzhen Component Index dropped 3.04% to 12688.94 points, and the ChiNext Index declined 3.36% to 2935.37 points. The trading volume of A - shares in the two markets was 19547 billion yuan. The industries with the largest declines were power equipment (-4.99%), electronics (-4.17%), and machinery and equipment (-3.69%) [2][6] Stock ETF - The top - trading - volume stock ETFs included: Huaxia Shanghai Stock Exchange Science and Technology Innovation Board 50 ETF, which fell 3.63% with a discount rate of -3.65%; Harvest Shanghai Stock Exchange Science and Technology Innovation Board Chip ETF, which dropped 4.12% with a discount rate of -4.16%; Huaxia CSI A500 ETF, which declined 2.41% with a discount rate of -2.43% [3][7] Bond ETF - The top - trading - volume bond ETFs were: Haifutong CSI Short - Term Financing Bond ETF, which rose 0.02% with a discount rate of 0.01%; Huaxia Shanghai Stock Exchange Benchmark Market - Making Treasury Bond ETF, which increased 0.23% with a discount rate of 0.25%; Cathay CSI AAA Science and Technology Innovation Corporate Bond ETF, which went up 0.03% with a discount rate of -0.09% [4][9] Gold ETF - Gold AU9999 rose 3.00% and Shanghai Gold increased 3.24%. The top - trading - volume gold ETFs were: Huaan Gold ETF, which rose 3.50% with a discount rate of 3.29%; E Fund Gold ETF, which climbed 3.66% with a discount rate of 3.38%; Bosera Gold ETF, which advanced 3.62% with a discount rate of 3.39% [12] Commodity Futures ETF - Dacheng Non - Ferrous Metals Futures ETF fell 0.62% with a discount rate of -0.53%; Jianxin Yisheng Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange Energy and Chemical Futures ETF dropped 1.68% with a discount rate of -1.18%; Huaxia Feed Soybean Meal Futures ETF declined 1.13% with a discount rate of 2.53% [13] Cross - border ETF - The previous trading day, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.65%, the Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.47%, and the S&P 500 declined 0.63%, while the German DAX rose 0.38%. On this day, the Hang Seng Index fell 2.48% and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index dropped 2.67%. The top - trading - volume cross - border ETFs were: E Fund CSI Hong Kong Securities Investment Theme ETF, which fell 3.13% with a discount rate of -3.46%; Huatai - Peregrine Hang Seng Technology ETF, which declined 3.27% with a discount rate of -3.19%; Huaxia Hang Seng Technology ETF, which dropped 3.21% with a discount rate of -3.03% [15] Currency ETF - The top - trading - volume currency ETFs were: Silver Hua Daily Interest ETF, Huabao Add - Benefit ETF, and Currency ETF Jianxin Add - Benefit [17]

ETF Market Trends & Inflows - ETF net inflows have topped $1 trillion for the second consecutive year and are on pace for a new record year [1][2] - The growth is attributed to transparency, liquidity, tax efficiency, and innovation within the ETF wrapper, including options-based strategies [3][6] - Demand for growth-type exposure, particularly in AI and innovation, is driving inflows [5] - Actively managed ETFs are attracting more investors, accounting for approximately 37% of inflows compared to 26% in 2024, due to the accessibility of sophisticated strategies [13] Top ETF Inflows & Market Sentiment - Top inflows this week were into BBEU (a large-cap European stock ETF), GLD (gold ETF), and BNDX (Vanguard Total Bond ETF) [7] - The shift towards European equities and bonds may be due to tariff concerns and government shutdown fears, prompting investors to seek safer, more stable markets and fixed income exposure [8][9] ETF Innovation & Investment Strategies - Sophisticated options-based approaches within ETFs are giving investors access to solutions they haven't had historically [4][6] - Horizon's "Why Not" digital frontier ETF offers a one-stop-shop solution for exposure to growth, AI, crypto, and quantum, with dynamic weightings [10][11] - Actively managed ETFs allow for layering crypto exposure on top of stock baskets using options and other approaches [15]

Equity Market - The technology sector continues to show strong momentum, with a significant net inflow of 340 billion CNY in technology-themed ETFs in September, up from 413 billion CNY in August[18] - The total net inflow for industry and thematic ETFs reached a one-year high of 964 billion CNY in September, with notable increases in financial and real estate sectors[18] - The top net outflow was from the CSI 300 ETF, which saw a reduction of 146.46 billion CNY, as some investors sought structural opportunities near the 3900-point mark of the Shanghai Composite Index[12] Bond Market - Bond ETFs have gained popularity, with a net inflow of 921 billion CNY in September, primarily driven by the Sci-Tech bond ETFs[58] - Major banks net purchased 3302 billion CNY in interest rate bonds, while other banks showed net selling behavior[66] - Insurance companies increased their net purchases of long-term interest rate bonds to 2561 billion CNY, up from 2046 billion CNY in August[69] Commodity Market - Gold ETFs experienced a net inflow of 55.98 billion CNY in September, although this was lower than the monthly inflows seen from February to April 2025[73] - Domestic investors shifted their focus from gold to gold stocks, with gold stock ETFs seeing significant performance improvements[73] Market Sentiment - The margin trading balance increased by 1674.06 billion CNY in September, marking the highest level since 2019, indicating a sustained high risk appetite among investors[47] - Southbound trading reached a record high of 1726.53 billion CNY in September, with Alibaba contributing significantly to the net purchases in the retail sector[53]

