政府停摆
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白宫:10月CPI和就业报告可能永远不会发布
财联社· 2025-11-13 00:59
Core Points - The White House has indicated that key government reports on inflation and the labor market for October may never be released due to the prolonged government shutdown [1][2][3] - The shutdown has severely hindered access to critical economic data, impacting economists, investors, and policymakers [2][4] - The absence of official data has led to increased reliance on private sector reports, which suggest a weakening job market and rising layoffs [4][5] Group 1: Impact of Government Shutdown - The government shutdown has resulted in a significant backlog of important economic reports, with the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) unable to process data [3][4] - The last available unemployment rate was 4.3% in August, with only 22,000 new jobs added, indicating a sharp slowdown in employment growth [5] - The BLS is expected to quickly release the September employment report once the government reopens, but the October data collection has been severely compromised [5][6] Group 2: Challenges in Data Collection - The inability to collect data in October poses challenges for accurately assessing employment conditions, particularly for household surveys that are crucial for calculating the unemployment rate [5][6] - Former BLS officials have expressed skepticism about the feasibility of completing the October inflation report due to the lack of data collection [6][7] - The prolonged shutdown has created unprecedented disruptions for the BLS, which was already facing budget constraints and political pressures [7]
众议院即将投票,美国政府开启“漫长重启”
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2025-11-13 00:24
Core Points - The U.S. House of Representatives is set to vote on a spending bill to end a record-long government shutdown that has lasted 43 days since October 1, affecting hundreds of thousands of federal employees and causing significant disruptions in various sectors [1][4] - The shutdown has led to delays in flights, hindered the release of key economic data, and threatened food assistance for millions of families, with national parks and museums also closed [1][5] - The Congressional Budget Office estimates that a six-week shutdown will reduce fourth-quarter GDP by 1.5 percentage points, resulting in a net loss of approximately $11 billion [1][5] Legislative Developments - The bill includes a controversial provision allowing senators to claim $500,000 if their phone records were collected without their knowledge, which has sparked bipartisan backlash [2][3] - Some Republican lawmakers plan to propose separate legislation to repeal this provision after the government reopens [3] - House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries stated that Democrats will continue to push for an extension of healthcare subsidies, indicating that the legislative battle is not over [3] Government Operations - The government will require several days to fully restart operations after the bill is passed and signed by the President, with some agencies potentially not resuming until the following week [4] - Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy indicated that flight restrictions would begin to be lifted within a week of the government reopening, coinciding with the Thanksgiving travel peak [4] Economic Impact - The economic impact of the shutdown is expected to be significant, with estimates suggesting that each week of the shutdown costs the economy between $10 billion and $15 billion [6] - While back pay will be issued to federal employees, the process of recalculating salaries may take time, and some costs associated with the shutdown will be irrecoverable [5][6] - The shutdown has also delayed the release of important economic data, creating a potential data gap that could distort future economic forecasts [6]
联邦政府“停摆”持续 美国890趟航班取消、750趟延误
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-11-12 22:49
中新网11月13日电综合美媒报道,当地时间11月12日,美国联邦航空管理局(FAA)连续第二天要求全美 40个繁忙机场削减6%的航班。 (文章来源:中国新闻网) 据报道,航班追踪网站"FlightAware"的数据还显示,美国境内当天已有至少890趟航班取消、750趟延 误。 美国交通部长达菲警告称,若联邦政府不尽快重启,航空交通或将出现更多问题,特别是航班时刻表的 混乱状况在感恩节到来之前可能会进一步恶化。 ...
哈塞特:如有机会愿意出任美联储主席 主张更大幅度降息
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-12 20:08
Core Viewpoint - The White House National Economic Council Director Hassett has expressed willingness to accept the position of Federal Reserve Chair if nominated, advocating for more aggressive interest rate cuts in December [1] Summary by Relevant Sections - **Interest Rate Policy** - Hassett suggests that the Federal Reserve should implement a larger rate cut, ideally by 50 basis points, although he anticipates a more modest 25 basis points cut [1] - He expresses surprise at Powell's lack of aggressive rate cuts given the prolonged government shutdown and better-than-expected inflation data [1] - **Economic Impact of Government Shutdown** - Hassett estimates that each week of government shutdown results in a reduction of approximately $15 billion in U.S. GDP [1] - **Inflation Data** - The inflation data for September was reported to be lower than expected, which may influence future monetary policy decisions [1]
White House: October CPI and jobs report likely to never be released
Youtube· 2025-11-12 19:52
All right, we got some breaking news out of Washington DC. Let's find out what it is with a jabers at the White House. >> Yeah, Brian, this coming from the Supreme Court just in the Supreme Court saying they're going to hear oral arguments on the president's effort to fire Fed board uh member Lisa Cook. They're going to do those oral arguments on January 21st.Remember, the issue here is the president is allowed to fire somebody for cause, so to speak. And the question is, what does for cause actually mean i ...
