大盘走势分析
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午评:此种走势让人很不踏实,小心点冲高回落是必须的
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-29 05:32
Group 1 - The market showed a mixed performance with more stocks declining than rising, indicating a lack of strong upward momentum [2] - The critical support level for the market is at 3960, and it is essential to maintain above this level to avoid further declines [2] - The market's short-term outlook suggests caution, with potential for a short-term peak if it fails to break above 3988 [2] Group 2 - The daily key level is around 3930, and the market must stay above this to maintain a bullish outlook [3] - The mid-term critical levels are identified at 3920-4000 for weekly trends and 3900-3960 for monthly trends, with the need to stay above the 60-day moving average to avoid a bearish market [3] - A closing above 3970 is acceptable, while a close above 3980 is considered good, and above 3990 is strong [3]
午评:只要3931缺口无力封闭就无法排除回补今天跳空的可能性
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-08 06:07
Group 1 - The market is showing signs of recovery after a second bottoming out, with expectations to attempt to fill the gap between 3922-3931 in the near future [2] - The key resistance levels are identified at 3954-3988, and a failure to break through these levels may require a reduction in positions [2] - The daily life line is at approximately 3903, and staying above this level is crucial for a bullish outlook [3] Group 2 - The current critical area for the market is between 3902-3894, with a strong performance expected only if it remains above the upper boundary [3] - The mid to long-term outlook indicates that the strong and weak dividing lines for the weekly level are between 3920-4000, while the monthly level is between 3900-3960 [3] - To avoid reverting to a bear market, the market needs to stay above the 250-day moving average [3]
午评:如果今天就这么不死不活地磨叽一天,那明天就必需向上才行了
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-02 04:11
Group 1 - The market needs to maintain above 3900 for a bullish sentiment, with 3880 as a critical support level and resistance between 3922-3936 [2][4] - The trading volume is crucial; if it does not support upward movement, there may be fluctuations [2] - The daily life line is at approximately 3905, and staying above this level is necessary for a bullish outlook [3] Group 2 - A closing above 3900 is acceptable, while above 3910 is favorable, and above 3920 is strong; at least a close above 3890 is required [4] - The mid to long-term outlook indicates that the key resistance levels are between 3920-4000 for the weekly and 3900-3960 for the monthly [4] - To return to a bull market, the index must stay above the 60-day moving average, and to avoid a bear market, it must remain above the 250-day moving average [4]
收评:运行在3900之上才行,若量能跟不上还得防有所反复
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-01 07:57
Group 1 - The market showed signs of a potential breakout between the 5-month and 5-week moving averages, with a closing above 3900 indicating a short-term bullish control [2][3] - The index closed with a small bullish candle, suggesting a short-term advantage for bulls, despite a mid-term weakening [3] - Key resistance levels are identified at 3912-3922, while support levels are at 3880, indicating critical points for market movement [4][5] Group 2 - The daily critical area for the market is between 3907 and 3894, with a strong trend expected only if it remains above this range [4] - The short-term technical indicators suggest potential upward movement, but caution is advised if volume does not support the rally [3][4] - The long-term outlook indicates that maintaining above the 60-day moving average is necessary to return to a bull market, while staying above the 250-day moving average is essential to avoid a bear market [5]
午评:多头在努力,出现了已见底的弱信号,但3900上方的抛压很明显
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-01 04:37
Group 1 - The market showed a mixed performance with more stocks rising than falling, indicating a potential attempt to break out of the oscillation between the 5-month and 5-week lines [2] - The key resistance levels are identified at 3897, with 3912-3922 being visible resistance zones, while support levels are at 3883 and 3867 [2] - The trading strategy suggests that maintaining positions above 3900 is favorable, and any drop below 3867 would be concerning [2] Group 2 - The daily life line is positioned around 3904, and the market needs to stay above this level to maintain a bullish outlook [3] - The critical range for the market is between 3904 and 3893, with a failure to hold above these levels indicating a weakening trend [3] - The mid to long-term outlook indicates that the strong resistance levels are between 3920 and 4000, with the market needing to stay above the 60-day moving average to avoid a bearish trend [4]
午评:已切入了3820-3800一带,整体表现依旧很弱,个股表现好于指数
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-24 04:45
