Core Viewpoint - The Thai business community believes that trade negotiations are unlikely to conclude quickly, indicating ongoing challenges in international trade relations [1] Group 1: Trade Outlook - Exports are expected to decline by over 10% year-on-year in the second half of the year, reflecting a significant downturn in trade performance [1] Group 2: Monetary Policy - There is a call for the Bank of Thailand to lower the benchmark interest rate to manage the exchange rate of the Thai baht, suggesting concerns over currency stability [1]

美联储主席杰罗姆.鲍威尔重申，关税影响预计将在未来几个月的通胀数据中显现，但他也承认不确定 因素依然存在。鲍威尔周二在央行领导人讨论会上说，"我们正在关注，预计夏季会看到一些更高的数 字"。但他补充道，关税影响有可能"高于或低于预期，到来的时间可能早于或晚于预期"，政策制定者 对这些有心理准备。尽管特朗普就降息施加强大压力，但美联储今年迄今未改变其基准利率。(新浪财 经) ...

智通财经7月1日电，中非央行将基准利率维持在4.5%。 ...

路透调查：波兰央行预计将在周三将基准利率维持在5.25%的水平不变。 ...

哥伦比亚中央银行将基准利率维持在9.25%不变。(智通财经) ...

智通财经6月28日电，哥伦比亚中央银行将基准利率维持在9.25%不变。 ...

Group 1 - The Bank of Thailand maintains the benchmark interest rate at 1.75%, aligning with market expectations [1]

路透调查：27位经济学家中有17位认为，泰国6月25日的基准利率将维持在1.75%不变。 ...

据路透调查：分析师预计，匈牙利将在2025年底前降息25个基点。所有12位经济学家预测，匈牙利下周 将维持基准利率在6.5%的水平不变。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Bank of England decided to maintain the benchmark interest rate at 4.25%, reflecting a careful balance of economic data and risk factors, with market expectations aligning with this decision [1][2]. Economic Data - The UK inflation rate remains high, with the Consumer Price Index (CPI) showing a year-on-year increase of 3.4% in May, which is above the Bank's target of 2% [3]. - Despite a previous drop in inflation to 2.6% in March, the rate rebounded to 3.5% in April due to rising energy prices, indicating persistent inflationary pressures [3]. Monetary Policy Outlook - Market analysts expect the Bank of England to lower the benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points in the upcoming August meeting and again in the fourth quarter [4]. - The decision to hold rates steady was anticipated, but comments from the Bank's officials suggest a potential for further rate cuts within the year [4]. Geopolitical and Economic Risks - The ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East are complicating the economic landscape, potentially affecting oil prices and thereby inflation [5]. - External risks such as global trade tensions and geopolitical shocks may limit the Bank's policy flexibility, necessitating a more aggressive response if economic conditions worsen [4][5].