全球气候变暖

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全球变暖下极端降雨预报难在哪?北大物理学院大气与海洋科学系教授张庆红谈预警链如何扛住“大考”
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-08-02 09:24
Group 1 - The article discusses the increasing frequency and intensity of extreme weather events due to global warming, highlighting recent heavy rainfall in Beijing and its implications for disaster preparedness and response [1][9] - Zhang Qinghong, a professor at Peking University, emphasizes the challenges in accurately predicting extreme precipitation events, particularly those caused by small-scale convective systems [3][4] - The article notes that the predictability of extreme rainfall is constrained by current observational systems and weather prediction models, which are affected by the non-linear dynamics of weather systems [4][11] Group 2 - The T8 atmospheric circulation pattern is identified as a significant factor influencing summer rainfall in northern China, with historical data showing its correlation with extreme precipitation events [7][8] - The article mentions that the northward shift of the subtropical high-pressure system may lead to changes in rainfall patterns in the Northern Hemisphere, affecting regions like Beijing [9][10] - Zhang advocates for a collaborative approach to weather warning systems, involving government, research institutions, media, and the public to enhance the effectiveness of early warning mechanisms [13][15] Group 3 - The article highlights the need for urban infrastructure to adapt to increasing extreme weather events, suggesting that current designs based on historical data may not suffice [16][17] - Public participation in weather observation and reporting is emphasized as crucial for improving disaster response and enhancing predictive models [16][19] - The impact of hail on agriculture and renewable energy infrastructure is discussed, with a call for better understanding of hail formation processes to improve forecasting capabilities [17][19]
持续高温干旱致南欧多国野火肆虐
Xin Hua She· 2025-07-30 02:13
Group 1 - Southern Europe is experiencing severe wildfires due to prolonged high temperatures, strong winds, and drought conditions, with experts warning of more frequent and extreme fire seasons in the Mediterranean region due to climate change [1][3] - In Portugal, multiple wildfires have occurred, particularly in the Pontalegre area and Peneda-Gerês National Park, with hundreds of firefighters and equipment deployed for firefighting efforts [1] - Greece has recorded over 50 wildfires in the past week, with temperatures reaching 45.8 degrees Celsius, prompting the government to request international assistance through the EU Civil Protection Mechanism [1][2] Group 2 - Italy is facing severe wildfires, especially in Sicily, where temperatures have exceeded 40 degrees Celsius, leading to the evacuation of approximately 30 households and damage to infrastructure [2] - Bulgaria has over 260 active fire points, with the southwest Strumyani region being the most affected, and international firefighting support has been coordinated through the EU Civil Protection Mechanism [2] - Croatia has reported 501 more wildfires this year compared to the same period last year, but effective emergency responses have reduced the burned area by nearly half [2]
【环球财经】持续高温干旱致南欧多国野火肆虐
Xin Hua She· 2025-07-29 09:12
Group 1 - Southern Europe is experiencing severe wildfires due to prolonged heat, strong winds, and drought, with experts warning of more frequent and extreme fire seasons in the Mediterranean region due to climate change [1][3] - In Portugal, multiple wildfires have occurred, with the northern and central regions under "very high" fire risk, and a yellow weather alert issued for most of the country [1][2] - Greece has recorded over 50 wildfires in the past week, with temperatures reaching 45.8 degrees Celsius, prompting the government to request international assistance through the EU civil protection mechanism [1][2] Group 2 - Italy is facing severe wildfires, particularly in Sicily, where temperatures have exceeded 40 degrees Celsius, leading to the evacuation of approximately 30 households [2] - Bulgaria has over 260 active fire points, with the southwest region experiencing the most severe conditions, although the situation has slightly improved [2] - Croatia has reported 501 more wildfires this year compared to the same period last year, but effective emergency responses have reduced the burned area by nearly half [2][3]
请回答「Knock Knock 世界」NO. 250727
声动活泼· 2025-07-27 02:00
Group 1 - The article discusses the upcoming selection meeting for topics, highlighting the workload involved in preparing for it [1] - It poses questions about the implications of potential events, such as the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz and its impact on oil transportation [2] - The article raises concerns about ongoing construction in areas experiencing land subsidence, questioning the motivations behind such developments [3] Group 2 - The article mentions the recent Typhoon Wipha and its unexpected effects on weather in distant regions like Liaoning and Jilin [4] - It addresses the unusual summer heat across China, including temperatures reaching over 30 degrees Celsius in Harbin, linking it to global climate change [4] - The article explores the financial aspects of museums, questioning how they generate revenue despite many offering free admission [4] Group 3 - The article introduces the podcast "Knock Knock World," produced in collaboration with "Sound and Vibrancy," aimed at engaging young audiences with global events [7] - It notes that the first season of "Knock Knock World" is available on major audio platforms, with three episodes offered for free [8] - The first season is scheduled to run from March 25, 2025, to March 24, 2026, with a purchase price of 365 yuan [9]
伊朗经历今年最热一周
Xin Hua She· 2025-07-21 06:51
Group 1 - Iran is experiencing its hottest week of the year, with temperatures exceeding 50 degrees Celsius in some areas, leading to a water crisis [1] - The Iranian government is urging citizens to conserve water, with a recommendation to reduce water usage by at least 20% to alleviate supply pressure [1][2] - The capital Tehran recorded temperatures of 40 degrees Celsius on July 20, with forecasts of 41 degrees Celsius on July 21 [1] Group 2 - Water supply in Tehran is at its lowest level in a century due to insufficient rainfall, prompting the implementation of water rationing measures in some areas [2] - The Iranian Energy Minister has apologized for the water supply issues and explained that rationing is necessary for better resource management [2] - The government is investing in infrastructure projects such as reservoirs and desalination plants to secure water supply [2]
罕见!北极圈内城市气温高达30℃
财联社· 2025-07-19 13:56
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the unusual heatwave currently affecting Rovaniemi, Finland, where temperatures have reached around 30 degrees Celsius, similar to Southern Europe [1][3] - The Finnish Meteorological Institute reports that temperatures exceeding 30 degrees Celsius have been recorded in multiple regions of Finland, which is rare but becoming more frequent [3]
空调地图大挪移:谁在为越来越热的夏天买单?