Government reports on inflation and the labor market for October are “likely never” to be released,
WSJ· 2025-11-12 19:15
Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt said the government shutdown made it hard to gather the necessary data to compile key reports. ...
White House says October jobs and inflation data may never be released
CNBC· 2025-11-12 18:49
Core Viewpoint - The ongoing government shutdown may lead to the permanent impairment of critical economic data collection, affecting key reports such as the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and nonfarm payrolls, which are essential for policymakers and investors [2][3]. Economic Data Impact - Key economic reports for October, including the monthly nonfarm payrolls and consumer index, may not be released due to the government shutdown, which has lasted over six weeks, the longest in history [2][3]. - Other affected data includes retail sales, import and export statistics, as well as consumer spending and income [3]. Implications for Policymakers - The inability to access critical government data hampers the Federal Reserve's ability to make informed decisions during a crucial economic period, leaving them "flying blind" [2][4]. - Wall Street economists had anticipated that the data would eventually be released, albeit with delays, but recent comments from White House officials have cast doubt on this expectation [3].
历史最长政府停摆即将终结!美众议院冲刺表决缓解民生与航空混乱
智通财经网· 2025-11-12 12:10
智通财经APP获悉,美国众议院议员于周三返回华盛顿,就结束已持续43天的政府停摆进行投票。此次 停摆已导致航空旅行陷入混乱、数百万美国人的食品援助延迟,并迫使联邦雇员在无薪状态下工作。 众议院议长迈克·约翰逊表示,他相信这项由参议院艰难达成并获时任总统唐纳德·特朗普支持的妥协法 案将迅速获得通过。但面对众议院民主党人的强烈抵制,他需要确保党内意见统一。民主党领导人正敦 促成员投票反对该法案。 随着停摆接近尾声,国会现在必须争分夺秒地清理立法积压,包括为大部分政府机构提供资金至9月底 本财年结束的法案,以及必须通过的年度法案(如国防政策立法)等。 在众议院讨论参议院已通过的法案之前,约翰逊预计将为阿德利塔·格里哈尔瓦举行宣誓就职仪式。格 里哈尔瓦于9月当选接替其已故父亲的席位。议长在停摆期间拒绝为格里哈尔瓦宣誓就职的行为已激怒 民主党人。 交通部长肖恩·达菲周二警告称:"如果政府不能重新开门,本周末混乱将大幅加剧。"他在芝加哥奥黑 尔国际机场表示:"(航空系统)将急剧减速,因此众议院必须履行职责。" 领导超保守派"众议院自由核心小组"的众议员安迪·哈里斯已表示支持,这预示党内右翼其他成员可能 随之跟进。 该法案 ...
美国周三航班取消大幅减少 缓解混乱却非系统性改善
智通财经网· 2025-11-12 11:24
Group 1 - The number of flight cancellations in the U.S. on Wednesday is expected to reach the lowest level since the Trump administration's travel restrictions, potentially avoiding severe disruptions at major airports [1] - As of 4 AM New York time, 878 flights were canceled, with a planned flight volume of 23,020, which is approximately 2,500 fewer than the average [1] - The focus of the U.S. airline industry is on a temporary spending bill being reviewed by the Republican-controlled House, which may end a record 43-day government shutdown [1] Group 2 - The Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) has ordered U.S. airlines to reduce flights at about 40 of the busiest airports by 8% by Thursday and increase the reduction to 10% starting Friday [1] - Since the implementation of flight reductions last week, approximately 9,000 flights have been canceled [1] - Weather conditions have also impacted air travel, with some airports requiring de-icing procedures that can delay flight preparation by up to 30 minutes [2]