2月5日，随着美俄《新削减战略武器条约》正式到期，全球最后一个限制核武器部署的条约宣告失效， 两个拥有全球近90%核武器大国之间失去了最后一道核军控"护栏"。 这引发国际社会对核军备竞赛和核扩散问题的普遍担忧。联合国秘书长古特雷斯更是直言，动用核武器 的风险正处于数十年来最高水平。 半个多世纪以来，世界首次陷入了一个没有任何条约限制全球两大核武库的状态。 俄方早早提议"续约"，美方始终沉默以对，却转头喊话中国加入核裁军谈判，他们意欲何为？ 三个问题需要关注。 陆基方面，"民兵-3"洲际弹道导弹是美军现役唯一陆基战略核武器，于20世纪70年代列装美军，按计 划，美国将用"哨兵"洲际导弹逐步取代"民兵3"洲际导弹，并翻新地下发射井；海基方面，"哥伦比 亚"级战略核潜艇将替换现役"俄亥俄"级战略核潜艇；空基核方面，美国空军现装备有B-2和B-52H轰炸 机在逐步更新，预计将采购B-21远程轰炸机以更新核打击能力。 2025年5月，美国总统特朗普还发布"金穹"导弹防御系统发展规划，声称"金穹"将与美国现有导弹防御 能力整合。一旦完全建成，将能够拦截从世界其他地方甚至太空发射的导弹。 △2025年5 月9日，俄罗斯首都 ...

中国外交部发言人林剑5日主持例行记者会。 林剑指出，中方对美俄《新削减战略武器条约》到期失效表示遗憾。条约对维护全球战略稳定具有重要意义， 国际社会普遍担心条约的失效将对国际核军控体系和全球的核秩序产生消极影响。 外交部：中国现阶段不参加核裁军谈判 日本广播协会（NHK）记者提问，美俄之间的《新削减战略武器条约》今天失效。昨天举行的中美、中俄元 首互动中，中方是否就条约问题表达了看法？对于这一条约的失效，中方有何评论？另外，美方表示，在推进 核军控问题上，有必要建立一个包括中国在内的框架，对此中方的立场是什么？在推进核军控方面，中方要如 何发挥大国作用？ "俄方曾建议俄美继续遵守条约的核心限制，中方呼吁美方予以积极回应，以负责任方式处理条约的后续安 排，早日恢复同俄战略稳定对话，这也是国际社会的普遍期待。"林剑说。 综合自：中新网、北京日报 有记者提问：在中美元首通话之后，美国总统特朗普表示，中方领导人将于今年年底访问美国。外交部能否确 认并提供更多细节？ 林剑：中美两国元首保持着沟通和互动。关于你提到的具体问题，我目前没有可以提供的消息。 "关于习近平主席同普京总统举行视频会晤，同特朗普总统通话的情况，中方 ...

源：外交部网站 "关于习近平主席同普京总统举行视频会晤，同特朗普总统通话的情况，中方已经发布了消息。"林剑 说。 2月5日，外交部发言人林剑主持例行记者会。 日本广播协会（NHK）记者提问，美俄之间的《新削减战略武器条约》今天失效。昨天举行的中美、 中俄元首互动中，中方是否就条约问题表达了看法？对于这一条约的失效，中方有何评论？另外，美方 表示，在推进核军控问题上，有必要建立一个包括中国在内的框架，对此中方的立场是什么？在推进核 军控方面，中方要如何发挥大国作用？ 林剑资料图。图 来源：北京日报客户端 林剑表示，中国在核武器问题上历来采取极其慎重负责的态度。中国一直坚持自卫防御的核战略，恪守 不首先使用核武器政策，无条件承诺不对无核武器国家和无核武器区使用或威胁使用核武器。中国始终 将核力量维持在国家安全需要的最低水平，无意与任何国家进行军备竞赛。中方一贯主张推进核裁军必 须遵循维护全球战略稳定和各国安全不受减损的原则。中国的核力量与美俄完全不在一个量级，现阶段 不会参加核裁军谈判。 林剑指出，中方对美俄《新削减战略武器条约》到期失效表示遗憾。条约对维护全球战略稳定具有重要 意义，国际社会普遍担心条约的失效将 ...

