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美国财政问题
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美债收益率突破5%!穆迪降级+特朗普减税,金融市场急了
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-26 01:58
Group 1 - The financial market is facing unprecedented challenges with U.S. assets, as the yield on 30-year U.S. Treasuries has surpassed 5%, and demand for 20-year Treasuries has significantly declined [1][4] - The U.S. government debt has exceeded $36 trillion, and the fiscal deficit is rapidly expanding, with the tax cut plan proposed by the Trump administration expected to reduce taxes by over $4 trillion over the next decade, further increasing the debt-to-GDP ratio from 98% to 125% [3][4] - The surge in U.S. Treasury yields has caused notable impacts on global financial markets, with major U.S. stock indices experiencing their largest declines in a month, and the 20-year Treasury yield reaching 5.1% [4] Group 2 - Morgan Stanley has shifted to a bullish outlook on U.S. assets, upgrading U.S. stocks and Treasuries to "overweight," citing relative advantages amid a slowing global economy [5] - The firm anticipates that U.S. corporate earnings will soon hit a bottom, and easing inflation along with potential further rate cuts by the Federal Reserve will support U.S. equities [5] - Morgan Stanley projects the S&P 500 index to reach 6,500 points by Q2 2026, while forecasting a decline in the 10-year Treasury yield to 3.45% [5]
巴菲特:美国的财政问题并非美国独有的问题
news flash· 2025-05-03 14:52
Core Viewpoint - Buffett expressed concerns about U.S. fiscal issues, noting that they are not unique to the U.S. [1] Group 1 - Buffett stated that Berkshire Hathaway will not take actions to improve quarterly or annual financial reports at the expense of holding worthless currency assets [1] - He emphasized the low cost of borrowing in yen, indicating a different situation in Japan compared to the U.S. [1]