炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 来源：证券市场周刊市场号 文 | 尚扬 近期，光模块概念持续表现，12月12日，Wind光模块（CPO）指数再创新高，个股中，也有7只个股股 价在本周刷新了历史新高。业内人士认为，光模块需求可见度较高，订单指引持续上修，供不应求将成 为行业常态，景气度持续攀升。2027年之前，光模块都会是市场最强王者之一。 光模块概念持续表现 个股中，19只概念股7只本周股价创出历史新高，若拉长时间来看，12家公司年内累计涨幅实现翻倍， 仕佳光子的涨势最为凌厉，累计涨幅已超500%，新易盛、源捷科技两家公司的累计涨幅也均超过了 400%（见表1）。 | 证券代码 | 证券名称 | 年内涨跌幅(%) | 区间最高收盘价日 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 688313.SH | 仕佳光子 | 566.12 | 2025/12/12 | | 688205.SH | 德科立 | 150.63 | 2025/12/12 | | 300502.SZ | 新易盛 | 420.53 | 2025/12/11 | | 300308.SZ JA ...

亚马逊发布全新的自研Trainium3芯片，以及采用Trainium3芯片的Trainium3 UltraServer服务器。据介 绍，新款Trainium3芯片的性能是前代产品的4倍。每个芯片都配备了144GB的HBM3E内存，内存带宽为 4.9TB/s，提供2.52 FP8 PFLOPs的算力。 云厂商资本开支全面上调。据机构统计，Meta2025年三季报将本财年资本支出的预测从660亿美元— 720亿美元上调至700亿美元—720亿美元；谷歌将全年资本开支指引由此前的850亿美元上调至910亿美 元—930亿美元；亚马逊全年资本开支预计约1250亿美元，2026年规模将进一步增加。 中金公司表示，在全球AI大模型加速迭代的背景下，国产算力全链条创新突破迫在眉睫，全国一体化 算力网战略地位亦有所提升。同时，海外AI硬件方向有望延续高景气。算力架构上，云厂商加速向AI ASIC转型以优化成本与功耗，预计2026年全球AI ASIC出货量有望实现同比翻倍以上的增长。需求高景 气有望持续拉动AI服务器及高速光互连需求，预计2026年全球400G+光模块市场规模有望达到378亿美 元，1.6T光模块迎来大规模放量 ...

Market Overview - The A-share market showed strong performance last week, with major indices generally rising. The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3888.60 points, up 1.40% for the week, while the Shenzhen Component Index, ChiNext Index, and others saw gains exceeding 3%, with the Wind Double Innovation Index surging 4.95% [2][8] - The growth style dominated the market, reflecting a continued preference for growth sectors and a significant increase in risk appetite, as evidenced by the slight decline of the value-oriented CSI Dividend Index by 0.16% [2][8] Industry Performance - Most Wind primary industry indices rose last week, with the exception of the energy sector, which fell by 0.53%. The information technology sector surged by 5.71%, driven by a resurgence in AI hardware demand and a recovery in the optical module concept [2][11] Fund Issuance - A total of 36 funds were issued last week, including 18 equity funds, 9 mixed funds, 5 bond funds, and 4 FOFs, with a total issuance of 17.859 billion units [2][13] Fund Performance - The Wind All Fund Index rose by 1.57% last week. The ordinary equity fund index increased by 3.33%, while the mixed equity fund index rose by 3.35%. The bond fund index saw a slight decline of 0.02% [2][7]

Market Performance - On November 26, A-shares showed mixed performance with the Shanghai Composite Index down by 0.15% to 3864.18 points, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 1.02% to 12907.83 points, and the ChiNext Index increased by 2.14% to 3044.69 points [1] Fund Manager Changes - In the last 30 days (October 27 to November 26), there were 631 fund manager changes across various fund products, with 15 announcements made on November 26 alone. The reasons for these changes included 3 managers leaving due to job changes and 4 due to product expirations [3] Fund Manager Performance - Li Zhi, a fund manager at Jiashi Fund, currently manages assets totaling 22.715 billion yuan. His highest-performing fund during his tenure was the Jiashi ChiNext ETF (159955), which achieved a return of 80.22% over 2 years and 120 days [4] New Fund Managers - Su Bingyi from Dacheng Fund currently manages assets of 2.254 billion yuan, with his best-performing fund being Dacheng Jingheng Mixed A (090019), which returned 252.52% over 7 years and 155 days [5] Fund Research Activity - In the past month (October 27 to November 26), the most researched company by public funds was Luxshare Precision, with 76 fund management companies participating in the research. Other notable companies included Lens Technology and Zhaoyi Innovation, with 74 and 70 participating firms, respectively [6][9] Recent Research Focus - In the last week (November 19 to November 26), the most researched company was Ninebot, with 47 fund institutions involved. Other companies with significant research attention included Huichuan Technology, Weili Transmission, and Siling Co., with 23, 21, and 20 institutions, respectively [7] Industry Research Trends - Over the past month, the healthcare equipment industry received the most attention from fund companies, with 545 research instances, followed by the semiconductor industry with 501 instances [8]