Core Viewpoint - China maintains a cautious and responsible attitude towards nuclear weapons, adhering to a self-defense nuclear strategy and a no-first-use policy [1] Group 1: China's Nuclear Policy - China commits to not using or threatening to use nuclear weapons against non-nuclear weapon states and nuclear-weapon-free zones [1] - The country keeps its nuclear capabilities at the minimum level required for national security and does not intend to engage in an arms race with any nation [1] Group 2: Nuclear Disarmament and Treaties - China emphasizes that nuclear disarmament must uphold global strategic stability and ensure that the security of all nations is not compromised [1] - The Chinese nuclear arsenal is not comparable in scale to those of the US and Russia, and China will not participate in nuclear disarmament negotiations at this stage [1] Group 3: Reaction to the New START Treaty - China expresses regret over the expiration of the US-Russia New START Treaty, highlighting its significance for global strategic stability [1] - There are widespread concerns that the treaty's expiration will negatively impact the international nuclear arms control system and global nuclear order [1] - China calls for the US to respond positively to Russia's suggestion to continue adhering to the treaty's core limitations and to responsibly address the treaty's follow-up arrangements [1]

Core Viewpoint - The expiration of the New START treaty on February 5 marks the first disappearance of a nuclear arms control framework between the US and Russia since 1972, raising concerns about a potential nuclear arms race reminiscent of the Cold War era [2][4]. Summary by Sections Nuclear Arms Control Framework - The New START treaty, effective since February 2011, limited the number of deployed strategic nuclear warheads for both the US and Russia to below 1,550 and restricted the number of delivery systems to 800, allowing for mutual verification and information sharing [4]. - The treaty was extended for five years in February 2021, but cannot be extended again, necessitating a new agreement. However, Russia has ceased compliance due to dissatisfaction with Western criticism regarding its actions in Ukraine, and the US has also stopped providing information [4][5]. Strategic Nuclear Arsenal - As of January 2025, Russia is projected to have 4,309 deployable nuclear warheads, while the US has 3,700, and China has around 600, with expectations that China's arsenal could exceed 1,000 by 2030 [6]. - The lack of a framework to constrain China's nuclear capabilities is seen as a strategic imbalance, as the New START treaty does not limit Russia's tactical nuclear weapons [6]. Future Negotiations and Military Developments - Former President Trump expressed intentions to initiate nuclear disarmament talks involving China and Russia, aiming for a consensus on halving defense budgets. However, China has rejected calls to join such negotiations, citing disparities in nuclear capabilities [6]. - Both the US and Russia are increasingly enhancing their nuclear arsenals, with Trump indicating plans for nuclear weapon testing and Russia successfully testing new nuclear-capable systems [6][7]. Historical Context - The necessity for conflict avoidance and arms race containment has been underscored by historical events such as the 1962 Cuban Missile Crisis, leading to treaties like the ABM Treaty in 1972 and the START I treaty in 1994, which set limits on strategic nuclear warheads [7].

田中补充说："(高市政权)只是一味强化防卫，而另一方面对核政策、和平政策却完全看不到了，不是 吗？" 中新网1月28日电综合日媒报道，针对日本首相高市早苗及其政权曾多次表示将重新审视"无核三原 则"的问题，广岛县原子弹爆炸受害者团体协议会理事长箕牧智之等人近日对高市政权再次表达了抗 议。 报道还介绍了广岛当地街头民众的看法，一名受访者表示： "参观了广岛和平纪念资料馆之后，我觉得 就不会轻易说出应该拥有核武器这样的话了。" 日本广岛当地媒体"RCC"报道称，现年83岁的箕牧表示，原子弹受害者们一直在向国内外呼吁日本政府 要遵守《禁止核武器条约》，但依赖美国"核保护伞"的日本始终与该条约保持距离，甚至拒绝以观察员 身份参加缔约国会议。 报道指出，高市就任首相后，接连发生了与核裁军背道而驰的事件，不仅高市本人称正在研究重新审 视"无核三原则"，在2025年12月，日本首相官邸的干部更是称"日本应该拥有核武器"，一系列动作给曾 被原子弹轰炸过的地区带来了巨大冲击。 据报道，日本众议院选举于1月27日正式拉开帷幕，结果将在2月8日揭晓。现年81岁的该组织理事田中 聪司对此次众议院选举结果可能导致日本安全保障政策发生重 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that President Trump may allow the New START treaty between the US and Russia to expire and is not inclined to accept Russia's proposal to continue adhering to core restrictions after the treaty's expiration [1][3] - Trump expressed a desire to negotiate a better agreement and suggested that China should be included in future nuclear arms reduction talks, a notion that China has rejected as unreasonable and unrealistic [3][4] - The New START treaty, signed in 2010, aims to limit the number of nuclear warheads and delivery systems deployed by the US and Russia, originally set for a 10-year term but extended to February 5, 2026 [3][4] Group 2 - Russia's President Putin indicated that if the US does not disrupt the existing balance, Russia would continue to adhere to the treaty's core restrictions for one year after its expiration [4] - Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov stated that Russia does not intend to persuade the US to comply with this proposal but believes it aligns with the interests of both parties and the international community [4]