虎嗅APP· 2025-07-19 02:34
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the significant increase in air conditioning demand across various regions in China due to extreme heat waves, highlighting the disparity in air conditioning ownership relative to economic development and climate conditions [3][10][22]. Group 1: Air Conditioning Ownership by Region - Jiangsu province has the highest air conditioning ownership, with 237.3 units per 100 households, followed by Zhejiang, Chongqing, Guangdong, and Shanghai, all exceeding 200 units [6][10]. - The national average for air conditioning ownership is 145.9 units per 100 households, indicating that many high-temperature regions, such as Sichuan and Xinjiang, have lower ownership rates compared to economically developed areas [6][11]. - Regions traditionally considered "cool" like Qinghai, Tibet, and parts of Northeast China have significantly lower air conditioning ownership, often below 30 units per 100 households [13]. Group 2: Recent Trends in Air Conditioning Demand - Recent years have seen a dramatic increase in air conditioning ownership in traditionally cooler regions, with Yunnan's ownership increasing nearly tenfold over nine years, and significant growth in Jilin and Liaoning [21]. - The demand for air conditioning has surged in the Northeast, with sales on platforms like JD.com increasing over seven times year-on-year, and first-time buyers rising over 60% [22]. - Nationally, air conditioning sales saw an 82% increase from late June to early July, reflecting a broader trend of rising demand due to extreme heat [22]. Group 3: Impact of Extreme Weather - The article notes that extreme heat events have become more frequent, with the average national temperature in 2024 expected to be 1.01°C higher than the long-term average, leading to an increase in high-temperature days [26][28]. - The urban heat island effect exacerbates high temperatures in cities, making air conditioning a critical necessity for urban populations [28]. - Experts suggest that improving urban planning and energy systems is essential to mitigate the impacts of extreme heat, alongside enhancing public health responses [28].
特朗普拟关停标志性温室气体观测站,70年全球大气变化记录或中断
news flash· 2025-07-18 03:40
Core Viewpoint - The proposal by President Trump to cut most climate research programs of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) in the 2026 federal budget raises significant concerns in the scientific community regarding the potential disruption of long-term atmospheric change records [1] Group 1: Budget Cuts and Implications - The proposed budget cuts include the closure of four key greenhouse gas observation stations, including the Mauna Loa Observatory in Hawaii [1] - This decision could interrupt nearly 70 years of global atmospheric change records, which is critical for understanding climate trends [1] Group 2: Scientific Community Response - The scientific community has expressed widespread concern over the potential impacts of these cuts on climate research and monitoring efforts [1]
巴塞罗那经历百年最热6月 热浪席卷欧洲多地
Xin Hua She· 2025-07-02 04:24
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the unprecedented heatwave affecting several European cities, particularly Barcelona, which recorded its highest June temperature since records began in 1914, with an average temperature of 26 degrees Celsius [1][2] - Barcelona's single-day maximum temperature reached 37.9 degrees Celsius on June 30, marking the highest daily temperature for June [1] - Spain's national average temperature for June was reported at 23.6 degrees Celsius, surpassing the previous record set in June 2017 by 0.8 degrees Celsius [1] Group 2 - The extreme temperatures are attributed to a strong heatwave linked to global climate change, as stated by the head of the Barcelona meteorological office [2] - In Paris, temperatures are forecasted to approach 40 degrees Celsius, prompting the closure of over 1,300 schools and adjustments to tourist activities at major landmarks [2] - Italy is also experiencing high temperatures, with 17 out of 27 major cities under heat warnings, and incidents of heat-related fatalities are being investigated [2]
气象热点访谈 | 今年夏天,热不热?
Xin Hua Wang· 2025-06-25 13:52
Core Viewpoint - The recent weather patterns in China, characterized by high temperatures in the north and continuous rainfall in the south, are part of the seasonal climate phenomena, influenced by atmospheric circulation and long-term climate change factors [2][4]. Group 1: Northern High Temperatures - The recent high temperatures in North China are significant, with maximum temperatures exceeding 35°C in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region, but they are not the highest on record [3]. - The heatwave in North China began on June 21 and is expected to persist until June 26, with localized temperatures potentially reaching around 40°C [3]. - The intensity of the current heat is greater than the average for the same period in previous years, but it is not the historical peak [3][4]. Group 2: Southern Rainfall - The southern regions, particularly the Yangtze River basin, have experienced rainfall that is over 30% above the normal levels since the onset of the rainy season on June 7 [2]. - A new round of strong rainfall is expected from June 24 to 27, affecting areas such as Sichuan, Chongqing, and parts of Hubei and Henan, although the intensity and impact will be less than previous rainfall events [5]. - The rainfall is beneficial for alleviating drought conditions in eastern Sichuan and Chongqing, but there are concerns about secondary disasters such as landslides and flooding in certain areas [5]. Group 3: Climate Change Context - The increasing frequency of extreme temperatures and heavy rainfall events in China is linked to global climate change, as highlighted by reports from the IPCC [2][4]. - The onset of high temperatures in northern regions has been occurring earlier in the summer months over the 21st century, indicating a new normal for weather patterns [4].