Group 1 - The A-share market is currently experiencing a reasonable valuation, with expectations for earnings to become the focal point in 2026, potentially driving upward momentum in the market [2] - The market adjustment has shown initial signs of support, with expectations for improved overseas liquidity and reduced domestic funding pressure, leading to a healthier market environment [2] - The three major broad-based ETFs from Huabao Fund provide investors with diverse options to invest in China's market, tracking the CSI A50, CSI A100, and CSI A500 indices [2][3] Group 2 - The top three industries with net capital inflow include Electric Equipment and Electronics, with inflows of 3.83 billion and 3.785 billion respectively [2] - The total trading volume in the two markets reached 1.81 trillion yuan, an increase of 84.4 billion yuan from the previous day [2] - The overall market saw 4,300 stocks rise, 160 remain unchanged, and 993 decline, indicating a mixed performance across the board [2]

Market Performance - On October 21, A-shares experienced a broad increase, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising above 3900 points for the fourth time in October, up 1.36% [1] - The Shenzhen Component Index increased by 2.06%, and the Wind All A Index rose by 1.62%, marking the largest single-day gain in over a month [1] - More than 4600 stocks in the A-share market were in the green, with a trading volume of 1.89 trillion yuan, slightly higher than the previous trading day [1] Sector Performance - According to a report by Counterpoint, iPhone 17 sales in China significantly outperformed the previous generation, contributing to the surge in the consumer electronics sector [7] - In the Wind popular concepts, the optical module sector led the gains with an increase of over 6%, while the communication equipment, energy equipment, and electronic components sectors rose by more than 4% [7][8] Economic Outlook - HuLong Securities noted that positive policy factors combined with a gradual recovery in domestic demand will benefit the consumer electronics sector, including home appliances and consumer electronics products, during the current economic recovery cycle [9] - According to Shenwan Hongyuan's research report, several sectors are expected to maintain good growth or show signs of recovery in Q3 2025, including advanced manufacturing, technology TMT, and pharmaceuticals [11][12] - The non-bank financial sector is also expected to see continuous improvement, with insurance and brokerage firms likely to experience positive profit growth driven by investments [12] Investment Strategy - According to招商策略, the key point for long-term investment is that 2026 may be a year of economic resonance between China and the U.S., as well as a year of PPI recovery, suggesting that low-position cyclical stocks may be a favorable investment direction [14] - Historically, years ending in "6" or "1" have shown a tendency for PPI to bottom out and rise, with sectors like oil, non-ferrous metals, steel, and food and beverage performing well [14]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that the technology sector, particularly AI computing power and optical module stocks, is experiencing a significant rebound, with the communication ETF (515880) rising nearly 6% [1] - OpenAI and Broadcom announced a collaboration to develop and deploy 10GW of customized AI and computing systems over the next four years, contributing to a total investment of 26GW in computing power [1] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has initiated a special action plan for "millisecond computing" in urban areas, aiming to establish a comprehensive and efficient network capability system by 2027 [1] Group 2 - Galaxy Securities indicates that the demand for computing power driven by AI is strong and the industry remains optimistic, despite potential short-term market fluctuations and adjustments [1] - The communication ETF (515880) tracks the CSI All Share Communication Equipment Index, with "optical modules + servers + copper connections + optical fibers" accounting for nearly 79% of its composition as of September 30 [1] - Optical modules represent nearly 50% of the ETF's composition, highlighting potential investment opportunities in this area [1]