Core Viewpoint - Recent statements by a senior official in the Japanese Prime Minister's office advocating for nuclear armament have sparked significant backlash both domestically and internationally, with criticism from former politicians, political parties, and civil organizations in Japan, as well as strong opposition from neighboring countries [1][3]. Group 1: Domestic Reactions - Four survivor groups from the Nagasaki nuclear bombings held a press conference to protest the remarks about Japan possessing nuclear weapons, stating that such views undermine the 80-year journey of suffering endured by nuclear victims and are unacceptable [3]. - The survivor groups called for the Japanese government to adhere to the "Three Non-Nuclear Principles" and to shift away from a security policy reliant on nuclear deterrence [3]. Group 2: International Implications - A senior Japanese journalist emphasized that Japan cannot pursue nuclear armament due to its commitment to the "Three Non-Nuclear Principles" and warned that such a move would lead to severe international criticism and potential sanctions [3][5]. - The journalist also noted that if Japan attempted to acquire nuclear weapons, it might have to withdraw from the International Atomic Energy Agency, which would jeopardize its access to nuclear fuel and lead to economic collapse [5].

美报告称中国很可能已在最新的三个导弹发射井装载超100枚洲际弹道导弹，国防部回应 张晓刚：美国拥有最大核武库，奉行首先使用核武器的核威慑政策，长期投入巨资升级"三位一体"核力量，甚至宣称重启核试验。美方反过来炒作所 谓"中国核威胁"，无非是想转移国际视线，为自身加速扩充核力量找借口。 中方始终恪守不首先使用核武器政策，坚定奉行自卫防御核战略，始终将自身核力量维持在国家安全需要的最低水平，不与任何国家进行核军备竞赛。我 们敦促美方切实履行核裁军特殊优先责任，进一步大幅实质性削减核武库，停止破坏全球战略稳定的行径。 12月25日下午，国防部举行例行记者会，国防部新闻发言人张晓刚大校答记者问。张智程 摄 记者：据媒体报道，一份五角大楼报告草案称，中国很可能已在最新的三个导弹发射井装载超过100枚洲际弹道导弹。请问国防部对此有何回应？ ...

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese Ministry of Defense responds to U.S. claims regarding China's nuclear capabilities, emphasizing that the U.S. is attempting to divert attention from its own nuclear expansion by labeling China as a nuclear threat [1] Group 1: U.S. Nuclear Policy - The U.S. possesses the largest nuclear arsenal and follows a policy of first-use of nuclear weapons, investing heavily in upgrading its "triad" nuclear forces [1] - The U.S. has even suggested the possibility of resuming nuclear tests, which raises concerns about global nuclear stability [1] Group 2: China's Nuclear Strategy - China adheres to a no-first-use policy regarding nuclear weapons and maintains a self-defense nuclear strategy [1] - The country keeps its nuclear capabilities at the minimum level necessary for national security and does not engage in a nuclear arms race with any nation [1] Group 3: Call for Nuclear Disarmament - China urges the U.S. to fulfill its special responsibility for nuclear disarmament by significantly reducing its nuclear arsenal [1] - The Chinese government calls for an end to actions that undermine global strategic stability [1]