金 融 期 货 研 究 | 期指：利多继续落地，关注早间发布会 | | --- | | | | 【期指期现数据跟踪】 期指数据 | | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅% | 基 差 | 成交额-亿 | 成交量 | 变 动 | 持仓量 | 变 动 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 沪深300 | 3808.54 | ↑1.01 | | 2679.4 | | | | | | IF2505 | 3797.6 | ↑1.10 | -10.94 | 325.3 | 28609 | ↑8550 | 46669 | ↓1740 | | IF2506 | 3766.2 | ↑1.13 | -42.34 | 539.2 | 47831 | ↑5445 | 138953 | ↑2596 | | IF2509 | 3708.6 | ↑1.06 | -99.94 | 104.5 | 9414 | ↑2535 | 56336 | ↑1103 | | IF2512 | 3681.8 | ↑1.10 | -126.74 | 23.8 | 2158 | ↓215 | ...

今日A股迎来五月首个交易日的"开门红"，三大指数全线飘红，上证指数涨1.13%至3316.11点，时隔两周重返3300点关口；深证成指涨1.84%至 10082.34点，创阶段新高；创业板指领涨1.97%至1986.41点，成交额突破1.34万亿元，较节前放量1668亿元。市场呈现普涨格局，超4800只个股上 涨，涨停个股达141只，投资者情绪显著回暖。 盘面上看，汽车、有色、家电、化工、半导体、钢铁、电力、券商、地产等板块拉升，可控核聚变、稀土、鸿蒙概念、算力概念等活跃。 资金流向方面，主力资金全天净流入计算机、电子、机械设备等板块，净流出银行板块。具体到个股来看，岩山科技、常山北明、海南华铁获净 流入7.67亿元、5.59亿元、5.42亿元。净流出方面，鸿博股份、探路者、中欣氟材遭抛售5.52亿元、4.67亿元、3.05亿元。 高平聚能资本认为，经过四月份的回调，市场担忧情绪得到一定的释放，特别是科技自主方向。当一季报压力窗口过后，五月A股或呈现修复行 情的机会。 中信证券表示，关税战至今，全球主流风险资产价格基本都回到原点，表明"交易事实，而非预期"应该是贸易战之下应对不确定性的第一原则； 展望5月，" ...

中国资产全线走强。 "五一"假期后首个交易日，A股全线走高，沪指涨超1%重返3300点上方，深证成指、创业板指涨近 2%；港股亦上扬，恒生指数一度涨超1%，南向资金净买入超130亿港元。 可控核聚变概念盘中大幅拉升，截至收盘，中洲特材、久盛电气20%涨停，海陆重工（002255）、合锻 智能（603011）、雪人股份（002639）、兰石重装（603169）等均涨停。 | 代码 | 名称 | � 涨幅% | 现价 | 涨跌 | 采价 | 卖价 | 営量 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 300963 | 中洲特材 | R 20.01 | 18.17 | 3.03 | 18.17 | - | 636658 | | 301082 | 久盛电气 | 19.97 R | 16.52 | 2.75 | 16.52 | l | 199013 | | 301310 | 表示V | R 15.36 | 40.10 | 5.34 | 40.10 | l | 131874 | | 301137 哈焊华通 | | 14.23 R | 22.31 | 2.78 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese asset market is experiencing a strong rally, with significant gains in A-shares and Hong Kong stocks following the May Day holiday, driven by various sectors including consumer goods, nuclear fusion, and rare earths [2][3][8]. A-Share Market Performance - On the first trading day after the May Day holiday, A-shares saw a broad increase, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising over 1% to above 3300 points, and the Shenzhen Component and ChiNext Index increasing nearly 2% [2]. - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3316.11 points, up 1.13%, while the Shenzhen Component rose 1.84% to 10082.33 points, and the ChiNext Index gained 1.97% to 1986.41 points [2]. - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 13646 billion yuan, an increase of over 1700 billion yuan compared to the previous day [2]. Nuclear Fusion Sector - The controlled nuclear fusion concept saw a significant surge, with stocks like Zhongzhou Special Materials and Jiusheng Electric hitting the 20% limit up [5]. - The Hefei compact fusion energy experimental device (BEST) project has commenced ahead of schedule, aiming to demonstrate fusion energy generation and advance plasma physics research [7]. - Analysts suggest that controlled nuclear fusion could be the ultimate energy solution for humanity, with a promising commercial development outlook [7]. Rare Earth Sector - The rare earth sector experienced a strong rally, with stocks like Jiuling Technology and Dadi Bear hitting the 30% limit up [8]. - Following China's announcement of export controls on certain rare earth items, prices for rare earth metals have surged, with dysprosium prices doubling to $850 per kilogram and terbium prices increasing over 210% to $3000 per kilogram [10]. - Analysts believe that the export controls will lead to a short-term surge in overseas rare earth prices, while domestic processing companies will benefit from expanded profit margins [10]. Consumer Sector - Consumer stocks showed strong performance, particularly in the Hong Kong market, with stocks like Andeli Juice and Tea Hundred Road seeing significant gains [12]. - In the A-share market, Andeli hit the limit up, and other food and beverage stocks also performed well, reflecting a 6.3% year-on-year increase in sales for key retail and catering enterprises during the May Day holiday [13]. - The positive consumer sentiment is expected to continue, supported by consumption-boosting policies [13].