Core Viewpoint - Huylv Ecological plans to acquire 49% of Junheng Technology for 1.127 billion yuan, with a significant premium of 317.72% over its valuation, raising concerns about the sustainability of Junheng's rapid valuation increase and performance commitments [1][2]. Valuation and Acquisition Details - The acquisition involves a cash payment of 282 million yuan and a share payment of 845 million yuan, leading to a total valuation of Junheng Technology at 2.306 billion yuan as of June 30, 2025, which is a 250% increase from its valuation of 658 million yuan in March 2024 [1][2]. - Huylv Ecological has previously invested 296 million yuan in Junheng Technology to increase its valuation, with the post-investment valuations rising to 1 billion yuan and 1.537 billion yuan [1][4]. Performance Commitments and Concerns - The performance commitments from Junheng's founders have increased significantly, with net profit commitments for 2025 set at 139.19 million yuan, which is a 153% increase from the previous commitment of 55 million yuan made in May 2024 [5][4]. - Junheng Technology's net profit for 2024 was 69.67 million yuan, indicating that it must more than double its profit in 2025 to meet the new commitments [5]. Financial Metrics and Comparisons - Junheng Technology's revenue and net profit have shown significant growth, with revenues of 434.82 million yuan in 2023 and 666.21 million yuan in 2024, but its operating cash flow has been negative, raising questions about the quality of its earnings [12][11]. - The company's R&D expense ratio has been consistently lower than that of comparable companies, with a notable decline in R&D spending despite revenue growth, which could pose risks to its technological competitiveness [12][14]. Shareholder Actions and Valuation Increases - Key shareholders, including founder Peng Kaisheng, have made significant investments shortly before the acquisition, with Peng's investment of 13.21 million yuan in February 2025 increasing in value to 31.4 million yuan by the time of the acquisition announcement [9][10]. - Another shareholder, Shandong Xinrui Investment, also saw a substantial increase in the value of its investment, highlighting the rapid appreciation of Junheng's valuation within a short timeframe [10][9].

Core Viewpoint - A significant number of companies have announced share reductions during the period from September 27 to October 1, with 103 companies making such announcements, including notable stocks like Tonghuashun, Nanya New Materials, and Zhangjiang High-Tech [1] Group 1: Share Reduction Announcements - 103 companies issued share reduction announcements in a span of four days, with many doing so on the first day of the National Day holiday [1] - Notable companies involved in share reductions include Tonghuashun, Nanya New Materials, and Zhangjiang High-Tech [1] Group 2: Specific Company Actions - Tonghuashun's shareholder, Kaishun, completed a reduction of nearly 700,000 shares, cashing out approximately 250 million yuan [1] - Nanya New Materials, which has seen a 251% increase this year, reduced its repurchase account by 231,550 shares, realizing 11.8 million yuan [1] - Dongfang Caifu's chairman's family members plan to transfer 1.5% of the company's shares due to personal financial needs [1] - Xinyi Technology, a leading optical module stock, plans to transfer 11.43 million shares, cashing out 4.181 billion yuan due to personal funding requirements [1] - Zhangjiang High-Tech's controlling shareholder plans to reduce 15.4869 million shares, with an estimated cash-out of 850 million yuan [1]

Core Viewpoint - Multiple companies in the computing power industry have issued risk warnings due to significant stock price increases, indicating potential volatility and the need for cautious investment decisions [1][4][6]. Group 1: 首开股份 (Shouka Co.) - Shouka Co. has experienced a stock price increase of over 100% in the past eight trading days, with a total market value rising from 6.8 billion to 14.2 billion [2][3]. - The company clarified that its subsidiary, Yingxin Company, holds a 62.74% stake and has made a financial investment in a fund, with a low indirect stake of approximately 0.3% in Yushu Technology [2][3]. - The company warned that its stock price has risen too quickly, leading to potential risks of a downturn [3]. Group 2: Industrial Fulian (Industrial Fulian) - Industrial Fulian's stock has seen a significant increase, reaching a total market value of 1.23 trillion, with a cumulative price increase of over 20% in three consecutive trading days [4]. - The company confirmed that its production and operations remain normal, with no undisclosed significant information [4][6]. - Investors are advised to be cautious due to the large fluctuations in stock prices [4]. Group 3: 剑桥科技 (Cambridge Technology) - Cambridge Technology announced that it does not currently produce chips with CPO technology, and its related business contributions are minimal, accounting for only about 0.03% of its revenue [5]. - The company cautioned investors against overinterpreting its progress in emerging technologies and highlighted the uncertainties in business implementation [5]. Group 4: 青山纸业 (Qingshan Paper) - Qingshan Paper reported a net profit of 2.099 million for its subsidiary, which is a negligible portion of the company's overall profit [6]. - The company emphasized that its main operations in the paper industry remain stable and have not undergone significant changes [6]. Group 5: 景旺电子 (Jingwang Electronics) and 罗曼股份 (Roman Co.) - Both Jingwang Electronics and Roman Co. confirmed that their production activities are normal and have not experienced significant changes [6]. - They warned investors about the risks associated with the recent large fluctuations in stock prices, urging rational investment decisions [6]. Group 6: 方正科技 (Founder Technology) - Founder Technology stated that its operations are stable and have not faced significant changes in the internal or external environment [6]. - The company also highlighted the large fluctuations in its stock price and advised investors to be cautious [6].