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北方华创(002371):业绩持续增长,平台型半导体设备龙头优势显著
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-04-08 11:16
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected price increase of over 15% in the next 6-12 months [5][13]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 29.838 billion RMB for 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 35.14%, and a net profit of 5.693 billion RMB, up 46.01% year-on-year [3][5]. - For Q1 2025, the company anticipates revenue between 7.340 billion and 8.980 billion RMB, with a year-on-year growth of 23.35% to 50.91%, and a net profit between 1.420 billion and 1.740 billion RMB, reflecting a growth of 24.69% to 52.79% [3]. - The company is positioned to benefit from the domestic semiconductor equipment market, with expectations of increased market share due to the ongoing trend of domestic substitution [4]. Summary by Sections Performance Review - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 29.838 billion RMB, a 35.14% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 5.693 billion RMB, up 46.01% year-on-year [3][10]. - The Q1 2025 forecast indicates revenue of 7.340 to 8.980 billion RMB, with a growth rate of 23.35% to 50.91%, and a net profit of 1.420 to 1.740 billion RMB, reflecting a growth of 24.69% to 52.79% [3]. Operational Analysis - The company is expected to continue increasing its market share due to the domestic substitution trend accelerated by new U.S. regulations on semiconductor equipment [4]. - As a leading domestic semiconductor equipment manufacturer, the company is well-positioned to benefit from the expansion plans of domestic storage manufacturers and advanced process technology [4]. - The company has successfully developed new products, enhancing its product matrix and solidifying its position as an industry leader [4]. Profit Forecast, Valuation, and Rating - Revenue projections for 2024-2026 are 29.838 billion, 38.836 billion, and 46.902 billion RMB, with year-on-year growth rates of 35.1%, 30.2%, and 20.8% respectively [5]. - Net profit forecasts for the same period are 5.693 billion, 7.668 billion, and 9.809 billion RMB, with growth rates of 46.0%, 34.7%, and 27.9% respectively [5]. - The expected EPS for 2024-2026 is 10.7, 14.3, and 18.4 RMB, with corresponding P/E ratios of 24, 18, and 14 [5].
北方华创_收购芯源微9.5% 股份的积极影响
2025-03-13 06:58
Summary of NAURA Technology (002371.SZ) Conference Call Company and Industry - **Company**: NAURA Technology (002371.SZ) - **Industry**: Semiconductor Equipment Manufacturing Key Points and Arguments 1. **Acquisition of Kingsemi Shares**: NAURA announced the purchase of 9.5% shares of Kingsemi (688037.SS) at Rmb88.48 per share, matching the closing price before trading was halted. Additionally, NAURA intends to acquire another 8.4% from Shenyang Zhongke Tiansheng Automation Technology Co. through the open market. This indicates NAURA's strategy to expand its semiconductor equipment product range through mergers and acquisitions, aligning with China's SOE reforms [1][2][3] 2. **Expansion of Product Coverage**: By acquiring Kingsemi, NAURA aims to broaden its semi-equipment product offerings from etching, film deposition, and cleaning to include coating technologies, enhancing its competitive position in the semiconductor industry [2][3] 3. **Market Performance and Projections**: As of March 10, 2025, NAURA's stock price was Rmb455.96, with a target price set at Rmb495.00, indicating an expected share price return of 8.6% and a total expected return of 8.8% [3][9] 4. **Valuation Methodology**: The target price is based on a price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of approximately 7x for 2025E, reflecting NAURA's strong revenue and order flow from semiconductor equipment, which constitutes over 70% of its business [9] 5. **Risks Identified**: Key risks that could hinder reaching the target price include: - Slower-than-expected semiconductor import replacement trends - Increasing competition among Chinese semiconductor equipment manufacturers - Potential supply shortages of key components leading to gross profit margin erosion [10] Additional Important Content - **Market Capitalization**: NAURA's market capitalization is reported at Rmb243.407 billion (approximately US$33.644 billion) [3] - **Dividend Yield**: The expected dividend yield is noted at 0.2%, contributing to the overall return expectations [3] - **Competitive Landscape**: NAURA is positioned among leading Chinese semiconductor equipment makers, with a diverse product range that includes CMP, oxidation/diffusion, ALD, and more [5][6] This summary encapsulates the essential insights from the conference call regarding NAURA Technology's strategic moves, market positioning, and financial outlook within the semiconductor equipment industry.