Core Points - The three major A-share indices collectively declined, with the Shanghai Composite Index falling by 1.95%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 3.04%, and the ChiNext Index by 3.36% [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing markets reached 1,954.4 billion yuan, an increase of 5.7 billion yuan compared to the previous day [1] - Over 4,700 stocks in the market experienced a decline, with significant drops in the new energy, semiconductor, and electronics sectors, while the military, chemical, and automotive sectors also saw widespread losses [1] - The Fujian and Hainan sectors showed resilience, performing well against the overall market trend [1] ETF Performance - Gold ETFs dominated the gainers' list, with the China Construction Bank Gold ETF rising by 4.68%, the Southern Gold ETF by 3.72%, and the Tianhong Shanghai Gold ETF by 3.68% [1] - Gold stocks also increased, with the Guotai Fund Gold Stock ETF up by 1.04% [1] - Long-term government bond ETFs performed positively, with the 30-year government bond ETFs from Bosera and Pengyang rising by 0.84% and 0.79%, respectively [1] Sector Analysis - The new energy sector faced declines, with leading storage battery and photovoltaic ETFs dropping over 6% [1] - The consumer electronics sector also saw a downturn, with the consumer electronics ETF falling by 4.65% [1]

Market Overview - The three major A-share indices collectively declined, with the Shanghai Composite Index falling by 1.95%, the Shenzhen Component Index down by 3.04%, and the ChiNext Index decreasing by 3.36% [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 1.9544 trillion yuan, an increase of 57 billion yuan compared to the previous day [1] Sector Performance - Over 4,700 stocks in the market experienced declines, with significant downturns in the semiconductor and electronics sectors, as well as widespread losses in the military, chemical, and automotive sectors [1] - Conversely, the Fujian and Hainan sectors showed resilience, performing well against the overall market trend [1] Index Details - Specific index performances included: - Shanghai Composite Index: 3839.31, down 76.92 points (-1.96%) - Shenzhen Component Index: 12688.99, down 397.42 points (-3.04%) - ChiNext Index: 1433.4, down 55.22 points (-3.36%) [2] - Other indices such as the CSI 300 and CSI 500 also reported declines of 2.27% and 2.96% respectively [2] ETF and Sector Highlights - The gold ETFs topped the gainers list, with notable increases in the following: - Jianxin Fund Gold ETF: +4.68% - Southern Gold ETF: +3.72% - Tianhong Fund Shanghai Gold ETF: +3.68% [4] - Long-term treasury bond ETFs also saw positive performance, with 30-year treasury bond ETFs from Boshi and Pengyang rising by 0.84% and 0.79% respectively [4] - In contrast, the new energy sector faced declines, with leading storage battery and photovoltaic ETFs dropping over 6% [4] - The consumer electronics sector also struggled, with the consumer electronics ETF falling by 4.65% [4]

Core Insights - U.S.-listed crypto ETFs experienced significant outflows, marking the end of a two-week inflow streak, with bitcoin ETFs alone seeing a net outflow of $536.4 million and ether ETFs losing $56.8 million [1][2] Group 1: ETF Performance - The iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) from BlackRock faced outflows of $29 million, while Fidelity's FBTC saw a loss of $132 million, and Grayscale's GBTC product lost $67 million, indicating a broad trend of redemptions across various issuers [2] - Smaller issuers like Bitwise and VanEck also reported outflows, contributing to the overall negative sentiment in the ETF market [2] Group 2: Market Dynamics - The recent outflows were attributed to a volatile fortnight where bitcoin prices fell from $126,000 due to leveraged liquidations, issues with Binance's data feeds, and escalating U.S.-China trade tensions [2] - Analysts at Citi noted that the drawdown reflects bitcoin's increasing sensitivity to equity market movements, while Glassnode characterized the sell-off as a "necessary reset" following significant futures deleveraging [3] Group 3: Future Outlook - Despite the recent volatility and outflows, Citi maintained its year-end target for bitcoin at $133,000, supported by resilient ETF participation, a sentiment echoed by prediction markets [4]

🇺🇸 ETF FLOWS: Around $530.9M worth of $BTC and $56.8M worth of $ETH were sold on Oct. 16. https://t.co/ZcrGbRm6sc ...

🔥 BULLISH: BlackRock’s spot Ethereum ETF bought 11,770 $ETH worth $46.9M on Oct. 16. https://t.co/qUTc23iwXM ...