Group 1 - The market has entered a non-bullish and non-bearish state after losing the 3922 level, indicating a significant bearish control [2] - The key resistance level is now at 3922, with potential support expected between 3820-3800, where a rebound is likely but its strength remains uncertain [2] - The overall market performance is weak, with individual stocks performing better than the index, and the timing and location of a potential bottom remain unknown [2] Group 2 - The daily lifeline is near 3922, and the market must stay above this level to maintain a bullish outlook [3] - Key areas for the market are identified between 3928-3895, with a strong market condition only if it remains above the upper boundary [3] - The mid to long-term outlook indicates that the market must stay above the 60-day moving average to maintain a bullish state and above the 250-day moving average to avoid returning to a bearish market [3]
收评:无力站回3980就无法排除回试3954-3922的可能性
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-17 10:41
Core Viewpoint - The market has shown a significant decline, falling below the 4000-point mark, indicating that risks currently outweigh opportunities [2] Group 1: Market Performance - The market closed at 3980, marking a new low for the day, with a mixed performance in individual stocks [2] - The index has shown a bearish trend, with short-term bearish advantages becoming evident [2] - The previous day's performance indicated a strong control by bears, with a warning that failure to reclaim 3980 could lead to further declines towards 3954-3922 [2] Group 2: Technical Analysis - The critical support level for the market is around 3982, and staying above this level is necessary for a bullish outlook [3] - Key trading ranges are identified, with the upper boundary at 3985 and lower boundary at 3899; losing the upper boundary indicates a weakening trend [3] - The market is currently in a state where both upward and downward movements are possible, with potential for rebounds if further declines occur [3] Group 3: Resistance and Support Levels - Key resistance levels for the market are identified at 4015, with support levels at 3954, 3946, and 3936 [4] - For the ChiNext index, the strong and weak dividing line is at 3209, with resistance levels at 3130, 3145, and 3171, and support levels at 3078, 3068, and 3050 [4] - The mid to long-term outlook indicates that maintaining above the 60-day moving average is essential to keep the bull market intact, while staying above the 250-day moving average is necessary to avoid a return to a bear market [4]
收评:周收官能否站稳3900是主要看点,再冲一旦量能不济调整随时会来
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-09 08:14
Group 1 - The market has shown a rare five consecutive bullish monthly candles, indicating a potential for further upward movement, with the critical level at 3860 not to be breached [2] - Major indices have reached new highs for the year, with the market closing above 3920, reflecting strong bullish control [2] - The daily technical indicators suggest that the market is in a strong position, but there are concerns about volume and potential adjustments if the upward momentum cannot be sustained [2][3] Group 2 - Key resistance levels for the market are identified at 3943, 3985, and 4006, while support levels are at 3912, 3906, and 3898 [4] - The long-term outlook indicates that the market must remain above the 60-day moving average to maintain a bullish trend, and above the 250-day moving average to avoid reverting to a bearish market [4]
做好准备了,A股创新高?周四,大盘走势分析
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-06 07:32
Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index has shown volatility but has achieved three consecutive positive days, indicating a complex market situation that requires a cautious approach [1] - The A-share market is close to reaching new highs, with the index returning to 3636 points, driven by stock price increases, although specific stocks contributing to this rise remain uncertain [3][5] Sector Performance - Key sectors such as liquor, securities, banking, and real estate have the potential to drive the index higher, but none have shown significant upward movement recently [3] - The market is experiencing a notable increase in trading volume, yet there is a lack of acceleration in the index, suggesting a peculiar market behavior [3][5] Investment Strategy - The current market environment is characterized by extreme sentiment, leading to a cautious stance among investors despite the potential for index growth [7] - Holding onto stocks during this period may be the best strategy, especially if a major sector begins to rally, which could lead to a significant increase in the Shanghai Composite Index [5][7]
收评:依旧处于中短线许涨不许跌的状态,周四是时间窗
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-03 07:32
Group 1 - The market is currently in a state where short-term trends are favoring upward movements, with a focus on breaking key resistance levels [2][3] - The index closed above 3357, indicating a generally acceptable outcome despite the lack of strong upward momentum [2][3] - Key resistance levels for the market are identified at 3368-3394 and 3418-3439, while support levels are at 3350, 3340, and 3336 [4] Group 2 - The ChiNext index shows a similar trend, with short-term bullish sentiment but uncertainty regarding mid-term strength [3] - The critical support and resistance levels for the ChiNext index are set at 2033 for strength, with pressures at 2016, 2023, and 2043 [4] - The overall market sentiment remains cautious, with a need for a decisive breakout above 3394-3413 to maintain upward momentum [3]