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market experienced a significant upward trend, with the ChiNext Index rising nearly 2% and total market turnover exceeding 1.3 trillion yuan [1] Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index increased by 1.13% - The Shenzhen Component Index rose by 1.84% - The ChiNext Index saw a rise of 1.97% [1] Sector Highlights - The controllable nuclear fusion concept stocks surged, with companies like Zhongzhou Special Materials, Jiusheng Electric, and Hezhuan Intelligent hitting the daily limit [1] - Rare earth permanent magnet concept stocks also saw significant gains, with Shenghe Resources and Zhongzhou Special Materials reaching the daily limit [1] - Huawei's HarmonyOS concept stocks experienced a strong increase, with Jiulian Technology and Changshan Beiming hitting the daily limit [1] - Other sectors that performed well include digital currency, CPO, liquid cooling servers, computing power, humanoid robots, diversified finance, and non-ferrous metals [1] - The banking sector, in contrast, experienced a decline [1] Market Activity - The total market turnover exceeded 1.3 trillion yuan, with approximately 5,000 stocks rising [1]

Group 1 - The core argument is that concerns about Cambrian being a scam similar to Zuojiang Technology are based on overlooked key information [1][4]. - Zuojiang Technology's stock price surged from 32 yuan to 299 yuan, a ninefold increase, before being exposed for financial fraud and subsequently delisted [2][4]. - Cambrian has been unprofitable over the past year, yet its stock price has experienced significant increases, raising concerns among investors [5][4]. Group 2 - Many retail investors believe that poor performance in earnings will lead to a decline in stock prices, reflecting a simplistic view of the market [7][8]. - The stock market is influenced by institutional trading rather than just company fundamentals, indicating that understanding market dynamics is crucial for investment success [12][18]. - Historical examples, such as Tencent and Ningde Times, illustrate that stock prices can fluctuate dramatically regardless of company performance, emphasizing the importance of timing in trading [12][18]. Group 3 - The analysis of trading behavior through quantitative data models reveals that institutional investors often engage in "shakeout" strategies, manipulating stock prices before re-entering the market [17][18]. - Recent data indicates that institutional activity has been high, with multiple instances of "shakeout" occurring, suggesting that institutions have specific strategies in play [18][20]. - Understanding the true behavior of institutional funds can provide insights into market movements and help investors navigate volatility [20].

每经记者 刘明涛 每经编辑 肖芮冬 这里，通过整合天风、安信、国信等10余家券商最新研报信息，为粉丝朋友带来4家公司简介，仅供参考。 4月30日，A股大小指数分化，沪指震荡走弱。截至上午收盘，上证指数跌0.08%报3283.97点，深证成指涨0.73%，创业板指涨1.01%，北证50涨3.19%，科创 50涨0.96%，中证A500涨0.29%。A股成交7282.14亿元。 | 3283.97 -2.68 -0.08% | | | | | 上证指数 000001 | ボ | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | SSE 11:30:03 交易中 | | | | | 户深市场核心指数 / ● + | | | 金额 3111.03亿 关键比率 | | | | | | | | 成交量 | | 269.80 Z | | 2023 | | 2024 20250 | | 开盘 | | 3284.08 | 毛利率 | 17.19 | 17.22 | 17.17 | | 最高 | | 3292.20 | 净利率 | 9.01 | 9.31 | 10.72 | | 最低 | ...

