路透调查：28位经济学家中有20位预计泰国央行将在4月30日将其关键利率下调至1.75%。泰国央行预 计到三季度末将基准利率降至1.50%，较二月份的临时调查中公布的2.00%有所下降。 ...

路透调查：预计印尼央行将在2025年第二季将7天期逆回购利率下调25个基点至5.50%（与3月调查结果 相同）。 ...

Group 1: Hot News - The European Central Bank cut the deposit facility rate by 25 basis points to 2.25%, the main refinancing rate by 25 basis points to 2.4%, and the marginal lending rate by 25 basis points to 2.65%, the 7th rate cut since last June, in line with market expectations [2] - Premier Li Qiang of the State Council pointed out during the 13th special study session that policies should be implemented promptly at key time - windows and a "combination punch" should be used when necessary [2] - Domestic refined oil prices saw the "fourth decline" this year, with the largest drop in nearly three years. Since 24:00 on April 17, gasoline and diesel prices per ton were reduced by 480 yuan and 465 yuan respectively [2] - US President Trump said the Fed is responsible for lowering interest rates, and he believes Fed Chair Powell will cut rates and leave if asked [2] - As of the week ending April 17, the apparent demand for rebar increased for the ninth consecutive week, factory inventories and production decreased, and social inventories decreased for the sixth consecutive week. Apparent rebar demand was 273.82 million tons, up 21.14 million tons or 8.37% from last week [2] Group 2: Sector Performance - Key sectors to focus on include urea, crude oil, asphalt, Shanghai copper, lithium carbonate, and PVC [3] - Night - session performance: Non - metallic building materials rose 3.33%, precious metals 28.61%, oilseeds and oils 12.59%, soft commodities 2.96%, non - ferrous metals 18.28%, coal, coke, steel and minerals 14.15%, energy 2.52%, chemicals 12.94%, grains 1.81%, and agricultural and sideline products 2.82% [3] Group 3: Sector Positions - The document shows the changes in commodity futures sector positions in the past five days, but specific data is presented in a graphical form without detailed numerical descriptions [4] Group 4: Performance of Major Asset Classes - **Equity**: The Shanghai Composite Index had a daily increase of 0.13%, a monthly decline of 1.66%, and a year - to - date decline of 2.13%. The Hang Seng Index rose 1.61% daily, declined 7.46% monthly, and increased 6.66% year - to - date [5] - **Fixed - income**: The 10 - year Treasury bond futures declined 0.15% daily, increased 1.04% monthly, and had a 0.06% year - to - date increase [5] - **Commodity**: WTI crude oil rose 3.36% daily, declined 9.62% monthly, and had a 10.22% year - to - date decline. London spot gold declined 0.47% daily, increased 6.53% monthly, and had a 26.78% year - to - date increase [5] - **Other**: The US dollar index rose 0.16% daily, declined 4.58% monthly, and had an 8.35% year - to - date decline. The CBOE Volatility Index had no daily change, increased 46.50% monthly, and had an 88.13% year - to - date increase [5]

波兰央行委员利特维纽克：波兰利率可能在2025年下调100个基点。 ...

Remember when you could find high-yield savings accounts (HYSAs) that earned upwards of 5% APY? It seems those days are behind us, at least for now. Every time the Federal Reserve makes a rate cut — which it is likely to do at least once more before the end of the year — rates drop on HYSAs and other deposit accounts, making them less attractive tools for saving. With that said, you can still earn 4% or more on a few HYSAs, which is far more than you'll earn on a regular savings or checking account. And ...

我之前和老胡有过交流，他的持仓以蓝筹股和白马股为主，如果他都跌到5万（-90%），那a股乃至这个国家大概也已经风雨飘摇了。 2800要是搁以前会觉得是一个很低很吓人的位置，但是这一波靠着国家队日日兜底，层层托举，从3174点跌到2784点花了三个半月的时间，这就是现实版 的温水煮青蛙。我冒昧问一下诸位蛙兄弟，锅里面感觉如何，水温烫不烫...? 看k线，中间也有过几次阳线反弹，但这一步三回头的才容易把人诱进去，也给一些犹豫不决的人希望。我的建议是阴跌不抄底，跌到鬼哭狼嚎，全场骂 天骂地了再博一博。 跌破2800了，很多人在转发胡锡进之前在参加一次线下活动时的发言截图，说跌破2800他就去跳楼。其实这段内容是拼接的，原话说的是他的50万如果跌 到5万，他可能就要去跳楼了，没说过跌破2800点就跳楼。他就算再不懂股市也应该能感觉到2800并不安全，不可能在这个位置撂狠话。 我昨晚有提到去年那一轮的利率下调是0.73%，目前需要一轮和去年力度相当的下调，0.8%这个数字看起来比较合理。 之所以没有立即执行方案是为了保护银行的净息差，截止6月底中国银行业的净息差已经降到1.54%的史低，而维持合理盈利能力需要达到1.8 ...