Market Overview - The A-share market experienced narrow fluctuations on April 29, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.05%, the Shenzhen Component Index down 0.05%, and the ChiNext Index down 0.13% [1][2]. Sector Performance - Significant adjustments were observed in the electric power sector, with multiple stocks such as Shaoneng Co., Leshan Electric Power, and Xichang Electric Power hitting the daily limit down [4]. - The consumer sector showed weakness, particularly in retail, liquor, and tourism, which saw the largest declines [1][2]. - Active sectors included PEEK materials, pet economy, chemical environmental protection, computing power, and humanoid robot concept stocks [1][3]. Capital Flow - Main capital inflows were noted in machinery, computer, and basic chemical sectors, while public utilities, non-bank financials, and oil & petrochemicals experienced net outflows [5]. - Specific stocks that attracted net inflows included Lioo Co. (8.81 billion), Zhaoyi Innovation (6.05 billion), and Sichuan Changhong (4.27 billion) [5]. - Conversely, stocks such as BYD, Shenghong Technology, and Magmi Tech faced net sell-offs of 4.07 billion, 3.89 billion, and 3.74 billion respectively [6]. Institutional Insights - CITIC Securities highlighted the short-term activity in the robotics sector while focusing on industry leaders for long-term investments [7]. - Shenwan Hongyuan noted that the market is in a weak consolidation phase, awaiting performance reports, while Zhongtai Securities suggested that individual stock uncertainties will decrease as annual and quarterly reports are released [8].

4月29日周二，A股集体走低，三大指数小幅下跌，微盘股指数逆势走强，板块方面，算力概念延续反 弹。港股恒指、恒科指双双高开，早盘震荡上涨，恒科指涨幅逼近1%，汽车股多数上涨。国债期货全 线走高。商品期货开盘涨跌不一，集运指数（欧线）跌超6%。核心市场走势： A股：截止发稿，沪指跌0.16%，深成指跌0.35%，创业板指跌0.35%。万得微盘股指数涨 1.19%。 | 代码 | 名称 | 两日图 | 现价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 000001 | 上证指数 | | 3283.12 | -5.30 | -0.16% | | 399001 | 深证成指 | | 9820.53 | -34.66 | -0.35% | | 399006 | 创业板指 | | 1927.63 | -6.83 | -0.35% | | 000300 | 沪深300 | | 3772.64 | -8.98 | -0.24% | | 000016 | FJESO | | 2648.17 | -3.06 | -0.12% | | 000680 | 科创综指 | | ...

行业板块 和题材表现上， 银行股新高，电力冲高回落，消费、地产 等权重板块 领跌 拖累指 数表现，其中 银行股强势 ， 工商银行、建设银行、江苏银行、成都 银行 等创历史新高，显 示资金避险情绪升温，高股息策略受青睐。电力板块 则 冲高回落 ， 华银电力（ 3连板）、 华电辽能（2连板）涨停，但西昌电力炸板回落， 说明电力板块开始分化， 板块持续性存疑。 二、 4 月末业绩线过渡，预计 5 月科技成长为主回归 一、 行情复盘：指数缩量调整，银行股逆势新高，题材轮动乏力 今天 大盘缩 量震荡，三大指数全天弱势震荡，沪指跌 0.2% ， 深成指跌 0.62%，创业板指 跌0.65%，市场成交额1.06万亿（较前一日缩量572亿），显示 节前整体 资金观望情绪浓 厚。 同时由于财报季尾声，更多个股暴雷甚至 ST出现，近4000家 个股 下 跌，近百股跌超 9%， 同时涨停和跌停都达到 40家， 市场亏钱效应明显，短线情绪低迷。 会议刺激政策没超预期， 消费、地产 板块 重挫 ， 食品饮料、零售（有友食品、贝因美、国 光连锁跌停） 等 全线调整 （除了少部分业绩优秀的个股，比如珀莱雅 2连板） ；房地产受 政策预期降 ...